Originally Posted by
MMA_scientist
Luke the issue I am having is a lot like yours lately. I still feel I correctly handicap most of the fights. So I think I am actually pretty good at "seeing" fights and handicapping, but lately, I am just making the wrong bets. Then afterward, I usually see where I made a mistake, but it is always something I failed to consider. I am starting to think that the variables are too great, that there are just too many variables to pin down a fight with any accuracy. I suppose the way around that is to never pay a price to bet, ie no favorites. But that is a long slow arduous trek.