-
Thursday 2/29/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
-
Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks
Fair Grounds - Race #7
Picks |
Notes |
#4 By the Sword |
Get a look at him ahead of time on the track and tote, but he's really not meeting a great field in this first start, so he might be a good fit with realistic expectations. |
#9 Gotta Keep Him |
Wouldn't be any surprise to see him land this while trying claimers for the first time, and her last one really wasn't all bad when only two lengths off the winner at the post. |
#3 Dream Cruise |
Nothing much in the debut run with special weight company, but this easier spot gives him some extra upside while making his second career start. |
Race Summary |
By the Sword goes first time out in a soft spot for the local level, and it wouldn't be a shock to see him land this right out of the box. Gotta Keep Him is the clear one to beat. |
Fair Grounds - Race #8
Picks |
Notes |
#6 Cash Fever |
His ability to rate just a touch should serve him well today in a spot with a few capable speed types, and he really hasn't done much wrong through three starts. In the mix again. |
#5 Champlin |
He's got a high ceiling if the debut run was any indication, but he might have a bit more engagement on the engine today than he did at first asking. Capable and talented. |
#8 Camp Daddy |
He would benefit if all the potential pace hooked up early on, as he owns pretty reliable finishing form that could put him on the scene late. |
Race Summary |
Cash Fever and Champlin look like the right ones in here, but I'm hoping 'Fever offers a mildly playable price if Champlin takes cash off the sharp debut score. |
Fair Grounds - Race #9
Picks |
Notes |
#1 Dona Witch |
She's probably supposed to have some upside while moving around two turns on the grass off the track-and-fade sprint debut at Turfway. Improvement expected. |
#2 Liffey |
Bit of a tough call depending on the price on the board, as he has been honest so far but tends to come alive too late. Another piece more likely today? |
#6 Chasing Summer |
She made her first start at Delta and presumably has some room to improve while moving to the turf second time out for a tough team. Player. |
Race Summary |
Dona Witch can come forward while getting a turf route for the first time, and she might have enough speed to find a good spot from the inside while stretching out. |
-
Frank Carulli's Daily Picks
Gulfstream Park - Race #1
Picks |
Notes |
#5 ISAYSO (4-1) |
Could take some catching on class drop at inviting morning-line price. |
#1 SMART JENNY (8-1) |
Raced 4- to 6-wide when third to the favorite two back for $25k. |
#7 GHOZ ON (7-2) |
No threat against better in debut, gets in light-weighted. |
Race Summary |
ISAYSO has the best all-weather track sprint form and can make maximum use of her speed on the class drop. Zayas rides the recent four-time runner-up for the first time today. Bet to win and place and play a 5/1,7/ALL trifecta. |
Gulfstream Park - Race #2
Picks |
Notes |
#2 GUAIO (4-1) |
Gelded since runner-up debut finish six month ago, gets Gaffalione. |
#3 CANAVERO (8-1) |
Rough trip in rapid-paced second start at this level, enters new barn. |
#5 CURLINS CRUZIN (2-1) |
Wore blinkers, earned top speed figure in defeat in MSW sprint at Tampa. |
Race Summary |
GUAIO showed promise in his September debut, rallying for second behind Hermoso Hombre, who ran second in a $35,000 optional claiming race and third in a four-horse stakes race after that. He lures Gaffalione and wears blinkers as a first-time gelding in his 3-year-old debut. Bet to win and place. |
Gulfstream Park - Race #5
Picks |
Notes |
#2 SANPIRODU (6-1) |
Won in first route attempt, figures in the mix at this level in third start of cycle. |
#3 ICE THE KICKER (5-2) |
Repelled challenges on both sides, ran second to trip-sitting fave at distance. |
#4 DESIGNATED HITTER (3-1) |
Got focused with blinkers, drew off to win in 11-horse field. |
Race Summary |
SANPIRODU overcame a slow pace to break his maiden for $35k, then was no factor against better in two follow-up tries with Lasix. Encouraged by the 1:01 breeze over the track last Friday and Castellano’s return to ride. Bet to win and place. |
-
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Equibase Special
PURCHASE
Equibase Special - Race 1 |
Win Wagering Only |
Stakes • 1 3/16 Miles • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 104 • Purse: $1,500,000 • Post: 12:00 |
PREAKNESS FUTURE WAGER POOL 1 FIELD AND MORNING LINE PRESENTED BY HORSE RACING N - GRADE 1 FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. COLTS AND GELDINGS 126LBS. FILLIES 121LBS. TO PLACE A FUTURE WAGER IN POOL 1 ON THE 2024 PREAKNESS STAKES, PLEASE ASK FOR RACE 1. IF YOU WISH TO WAGER ON THE FIELD WHICH REPRESENTS ALL OTHER THREE-YEAR-OLD THOROUGHBREDS, ASK FOR NUMBER 40. NO REFUNDS WILL BE ISSUED IN ANY OF THE WAGERING POOLS FOR THE PREAKNESS STAKES FUTURE WAGER. ALL WAGERS ARE FINAL ONCE THE PATRON HAS LEFT THE WINDOW. THIS POOL WILL RUN THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 29TH - SATURDAY, MARCH 2ND. POOL 1 OPENS AT NOON THURSDAY,FEBRUARY 29TH AND CLOSES AT 8:00PMET ON SATURDAY, MARCH 2ND. THIS IS A WIN ONLY WAGER. |
Contenders |
Race Analysis |
P# |
Horse |
Morn
Line |
Accept
Odds |
|
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * NYSOS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at le ast 50. TRACK PHANTOM: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. MUTH: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. ENDLESSLY: Horse's w in percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. DORNOCH: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. |
29 |
NYSOS |
4/1 |
3/1 |
37 |
TRACK PHANTOM |
40/1 |
8/1 |
25 |
MUTH |
20/1 |
10/1 |
12 |
ENDLESSLY |
60/1 |
10/1 |
10 |
DORNOCH |
15/1 |
10/1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
P# |
Horse (In Running Style Order) |
Post |
Morn
Line |
Running Style |
Good
Class |
Good
Speed |
Early Figure |
Finish Figure |
Platinum
Figure |
37 |
TRACK PHANTOM |
37 |
40/1 |
Front-runner |
100 |
96 |
98.2 |
95.6 |
66.1 |
34 |
SPEEDYNESS |
34 |
50/1 |
Front-runner |
90 |
95 |
96.4 |
92.5 |
26.0 |
10 |
DORNOCH |
10 |
15/1 |
Front-runner |
97 |
99 |
95.5 |
91.8 |
65.8 |
20 |
JUST A TOUCH |
20 |
30/1 |
Front-runner |
83 |
100 |
94.8 |
94.8 |
52.8 |
27 |
NASH |
27 |
50/1 |
Front-runner |
98 |
92 |
90.1 |
93.8 |
74.3 |
33 |
SPEAK EASY |
33 |
50/1 |
Front-runner |
89 |
92 |
87.2 |
87.2 |
45.7 |
39 |
VICTORY AVENUE |
39 |
50/1 |
Front-runner |
89 |
89 |
84.4 |
84.4 |
39.4 |
11 |
DRIP |
11 |
60/1 |
Front-runner |
83 |
86 |
81.5 |
81.5 |
20.0 |
5 |
CHANGE OF COMMAND |
5 |
60/1 |
Front-runner |
84 |
82 |
77.2 |
75.3 |
8.8 |
13 |
EPIC RIDE |
13 |
60/1 |
Front-runner |
92 |
97 |
75.8 |
89.1 |
37.6 |
24 |
MAYMUN |
24 |
10/1 |
Front-runner |
93 |
102 |
61.6 |
95.7 |
66.2 |
3 |
BORN NOBLE |
3 |
50/1 |
Front-runner |
85 |
80 |
54.0 |
75.8 |
13.8 |
19 |
INVEIGLED |
19 |
50/1 |
Front-runner |
92 |
72 |
53.3 |
74.3 |
11.3 |
14 |
FIERCENESS |
14 |
25/1 |
Front-runner |
102 |
100 |
50.0 |
88.6 |
78.1 |
17 |
HALL OF FAME |
17 |
50/1 |
Stalker |
88 |
88 |
102.3 |
87.5 |
44.0 |
21 |
KNIGHTSBRIDGE |
21 |
30/1 |
Stalker |
85 |
104 |
98.6 |
98.6 |
75.1 |
29 |
NYSOS |
29 |
4/1 |
Stalker |
99 |
110 |
92.0 |
109.0 |
100.0 |
25 |
MUTH |
25 |
20/1 |
Stalker |
103 |
98 |
91.8 |
95.6 |
80.1 |
26 |
MYSTIK DAN |
26 |
40/1 |
Stalker |
92 |
105 |
88.3 |
88.3 |
62.8 |
7 |
COMMON DEFENSE |
7 |
60/1 |
Stalker |
95 |
92 |
84.7 |
86.9 |
56.4 |
38 |
TUSCAN SKY |
38 |
50/1 |
Stalker |
90 |
98 |
84.4 |
93.9 |
62.4 |
35 |
STRONGHOLD |
35 |
50/1 |
Stalker |
96 |
91 |
82.8 |
85.4 |
32.4 |
30 |
RESILIENCE |
30 |
50/1 |
Stalker |
91 |
87 |
77.8 |
83.6 |
25.1 |
2 |
BOOK'EM DANNO |
2 |
50/1 |
Stalker |
96 |
95 |
63.5 |
92.9 |
61.4 |
28 |
NO MORE TIME |
28 |
50/1 |
Stalker |
88 |
91 |
60.7 |
81.1 |
23.6 |
36 |
TIMBERLAKE |
36 |
20/1 |
Stalker |
100 |
106 |
57.8 |
100.3 |
73.8 |
9 |
DOMESTIC PRODUCT |
9 |
40/1 |
Stalker |
90 |
90 |
52.9 |
82.8 |
36.3 |
16 |
HADES |
16 |
50/1 |
Stalker |
90 |
96 |
52.1 |
90.1 |
35.6 |
12 |
ENDLESSLY |
12 |
60/1 |
Trailer |
94 |
99 |
104.3 |
95.7 |
84.2 |
6 |
COACH PRIME |
6 |
15/1 |
Trailer |
92 |
93 |
95.1 |
89.4 |
43.9 |
22 |
LIBERAL ARTS |
22 |
50/1 |
Trailer |
96 |
94 |
83.1 |
87.7 |
36.2 |
4 |
CATCHING FREEDOM |
4 |
50/1 |
Trailer |
99 |
97 |
82.4 |
90.3 |
57.3 |
18 |
HONOR MARIE |
18 |
30/1 |
Trailer |
92 |
95 |
78.3 |
89.9 |
57.9 |
23 |
LOCKED |
23 |
20/1 |
Trailer |
104 |
99 |
78.2 |
99.6 |
85.1 |
31 |
SIERRA LEONE |
31 |
15/1 |
Trailer |
100 |
99 |
73.3 |
92.8 |
71.3 |
32 |
SNEAD |
32 |
50/1 |
Trailer |
92 |
96 |
69.4 |
87.7 |
31.7 |
1 |
AGATE ROAD |
1 |
50/1 |
Trailer |
93 |
83 |
50.9 |
75.9 |
24.4 |
8 |
CONQUEST WARRIOR |
8 |
40/1 |
Trailer |
89 |
80 |
42.7 |
71.1 |
9.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unknown Running Style: FOREVER YOUNG (JPN) (40/1) [Jockey: Unknown Jockey - Trainer: Yahagi Yoshito], ALL OTHER THREE YEAR OLD (6/1) [Jockey: Unknown Jockey - Trainer: Unknown Trainer].
-
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for AqueductPURCHASE
Aqueduct - Race 8 |
Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10) |
Allowance • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $72,000 • Post: 4:57P |
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER IN 2023 - 2024 ALLOWED 3 LBS. |
Contenders |
Race Analysis |
P# |
Horse |
Morn
Line |
Accept
Odds |
|
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * THANK YOU JON: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest ave rage Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SAFALOW'S MISSION: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LIGHT MAN: Horse has the highest Tra ckMaster Power Rating. DR. KRAFT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. |
8 |
THANK YOU JON |
6/1 |
9/2 |
2 |
SAFALOW'S MISSION |
4/1 |
5/1 |
7 |
LIGHT MAN |
3/1 |
8/1 |
9 |
DR. KRAFT |
4/1 |
9/1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
P# |
Horse (In Running Style Order) |
Post |
Morn
Line |
Running Style |
Good
Class |
Good
Speed |
Early Figure |
Finish Figure |
Platinum
Figure |
7 |
LIGHT MAN |
7 |
3/1 |
Front-runner |
86 |
85 |
80.6 |
80.6 |
73.1 |
3 |
MESSI THE MAGICIAN |
3 |
15/1 |
Front-runner |
78 |
78 |
69.8 |
69.8 |
52.3 |
8 |
THANK YOU JON |
8 |
6/1 |
Alternator/Front-runner |
88 |
86 |
101.4 |
86.0 |
78.0 |
2 |
SAFALOW'S MISSION |
2 |
4/1 |
Stalker |
92 |
86 |
75.8 |
89.6 |
84.6 |
1 |
PROVISION |
1 |
20/1 |
Alternator/Stalker |
86 |
76 |
66.2 |
71.8 |
58.8 |
4 |
DOC ADVANTAGE |
4 |
12/1 |
Alternator/Stalker |
87 |
79 |
46.2 |
73.2 |
62.2 |
5 |
CLEVER FOREVER |
5 |
7/2 |
Trailer |
82 |
79 |
83.1 |
76.0 |
67.5 |
6 |
NOBLE HUNTSMAN |
6 |
15/1 |
Trailer |
92 |
79 |
75.8 |
73.5 |
63.0 |
9 |
DR. KRAFT |
9 |
4/1 |
Trailer |
93 |
87 |
55.8 |
75.7 |
68.2 |
-
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles TownPURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $16600 Class Rating: 79
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF THREE RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $8,000 1 LB. W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
RECOMMENDED CHOICES |
|
# 3 CASTLE REVIEW 12/1
|
# 1 SUMMERTIME ROSE 5/2
|
# 2 PLANET FROLIC 9/5
|
CASTLE REVIEW has a quite good shot to take this race and could score at a price in here. Has been racing strongly and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. She has been moving strongly recently while recording very strong speed figs. Entries trained by Shuler in dirt sprint races are normally solid. SUMMERTIME ROSE - She has been racing solidly recently while recording solid Equibase Speed Figs. Trainer boasts very strong win figures at this distance and surface. PLANET FROLIC - Win percentage one of the strongest in this field. Must be used in the exotic wagers.
-
Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE
Turf Paradise - Race #5 - Post: 2:35pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 76
Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg
#3 PARS AND BIRDIES (ML=9/2)
#2 SEA BREEZE BOY (ML=7/2)
PARS AND BIRDIES - Rider hops right back atop after getting to know the race horse by riding last race out. That's always a great angle. The fact that this gelding is entered right back into a race so quickly means he's fit and ready. The February 19th event at Turf Paradise was at a class level of (85). Dropping to a lower class level drastically, so he should be in a good position to win. He'll be laying in the catbird's seat, right behind the leaders. SEA BREEZE BOY - After the race aboard this animal on Feb 5th, the jock is going to be in touch with the gelding much better.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 CHIEFS BLANKET (ML=1/1),
CHIEFS BLANKET - Just don't think he is worth the risk at the probable odds.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: |
Putting our cash on #3 PARS AND BIRDIES to win. Have to have odds of at least 9/5 or better though |
EXACTA WAGERS: |
Box [2,3] |
TRIFECTA WAGERS: |
Pass |
SUPERFECTA WAGERS: |
None |
-
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sunland ParkPURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15500 Class Rating: 83
FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2023 - 2024 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES |
|
# 5 POOF HE'S GONE 3/1
|
# 4 HOLD ME ONLY 6/1
|
# 3 CERVEZA 4/1
|
POOF HE'S GONE is the most respectable bet in this race. Is a solid contender based on figures posted lately under today's conditions. Will almost certainly come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved speedily to the lead recently. Could beat this group of animals given the 66 speed fig recorded in his last outing. HOLD ME ONLY - His 67 average has this gelding with among the best Equibase Speed Figs in this event. CERVEZA - Is tough not to examine based on speed figures which have been quite good - 71 avg - of late. Could wake up with Lasix change (with second time Lasix) today.
-
Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE
Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #8 - Post: 4:02pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $31,800 Class Rating: 55
Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg
#3 GHOST OF LONDYN (ML=6/1)
#2 DRILIN' FOR GEMS (ML=10/1)
GHOST OF LONDYN - Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end. DRILIN' FOR GEMS - With no past performances, one of the variables I look at are trainer stats, and Radosevich has a +103 percent ROI clip with first-time-starters. I like this first time starter mainly because his workouts for this have been here at Mahoning Valley Race Course. Radosevich is giving this one Lasix for the first time. Nice move.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 C V DYNAMIC (ML=5/2), #1 SWAYBACK MOBIL (ML=4/1), #4 CINSAULT (ML=9/2),
C V DYNAMIC - This gelding probably won't be really close at the wire. SWAYBACK MOBIL - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent success in sprint events in order to back him. 4/1 odds isn't enough for this one when looking at the most recent outings. No speed in this event to help this come from behinder's dreams at winning. CINSAULT - No success for this vulnerable equine in a short distance contest over the last two months tells me that this colt is in a formidable spot
STRAIGHT WAGERS: |
Bet on #3 GHOST OF LONDYN to win if you can get at least 8/5 odds |
EXACTA WAGERS: |
Box [2,3] |
TRIFECTA WAGERS: |
Pass |
SUPERFECTA WAGERS: |
Pass |