Horse racing

Weekend of November 17-19
Bet On Sunshine Stakes
Looking for a lock in your early Pick 4 or Pick 5? I think you’re good to put your faith in Limousine Liberal, who loves Churchill (4-for-6) and remains in top form, as evidenced by a close-up 3rd last out in the Grade 2 Phoenix at Keeneland. He won the Grade 2 Churchill Downs Stakes here on Derby Day this year and also scored in the Grade 3 Aristides and ungraded Kelly’s Landing at Churchill. He’s got a perfect outside post and should take them right to the winner’s circle. The price isn't sexy, but a 'W' is a 'W,' right? Maybe we can get a price beneath him in the Exacta or Trifecta.

1 – #8 Limousine Liberal (4/5)
2 – #6 Warrior’s Club (12/1)
3 – #2 The Truth or Else (5/1)

Artie Schiller Stakes
I’ve believed for months that Delta Prince, a half-brother to Royal Delta, Crown Queen and Khozan, is one of racing’s next breakout stars. He’s blown through his first two allowance conditions, but is 0-for-2 in stakes races. That can all change Saturday, as he meets a modest field in the $150K Artie Schiller, where the only logical threat is the veteran, Blacktype. If Delta Prince can beat that one, he should have this field right where he wants it.

1 – #9 Delta Prince (5/2)
2 – #5 Blacktype (Fr) (3/1)
3 – #2 Fire Away (8/1)

Cardinal Handicap
Reports out of Churchill Downs are that the talented Dona Bruja will only run here if the course is to her liking, so keep that in mind if the course comes up wet. Toss her last race – she was stuck way too far behind a ridiculously slow pace – and she is far and away the class of this field. At this time last year, I thought Linda was going to become a runner, but she has been awfully disappointing thus far, compiling an 0-for-6 campaign with two losses at odds-on. Beauly finished just a 1 ¼-lengths behind War Flag, Dacita and Grand Jete (all of whom went on to the Breeders’ Cup) in the Grade 1 Flower Bowl and is the right one to use to fill out your Exacta. Even though Dona Bruja is the chalk, I think you've got value beneath her, especially since Linda appears to be as vulnerable as they come.

1 – #12 Dona Bruja (Arg) (8/5)
2 – #7 Beauly (GB) (5/1)
3 – #11 Res Ipsa (8/1)

Desi Arnaz Stakes
The dichotomy in wagering for the Desi Arnaz Stakes may be interesting, as Bob Baffert’s Dream Tree and Bill Spawr’s Midnight Bisou figure to be viewed remarkably similarly by the betting public despite having nearly an identical resume. The two were separated by just a nose in their respective debuts on October 27 at Santa Anita, with Dream Tree (4/5 odds that day) barely holding off Midnight Bisou’s late surge at 21/1 odds. Dream Tree was a $750,000 auction purchase, goes out for one of the most respected barns in racing and is a son of hot young stallion, Uncle Mo. On the other hand, Bill Spawr lacks Baffert’s recognition and only cost $80,000 at auction (still a healthy sum), but was obviously dismissed on debut. For my wagers, I’ll use both in multi-race bets and give the slight odd to Midnight Bisou in my picks as he’ll be the better price.

1 – #3 Midnight Bisou (3/1)
2 – #6 Dream Tree (2/1)
3 – #2 Ms Bad Behavior (5/2)

::handshake::

Track phantom Saturday nov 18
Race 3 delmar
2,4,6,3

r4- 3,5,8,7

r5- 3,1,6,8

Track phantom delmar

r6- 8,3,9,6
r7- 2,4,5,7
r8- 1,5,6,8
r9- 1,7,5,2
r10- 8,4,6,1

Sunday nov. 19 delmar
track phantom
r1- 1,5,4,8
r2- 1,6,4,3
r3- 7,2,3,4
r4- 1,2,9,5
r5- 2,4,5,7
r6- 4,7,6,3
r7- 6,10,5,3
r8- 8,7,9,2
r9- 3,7,8,11

Best Bet: #3 r9
Longshot: #8 r8
likely: #1 r1

Happy thanksgiving

Track phantom
Delmar
R1- 9,6,3,1
r2- 7,2,5,6
r3- 2,5,7,6
r4- 4,6,3,7
r5- 6,8,1,3
r6- 6,7,1,3
r7- 3,9,1,7
r8- 9,3,4,5

best bet: #9 r8
longshot: #6 r6
Likely: #3 r7

Jarrod Horak delmar and bonus tracks

DMR Weather: Partly Cloudy. High 81. DMR Best Bets (Races 1, 7)
DMR Pick 5, Pick 6, and Late Pick 4 Spread Tickets included in .pdf file


DMR 1 (OC-40/1x, 11T) #2 YOU’RE A GOAT (5-2) added blinkers, found plenty of trouble, and rallied for 3rd in a $32k claiming affair at one mile on turf Oct 26 (117 Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating). I like the rider switch to Prat and she handles longer distances. #6 Bombilate (3-1) stalked, pounced, and hit the board in back-to-back turf starts vs. similar including a 2nd at 10f Oct 27 (126 Final). Stevens strings along. #9 Causeforcommotion (10-1) is usually in the mix and won for the first time vs. today’s rival #1 Scandal (6-1) Oct 20 (110 Final). The latter keeps taking win action and racking up minor awards (125 Final Nov 15). The 0-for-15 maiden with twelve 2nds and 3rds takes on winners and might be good for another share. THE PLAYS: #2 to win, Quinella 2-6, Trifecta 2-6/1-2-6-9/1-2-6-9, $1 Place Pick All 2/2-3/5-8/6/4-8/3-7/3/9 ($16), 50 cent Pick Five 2-6/2-3-5-7/4-5-8/6-7/4-8 ($48)


DMR 2 (Clm-50k, 6.5f) #2 LINE DRIVE (7-2) is tagged for the first time and Prat hops aboard for O’Neill. She got a 92 Final in her bow and owns the best Pace Ratings. #3 Condi (2-1) is tagged for the first time and fits off her dueling 3rd in her local debut July 30 (114 Final). #5 Krissys Manicure (5-2) ran her best race in a place finish on the drop to $75k Oct 8 (102 Final). Bejarano stays aboard the Baltas trainee. #7 Sauce On Side (3-1) drops, turns back, and switches to Kent D. She added blinkers and finished 3rd in a local flat mile affair Sept 2 (90 Final). THE PLAYS: #2 to win, Quinella 2/3-5-7


DMR 3 (OC-62.5k, 8T) #5 TROUBLEWITHATEE (6-1) had his 2-race win streak snapped in the G2 Twilight Derby Oct 28 (137 Final). He beat today’s rival Kencumin by a head Sept 30 and Kent D hops aboard the stalking threat. #4 Kencumin (4-1) beat next out winner A. P. Ritzy by a nose Oct 22 (134 Final) and has found his groove in the US for Eurton. #8 A Red Tie Day (3-1) ran a winning race from the outside post in the Nov 2 Lure (135 Final) but could not quite overcome his wide trip that day. #1 Holiday Stone (6-1) removes blinkers, switches to Prat, and projects a ground saving tactical trip. He earned competitive turf numbers without the hood in NY earlier this year. #2 Caribu Club (7-2) turned back and scored down the hill Oct 29. He finished 3rd in back-to-back flat mile turf events over the summer including the Oceanside July 19 (129 Final). THE PLAYS: #5 to win, Quinella 5/1-4-8, Trifecta 4-5-8/1-2-4-5-8/1-2-4-5-8, $2 Pick Six 4-5-8/6/4-8/3-7/3/3-9 ($48)


DMR 4 (Mcl-50k, CA-bred, 6f) #6 CATFISH HUNTER (5-2) scratched out of a flat mile turf affair on Sunday in favor of this dirt sprint. He owns the best overall numbers. #7 Sea’s Journey (4-1) finished 3rd in her SA bow and the runner-up was a next out winner. He dueled/weakened in an off the turf event at one mile Feb 18 and has not been seen since. Puype (0-for-10 at DMR) excels with +180 day layoff runners. #3 Thankful Every Day (5-1) adds blinkers for Truman (+ROI w/+180 day layoff runners) and gets in light with Roman. #4 Quick Finish (3-1) took action but was nowhere in April 1 bow and returns as a gelding for Blacker (0-for-12 w/+180 day layoff runners). He fired a gate bullet for this Nov 2 and might improve. THE PLAYS: #6 to win, Quinella 6/3-4-7, Trifecta Key 6/3-4-7


DMR 5 (MSW, 8f) #4 SHIVERMETIMBERS (7-2) was a prominent throughout 3rd and ended up less than a length behind today’s favorite He’s Stylish as the chalk last time. #8 He’s Stylish (5-2) dueled and held 2nd behind highly regarded Baffert runner Kinzie in his aforementioned extended sprint debut at SA Oct 28. The two favorites might dominate this one. #6 Peace (3-1) was up for 2nd in his dirt sprint bow and the show finisher was a next out winner. Mandella shows a +ROI sprint/route. #9 Point Guard (12-1) is a first time gelding for Baltas (+ROI blinkers off) and he showed decent late interest in his bow before taking action and flopping second time out. Tab for improvement. THE PLAYS: #4 to win, Quinella 4/6-8-9, Trifecta 4-8/4-6-8-9/4-6-8-9, 50 cent Late Pick Four 4-6-8-9/3-5-7-10-14/3/3-5-6-9 ($40). 50 cent Late Pick Four 4-8/3-7/3-9/3-9 ($8)


DMR 6 (G3 Red Carpet Handicap, 11T) #3 EVO CAMPO (4-1) won a pair of graded marathons at SA this year (147, 143 Finals) and reconnects with winning rider Bejarano. #7 Responsibleforlove (7-2) is fresh, sharp, and versatile. She won a stakes race at this course/distance Aug 16 (137 Final) and exits a rallying 3rd in the G1 Rodeo Drive. #10 Earring (6-1) has run fast enough in the past (138, 141 Finals) to compete here but not in her last three. I like the Van Dyke/Proctor combo at DMR (5-for-15). #14 Lottie (9-2) is a long distance specialist for Motion and Prat takes the call. The late runner exits an okay 3rd in the G3 Dowager (137 Final) and might move up 2nd off the shelf. #5 La Manta Gris (15-1) handles longer events and Arnold shows a +ROI dirt/turf. She won a turf race at this distance at SAR Aug 2 (122 Final) and Kent D hops aboard. THE PLAYS: #3 to win, Quinella 3/7-10-14, Trifecta 3-7-10/3-5-7-10-14/3-5-7-10-14


DMR 7 (OC-50k/Str-Alw-50k, 6f) #3 NEIGHBORHOOD BULLY (7-2) hit the board in both SA starts at this level and romped in his local maiden breaker Sept 3 (122 Final). #9 Warrior’s Lullaby (5-2) finished 3.5 lengths in front of my top at SA Oct 29 (122 Final) but the venue change and added distance should level the playing field. #5 Royal Trump (5-1) has improved since Cerin claimed him Sept 3 and he looked good going all the way in his local maiden win Nov 2 (110 Final). #1 Psycho Dar (5-1) adds blinkers, turns back, and looms an inside pace factor at the very least under Roman. #8 Royal Bar (5-1) held on to graduate by a neck Oct 26 (113 Final) and Sadler claimed him for $50k. THE PLAYS: #3 to win, Quinella 3-9, Trifecta Key 3/1-5-8-9


DMR 8 (MSW, 8T) #3 CHALKY (4-1) ran well in all three turf starts in GB and D’Amato trains her now. #9 Achira (7-2) rallied for the show in her turf route bow (122 Final) and Stevens hops aboard for Shirreffs (0-for-11 w/second timers). #5 Prieta (8-1) has only raced twice and she is bred for two turns. Mandella’s $275k purchase exits a 5th of 11 from the outside post in her needed downhill return and Prat stays put. #6 Halo Ahead (9-2) added blinkers and rallied smartly for the place Oct 14 and the CA-bred filly is not out of this. Bejarano is 5-for-17 w/Machowsky. THE PLAYS: #3 to win, Quinella 3/5-6-9, Trifecta 3-9/ALL/5-6


Rolling Daily Double & Pick 3 Contenders – in order of preference:
1 (2-6-9-1)
2 (2-3-5-7)
3 (5-4-8-1-2)
4 (6-7-3-4)
5 (4-8-6-9)
6 (3-7-10-14-5)
7 (3-9-5-1-8)
8 (3-9-5-6)


ROLLING DAILY DOUBLE/PICK 3 WAGERING STRATEGIES
For $2 Rolling Doubles and $1 Pick 3 tickets, key the top choice in each race to all other contenders. See examples below:


$2 Double (Race 1-2):
Ticket 1 (2-2)
Ticket 2 (2/2-3-5-7)
Ticket 3 (1-2-6-9/2)


$2 Double (Races 2-3):
Ticket 2 (2-5)
Ticket 1 (2/1-2-4-5-8)
Ticket 3 (2-3-5-7/5)


$1 Pick 3 (Race 1-3):
Ticket 1 (2-2-5)
Ticket 2 (2/2-3-5-7/1-2-4-5-8)
Ticket 3 (1-2-6-9/2/1-2-4-5-8)
Ticket 4 (1-2-6-9/2-3-5-7/5)


BONUS STAKES RACES



AQU 8 (Fall Highweight, 6f) #3 STALLWALKIN’ DUDE (2-1) has been a quality sprinter for a long time and continues to race at a high level at age seven. He failed to hold a clear stretch lead in the G3 Bold Ruler Oct 28 but that was a seven panel event. He is 10-for-26 at this distance and the 2-time local winner reconnects with winning rider Bravo. #9 Seymourdini (5-2) showed late interest in a needed effort in the G3 Bold Ruler at 7f and he shortens up a furlong for this (2-0-2-0 at 6f). He is 2-for-2 at AQU but a flat mile around one turn might be a better fit (Cigar Mile on Dec 2). #8 Ready for Rye (10-1) landed the show in this event last year following a 5th in the Belmont Turf Sprint and tries to go one or two spots better after a 2nd in the 2017 Belmont Turf Sprint. He is fresh with only four starts this year and Saez strings along. THE PLAYS: #3 to win, Exacta 3/8-9, Exacta 8-9/3, Trifecta 3-9/ALL/8


CD 10 (G2 Falls City Handicap, 9f) #1 MONEY’SONCHARLOTTE (3-1) sharpened her speed in a place finish in the local G2 Chilukki (one turn mile) and might be able to control the pace from the inside post under Lanerie. #4 Faithfully (1-1) is a solid top three contender for Baffert but should not be even money. The consistent filly has fired Trifecta shots in her last 10 and her only stakes win was a restricted $70k event at SA June 4. She ran well in both local outings and this is her first try beyond 8.5f. #5 Blue Prize (6-1) hit the board in all five starts this year including runner-up efforts in both local outings. She can show tactical speed when the fractions are slow and the fresh filly might be good enough to land a share. THE PLAYS: #1 to win, Exacta 1/4-5, Trifecta Key 1/4-5


CD 11 (G3 River City Handicap, 9T) #6 REVVED UP (9-2) exits a visually impressing course/distance score and earned a triple digit Late Pace Rating in that optional claiming event. He should be tough to beat in this spot if he duplicates his last. #12 War Correspondent (4-1) earned triple digit Late Pace Ratings in 4 of his last 10 starts and won the G3 Miami Mile at GP April 29. When he fires he is usually 1st or 3rd. #5 Shining Copper (3-1) likes to open up early and is capable of going all the way like he did at KEE Oct 15. He is 0-for-3 at CD and 0-for-5 at this distance. #10 Some in Tieme (15-1) disappointed in the G3 Sycamore at KEE last time but looked great in his lone local turf try in the G3 Louisville Handicap May 20. The turf marathon specialist will try to get involved late. THE PLAYS: #6 to win, Exacta 6/5-10-12, Exacta 5-10-12/6, Trifecta 5-6/ALL/10-12


FG 9 (Thanksgiving Handicap, 6f) #2 CHUBLICIOUS (2-1) was a private purchase following his 10-1 upset in the G3 De Francis Dash and the 2-3 finishers were next out stakes winners. Nine of his ten victories occurred at this distance and he owns multiple strong triple digit ratings at this trip. #3 Mesoma (6-1) exits a sharp optional claiming win at CD and has finished in the Top 3 in 9 of 10 starts at this distance. He owns running style versatility and earned an improved number Sept 24. #4 Yockey’s Warrior (8-5) captured 4 of his last 5 including the 2016 running of the Thanksgiving ‘Cap. He owns tactical speed and competitive numbers and could easily defend his title. THE PLAYS: #2 to win, Exacta 2/3-4, Exacta 3-4/2, Trifecta Key 2/3-4

DEL MAR full card + Bonus Stakes from AQU + CD for Friday (11-24-17)
By Jarrod Horak
DMR Weather: Mostly Sunny. High 79. DMR Best Bets (races 3, 8)
DMR Pick 5, Pick 6, and Late Pick 4 Spread Tickets included in .pdf file


DMR 1 (MSW, 8T) #11 FENGARI (9-2) took action but did not fire in his downhill debut (96 Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating). Prat gives him another chance and he is bred to go this far. #5 Falcone (7-2) landed the place in his last two turf routes and Kent D hops aboard for his brother Keith. Dam has produced four turf winners and his Final Ratings are on the rise (110 Final Oct 26). #3 Cosa Nostra (6-1) was on the board multiple times in his overseas turf starts including both outings at this distance. Bejarano is 3-for-9 w/Carava. #6 Midnight Soot (6-1) added blinkers and earned an improved number (110 Final) in a dirt route Oct 29. Dam has produced two turf winners and he might improve again. #8 Rockaway (10-1) broke slow and rallied to finish 4th in a downhill sprint Oct 19. The first time gelding stretches back out and dam has produced four turf winners. THE PLAYS: #11 to win, Quinella 5-11, Trifecta 5-11/3-5-6-8-11/3-5-6-8-11, 50 cent Pick Five 5-11/3-6-8/5/1-4-5/1-2-3-7-9 ($45), $1 Place Pick All 5-11/6-8/5/1/1/2-5/1-4/9 ($16)


DMR 2 (Clm-20k, 6f) #8 YALISHA (4-1) is a Louisiana transplant for Team Desormeaux (Keith D 4-for-13 w/new additions). She switches surfaces, removes blinkers, and owns competitive numbers. #6 Velvet Jones (5-2) switches back to dirt and returns to her claimed level for Miller. Prat shows a +ROI with this barn and she will try to get involved in the lane. #3 Besides the Point (5-1) is back with sophomore fillies after a win and a show finish vs. $12.5k foes (3-and-up company). She has a nose for the wire (4-for-10). #1 Pomp and Party (3-1) and #2 Just Be Held (6-1) also own competitive numbers and look like contenders in a wide open heat. THE PLAYS: #8 to win, Quinella 6-8, Trifecta Key 8/1-2-3-6


DMR 3 (OC-80k/1x, 5T) #5 COUNT ALEXANDER (3-1) had a terrible trip in the Juvenile Turf Sprint at DMR Nov 4. He had run under Nakatani but was stuck inside with nowhere to go and coasted across the line in 11th. He earned 131+ Finals in his first three outings and can rebound with a clean trip. #8 Texas Wedge (5-1) won both dirt sprints (125, 123 Finals) for Miller and Prat hops aboard the sharp surface switcher. #9 Factorofwon (4-1) exits a sharp downhill wire job (122 Final) and the recent graduate figures in the hunt throughout under Baze. #1 Sir Valentine (12-1) switches to the Baltas barn and horses tend to move up under his care. #10 Trusting Friend (12-1) turns back, adds blinkers, and was competitive in all three turf sprints (117 Final Sept 16). THE PLAYS: #5 to win, Quinella 5-8, Trifecta Key 5/1-8-9-10, $2 Pick Six 5/1-5/1-3/2-5/1-4/9 ($32)


DMR 4 (MSW, 8f) #1 MOMMA’S BABY BOY (7-2) earned the best last race number (123 Final) in a rallying show finish off an 8+ month layoff in a local sprint Nov 1. Smith hops aboard for Hollendorfer. #5 Captivate (5-2) hit the board in his last two and added blinkers, stretched out, and finished 2nd Oct 6. Prat strings along and the lack of pace in the paper race elevates his chances. #4 Zipman (3-1) earned a 122 Final Rating in a downhill sprint and Baffert is a much better main track trainer (36% wins in dirt routes). #2 Lighthouse Point (12-1) is a first time gelding stretching out in distance for Kent D and Hess Jr. THE PLAYS: #1 to win, Quinella 1/2-4-5, Trifecta 1-4-5/1-4-5/2


DMR 5 (MSW, 8T) #1 BEER TAP (9-2) made a nice forward move in a local turf sprint Nov 10 (blinkers on, 120 Final) and should be forwardly placed from the hedge under Roman. #3 Jungle Warfare (5-1) hit the board in all five outings and ran a decent race to land the place in a similar turf route Oct 27 (116 Final). #7 Arch Anthem (8-1) finished 1.5 lengths behind Big Buzz last time (102 Final) and blinkers might help him focus. #2 River Boyne (6-1) makes his US bow with Prat in the saddle and dam has produced two turf winners. #9 Holy Ghost (12-1) broke slow and rallied to finish 4th in his first turf try Oct 27. He gets pace to chase in the paper race for Team Desormeaux. THE PLAYS: #1 to win, Quinella 1-3, Trifecta 1-3/1-2-3-7-/1-2-3-7-9, 50 cent Late Pick Four 1-2-3-7-9/2-5-7/1-2-4-8/9 ($30), 50 cent Late Pick Four 1-3/2-5/1-4/4-9 ($8)


DMR 6 (OC-40k/1x, 6f) #5 SWORD FIGHTER (6-1) smartly won his dirt sprint debut last fall (126 Final) and went the sidelines after a pair of okay stakes efforts on the downhill course and at a flat mile on dirt. Miller shows a +ROI w/+180 day layoff runners and Prat rides. #2 Spectre Bond (3-1) earned a nice number in his winning BEL debut June 24 (147 Final) and two horses from that heat were next out winners including sharp back-to-back SAR winner Mr. Crow for Pletcher. #6 Stone Hands (15-1) beat #7 Red Lightning (5-1) in a local maiden race July 23(131 Final) and the latter returned to graduate Aug 13 (129 Final). They are both fresh threats. THE PLAYS: #5 to win, Quinella 5/2-6-7, Trifecta 2-5/ALL/6-7


DMR 7 (G2 Hollywood Turf Cup, 12T) #4 TEQUILA JOE (6-1) is proven as far as 9.5f and he ran well in all three local turf outings (150 Final July 30). He will likely be forwardly placed under Prat in a race without much pace. #1 Chicago Style (7-2) won back-to-back local optional claiming turf routes at 11f over the summer (140, 138 Finals) and exits an okay 5th (beaten 3 lengths) in the G2 John Henry Turf. #2 Lottie (6-1) is a long distance specialist for Motion and Prat takes the call. The late runner exits an okay 3rd in the G3 Dowager (137 Final) and might move up 2nd off the shelf. #8 Manitoulin (6-1) fell too far back in the G3 Sycamore and ended up 7th of 12 that day. He earned a 149 Final in a 10f turf race at BEL Sept 20 and is not out of this if Smith is able to keep him closer to the pace. #3 Flamboyant (3-1) rallied for the show in the G2 Del Mar Handicap (144 Final) but is 0-for-8 at DMR, 0-for-3 at 12f, and 0-for-6 this year. THE PLAYS: #4 to win, Quinella 4/1-2-8, Trifecta 1-4/1-2-3-4-8/1-2-3-4-8

DMR 8 (Mcl-20k, 7f) #9 SUPER DUPER COOPER (9-2) exits a clear 2nd in a similar local flat mile affair (107 Final) and he got a 111 Final in a local $50k route July 23. He might graduate in his second start at the bottom rung. #4 Bardstown (3-1) and #1 Psychedelicat (5-1) finished 2-3 in a similar $20k affair Nov 2 (111, 110 Finals). #11 Inhibition (7-2) got a 122 Final in a similar extended sprint at SA Oct 22 but he is 0-for-17 (7 minor awards). THE PLAYS: #9 to win, Quinella 9/1-4, Trifecta Key 9/1-4-11


Rolling Daily Double & Pick 3 Contenders – in order of preference:
1 (11-5-3-6-8)
2 (8-6-3-1-2)
3 (5-8-9-1-10)
4 (1-5-4-2)
5 (1-3-7-2-9)
6 (5-2-6-7)
7 (4-1-2-8-3)
8 (9-4-1-11)


ROLLING DAILY DOUBLE/PICK 3 WAGERING STRATEGIES
For $2 Rolling Doubles and $1 Pick 3 tickets, key the top choice in each race to all other contenders. See examples below:


$2 Double (Race 1-2):
Ticket 1 (11-8)
Ticket 2 (11/1-2-3-6-8)
Ticket 3 (3-5-6-8-11/8)


$2 Double (Races 2-3):
Ticket 2 (8-5)
Ticket 1 (8/1-5-8-9-10)
Ticket 3 (1-2-3-6-8/5)


$1 Pick 3 (Race 1-3):
Ticket 1 (11-8-5)
Ticket 2 (11/1-2-3-6-8/1-5-8-9-10)
Ticket 3 (3-5-6-8-11/8/1-5-8-9-10)
Ticket 4 (3-5-6-8-11/1-2-3-6-8/5)


BONUS STAKES RACES



AQU 9 (G3 Comely, 9f) #3 PARADE (6-1) won her two longest dirt starts at 8.5f and 9f and the well-bred Phipps Stable- McGaughey runner might be able to wear these down late. #8 Miss Sky Warrior (5-2) set a strong pace before weakening in her first start in 5+ months in the G3 Turnback the Alarm Oct 28. She is 3-for-3 at AQU including two graded scores at this distance. Castellano got to know her last time and she should be fitter. #9 Tapella (6-1) is a lightly raced, improving $750k Pletcher trainee. She projects an outside stalking trip. #5 Actress (2-1) was in tough vs. grade one foes in her last pair. She adds blinkers for sharp trainer Servis and figures to run on late under Ortiz. THE PLAYS: #3 to win, Exacta 3/5-8-9, Exacta 5-8-9/3, Trifecta 3-8/3-5-8-9/3-5-8-9


CD 9 (G2 Mrs. Revere, 8.5T) #8 JOURNEY HOME (5-1) traded decisions with today’s rival Lovely Bernadette in her last pair and she has found consistency for Motion. Look for her in the late going under Ortiz Jr. #4 Lovely Bernadette (4-1) sat a perfect trip from the inside post in the G3 Valley View and is after her third straight win under Geroux. #9 Daddys Lil Darling (7-5) was given a smart ride by Albarado in the paceless G1 QE II Challenge Cup and she rolled home in a long turf event at KD before that. The late runner sports two KEE bullets for this but is just getting warmed up at this trip and might run out of ground. THE PLAYS: #8 to win, Exacta 8/4-9, Exacta 4-9/8


CD 11 (G1 Clark Handicap, 9f) #7 THE PLAYER (6-1) exits a smart victory as my value top in the G2 Fayette and the 2-time local winner projects a tactical trip under Borel. #8 Honorable Duty (5-1) hated the KEE slop Oct 28 but likes this oval (6-3-2-0) and might be able to rebound if the track is fast. #9 Diversify (5-2) wisely skipped the BC Classic after controlling the pace in the JCGC. He is sharp and fresh and might be able to dictate terms in this spot as well. He could easily win his fourth straight. #1 Hoppertunity (3-1) won this in 2014 and exits a useful 2nd in his needed return in the Comma To The Top. He can rally for a share but there does not seem to be enough early pace to secure a victory. THE PLAYS: #7 to win, Exacta 7/1-8-9, Exacta 1-8-9/7, Trifecta 7-8-9/ALL/1

DEL MAR full card + Bonus Stakes from Woodbine for Sunday (11-26-17)
By Jarrod Horak
DMR Weather: Mostly Sunny. High 69. DMR Best Bets (races 2, 8, 9)
DMR Pick 5, Pick 6, and Late Pick 4 Spread Tickets included in .pdf file


DMR 1 (Mcl-32k, 6f) #4 CEE SAM’S GIRL (4-1) drops, turns back, and I like the rider switch to Conner. She removes blinkers and will try to get involved late. #7 Dialed To Go (8-5) added blinkers, dueled, and missed by a nose in a much better effort second time out Oct 21. #2 Wild Edie (5-1) dueled and faltered as the favorite in her local bow Nov 10. She gets in light with Roman and might hang around longer today, especially if she shakes loose early. THE PLAYS: #4 to win, Quinella 4/2-7, 50 cent Pick Five 2-4-7/1-4-5-8/6-7/6-7/1-5 ($48), $1 Place Pick All 7/1/7/6-7/1-5/4-9/7-8/6/2 ($16)


DMR 2 (Clm-20k, 6f) #1 MESA SKY (3-1) goes from post 12 in a local optional claiming extended sprint (131 Final) to the inside post (PP1 29% at this distance) in this $20k affair at six panels. #5 Native Treasure (6-1) is back at his $20k claimed level for Yakteen and he rallied to win a similar local event at this distance Sept 3 (128 Final). #8 Bear Skinned (6-1) switched to dirt and cruised in back-to-back Fort Erie sprints (135, 141 Finals) and Glatt has him now. He projects an outside stalking trip under Baze. #4 Tasunke Witco (4-1) exits a sharp local seven panel score (129 Final) and Knapp shows a +ROI first after the claim. THE PLAYS: #1 to win, Quinella 1/4-5-8


DMR 3 (G2 Seabiscuit Handicap, 8.5T) #6 HUNT (4-1) ran poorly in his last two longer graded turf routes and was definitely over his head in the G1 BC Turf. The D’Amato trainee won back-to-back local graded turf routes over the summer and his best number was in his shortest effort recently in the Eddie Read at 9f (blinkers on, 159 Final). I think he can stalk, pounce, and bounce back under regular pilot Prat. D’Amato also saddles #7 Pee Wee Reese (3-1) and he looks like the one to beat. He is 4-for-5 with a 2nd on turf and the pace player runs well fresh. He earned his best number yet when last seen in the G3 American July 4 (153 Final). #1 Mr. Roary (10-1) overperforms at times like his 3rd at 19-1 in the G2 Eddie Read and his 22-1 surprise in the G3 Eddie D. He was outclassed in the G1 BC Mile and figures to show speed from the rail under Castellano. #2 Om (5-2) has been blanked in 2016-17 (0-for-10 w/8 minor awards) and might be best used underneath. He added blinkers in his last pair and he lost his tactical speed and his numbers dipped to 143 in those two outings. THE PLAYS: #6 to win, Quinella 6/1-7, Trifecta 6-7/1-2-6-7/1-2-6-7


DMR 4 (OC-20k/1x, CA-bred, 6.5f) #6 GEMINI JOURNEY (4-1) landed the show in her last three outings (114 Final Oct 8) and Spawr finally saddled a winner here yesterday. #7 Haviture Way (5-2) dueled and finished a clear 2nd vs. similar local sprinters Nov 1 (123 Final). #3 Desert Madam (7-2) went 5-for-12 last year and started off 2017 with a win but was nowhere in her last three and O’Neill took over the training duties Nov 17. Kent D rides and they are trying to turn her into a sprinter. #2 Gotham Desire (8-1) won her first two synthetic starts before finishing a non-threatening 5th from the outside post here Nov 1 (105 Final). Bejarano gives her another chance. THE PLAYS: #6 to win, Quinella 6/2-3-7, Trifecta 6-7/2-3-6-7/2-3-6-7, $2 Pick Six 6-7/1-5/4-5-9/7-8-12/6/2 ($72)


DMR 5 (OC-40k/1x, 8T) #1 FIZZY FRIDAY (9-2) faced sophomore stakes foes in her last four and her best two turf efforts occurred in her only two outings at this distance (143 Final w/last fraction 22.2 Aug 24). #5 Be Mine (7-2) rallied to finish an okay 4th as the favorite Nov 2 (116 Final, last fraction 23.6) and that was her first start in more than a year. Rosario hops aboard for D’Amato (+ROI 2nd off the shelf) and she should be fitter today. #2 Del Mar Ann (6-1) showed a new rallying dimension in a local $25k claiming turf route win from post 10 Nov 10 (119 Final, last fraction 22.6). #9 Cash Prize (5-1) exits a fine 2nd in a local route (129 Final) and winner Dominating Woman returned to score again Nov 19. #3 Peach Cove (6-1) dropped in for a tag and rallied from the outside post to score at SA Oct 6 (126 Final). Stevens stays put. THE PLAYS: #1 to win, Quinella 1/2-3-5-9, Trifecta Key 1/2-3-5-9


DMR 6 (Str-Alw, 7f) #4 SECRET TOUCH (7-2) ran quality stalking races in his last three dirt routes including a local maiden win July 23 (119 Final). He looks a bit like Friday route/sprint winner Super Duper Cooper. #9 Divisor (3-1) graduated as a first time gelding Sept 29 (117 Final) and runner-up Conqueror returned to break his maiden Nov 16. #5 Upperclassman (5-1) enters in decent form (113, 111 Finals last 2) and might be the one to catch under Roman. #6 Desert General (9-2) was a nose behind Secret Touch last time (111 Final) but McCarthy is 0-for-16 route/sprint. #3 Quality Line (8-1) is best as a late running sprinter and he finished in the Top 3 in all four local starts (122, 120 Finals last 2 DMR starts). Kent D takes the call. THE PLAYS: #4 to win, Quinella 4/5-9, Trifecta 4-5-9/3-4-5-6-9/3-4-5-6-9, 50 cent Late Pick Four 3-4-5-6-9/1-2-7-8-9-12/6/2 ($15), 50 cent Late Pick Four 4-9/2-7-8-12/6/1-2-4-6-9 ($20), 50 cent Late Pick Four 4-5-9/7-8/2-6-11-12/2 ($12), 50 cent Late Pick Four 4-9/7-8/6-12/2-9 ($8)


DMR 7 (G1 Matriarch, 8T) #8 OFF LIMITS (5-1) is a neck shy of a perfect 5-for-5 turf record this year for Brown and Rosario was aboard for her back-to-back graded wins at BEL (144, 155 Finals). She is one of the Fastest in the Stretch (last fraction 22.8 Oct 28). #7 Cambodia (3-1) is always in the Top 3 on turf (11-6-0-5). She won the G2 Yellow Ribbon (153 Final, last fraction 22.9) and G2 John Mabee (156 Final) and landed the show in the G1 BC F&M Turf (143 Final) in her three local turf tries. #12 Kitten’s Roar (7-2) looked good winning the G2 Goldikova (141 Final, last fraction 22.6) but she drew a difficult post and meets tougher foes. #2 Lull (5-1) chased fast fractions and smartly pulled clear in the G3 Autumn Miss at SA Oct 29 (176 Pace + 150 Final). The sharp, improving 3-year-old filly looms a pace factor under Prat. #9 Rubilinda (10-1) is a lightly raced sophomore filly with three wins and a second after four starts. She handled one mile at BEL in the $200k Pebbles and this is her toughest test yet. Ortiz shows a +ROI w/Brown and she will try to get involved late. #1 Mrs McDougal (15-1) has burned me multiple times and is probably not worth more than a flier. She had a troubled trip from post 12 in the Goldikova and Castellano rides back. She has some back class but you have to go back to September 2016 to find a representative race (156 Final). THE PLAYS: #8 to win, Quinella 8/7-12, Trifecta 7-8/2-7-8-12/1-2-7-8-9-12


DMR 8 (MSW, 6f) #6 ALLIANNA (5-2) stalked (122 Pace), pounced, and ended up a distant 3rd in her Oct 27 bow and 1-2 finishers Dream Tree and Midnight Bisou returned to run 1-2 in the Desi Arnaz Stakes. Castellano takes the call for Miller and she could easily graduate today. #12 Swak (9-2) is a $320k Mandella first timer with five local moves including two from the gate. Dam’s other two starters won and Smith takes the call. #2 Miss Georgie Gal (8-1) took action and ended up an even 5th of 8 in her off the turf bow at IND Oct 24 and Puype got on the board with a winner yesterday. #11 Tell Your Mama (7-2) was put in an impossible spot in the BC Juvenile Fillies and ran accordingly. She adds blinkers and is back in a maiden sprint (96 Final Oct 13). THE PLAYS: #6 to win, Quinella 6/2-11-12, Trifecta 6-12/ALL/2-11


DMR 9 (G3 Cecil B. DeMille, 8T) #2 ANALYZE IT (5-2) romped in his flat mile debut at BEL (137 Final) and looms a solid prominent throughout threat under Ortiz. #9 Inscom (7-2) is getting better (improving CPR, FIRE, Finals) for Callaghan and he finished up in 23.1 in his SA maiden win at this trip Oct 27. #6 Pubilius Syrus (5-1) defeated Inscom by a nose Sept 30 and he is a fresh stretch threat for Kent D/Cerin. #1 Golden Dragon (12-1) broke through the gate and was in way too deep in the BC Juvenile. He won back-to-back turf races before that and can spice up the exotics. #4 East Rand (15-1) checked in right behind Golden Dragon in a CD turf route Sept 29 and Mullins has him now. THE PLAYS: #2 to win, Quinella 2/6-9, Trifecta Key 2/1-4-6-9


Rolling Daily Double & Pick 3 Contenders – in order of preference:
1 (4-7-2)
2 (1-5-8-4)
3 (6-7-1-2)
4 (6-7-3-2)
5 (1-5-2-9-3)
6 (4-9-5-6-3)
7 (8-7-12-2-9-1)
8 (6-12-2-11)
9 (2-9-6-1-4)


ROLLING DAILY DOUBLE/PICK 3 WAGERING STRATEGIES
For $2 Rolling Doubles and $1 Pick 3 tickets, key the top choice in each race to all other contenders. See examples below:


$2 Double (Race 1-2):
Ticket 1 (4-1)
Ticket 2 (4/1-4-5-8)
Ticket 3 (2-4-7/1)


$2 Double (Races 2-3):
Ticket 2 (1-6)
Ticket 1 (1/1-2-6-7)
Ticket 3 (1-4-5-8/6)


$1 Pick 3 (Race 1-3):
Ticket 1 (4-1-6)
Ticket 2 (4/1-4-5-8/1-2-6-7)
Ticket 3 (2-4-7/1/1-2-6-7)
Ticket 4 (2-4-7/1-4-5-8/6)


BONUS STAKES RACE FROM WOODBINE



WO 8 (G2 Bessarabian, 7f) #9 SCOTTY’S MODEL (6-1) won all three starts this year for the productive Hernandez/McKnight team. She is 6-for-11 in local synthetic races and projects a forwardly placed journey in a race without much pace. #3 Moonlit Promise (6-5) finished 1st or 2nd in five of seven local starts and the sharp filly can easily make it three straight. #8 Minks Aprise (4-1) rallied for the place behind Moonlit Promise Oct 28 and today’s added furlong helps. She was 3rd by a neck in this event last year. #7 Boreale (5-1) fired Trifecta shots in all five US starts and handled the local all-weather surface Nov 3. THE PLAYS: #9 to win, Exacta 9/3-7-8, Exacta 3-7-8/9, Trifecta 3-9/3-7-8-9/3-7-8-9, Trifecta 3-9/ALL/7-8

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