I never said Faber would win. I just think he has a better chance than you are giving him.Quote:
Originally Posted by Luke
As for him being the fave or the dog, I expect him to be the dog, but maybe not.
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I never said Faber would win. I just think he has a better chance than you are giving him.Quote:
Originally Posted by Luke
As for him being the fave or the dog, I expect him to be the dog, but maybe not.
He wasn't even the dog after Brown pretty much controlled where the fight went the first time around. How is he going to be the dog when he faces a guy who just won the belt?
He wasnt a dog in the second fight because people thought the first fight was fluke and he would regain the title.Quote:
Originally Posted by LudoCain
I hope you are right and they are dumb enough to make Aldo the dog but I doubt it
LOL me too.Quote:
Originally Posted by Luke
Getting Aldo as a dog in this fight would be incredible.
-210 Christ. Not sure if I want to spend that much.
Quote:
Originally Posted by zY|
I thought it'd be around -150 but not this high.
Quote:
LudoCain wrote:
Faber won't be the dog. I'm sure of that. Faber wasn't even a dog when he fought Brown in the rematch for gods sakes. I'm on the fence here but if Faber is below -170 I'll be on him I think.
How about this guy ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
How the hell is bodog the first to release these?
Should we expect Aldo to be lower when other books release the line since bodog always has the highest lines on favorites?
I'm surprised. I honestly didn't think Faber would be the dog, and I damn sure didn't expect him to be this much of one. How quickly people forget the fact that he dominated the division for three years. I get that Aldo has crushed everything in his path in the last two years but damn these are pretty lopsided odds, especially with how the Lesnar/Carwin fight odds turned out. It's almost like they're acting as though Faber has no chance, when in fact he has a much better chance than Brown did at taking Aldo.
I'll be on Faber though. Probably for 2-4u
Quote:
Originally Posted by LudoCain
I was just giving you crap.I've predicted many,many,many lines wrong. ::handshake:: Lesnar-Carwin was the most recent
It's cool, could be big time money in this one.
Wow, lines are up indeed!
I went ahead and dropped .5u on Faber at +205 and 1.01u on Cerrone at -105.
What's everyone thinking on the Cerrone fight? I think he takes it as long as he doesn't let Bendo outwrestle him again.
LOL well yeah. That's a pretty big if though right? I'm leaning towards Cerrone as well though.Quote:
Originally Posted by SPX
I'm on Aldo.
Well the thing is that Bendo was only able to do that in the first couple of rounds, then Cerrone started to take control of the fight. Will we see a replay of that? Maybe. I think one thing is probably for sure though is that Cerrone's not going to get let Bendo sub him like Varner did.Quote:
Originally Posted by zY|
Quote:
Originally Posted by SPX
Do you actually think Faber is going to win or is this a man crush bet?
I'd say a combo man-crush bet and value bet. Yes, I'm a fan, but I also think that Aldo's price is way high considering all the variables, so it's a Faber or nothing situation. At +205, I don't mind risking half a unit.Quote:
Originally Posted by Luke
I think Faber has tools to win and matches up better than Brown did stylistically.
I agree the line is too high but I think Aldo wins.I was really hoping for -150,its approaching -260 now and at that high I wont be betting it I dont think
My problem is Cerrone fights with no sense of urgency. He goes and dicks around out there forever. Like in his fight with 9mm he damn near lost the fight because he had 2 poins deducted and was just out there fucking off. I'm not convinced that when he turns it on he won't already be 2 rounds down.Quote:
Originally Posted by SPX
That said, he's got the tools to win, and he arguably DID win the first fight imo. I may take him for a little.
How can you see him winning?Quote:
Originally Posted by SPX
Either somehow stay a step ahead of Aldo and win a decision or possibly sub him. I know Aldo supposedly has this awesome ground game, but who expected Faber to sub Assuncao? I'm not at all sure about any of this . . . I'm just guessing.Quote:
Originally Posted by zY|
By the way, for what it's worth, Pulver gave me the impression today that he thinks Aldo will win. I asked him if that was his prediction and he said "I ain't predicting shit" but that Faber usually wins by playing the speed game and that's not going to work against Aldo.