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Friday 4/26/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
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Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 4/26/24
April 26, 2024
Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita “What You Need to Know.”
Friday, April 26,2024
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.
View Jeff Siegel’s Prime Plays Videos
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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 3-Moment’s Pleasure; 4-I’llhaveanotherkiss
Backups/savers: 1-Marinas Tina.
Forecast: Moment’s Pleasure was a bit green early but found extra energy in the final furlong before graduating in game style sprinting over the local lawn in her first outing since August. She galloped out well to provide expectation that today’s added distance can be within her range, and with any kind of forward move the daughter of Clubhouse Ride should be capable of successfully standing this raise in class. Her numbers are rising, and the pace projection says she might be able to inherit a good pace pressing trip. Illhaveanotherkiss stretches out again after finishing a solid runner-up in a Hillside dash facing first level allowance ranks. She’s entered for $50,000, suspiciously so, but on pure numbers she’s competitive, though a mile so far has proven to be a bit out of her range.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: A-
Main Ticket: 5-Mr. Leasure
Backups/savers: none.
Forecast: Mr. Leasure has been away since November but returns in a $50,000 maiden claimer as a first time Lasix user and a first time gelding for a barn that has solid stats with layoff runners, so in a modest affair we’re expecting the son of Distorted Humor to have no difficulty handling this assignment. The Doug O’Neill-trained sophomore has looked quite good in his recent comeback drills and in a field lacking speed he should find himself on or near the lead throughout.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:03 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 8-Belly Up
Backups/savers: 5-Forty Niner Gold; 7-Please Focus.
Forecast: Belly Up is a sharp Bay Area invader fresh from a career top effort when second in a fast, productive first level allowance sprint in early January. A recent healthy work tab should have him fit and ready for his high percentage outfit. The son of Into Mischief is unproven on grass but his good Tapeta form at Golden Gate Fields gives hope that the surface switch won’t be an issue.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:33 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 2-Dorita Rose
Backups/savers: none.
Forecast: Donita Rose improved her Beyer speed figure by 20 points in her second career start but had to settle second behind razor sharp runaway next out winner Whimsical Heir while well clear of next out winner Ryder’s Candy in a fast, highly rated and productive race at this level. She gets a major jockey switch to Juan Hernandez, shows three easy breezes at San Lis Rey Downs to tick her over, and is a logical rolling exotic single.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:04 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 4-Rostovsky
Backups/savers: 7-Uncle Reg.
Forecast: The first timer Rostovsky caught the eye in company with recent debut maiden special weight winner Jane Austin in a gate drill March 25 and more than held his own while stride-for-stride throughout. The Liam’s Map gelding is realistically spotted by a barn that strikes at 23% with a considerable flat bet profit with debut runners, so in an open grass grab bag for maiden $50,000 turf sprinters the M. Glatt-trained sophomore should be a very live item.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:35 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 6-Parenting; 10-Santarena.
Backups/savers: none.
Forecast: Here’s a salty maiden special weight sprint with several highly promising entrants, and it should take a very good colt to win it. Parenting, a first time starter by Justify, breezed in :10 flat before bringing $750,000 through the ring at the 2023 OBS April sale but it’s taken a year for the B. Baffert-trained colt to make it to the races. Recent workouts indicate he is loaded with talent and should have him plenty fit for a top effort first crack out of the box. A bullet :59 flat gate work (fastest of 47) was accomplished without company and sans urging, so this looks like an excellent prospect capable of winning at first asking. Santarena displayed plenty of speed in his first two outings, both of which earned stronger than par speed figures. Second in his most recent outing while well clear of the rest, the son of Omaha Beach has an experience edge over our top pick that could make a winning difference.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:06 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 2-Lunar Impact
Backups/savers: 4-Speed Lane; 5-Leisurewear (Ire).
Forecast: Lunar Impact stayed on gamely when a close fourth in the much tougher Wishing Well Stakes down the Hillside Course last time out and stretches out again today to a distance she’s proven she can handle. Against this considerably lesser field, the English-bred filly projects to enjoy an ideal pace stalking/pressing trip and then have every chance when the pressure is turned on from the quarter pole home. She is reunited with “win rider” L. Dettori and is solid in the speed figurer department.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:37 PT Grade: B
Main ticket: 6-Sugar Fish; 2-Fayette Fox.
Backups/savers: none.
Forecast: Sugar Fish demolished a modest field in a high priced maiden claiming extended sprint last month while earning a career top speed figure and today stretches out around two turns for the first time to a distance she’s certainly bred to handle. We’re expecting the J. Mullins-trained sophomore filly to settle early and tag the leaders late. Fayette Fox was a bit rusty when a steady third sprinting at this level in her first outing in more than a year. She’s proven to be effective routing, so with that tightener under her belt the V. Cerin-trained filly should be primed for a significant forward move. Top pilot J. Hernandez rides her back and should have her in an ideal, second flight early position, ready to pounce.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:08 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket: 4-Zafiro Anejo
Backups/savers: none.
Forecast: Zafiro Anejo was given a very easy run in his first start since his debut in the spring of 2022 in Kentucky and didn’t run badly at all in a turf sprint at this level, settling off the pace and then winding up third, beaten less than five lengths without being knocked about. We’re expecting a much more serious effort today from the son of Kantharos, who continues to train like a decent type and one that should enjoy the stretch out in trip. Low percentage connections notwithstanding, there’s a good gamble available in a what looks to be a below average field for maiden $50,000.
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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis
April 26, 2024 | By Al Cimaglia
Cal Expo has a 9-race card with the 0.20 Pick 4 starting in Race 6. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.
Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
Race 6 (8:25 PM PST)
1-Dance Traveler (7/2)-Had a tough trip in last and was wide much of the mile. Was run into by #6-Jeremy's Alibi who bumped into Lemoyne Svendsen's back. Probably didn't cost the win but didn't help. Should be a player but could be over bet.
4-Bobs Time (12-1)-This TM level will be a test, but the price shot could benefit from a suck-around trip. Knows how to pass foes but needs to be in position to catch the leaders at the top of the lane.
5-Myartblongstorock (5/2)-The Tremblay entry doesn't win often, and Luke Plano will be in the bike tonight. This pilot has one good move to use and knows when to push the button. Needs a ground saving trip as well and could be in the hunt with a sharp steer.
Race 7 (8:45 PM PST)
1-Outlawnothnbutsmrt (6-1)-Rolled the back half in 54.3 to get up in time at the wire. Starts inside again and could double up if Rene Goulet is racing at the top of the stack by the last turn.
7-Its Pointless (8-1)-Going to fade the morning line chalk #5-Handsome Harvey who will be a small price and broke last race. The 7-year-old hasn't raced since 4-24-22 but has put in 2 nice qualifiers at CalX. Using a fresh horse and will hope the program odds holds up.
8-Allmyx'sliventexas (3-1)-Comes of a flat effort and the post draw should help the price. Shouldn't feel out of place facing this bunch and will look for a strong bounce back effort.
Race 8 (9:05 PM PST)
4-Contempory Legend (9/5)-Beaten odds-on chalk is not a lock but is a main threat if comes with a big try. Won 2 back with a sharp drive by James Kennedy and should be there at the wire with the same type of trip.
7-Some Playa (3-1)-Plano could have the pedal down as there isn't a lot of gate speed in this field. Like the rest, needs the right trip. Could be tough to catch if gets the top without burning much gas.
Race 9 (9:25 PM PST)
3-Midnight Zen (5-1)-Has left from the outside in the last 2 starts and did land on top but faded down the lane. Slides in a few slots and maybe the post relief will make a winning difference.
4-Changing Colors (10-1)-Has been in the mix versus better and the drop makes this mare a threat for a picture. Should be racing on top or close to it when the wings fold.
0.20 Pick 4
1,4,5/1,7,8/4,7/3,4
Total Bet=$7.20
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Keeneland Late Pick 4 Friday, April 26
April 26, 2024 | By Frank Carulli
KEENLAND LATE PICK 4
Friday, April 26, 2024
There are more than 20,000 combinations for the Keeneland Late Pick 4 this Friday if the fields remain intact. It makes the 50-cent wager extremely difficult, yet extremely tempting to play. Here’s a closer look:
KEE 7th race (3:36 p.m. EST) -- ALCOVE worked in :59-1/5 from the gate for the red-hot barn of trainer Brad Cox, earning morning-line favoritism in this crowded MSW sprint. But with five first-time starters and several others having shown ability at different tracks, it’s an ‘ALL’ punch in the opening leg.
KEE 8th race (4:07 p.m. EST) -- Where does one begin to describe WAR LIKE GODDESS’s greatness? She earned $2.5 million, won two Grade 1 stakes against the boys, seeks her fourth consecutive victory in the Grade 3 Bewitch today and third straight off a five-month layoff. She’s 7-for-11 at 1-1/2 miles with wins on firm, good and yielding turf courses around the country and overcame half-mile fractions of :51-2/5 or slower three times with her powerful late kick. She reduces today’s Pick 4 to a Pick 3 for most.
KEE 9th race (4:38 p.m. EST) -- MUCHO MACHO GIRL won her last two non-stakes races by a combined 10-1/4 lengths. She has enough speed to make the lead from post 11 and has proven capable of stalking the pace if the likes of HAPPY SOUL and PRINCESS ADALEIGH blast off the gate. She has never run 7F but her sire, Mucho Macho Man, was a multiple Grade 1 winner going a route of ground and her dam, Tacit Approval, used her speed on the stretch-out in distance to go 7/1-1-3 at one mile. ROYAL SPA moves up if the pace is hot. She left too much work to do after a slow start in her most recent race; however, she made a last-to-2nd move on a muddy Oaklawn Park track two starts ago to finish behind 1-to-5 winner Alva Starr, who came back to win the Grade 1 Madison at Keeneland.
KEE 10th race (5:09 p.m. EST) -- CATCH A WAVE swung 4-wide at the top of the stretch and caught the co-favorite to win in his debut for trainer Chad Brown, whose winners repeat 23 percent of the time. ROSE COLLECTOR, a sweeping 3-wide winner in a debut upset on the Monmouth Park lawn, dueled inside to upper stretch in a stakes race last out before several closers passed by. He gets Lasix and is one of many double-digit price plays to use in the final leg of the ticket. GEEWURZTRAMINER is another one as he is working up a storm for his first grass test, showing bullets at three different tracks. His Grade 1-winning sire, Collected, won his debut on the turf and ran second in a follow-up Grade 3 route. TEAM CAPTAIN rallied late to get beat 2 lengths by the 4-to-5 favorite and he appears rounding to another good effort if he can negotiate post 11. DOMINGO got up to win in a 1-1/8-mile grass race that produced 0-for-8 follow-up efforts, but he gets more ground to cover and breezed in a minute flat on the main track to get ready.
Suggested 50-Cent Ticket
KEE 7th Race: ALL
KEE 8th Race: 6
KEE 9th Race: 5, 11
KEE 10th Race: 2, 5, 6, 8, 11
Cost for 50-cent ticket: $60
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Scott Shapiro: Preakness Future Wager Analysis
April 25, 2024 | By 1/ST BET
The Preakness Stakes Future Wager Pool 2 opens Friday at noon eastern and closes shortly before they head to the post for the 150th Kentucky Derby. The pool offers horseplayers 31 individual entries, as well as an "all others" field option listed at 20-1 on the morning line.
While the obvious goal in wagering on futures is to cash winning tickets, the real long-term goal is getting your money in good. In other words, you want to make bets that will offer greater value than the parimutuel price when the horse breaks from the starting gate.
When I look at some of the shorter-priced entries in Future Pool 2 competing in the Kentucky Derby, it is pretty simple. If they win the first leg of the Triple Crown, they will be a shorter price come Preakness Day than when Future Pool 2 closes. If they do not win, they are less likely to run on May 18. Trainers like Todd Pletcher, Chad Brown and Brad Cox amongst others have rarely pushed their horses onto Baltimore after defeat in Louisville in recent years, a turnaround once treated as common. In the rarest of cases, the connections have even opted not to run in the Preakness off of a Derby victory (Rich Strike in 2022). Knowing this makes it difficult to get excited about placing a Preakness Future Wager on Fierceness, Sierra Leone, Catching Freedom and Just a Touch. Cox-trained Encino definitely would be tough to see in Baltimore if he runs in Louisville since he raced in mid-April at Keeneland. There's still some discussion he could await the Preakness.
One Derby starter that caught my eye was Forever Young. The Japanese import is a “B” for me in the Run for the Roses, but if he wins, he is going to be a far shorter price at Pimlico. Not only will the top-tier Cox and Pletcher runners likely skip the Preakness, but it will be a massive international news story likely to deflate the Japanese import’s price even more. He is the lone Derby starter I have interest in betting in Future Wager Pool 2, especially if he is below 10-1 or so in the hours leading up to the Derby and at least his morning line price (15-1) in the Preakness Future Pool 2.
In terms of those not competing in Louisville, the obvious question is: How to handle Muth? Assuming the Bob Baffert trainee makes the race, it seems very unlikely he will go off much higher than his 3-1 morning line Futures offering. If one of the top contenders in the Kentucky Derby win and run a big number, he could be second choice in the Preakness. If anyone 15-1 or higher wins, Muth is very likely to go off the public choice in Baltimore. I am not jumping in on Muth in Pool 2, but if you think he is the most talented three-year-old colt in the country, I would not fault you for swallowing chalk.
My favorite wager in Future Wager Pool 2 is Tuscan Gold. His trainer Chad Brown has won the Preakness twice, both with runners (Cloud Computing and Early Voting) who did not participate in the Kentucky Derby. Plus, I really like this Medaglia d’Oro colt’s last two races, particularly his third-place effort in the Louisiana Derby when he was caught wide throughout. His price at the Preakness starting gate will depend on the Derby result, but I see very few scenarios where he will not offer solid value in this Preakness Futures market.
The Derby will get all the attention come next Saturday, but do not forget to place those Preakness Future Pool 2 wagers. There is very likely value to be found!
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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks
Keeneland - Race #5
| Picks |
Notes |
|---|
| #4 Mcavoy |
He beat a nice runner-up in the debut score, and he wasn't too far off the winner in that next start. There might still be some upside in just this third start, and nothing wrong with getting an ace local turf route rider up. |
| #3 Uncle Truly |
I think he's coming out of a pretty good race, and he has some positional pace in a race where that might be an asset. In the mix, but I wouldn't want much shorter than the ML offering. |
| #6 Tough Little Nut |
He made a really sharp move before flattening out over this course last fall, and he finished up with some energy in the Fair Grounds comeback. Could see him stepping forward at a price today. |
| Race Summary |
Mcavoy should offer an OK number today, and he beat a pretty decent horse in that 43/1 debut upset last year. Ready for better today? |
| Picks |
Notes |
|---|
| #6 War Like Goddess |
She has already won this race a couple times, and she's supposed to win it again today barring some step back or significant trouble. Legit Grade I runner deserves her role as the heavy chalk today. |
| #4 Atomic Blonde |
She's back off the bench after the form went south late last year, but she was in the mix with a couple graded stakes groups last year before that, so she might be an OK fit. Wouldn't be the worst alternative if you won't accept the short price on the top choice. |
| #8 Vergara |
She's logical enough with some pace that gives her the jump on the top two, but I just think her best stuff is the tiniest bit light for today. Take out her Kentucky Downs form and the page isn't that appealing -- horse for the course somewhere else? |
| Race Summary |
War Like Goddess is going to be tough if she comes back with the same enthusiasm for another racing year -- she has been a handful in this race in recent years. Atomic Blonde probably needs a bit of a misfire from the top choice, but she makes enough sense. |
| Picks |
Notes |
|---|
| #6 Rose Collector |
He has some tougher company lines out of those last two races in stakes company, and he has some upside in the second start off the layoff after showing pace last out. Would love to see him sit a first-jump trip. |
| #8 Catch a Wave |
It wasn't the flashiest debut score, but he got the job done at Tampa first time out for a team that has been calling a lot of the right shots this season. Tactical speed can be tough. |
| #10 Copper Missile |
He was 6/1 against similar here last fall but never got seriously involved. He's back fresh today with some previous form that makes him appealing for a share -- probably at a better price than the last time we saw him. |
| Race Summary |
Rose Collector can probably find a good spot right up near the top, and he's got some logical room to improve today after the pace-and-fade stakes run off the layoff. Sneaky? |
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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks
Tampa Bay Downs - Race #1
| Picks |
Notes |
|---|
| #4 NOVELLIE (8-1) |
Been away seven weeks since claim, improvement needed, price worth it. |
| #2 BEAUTIFUL KARLA (5-2) |
Worked fast before fading in latest, returns to claim level. |
| #6 WILD ARMY BRAT (6-1) |
Late gain in crowded field as beaten favorite, changes barns. |
| Race Summary |
GRAYTANA looks best on paper but she hasn’t raced in seven months, class drops for a new barn and could face some front-end pressure, so look elsewhere. NOVELLIE runs well fresh, dueled a long way and dug in for a 7F victory when claimed in February. Value remains, so bet to win and place. |
| Picks |
Notes |
|---|
| #7 GHOST STALKER (3-1) |
Excellent form to start 6yo season, plenty of back class to maintain it. |
| #4 THE BEARRISH ONE (7-2) |
Pressed the co-fave, dropped back, re-rallied to get beat a length. |
| #2 EMBER (5-2) |
Romped in lone start at this distance for barn that re-claimed her. |
| Race Summary |
GHOST STALKER, 4-wide most of the way while stalking soft fractions, still ‘improved’ late to get beat 2-1/2 lengths on an ‘off’ track. He ended a long winless drought in the race prior on the class hike to this level. Bet to win and place and play a 2-4-7 exacta box. |
| Picks |
Notes |
|---|
| #1 VENEZUELAN FAITH (12-1) |
Intriguing claim in debut, gets Lasix, worth a longshot stab. |
| #6 ICONIC ROCK (5-2) |
Disqualified runner-up in first try at this level, troubled trip in latest. |
| #7 CHASENTHEONE (2-1) |
Has speed, piling up the checks on Tampa lawn. |
| Race Summary |
D’Angelo saw something he liked to claim 22-1 first-time starter VENEZUELAN FAITH. He raced close-up for a half mile before tiring in a longer route race. His dam, My Miss Venezuela (15/4-4-2, $157k), was a speedy, stakes-winning sprinter. Bet to win and place. |
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Equibase Special
PURCHASE
| Equibase Special - Race 2 |
Leg 2 of the Tropical Turf Pick 3 |
| Claiming $35,000 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 97 • Purse: $41,000 • Post: 3:15P |
| GP - R5 - (RAIL AT 59 FEET). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS OR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 26, 2023. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF THREE RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $35,000 (IF NO THREE-YEAR-OLDS ARE ENTERED, OLDER WEIGHT WILL REVERT TO 122 LBS.). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE TAPETA COURSE AT ONE MILE AND SEVENTY YARDS) |
| Contenders |
Race Analysis |
| P# |
Horse |
Morn
Line |
Accept
Odds |
|
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * KURAMATA (IRE): Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest av erage Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. OCALA DREAM: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. |
9 |
KURAMATA (IRE) |
2/1 |
7/2 |
8 |
OCALA DREAM |
10/1 |
6/1 |
1 |
MEGAYACHT |
12/1 |
10/1 |
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| P# |
Horse (In Running Style Order) |
Post |
Morn
Line |
Running Style |
Good
Class |
Good
Speed |
Early Figure |
Finish Figure |
Platinum
Figure |
6 |
LORD OF WAR |
6 |
6/1 |
Front-runner |
99 |
96 |
101.3 |
83.5 |
71.5 |
4 |
TREASURE KING |
4 |
10/1 |
Front-runner |
93 |
85 |
83.7 |
87.3 |
75.8 |
1 |
MEGAYACHT |
1 |
12/1 |
Stalker |
97 |
95 |
76.3 |
90.3 |
81.3 |
8 |
OCALA DREAM |
8 |
10/1 |
Alternator/Stalker |
99 |
99 |
80.8 |
94.0 |
87.0 |
3 |
MASTEROFTHESENATE |
3 |
5/2 |
Trailer |
94 |
94 |
89.3 |
90.9 |
77.9 |
9 |
KURAMATA (IRE) |
9 |
2/1 |
Trailer |
107 |
99 |
85.6 |
97.4 |
95.4 |
5 |
PALACE VIEW (IRE) |
5 |
10/1 |
Alternator/Trailer |
93 |
91 |
92.1 |
83.4 |
73.4 |
7 |
ROCK THE STARS |
7 |
8/1 |
Alternator/Trailer |
100 |
92 |
80.8 |
88.8 |
77.8 |
10 |
SIGRUN FAST BOY |
10 |
30/1 |
Alternator/Non-contender |
93 |
87 |
82.0 |
83.6 |
66.1 |
2 |
SMART STRIKER |
2 |
20/1 |
Alternator/Non-contender |
96 |
83 |
73.5 |
81.9 |
66.9 |
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Equibase SpecialPURCHASE
| Equibase Special - Race 2 |
Win Wagering Only |
| Stakes • 1 3/16 Miles • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 107 • Purse: $2,000,000 • Post: 12:00 |
| PREAKNESS FUTURE WAGER POOL 2 - GRADE 1 FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. COLTS AND GELDINGS 126LBS. FILLIES 121LBS. TO PLACE A FUTURE WAGER IN POOL 2 ON THE 2024 PREAKNESS STAKES, PLEASE ASK FOR RACE 2. IF YOU WISH TO WAGER ON THE FIELD WHICH REPRESENTS ALL OTHER THREE-YEAR-OLD THOROUGHBREDS, ASK FOR NUMBER 32. NO REFUNDS WILL BE ISSUED IN ANY OF THE WAGERING POOLS FOR THE PREAKNESS STAKES FUTURE WAGER. ALL WAGERS ARE FINAL ONCE THE PATRON HAS LEFT THE WINDOW. THIS POOL WILL RUN FRIDAY, APRIL 26TH - SATURDAY, MAY 4TH. POOL 2 OPENS AT 12NOONET FRIDAY, APRIL 26TH AND CLOSES AT 6:00PMET ON SATURDAY, MAY 4TH. THIS IS A WIN ONLY WAGER. |
| Contenders |
Race Analysis |
| P# |
Horse |
Morn
Line |
Accept
Odds |
|
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * MUTH: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at lea st 50. SIERRA LEONE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. FIERCENESS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. MYSTIK DAN: Hors e had a bullet workout within the last seven days. JUST STEEL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. |
19 |
MUTH |
3/1 |
4/1 |
24 |
SIERRA LEONE |
6/1 |
8/1 |
9 |
FIERCENESS |
9/2 |
9/1 |
20 |
MYSTIK DAN |
40/1 |
9/1 |
17 |
JUST STEEL |
40/1 |
9/1 |
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| P# |
Horse (In Running Style Order) |
Post |
Morn
Line |
Running Style |
Good
Class |
Good
Speed |
Early Figure |
Finish Figure |
Platinum
Figure |
28 |
TRACK PHANTOM |
28 |
50/1 |
Front-runner |
99 |
97 |
100.2 |
96.0 |
65.0 |
5 |
DORNOCH |
5 |
40/1 |
Front-runner |
100 |
101 |
98.8 |
96.6 |
79.1 |
16 |
JUST A TOUCH |
16 |
15/1 |
Front-runner |
98 |
100 |
97.5 |
96.1 |
79.1 |
15 |
INFORMED PATRIOT |
15 |
20/1 |
Front-runner |
98 |
96 |
93.6 |
89.0 |
56.5 |
18 |
LE DOM BRO |
18 |
60/1 |
Front-runner |
95 |
93 |
93.2 |
71.1 |
15.1 |
21 |
PATRIOT SPIRIT |
21 |
50/1 |
Front-runner |
95 |
94 |
92.5 |
77.6 |
27.6 |
8 |
EPIC RIDE |
8 |
50/1 |
Front-runner |
98 |
99 |
91.8 |
94.5 |
65.0 |
13 |
IMAGINATION |
13 |
12/1 |
Front-runner |
99 |
101 |
90.8 |
96.2 |
68.2 |
9 |
FIERCENESS |
9 |
9/2 |
Front-runner |
98 |
100 |
86.2 |
94.6 |
86.1 |
19 |
MUTH |
19 |
3/1 |
Stalker |
103 |
105 |
96.7 |
102.0 |
98.5 |
1 |
CATALYTIC |
1 |
60/1 |
Stalker |
92 |
88 |
92.9 |
85.3 |
46.3 |
17 |
JUST STEEL |
17 |
40/1 |
Stalker |
103 |
105 |
91.4 |
92.8 |
71.3 |
22 |
RESILIENCE |
22 |
30/1 |
Stalker |
91 |
97 |
90.2 |
90.0 |
55.5 |
3 |
COPPER TAX |
3 |
20/1 |
Stalker |
100 |
101 |
89.8 |
88.2 |
43.2 |
20 |
MYSTIK DAN |
20 |
40/1 |
Stalker |
103 |
108 |
88.8 |
93.3 |
75.3 |
26 |
STRONGHOLD |
26 |
30/1 |
Stalker |
96 |
96 |
88.1 |
89.3 |
55.3 |
31 |
WEST SARATOGA |
31 |
50/1 |
Stalker |
100 |
89 |
82.8 |
85.8 |
33.8 |
6 |
ENCINO |
6 |
30/1 |
Stalker |
97 |
104 |
81.2 |
93.8 |
73.3 |
4 |
DOMESTIC PRODUCT |
4 |
50/1 |
Stalker |
96 |
87 |
59.7 |
83.2 |
44.7 |
11 |
GRAND MO THE FIRST |
11 |
50/1 |
Stalker |
97 |
84 |
49.0 |
80.7 |
31.7 |
7 |
ENDLESSLY |
7 |
50/1 |
Trailer |
98 |
100 |
91.3 |
96.1 |
79.1 |
2 |
CATCHING FREEDOM |
2 |
15/1 |
Trailer |
99 |
97 |
86.0 |
92.8 |
67.3 |
12 |
HONOR MARIE |
12 |
40/1 |
Trailer |
97 |
98 |
84.7 |
92.2 |
66.2 |
30 |
UNCLE HEAVY |
30 |
50/1 |
Trailer |
90 |
91 |
84.4 |
87.0 |
37.5 |
14 |
IMPERIAL GUN |
14 |
30/1 |
Trailer |
97 |
96 |
82.8 |
88.6 |
49.6 |
29 |
TUSCAN GOLD |
29 |
30/1 |
Trailer |
95 |
90 |
82.8 |
85.0 |
44.5 |
25 |
SOCIETY MAN |
25 |
50/1 |
Trailer |
92 |
96 |
80.4 |
84.9 |
31.9 |
24 |
SIERRA LEONE |
24 |
6/1 |
Trailer |
99 |
103 |
78.5 |
97.0 |
88.0 |
23 |
SEIZE THE GREY |
23 |
50/1 |
Alternator/Non-contender |
95 |
92 |
90.8 |
85.4 |
32.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE
Charles Town - Race #3 - Post: 8:02pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,300 Class Rating: 70
Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg
#1 LEG UP (ML=6/1)
#7 GREAT KOSTAS (ML=12/1)
#3 MY SLICK NICK (ML=20/1)
LEG UP - Taking a trip down the class scale; has the ability to make his presence felt. This speedball should get a rail trip on this bullring coming out of the number 1 position. He could win in wire to wire fashion. GREAT KOSTAS - Cruz rode this racer for the initial time last out and comes right back this time around. Cruz and Machado have had fantastic success together over the last twelve months. MY SLICK NICK - After a pair of sprints, he's routing today, which is probably what this gelding wants to do. Dropped in class last time out, and keeps in that lower level in today's race. A good sign this animal is comfortable and ready to go.
Vulnerable Contenders: #9 SIMPLY JACK (ML=6/5), #6 ROAD SLEW (ML=7/2), #4 MEETMARYSMAN (ML=5/1),
SIMPLY JACK - The morning-line choice is vulnerable here with the lack of drills. ROAD SLEW - This racer just hasn't looked sharp recently. Notched a run-of-the-mill speed fig last race out in an Allowance race on April 4th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that fig. MEETMARYSMAN - Not much value on this thoroughbred at the probable odds of 5/1.
| STRAIGHT WAGERS: |
#1 LEG UP is the play if we get odds of 2/1 or better |
| EXACTA WAGERS: |
1 with [3,7] |
TRIFECTA WAGERS: |
Box [1,3,7] Total Cost: $6 |
| SUPERFECTA WAGERS: |
Pass |
-
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sun Ray ParkPURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 11 - Allowance - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $29120 Class Rating: 85
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.
| RECOMMENDED CHOICES |
| |
# 5 BIG DADDY ENERGY 5/1
|
# 10 ROUGH DADDY 6/1
|
# 1 BIG DADDY FARR 9/2
|
I've got to go with BIG DADDY ENERGY. With Ramos getting the mount, watch out for this animal. Has ran solidly in short races. ROUGH DADDY - Iturralde has a win percentage of 17 over the last month. Will probably compete soundly in the early pace clash which bodes well with this group of horses in this race.
-
Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE
Gulfstream Park - Race #5 - Post: 3:15pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $41,000 Class Rating: 97
Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg
#8 OCALA DREAM (ML=10/1)
#1 MEGAYACHT (ML=12/1)
#6 LORD OF WAR (ML=6/1)
#3 MASTEROFTHESENATE (ML=5/2)
OCALA DREAM - This trainer brings horses to the grass fit and ready to go, winning over 20 pct of the time under similar conditions. MEGAYACHT - I'm counting on this beautiful animal to run a strong race this time around. LORD OF WAR - I wouldn't worry too much about the vacation; this gelding is ready to run today. This speedball should profit from this contest's shorter distance. Moves back to a distance at which he ran a speed rating good enough to make him a contender today. Comparing how the horses in this field have fared under similar conditions, I see this one has the highest speed fig for the distance and surface. MASTEROFTHESENATE - Have to watch for this animal on the grass. Last race at Gulfstream Park, scored a big turf number. Have to think he can do it again right here. TrackMaster keeps good stats on this type of information. This gelding always seems to compete well after a layoff. This gelding's last speed fig is strong enough to win here, I'll play him right back this time around. Had a powerful closing move last time around the track, running the last quarter in less than 25 seconds. A similar race today, and it's straight to the winner's circle.
Vulnerable Contenders: #9 KURAMATA (IRE) (ML=2/1), #7 ROCK THE STARS (ML=8/1),
KURAMATA (IRE) - The speed figures continue to drop, 100/97/90. Not a good sign. ROCK THE STARS - Didn't hit the board on March 7th at Gulfstream Park. Followed it up with another less than stellar effort.
| STRAIGHT WAGERS: |
Bet on #8 OCALA DREAM to win if you can get at least 9/2 odds |
| EXACTA WAGERS: |
Box [1,6,8] |
TRIFECTA WAGERS: |
Skip |
| SUPERFECTA WAGERS: |
Pass |
-
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belterra ParkPURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9700 Class Rating: 82
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 26, 2023. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 OHIO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $6,500.
| RECOMMENDED CHOICES |
| |
# 2 TAKAFUMI (BRZ) 7/2
|
# 7 JARETH 5/2
|
# 4 FIRERY TALE 6/1
|
I think TAKAFUMI (BRZ) is a solid choice. Earned a quite good speed figure last time out. Overall the speed figs of this pony look formidable in this race. Very strong selection to take this race going in a dirt sprint. JARETH - Shows signs of the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 81 speed figure which is one of the strongest in this field. Had one of the most competitive speed figures of this field in his last outing.
