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Maddux
10* Houston -22.5
StatFox Super Situations
CFB | SMU at HOUSTON
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) against an average defensive team (21-28 PPG), in conference games
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )
StatFox Super Situations
NFL | INDIANAPOLIS at HOUSTON
Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (INDIANAPOLIS) after 2 or more consecutive wins, after the first month of the season
67-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )
NFL | INDIANAPOLIS at HOUSTON
Play Under - Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in a game involving two average offensive teams (18-23 PPG), after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored
69-33 since 1997. ( 67.6% | 32.7 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
StatFox Super Situations
MLB | HOUSTON at KANSAS CITY
Play On - All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (KANSAS CITY) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%
62-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.9% | 31.7 units )
6-9 this year. ( 40.0% | -6.0 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends
MLB | TEXAS at TORONTO
TEXAS is 45-37 (+28.2 Units) against the money line in Road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: TEXAS (4.6) , OPPONENT (4.1)
Mighty Quinn
Mighty missed with the Pirates on Wednesday and likes the Blue Jays on Thursday.
The deficit is 822 sirignanos.
Hondo
Hondo eyes Jay pay days
Chicago’s Lovable Losers came through for Hondo on Monday night, blanking the Pirates to lower the negative number to 1,302 stottlemyres.
Thursday night: Mr. Aitch will pay a steep price if David doesn’t slay Texas — 20 units on the Blue Jays.
Meanwhile, over on the gridiron, he expects the Trojans to bag an easy win against Washington.
ROSS BENJAMIN
5* Washington / USC Over 56
The Washington Huskies defense has been excellent against the run thus far. The pundits will say that’s because they’ve been horrible against the pass, and they may have a valid point. Washington is allowing opponents 321 passing yards per game. That’s not good news since they’ll be facing a red-hot quarterback in Cody Kessler of USC. Kessler has thrown 1293 yards, completed 73% of his attempts, and has 15 touchdown passes against one pick in the Trojans first four games. However, the USC defense has allowed 410.0 yards per game, and has been bailed out by forcing 8 turnovers.
Any team (USC) coming off a conference win by 10 points or more, versus an opponent (Washington) coming off a home favorite SU loss, resulted in those games going 63-28 (69.2%) over the total since 2011. The average total in those games was 56.1, and there was a combined average of 61.3 points scored.
EZWINNERS
5* Blue Jays -240 Series
1* Colts +2.5
BRAD DIAMOND SPORTS 5* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK 301
5* INDY UNDER the total
NFL TOTAL
Fargo's 10* ALDS THURSDAY GAME ONE R/L WINNER (PERFECT 4-0 MLB RUN) The postseason is has gotten off to a very defensive start as we have seen seven runs scored in the first two games combined. I expect that to be toppled in this game alone and namely by just the side of Toronto. This is the first playoff game in 22 years for the Blue Jays so to say this place is going to be electric is an understatement. They didn't exactly close the season well as they dropped four of their last five games immediately after clinching the American League East but all of those games were on the road and back home, Toronto is 53-28 which is tied for the best record in the American League. Texas came out of nowhere to win the American League West as it put up a 46-28 record after the break, the third best behind the Blue Jays and Cubs. The Rangers were solid on the road but stealing Game One will be difficult with Yovani Gallardo on the hill. He went 13-11 with a 3.42 ERA during the regular season which is decent but the problem is he doesn't miss many bats (5.9 K/9), allows too many baserunners proven by his 1.42 WHIP and has a history of allowing the long ball. He closed with seven straight non-quality starts and while he pitched extremely well against Toronto in two starts this season, that changes here. Not much can be said about David Price that you don't already know so no reason to go into detail. He dominated overall and at home and he pitched in the postseason last year in the ALDS and while he lost, he pitched a gem but had no run support. Surprisingly, the Blue Jays had the worst one-run record in baseball at 15-28 which is good for the runline as of their 93 wins, 78 were by two or more runs. 10* (902) Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 Runs
Rocketman Sports TOP 4* NHL BEST BET Thursday!
Rocketman Sports plays are rated 1-5 units!
NHL
Ottawa @ Buffalo 7:05 PM EST
Play On: 4* Ottawa -126
The Ottawa Senators travel to Buffalo to take on the Sabres on Thursday night. Buffalo is 44-120 last 164 games overall. Buffalo is 17-43 last 3 years against division opponents. Buffalo scored only 2 goals per game overall and 2 goals per game at home last season. Buffalo allowed 3.3 goals per game overall last year. Ottawa is 6-2 overall vs Buffalo the past 3 seasons. Ottawa is 23-10 last 33 games overall. Buffalo is 18-41 last 59 home games. Buffalo is 17-50 last 67 games against the Eastern Conference. Buffalo is only 10-41 last 51 games overall. Ottawa is 17-8 last 25 meetings in Buffalo. We'll play Ottawa for 4 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Totals 4 You "Total Domination" for Thursday, October 8th2015 AFC South Division TV Total of the Year!!!!!
Indianapolis/Houston under 44 1/2
Please note: due to discount, guarantees do not apply to this package
NCAA Best Bets
SMU/Houston over 72
Washington/USC under 56
2015 ALDS First-Pitch Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Texas/Toronto over 7 1/2
MLB Best Bets
Houston/Kansas City under 7 1/2
Best of Luck and Thank You!!!!!
From Platinum Plays. 500K AFC Shocker/Year
the Indianapolis Colts +2½ over
the Houston Texans
Best Bets
the Indianapolis/Houston Game UNDER
the Total Of 45 Points
the SMU Mustangs +26 over
the Houston Cougars
the USC Trojans -16 over
the Washington Huskies
the Washington/USC Game OVER
the Total Of 56 Points
PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK
the SMU/Houston Game OVER
the Total Of 72 Points
Marc Lawrence late phone plays
Washington
Tonight the card has 3 powerful plays up led by the Thursday night NCAAF 100% Game of the Month, the Double Perfect NFL Super system side and a late A.L.D.S Game 1 Power angle play. Football off to a fast start after ranking #1 LY. Free Early MLB Play below.
Analysis: Free play On Thursday in Early American League divisional action we will back the heavily favored Toronto Blue Jays at 4:05 eastern on the run line. Toronto has been the hottest team in the game since late July and has won 14 of the past 19 vs Texas including 4 of 5 here at home. Toronto has won 24 of 32 vs winning teams and averages 5.6 runs at home, and 5.8 runs in day games. They have David. Price going and he is 11-1 in Day starts. He has won his last 5 and has a solid 2.53 era this year. He should be able to out duel Yovanni Gallardo for Texas. The Rangers have lost both times as a road dog in this range. Look for Toronto to take Game 1 here today. Tonight we have the 100% College Football Thursday night play of the month going along with a Double perfect NFL Winner from an exclusive never lost system. In MLB the late A.L.D.S. Game 1 Power Angle play is up too. Football was #1 ranked last year and is off to a fast start. Message to Jump on Now and cash big with the most powerful data available. For the free play we will go with the Blue Jays. GC
Frank Patron
20,000 Unit NFL Lock
Houston Texans -2.5 (-115) over Indianapolis
Brandon Lang
My 30 Dime selection a 2-team 7-point teaser (-130) on the Texans and Under.
The current line on this game is -4 and 41 in Vegas and offshore.
With the teaser take the Texans to +3 and the total up to 48 and go Under. Be sure to shop around for the best lines available.
Power play wins
pod – houston texans -4
WAYNE ROOT
Inner Circle — KANSAS CITY ROYALS ML-140
THE SPORTS GEEK
(Kyle) – Penguins/Stars – OVER 5.5
James Patrick Sports
Washington vs. USC 9:00 pm est. ESPN
The Huskies pulled off a rare coaching upgrade despite losing theirs to a bigger program, hiring Chris Petersen from Boise State. And Petersen has a solid core of talent to work as Freshman quarterback Jake Browning has walked on campus and thrown for (996) yards and five touchdowns in four games as Washington looks toward the future. Head Trojan Steve Sarkisian had talent to work with immediately after departing Seattle after the 2013 season, and the bulk of the offense returned. Senior Trojans quarterback, Cody Kessler, has been spectacular through four games by completing (73) percent of his passes for (1,297) yards, (15) touchdowns and just one interception. Trojan Army wins going away in a high scoring affair.
(3*) Play. #305. Take Washington – USC Over the Total
Alex Smart Sports - Thursday Night CFB Totals Crusher
NCAA-F | Oct 08 8:00 pm
Houston vs SMU
We have two offenses that are currently known for their prolific abilities to points on the board in bunches. But with that said, one of these teams ( Houston) also has an above average defense, that held Tulsa to just 24 points on the road last time out, and Texas State to just 14 points in their last home game, and also played tough in Louisville pulling off the 34-31 upset thanks to a bend but dont break defense . Im betting because of the short week, both sides may not be 100% and not be as explosive out of the gate as usual, and for the Cougars defense, to limit visiting SMUs scoring opportunities. I know since Chad Morris arrived on the Hilltop after five seasons as an offensive coordinator at Clemson and 16 years as a high school coach in Texas , the Ponies looked viable again.Dont get me wrong I like SMU new direction, but it wont be easy moving the ball here tonight, and wont be surprised if Morris backs off and trys to get the ground game to control the clock. Morris is a good coach and knows his teams limitations, and Im betting will play this game much more conservatively than many might expect. Houston's last 29 games dating back 3 seasons has seen an average of 54.9 ppg go on the board. In home games with a total that is greater than or equal to 63 an average of 68.3 ppg went on the board, spanning 27 games. Houston is 8-1 UNDER L/9 times when the total is greater than or equal to 63 with an average of 56.2 ppg getting registered. Once again from a historical trends perspective, Houston 12-1 UNDER after gaining 300 or more rushing yards which happened against Tulsa last Saturday with both teams combining for an average 53.1 ppg going on the score board.
Play under the set Total 1 unit reg selection
King Creole:
Plays rated 2 thru 5 stars
8:25pm ET - 5:25pm PT / #302
Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans
3*** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
The pointspread and the OU line in this game were posted pretty late in the week. It was not until late on Tuesday night that the oddsmakers made Indy a short road favorite, and posted an OU line of 45 points. The reason for that is the questionable status of Colt QB Andre Luck. It looks like he WILL play on Thursday, but he will not be 100% healthy. He certainly has not looked good in the month of September. BOTH of these quarterbacks are ranked #22 or worse in the NFL QBR ratings for the season. Ryan Mallet of Houston is ranked #22. What is surprising is that Andrew Luck is ranked #31. That’s right, he’s currently the second WORST quarterback in the league in QBR ranking (right behind Alex Smith of the Chiefs). With both QB’s struggling, there has STILL been NO Over / Under line adjustment. The average OU line in this Houston / Indy series has been 45.9 over the last five years. And yet, Thursday’s line is still at 45 points. Speaking of SERIES history, these two teams have gone 2-7 O/U in the last nine meetings… with an average of 42.2 combined points per game. With both offenses struggling, we’ll tale a bite with the UNDER on Thursday.
AFC South Division games have been ‘trending UNDER’ as of late anyway. We went UNDER in last week’s Colts / Jags game… and we’ll do it again.
2-15 O/U since 2011: All AFC SOUTH division games with an OU Line of > 43 points (Colts @ Texans) in GAME FIVE or greater.
The Colts are one of only TWO NFL teams that have yet to cash an ATS win this season (Indy: 0-4 ATS and Baltimore 0-3-1 ATS)…
GAME FIVE road teams who are 0-4 ATS on the season (Colts) have gone 1-7 O/U since 2009 when the OU line is 47 < points.
In last week’s home win, the Colts were a favorite of -4 points. And they scored only 16 points against the Jaguars…
0-7 O/U last three years: All NFL teams off a SU home win as a favorite of < 10 points (Colts) in which they scored only 16 or LESS points.
This will be Indianapolis’ third STRAIGHT division game in a row…
2-12 O/U since 2001: All favorites of 9 < pts… off a SU win… in their third STRAIGHT division game (Colts)… when the OU Line is 39 > points.
Houston got smacked around pretty good last week against the 4-0 Atlanta Falcons. They ended up losing by 27 points…
1-8-1 O/U last four years: All DIVISION teams off a SU non-division road loss of 27 or more points (Houston)… when the OU line is 51 < points.
Final score of that road loss last week was Atlanta 48 - Houston 21. We were on the OBER in that game, and it cashed one minute into the fourth quarter. Based on this last database query, we’re switching gears this week and going UNDER…
0-5 O/U last two seasons: All NFL teams who scored 21 > pts last week and ALLOWED 45 > points (Texans)… when the OU line is < 51 points.
Tom Stryker's 13-2 ATS NFL Division Statement Game
Tom rates his online plays 1* to 5* with a 5* being the strongest.
1* #302 HOUSTON (+) over Indianapolis at 8:25 PM EST
At 1-3 SU, this is a critical game for Houston. The Texans can't afford to fall to 1-4 SU and definitely don't want to lose to the Colts again. Indianapolis owns an impressive 22-4 SU record in this series (13-11-2 ATS) and has quietly won five straight.
Off last week's embarrassing 48-21 beatdown in Atlanta, Houston will be hungry too. The Texas have played well at home in a revenge mode and off a straight up loss posting a profitable 15-6-1 ATS record. In this role lined up against an opponent that played in the comforts of home less, Houston improves to a sound 14-3-1 ATS. Based on their current record, there is also a reliable 45-23-4 ATS early season pro system that backs the Texans as well. (Because this technical situation applies to a few other teams this weekend, the parameters that make this system pop will remain for my eyes only.)
The Horseshoes will most likely welcome back quarterback Andrew Luck to the lineup on Thursday night. Luck is nursing an injured shoulder but, since this is a division game, there's a pretty good chance he'll be the starter. It is noted that the Colts are an impressive 15-0 SU and 11-2-2 ATS in their last 15 AFC South battles. However, on foreign soil priced as an underdog or a favorite of -2 or less and matched up against a foe that checks in off an ATS loss, Indy owns a soft 34-50-1 ATS record. Also, since 1985, game five teams that own a 2-2 SU record are a dismal 16-30 ATS provided they enter off back-to-back straight up wins and their opponent carries a won/loss percentage less than .500. If this is a division game, this situation crashes to a woeful 2-13 ATS
The Colts have owned the division lately. But, with Pro Bowl running back Arian Foster back, the Texans have enough weapons on offense to compete with the banged up Horseshoes on Thursday night. Take Houston. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
Nelly's Thursday NCAA Total Delivery - Oct. 8
10/08/15 Nelly's 1* #305/306 'OVER' Washington at USC 9:00 PM ET
Steve Sarkisian did not get a chance to take on his former team last year and this year's meeting comes with both teams off last weekend. USC already has suffered a loss to cripple its national playoff hopes and more prominent games with Notre Dame and Utah are the next two games on the schedule. Washington is 2-2 on the season and Chris Petersen delivered a bowl bid in his first season in Seattle it will be an uphill battle to get the Huskies there this season staring at a brutal October schedule. Washington only lost by six but was not overly competitive statistically against California at home to open the Pac-12 season in its last game. The USC defense has allowed 400 yards in three of four games but they will be tough to keep up with as Sarkisian hopes his offense will be even more fast-paced as they have fallen short of the 80 plays per game goal the team has. Part of that shortage has been many big plays leading to quick scores but the defense has often not gotten off the field, 91st in the nation in yards per game allowed. Freshman quarterback Jake Browning has had some turnovers but he has mostly been an accurate passer and the Washington offense should have some opportunities against a USC secondary that has struggled this season for the most part. In the last game California had 481 yards and 28 first downs against Washington despite only putting up 30 points and the Trojans look capable of cashing in more points in their opportunities. USC's defense has created turnovers with 10 already in four games so a short field score or two seems very possible in this game with the young Washington quarterback facing his biggest game so far. In nine home games in the Sarkisian era at the Coliseum USC has scored at least 31 points in every single home game, averaging over 45 points per game. There is reason to be skeptical of Washington's strong defensive numbers built on the wins vs. Sacramento State and Utah State while the USC defense has likely deserved to allow even more points than they have after misleading defensive scoring numbers in the all three wins.
Nelly's rates our Playbook Picks 1-10 stars. It is a long season so please have a money management plan and be conservative and conscientious with your wagers. Thanks for playing with Nelly's Sportsline and best of luck.
WISEGUY INSIDER
100 Unit WISEGUY: NCAAF Washington +17
100 Unit WISEGUY: NFL Houston Texans -4
(NSA "THE LEGEND")
25* NFL Colts +4.5
20* CFB SMU over 71.5
20* CFB USC under 56.5
10* NFL Colts under 41.5
10* CFB SMU +26
5* MLB Royals -135
Jim Feist
High End MLB Systems Release
Take: (904) KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Reason: Houston had to play Tuesday, using its ace, and now flies to rested Kansas City. Despite knocking off the overrated Yankees Houston is still not a good road team, and the Astros are 43-96 in their last 139 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Kansas City won the AL last season and is back, with speed on the base paths and a strong pen. The Royals are 36-16 vs. the American League West. Kansas City has Yordano Ventura on the hill, rested and the team is 35-17 in Ventura's last 52 starts. Play Kansas City!
PAUL LEINER
100* Washington +16.5
100* Over 7.5 – Rangers/Blue Jays
100* Royals -135
ATS Lockclub
Totals for year
NCAA -69.3 units
NFL +10.9 units
3 Houston(NCAA) -25.5
NORTHCOAST LATE PHONE SELECTIONS
Top Opinions: Thursday College Marquee: USC (-16.5) over Washington
Thursday NFL Marquee: UNDER 41 Indianapolis/Houston
Vegas Winning Crew
Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays over 7.5
WAYNE ROOT
NFL
Millionaires---Houston
Andrew Luck is a very special quarterback. In his career, he's thrown 14 touchdowns and three interceptions while going 5-1 against the Houston Texans. But that was before a shoulder injury sidelined him last week. For this year, the Colts have defeated the Titans and Jaguars by a total of five points while losing to Buffalo outright in week 1. Luck's five TDs have yet to overcome his seven picks in addition to being sacked five times in three starts. His magic is certainly in question. The offensive pieces that surround him are mediocre at best. The Texans will look for the run to counter any Colts offensive point total. Adrian Foster looks to be on track after getting back on the field last week. It's definitely up to the Texan defense to win this game by stopping the Colts and Luck. They failed to show up on the road last week against Atlanta and played horribly in their look ahead to this game. Even at 1-3, this is the Texans first divisional game and are full of hope and excitement as this is when their season begins. Ryan Mallett will be on a short leash and really needs to get back on track. Having Foster in the backfield can only help. Look for Mallett to go to DeAndre Hopkins about 10 times and added with a great defensive effort the Texans lock up a win tonight.
TAKE HOUSTON.
Simon the "soccer guy"
european championship (under 2.5 +108) germany @ rep of ireland (245pm)
David mires system
mlb- kansas city -140 houston (8pm)
nfl- indianapolis/houston under 44.5 (830pm)
Brad Wilton
40 DIME Pac 12 Game of the Month
Washington
Shinoba Sports
Rangers/Blue Jays over 7.5
PAUL LEINER
2000* colts + 4.5
Vernon Croy
MLB
7* Toronto RL -1.5