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VegasKillers
Game: Chiefs/Cowboys
Pick: Over 53 (-110)
Recommended
Unit Play (Risk)
27.5 Units
11/5/2017
Game: Buccaneers/Saints
Pick: Saints -7 (-110)
Recommended
Unit Play (Risk)
27.5 Units
11/5/2017
Game: Ravens/Titans
Pick: Ravens +3.5 (-110)
Recommended
Unit Play (Risk)
27.5 Units
This play CPAW posted above !!!!Quote:
Originally Posted by Gmoney121
2017 Westgate Las Vegas NFL SuperContest Player Picks and Standings (Formerly Hilton Contest)
GRAND DRAGON - W28 L12 T0 LW 5-0
Week 9 Picks: BUF LAR CIN CAR SEA
PHD SPORTS - W28 L12 T0 LW 3-2
Week 9 Picks: LAR CIN ATL TEN ARI
BIOSOFT SPORTS - W27 L12 T1 LW 3-2
Week 9 Picks: PHI NO JAX BAL KC
BIOSOFT GLOBAL - W27 L12 T1 LW 3-2
Week 9 Picks: PHI NO JAX CAR OAK
THE VILLE - W27 L13 T0 LW 4-1
Week 9 Picks: LAR NO JAX ATL TEN
TUNNEL VISION - W27 L13 T0 LW 2-3
Week 9 Picks: DEN TB CIN IND ARI
Stephen Nover
3* SEA -7
Seattle's defense is down a notch from its elite status of the past few seasons. The Seahawks can't run the ball either unless it's Russell Wilson taking off on a scramble. But the Seahawks still will beat the Redskins by more than a touchdown being at home and given all of Washington's injuries on both sides of the ball. Seattle's defense still is well above average. The Redskins can't compete against it on the road with a cluster injury problem in their offensive line, a weak ground attack and two of their three tight ends injured, including Jordan Reed. There's a chance Washington could be minus four starting offensive linemen plus their top reserve lineman. Wilson is playing at the highest level. His receivers are stepping up especially Paul Richardson. Jimmy Graham is healthier and becoming a factor. The Redskins have key defensive injuries. They are without their best run stuffer, Jonathan Allen. They also are down linebacker Mason Foster and maybe their second-best cornerback, Bashaud Breeland. Special teams play has become an issue, too, for the Redskins.
2* DEN +8
This is last stand time for the 3-4 Broncos. They have the right personnel to upset the Eagles, who are flying high at 7-1 and due to crash. Philadelphia may take this one for granted with the Broncos making the decision to start Brock Osweiler. The Eagles also have a much bigger game on deck next Sunday - a division game against the Cowboys. The Broncos rank ninth in rushing. They are fourth in time of possession. They can stay on the ground with a trio of decent running backs in C.J. Anderson, Jamaal Charles and Devontae Booker. This would limit Osweiler's exposure. Osweiler is helped by getting back wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders. The Eagles rank 27th in pass defense. Carson Wentz had a monster October throwing a franchise-best 14 TD passes. Wentz, though, is just a second-year QB. He can be loose with the ball and is going against the toughest defense he's faced all season. Denver gives up the fewest yards per game and second-fewest rushing yards per game. The Broncos' cornerbacks are so good they can cover one-on-one and Von Miller is a top edge pass rusher. The Eagles are without their No. 1 offensive lineman, Jason Peters.
2* Over 42 LAR/NYG
This total is too low for a Rams game. The Rams average 30.3 points a game, second-highest in the league. They draw the Giants without four defensive starters, including star cornerback Janoris Jenkins, pass rusher Olivier Vernon and middle linebacker B.J. Goodson. The Giants have given up 100 yards rushing in six of their last seven games. They are going to have problems controlling Todd Gurley, who ranks fifth in the NFL in rushing. Jared Goff has played better away from home with a road touchdown-to-interception ratio of six-to-zero. New York should contribute its share of points with two weeks to prepare and facing a mediocre Rams defense.
2* Over 44 OAK/MIA
The Raiders are going to put up their share of points with Derek Carr, Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree working against a vulnerable Miami defensive back seven. I'm not a fan of the Dolphins secondary and their linebackers are more dirty than good. The key question is will the Dolphins come up with their share of points to push this Over? Miami ranks last in the NFL in scoring and yards per game. I believe Miami will. Both Jay Cutler and Davante Parker return to the lineup from injuries. Adam Gase is a sharp offensive coach. The Dolphins dealt Jay Ajayi this week. That changes the dynamics of their offense. I see the Dolphins throwing more than usual against the Raiders, who rank 26th in pass defense and are the only team in the NFL not to have an interception. Ajayi was capable of 200-yard rushing games, but he wasn't consistent. The Dolphins have more spreed in their backfield now and their running backs are better pass catchers than Ajayi.
Sunday, November 5, 2017
Premium Plays
Paul Leiner:We are absolutely scorching right now. Yesterday we nailed Oklahoma and today I have a NFL total I am all over. Lets keep it going. Thanks and goodluck.
2500* NFL Over 44.5 Redskins/Seahawks
100* NFL 49ers +2.5
100* NBA over 208 Blazers/Thunder
The Prez
5% Over 43.5 ATL/CAR
The reigning NFC champion Atlanta Falcons (4-3) play their second straight road game this week when they take a short trip to Charlotte to face off against conference foe Carolina Panthers (5-3).
The Falcons found a way to battle through a closely contested event in New York eventually working a 25-20 win against the Jets which snapped a three-game slide. The market value of the Falcons has dropped considerably since the start of the 2017-18 campaign. Not only have the public cooled on Matt Ryan and the Falcons but the oddsmakers have made their adjustments on the point-spreads and totals involving the team.
Ryan was 18 out of 29 passes for 254-yards and two touchdowns against the Jets at MetLife. What should be remembers is that the aforementioned numbers game in less than ideal conditions for both offenses.
The Panthers defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this past Sunday and did so by finding ways to hinder Winston and the Bucs offense. Carolina secured a 17-3 victory ending a losing streak of their own, albeit a two game slide.
Panthers field general Cam Newton has been extremely inconsistent after starting the season with a shoulder injury that created little to no preseason reps with his offensive 'mates. Newton completed just 18-of-32 passes for 154-yards and one touchdown in Sunday's win over Tampa.
The Falcons and the Panthers were involved in two high scoring events a year ago, with both games being won by Atlanta by scores of 48-33 and 33-16. However the first game between these two squads last year was the only Over the Total result in three years. The under is 6-1-1 in the last eight games between these two sides. The adjustment the oddsmakers have made in this event is significant compared to the O/U closing numbers in recent history.
This is the weekend when the Falcons trio of Ryan, Julio Jones and Devonta Freeman break-out and look more like the group OC Kyle Shanahan managed a season ago. There are a hundred-and-one reasons for the second half to be more offensive for the Birds than in the first half of the campaign.
Atlanta ranks in the top 5 in total offense with 374.4 yards gained per game but the team is middle in the pack in points scored per game at just 21.9. The result of their struggles in the red zone have been for two reasons. 1) The offense is under new leadership with SS running the show rather than Shanahan. 2) The level of competition in the first eight games of the season have come against capable defenses, especially units that have player personnel with success in defending the red zone.
FALCONS REGULAR SEASON RESULTS
@ BearsW 23-17
vs PackersW 34-23
@ LionsW 30-26
vs BillsL 23-17
vs DolphinsL 20-17
@ PatriotsL 23-7
@ JetsW 25-20
Four of the Falcons first seven games have come on the road. Played on slower surfaces, save Ford Field, against defenses that have been solid in the red zone this year.
The Dirty Birds scored touchdowns on 64 percent of their red zone chances in 2016. This season they’re finding success a mere 48 percent of the time when they get inside the 20 yard line.
While Carolina was defensively successful against the Bucs a week ago don't expect the same results this Sunday against the Falcons. In Sunday’s win against the Jets, Ryan was able to connect with seven different targets. And again, the Panthers haven't had the same success in the red zone against spread offenses with veteran quarterbacks.
PANTHERS REGULAR SEASON RESULTS
@ 49ersW 23-3
vs BillsW 9-3
vs SaintsL 34-13
@ PatriotsW 33-30
@ LionsW 27-24
vs EaglesL 28-23
@ BearsL 17-3
@ BuccaneersW 17-3
Newton has not executed with outside of the pocket this season. He has thrown eleven interceptions and he and his teammates have committed six turnovers in the last three games alone.
To the Panthers defense rookie hybrid Christian McCaffrey is beginning to form a relationship with the Newton offense and is becoming a balance threat. Ignore the total yards of McCaffrey in the clubs last three games (41 combined rushing/receiving yards). Considering that McCaffrey has a mere 378-yards and two touchdowns on the season the inconsistencies of Newton are directly related to the offense not using McCaffrey more. That changes in the second half of the season. has a direct relation to some of the Newton struggles this season..
However, this weekend you can count on the Panthers being a pass-happy scheme, and the same can be expected from the Falcons. McCaffrey, Newton and company won't test the strength of the Falcons interior, Grady Jarrett and Dontari Poe, but play action all afternoon from Cam keeps Deion Jones honoring the run and the Panthers easily exceed their offensive number of the last two games, a pair of road events, against two solid defensive units.
Despite coming into a hostile environment at Bank of America Stadium, I predict the Falcons will keep their feet on the gas pedal and will shift momentum in the NFC South with a key victory against the Panthers.
The Falcons have not scored less than 20 points the entire season and have a solid matchup through the air against the Panthers on Sunday
Joe Gavazzi
5% Eagles
4% Rams
4% Jax OVER
Vernon Croy
5-Unit Play. Take #458 Jacksonville -5.5 over Cincinnati (Sunday, November 5th at 1:00 PM ET)
Take Jacksonville ATS as my 5-Unit NFL Smash for Sunday afternoon. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and the Jaguars are hands down the superior team at home here Sunday. The Jags are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a bye week and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after putting up more than 250 passing yards in their previous game. The Bengals are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games when playing a team with a winning record and they now face the #1 defense in the NFL. The Jags have allowed just 15.7 ppg this season which is #1 in the NFL and they also rank #1 against the pass. The Jaguars are the #1 rushing team in the NFL and they will dominate the time of possession at home Sunday. Play Jacksonville ATS in what should be a 14+ point victory for them.
4-Unit Play. Take #474 Green Bay +2.5 over Detroit (Monday, November 6th at 8:30 PM ET)
Take Green Bay ATS as my 4-Unit NFL Smash for Monday night. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and the Packers are coming off a bye for this game which gave Hundley time to prepare. The Packers defense will alo be very prepared for this game coming off the bye week and they have allowed just 214 passing yards per game at home this season. Detroit has dropped 3 straight games and they have rushed for just 82.1 yards per game this season. The Lions are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games when playing a team with a winning record and their offensive line is a mess which will allow the Packers to get plenty of pressure on Stafford in Green Bay on Monday Night Football. The Packers are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games after a bye and I have them pulling off the upset so grab the points with confidence. Play Green Bay ATS.
Tony George
6 Unit TOP PLAY SUNDAY #455 Tampa Bay (+7) vs New Orleans *1 EST
I am not backing New Orleans in this spot with their defense, and they manged just 20 points against a wounded and beat up Bears team last week in a game they were lucky to win., Tampa matches up well here and after getting just 3 points last week against a vicious and fully heal;thy Carolina defense they will be mad as hell in this one. Not sold on New Orleans as a resurgent type team as of yet, and Ingram running the ball against this defense will in fact prove futile and he is prone for turnovers.
6 Units on #455 Tampa Bay - Play of the Day
4 Units - #469 Kansas City (PK) over Dallas *4:25 EST
If you do not think taking Elliot out of the mix on offense for Dallas is a big deal, then you are not paying attention. (Dallas #2 in rushing in the NFL and just lost their stud) Kansas City will exploit a weak secondary here with Kelce and Alex Smith does not turn the ball over. KC's balance on offense should give an average Dallas defense fits, and although Houston at LB for KC is a 50/50 chance to play, I think Kansas City will in fact be the wrong team for Dallas to try and figure out their offense against because KC is efficient on offense and opportunistic on defense and has great special teams. Yes the KC defense is the worst of the two in this game and yes they are on a short week. If Reid does not try and protect a lead and do bonehead coaching calls late, KC should win by a TD+ here, and I cannot trust Jason Garrett in a big game as a coach. Getting the better team at a pick is HUGE value, and remember KC has beaten the Pats and Houston on the road this year and are 9-1 ATS their last 10 on the road and Dallas 0-5 ATS against teams at home with a winning record. I am going against the sharps on this one, so be it.
Play 4 Units on #469 Kansas City
4 Units #471 Oakland / #472 Miami - UNDER 44 *8:30 EST - NBC Late Game
Oakland is struggling on offense and playing a Miami defense who has had extra time to prepare after allowing a bad Baltimore team 44 points in an ass whipping last Thursday. Miami traded away their best offensive player at RB and Matt Moore had no command of the offense in the last game, looked totally lost. I see Miami's strength on defense to contain Oakland who has lost their way on offense somewhat and this is a back to back road trip to the east coast for Oakland and I just think this is a low scoring battle all the way. Miami is not an explosive team by any stretch.
Play 4 Units on the Under
4 Units - 2 Team 6 Point Teaser - **1 EST Kick for both Games - Tease #451 - Denver to (+13.5) and Tease #459 - Atlanta to (+8) - Play 4 Units.
Nick Camino (21-14 in NFL)
DAL -2
OAK -3
NYG +4
BAL +3.5
Derek Hayes
$200 Falcons -2
Millerlocks
1:00 PM EST NFL
LOS ANGELES RAMS VS. NEW YORK GIANTS
PICK: LOS ANGELES RAMS -5.5 (-110)
RISK: 11 UNITS
1:00 PM EST NFL
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS. HOUSTON TEXANS
PICK: INDIANAPOLIS COLTS +6.5 (-110)
RISK: 11 UNITS
1:00 PM EST NFL
BALTIMORE RAVENS VS. TENNESSEE TITANS
PICK: TENNESSEE TITANS -3 (-119)
RISK: 11 UNITS
1:00 PM EST NFL
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS VS. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
PICK: NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -7 (-101)
RISK: 11 UNITS
1:00 PM EST NFL
CINCINNATI BENGALS VS. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
PICK: CINCINNATI BENGALS +6.5 (-110)
RISK: 11 UNITS
3:08 PM EST NBA
ATLANTA HAWKS VS. CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
PICK: ATLANTA HAWKS +11.5 (-110)
RISK: 11 UNITS
4:05 PM EST NFL
WASHINGTON REDSKINS VS. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
PICK: WASHINGTON REDSKINS +8 (-105)
RISK: 11 UNITS
6:08 PM EST NBA
BOSTON CELTICS VS. ORLANDO MAGIC
PICK: BOSTON CELTICS -3.5 (-110)
RISK: 11 UNITS
9:38 PM EST NBA
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES VS. LOS ANGELES LAKERS
PICK: LOS ANGELES LAKERS +1.5 (-110)
RISK: 11 UNITS
Ben Burns
GOY Tampa Bay
Here's the point spread betting trends (tickets & total $'s) for today's football games. Data is from our 107 Nevada books & app.
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PICKS 2 PLAY
POD: Boston Celtics -3.5
Jeff Benton
100 Dimer - Kansas City Chiefs
Line - Kansas City +2 1/2 points. I advise buying the half-point up on the Chiefs if your line is anywhere from +2 1/2 points to +4 points.
Trace Adams
Sunday's Selection ...
For Sunday, 2000♦ Double-Your-Wager winner is the Tennessee Titans as the home favorite against the Baltimore Ravens. At 10:05 pm eastern time on Saturday night, the Titans are -3 1/2 point favorites. Note: I advise buying the half-point down on Tennessee if your line is anywhere from -3 to -4 1/2 points.
Tommy Brunson
75 Dime - Los Angeles RamsTODAY'S RELEASEMy Sunday release is a 75 Dime play on the Los Angeles Rams as the road favorite over the N.Y. Giants. As of 6:15 am eastern time, the Rams are -4 1/2 point favorites. I advise buying the half-point down on LA if your line is -3 to -4 1/2 points.
Eric Schroeder
Today's Winner:
My 100 Dime Winner is on the HOUSTON TEXANS in today's AFC South clash against the Indianapolis Colts. And as I release this play at 5:10 a.m. pacific, the number I see on this game is Texans -6.5.
Jack Brayman
TODAY'S WINNER
Tonight's Winner and Rating: 60 Dime OVER Kansas City Chiefs/Dallas Cowboys
Line/Total: 53.5, as of 2:30 a.m. eastern.