Thursday 4/18/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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04-16-2024, 07:28 AM
Can'tPickAWinner

Thursday 4/18/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Keeneland - Race #5

Picks Notes

#2 Kimber Spice She finished up well going short in the debut, and that might set her up for something better while stretching around two turns. She's bred to handle the added ground and might be just playable enough on the board.

#1 Waves of Mischief Get a look at her on the tote and track, but she's debuting in a spot that doesn't feel like the deepest for the local level, so she might have a claim on this at first asking with Gaffalione signing on.

#4 Centuria She rallied well in her American debut last month, and that feels like something she can probably build on. Wouldn't surprise to see her on the scene late.

Race Summary Kimber Spice can move forward with the debut run in the rearview, and she might be in a good spot right up near the splits.

Keeneland - Race #8

Picks Notes

#2 Secret Rules He's always a little bit dicey late, but there are a couple races on his page in which he was able to prompt the pace and stay on well enough to be competitive with this kind. Interesting.

#9 Kneedeepinsnow He gets some class relief for this one with some running lines on the page that would probably make him pretty tough. Good draw to watch everything unfold.

#8 Zippin Gigi He hasn't been in this easy for some time, and he ran well in his previous trip over the footing. Not impossible from right up on the pace.

Race Summary Secret Rules and Kneedeepinsnow seem most likely to settle this one, but the former might offer a bit better price on the board with some softer recent company lines.

Keeneland - Race #9

Picks Notes

#15 Day Dawning I am a little bummed that she and #14 Total Class are drawn out on the also eligibles, as I think they're both interesting on debut at this kind of trip if either of them get to go. Take a look.

#7 Riley Jean Barn typically does good work at this kind of trip, and this one feels like she might be slowly moving in the right direction. Top effort might keep her in the frame.

#6 Mo Lantern Not much to argue with through the first two starts, but I wouldn't want to be here at too short a price in a race that feels competitive enough on paper.

Race Summary I'd also want to take a look at #1 Bougie Not Basic ahead of this one, but I'm going to hope one of the interesting also-eligible runners is able to draw in and make some noise at first asking. Riley Jean and Mo Lantern feel logical but uninspiring.

Picks	Notes
#2 Kimber Spice	She finished up well going short in the debut, and that might set her up for something better while stretching around two turns. She's bred to handle the added ground and might be just playable enough on the board.
#1 Waves of Mischief	Get a look at her on the tote and track, but she's debuting in a spot that doesn't feel like the deepest for the local level, so she might have a claim on this at first asking with Gaffalione signing on.
#4 Centuria	She rallied well in her American debut last month, and that feels like something she can probably build on. Wouldn't surprise to see her on the scene late.
Race Summary	Kimber Spice can move forward with the debut run in the rearview, and she might be in a good spot right up near the splits.

Picks	Notes
#2 Secret Rules	He's always a little bit dicey late, but there are a couple races on his page in which he was able to prompt the pace and stay on well enough to be competitive with this kind. Interesting.
#9 Kneedeepinsnow	He gets some class relief for this one with some running lines on the page that would probably make him pretty tough. Good draw to watch everything unfold.
#8 Zippin Gigi	He hasn't been in this easy for some time, and he ran well in his previous trip over the footing. Not impossible from right up on the pace.
Race Summary	Secret Rules and Kneedeepinsnow seem most likely to settle this one, but the former might offer a bit better price on the board with some softer recent company lines.

Picks	Notes
#15 Day Dawning	I am a little bummed that she and #14 Total Class are drawn out on the also eligibles, as I think they're both interesting on debut at this kind of trip if either of them get to go. Take a look.
#7 Riley Jean	Barn typically does good work at this kind of trip, and this one feels like she might be slowly moving in the right direction. Top effort might keep her in the frame.
#6 Mo Lantern	Not much to argue with through the first two starts, but I wouldn't want to be here at too short a price in a race that feels competitive enough on paper.
Race Summary	I'd also want to take a look at #1 Bougie Not Basic ahead of this one, but I'm going to hope one of the interesting also-eligible runners is able to draw in and make some noise at first asking. Riley Jean and Mo Lantern feel logical but uninspiring.

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #1

Picks Notes

#5 GOLDEN SKULL (10-1) Projects similar trip to runner-up finish at 6-1/2F two back, price play.

#2 THIS RUN’S FOR YOU (1 Led clear through fast middle fractions and ran second at one mile.

#3 ALL ABOUT LUCKY (2-1) Adds to pace mix, tipped 4-wide on lead but got caught by early trailer.

Race Summary GOLDEN SKULL stayed inside and followed the move of the even-money winner when second at this distance two starts back. He gave way on the class hike to this level at 6F last out but can sit a good stalking trip at a big price for his new connections. Bet to win and place and play a 2-5 exacta box.

Gulfstream Park - Race #4

Picks Notes

#7 CHICKEN PARM (5-1) Swung 4-wide for stretch drive and got up for second, added ground a plus.

#1 BUSY MORNING (5-2) Plays to steady beat at various turf venues but draws a lot of betting support.

#4 MADAKET’S ARROW (9-2) Wired $40k maidens going a route of ground, starts fresh, shortens up.

Race Summary CHICKEN PARM adapted well to off-the-pace tactics in her first start for a claiming tag but couldn’t catch morning-line favorite BUSY MORNING, who angled out from second and took over in the stretch. She gets more pace to rally into for her new connections and can spring the upset with more ground to cover. Bet to win and place.

Gulfstream Park - Race #8

Picks Notes

#2 IRON MAN JIMMY (4-1) Tries to carry-over all-weather track form for new connections.

#5 ADADEMY CHOICE (7-5) Set fast pace and earned top speed figure of career in near miss.

#6 HARRINGTON (8-1) Breezed in :36.2 over track recently, could rally onto exotic wager tickets.

Race Summary IRON MAN JIMMY found the all-weather track at Turfway Park to his liking, breaking his maiden as much the best off similar rest to today. He will have to step it up a notch to beat this field, but the price is right for a win and place bet.

Picks	Notes
#5 GOLDEN SKULL (10-1)	Projects similar trip to runner-up finish at 6-1/2F two back, price play.
#2 THIS RUN’S FOR YOU (1	Led clear through fast middle fractions and ran second at one mile.
#3 ALL ABOUT LUCKY (2-1)	Adds to pace mix, tipped 4-wide on lead but got caught by early trailer.
Race Summary	GOLDEN SKULL stayed inside and followed the move of the even-money winner when second at this distance two starts back. He gave way on the class hike to this level at 6F last out but can sit a good stalking trip at a big price for his new connections. Bet to win and place and play a 2-5 exacta box.

Picks	Notes
#7 CHICKEN PARM (5-1)	Swung 4-wide for stretch drive and got up for second, added ground a plus.
#1 BUSY MORNING (5-2)	Plays to steady beat at various turf venues but draws a lot of betting support.
#4 MADAKET’S ARROW (9-2)	Wired $40k maidens going a route of ground, starts fresh, shortens up.
Race Summary	CHICKEN PARM adapted well to off-the-pace tactics in her first start for a claiming tag but couldn’t catch morning-line favorite BUSY MORNING, who angled out from second and took over in the stretch. She gets more pace to rally into for her new connections and can spring the upset with more ground to cover. Bet to win and place.

Picks	Notes
#2 IRON MAN JIMMY (4-1)	Tries to carry-over all-weather track form for new connections.
#5 ADADEMY CHOICE (7-5)	Set fast pace and earned top speed figure of career in near miss.
#6 HARRINGTON (8-1)	Breezed in :36.2 over track recently, could rally onto exotic wager tickets.
Race Summary	IRON MAN JIMMY found the all-weather track at Turfway Park to his liking, breaking his maiden as much the best off similar rest to today. He will have to step it up a notch to beat this field, but the price is right for a win and place bet.