Sunday 10-22-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, October 22, 2017
Where: StubHub Center, Carson, California

Preview: Broncos at Chargers

Gracenote
Oct 20, 2017

The Denver Broncos are fresh off a disappointing home loss but aim to complete a season sweep of the Los Angeles Chargers when they visit Southern California on Sunday. Denver, which suffered a 23-10 loss to the previously winless New York Giants last week, opened the season with a 24-21 victory over the Chargers.

The Broncos have dropped two of their last three games after a strong start and are looking to fight through the adversity and get back on track. "I think we're desperate every week," Denver quarterback Trevor Siemian told reporters. "That's how you approach it. These games mean so much. You only get 16 of them, and this is a divisional game, so yeah, you're desperate every week." Los Angeles has posted consecutive victories following an 0-4 start, and first-year coach Anthony Lynn has seen the progress. "We're 2-4, but we play like we're (6-0)," Lynn told reporters. "Guys show up and they play. They do their job. We just weren't finishing games earlier, and now we've figured out a way as a coaching staff and as players to finish a little better."
TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Chargers -1. O/U: 43

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (3-2): Siemian passed for a career-best 376 yards against the Giants but was intercepted twice and guided the Broncos to just 10 points. Running back C.J. Anderson has gained 347 yards but was dreadful against New York with just 17 on nine carries, although he has an opportunity for a solid bounce-back effort against a Los Angeles rushing defense (152.5 yards per game) that ranks dead last in the NFL. Denver leads the league in total defense (261.8) and is second in rushing defense (70.2) while star outside linebacker Von Miller (five sacks) has registered 13 sacks in 13 career games against the Chargers.

ABOUT THE CHARGERS (2-4): Philip Rivers tossed three touchdown passes in the season-opening loss to the Broncos and has played solidly with 1,633 yards and 10 TDs against five interceptions. Running back Melvin Gordon (356 rushing yards, tied for NFL lead with seven total touchdowns) is nursing a tender shoulder after receiving 34 touches (25 rushes for 83 yards, nine catches for 67 yards) in last week's win over Oakland. Los Angeles ranks fourth in pass defense at 186 yards per game, and the strong pass-rushing abilities of outside linebacker Melvin Ingram (7.5 sacks) and defensive end Joey Bosa (5.5) help create that prowess.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Broncos have won six of the last seven meetings.

2. Los Angeles DT Corey Liuget (back) was injured against the Raiders and is in danger of missing Sunday's contest.

3. Denver has four ailing wideouts as Emmanuel Sanders (ankle) and Isaiah McKenzie (ankle) will miss the game, Cody Latimer (knee) appears doubtful and Demaryius Thomas (calf) is expected to play.

PREDICTION: Broncos 23, Chargers 21

Trends - Denver at L.A. Chargers

ATS TRENDS

Denver

Broncos are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Broncos are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.

L.A. Chargers

Chargers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October. Chargers are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games. Chargers are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. Chargers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Chargers are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Chargers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC West. Chargers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC. Chargers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Chargers are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games on grass. Chargers are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

OU TRENDS

Denver

Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games following a straight up loss. Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games following a ATS loss. Under is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 games in October. Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Under is 7-2 in Broncos last 9 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 vs. AFC West. Under is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Over is 12-5-1 in Broncos last 18 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 9-4-1 in Broncos last 14 games in Week 7.

L.A. Chargers

Over is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 games in October. Under is 11-3-1 in Chargers last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 3-1-1 in Chargers last 5 games following a straight up win. Under is 6-2 in Chargers last 8 vs. AFC. Over is 3-1-1 in Chargers last 5 games following a ATS win. Under is 5-2-1 in Chargers last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles. Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Los Angeles. Road team is 10-3-2 ATS in their last 15 meetings.

NFL opening line report: A-Rod injury turns Pack into early Week 7 pups
Patrick Everson

The Green Bay Packers are home underdogs for just the second time since the beginning of the 2014 season. Will backup QB Brett Hundley be able to carry the load for the Pack with A-Rod out?

Through six weeks of the NFL season, there are no more undefeated teams, and it’s anybody’s guess as to which squad is best. Patrick Everson checks out the opening lines on four Week 7 games, with insights from Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders (+3)

Kansas City tumbled from the ranks of the unbeaten with a sluggish Week 6 offensive performance, failing to put up touchdown until the fourth quarter. The Chiefs (5-1 SU and ATS) lost to Pittsburgh 19-13 as a 3.5-point home favorite.

Oakland welcomed the return of star quarterback Derek Carr, then promptly mirrored KC with a lackluster effort. The Raiders (2-4 SU and ATS) had just one second-half score – a fourth-quarter touchdown after which they missed the extra point. That proved critical when the Raiders, 3-point home faves, lost 17-16 on a last-second San Diego field goal.

Both teams now have a short week, playing in the Thursday nighter.

“What a change in perception between these teams from the offseason to the present,” Cooley said. “The Chiefs finally put up a dud, but that’s expected at some point, while Oakland looks like it’s already left for Vegas. But as we’ve seen in recent weeks with teams that look disoriented, expect the Raiders’ best effort Thursday night.”

Early bettors apparently think so. Although the Raiders were still 3-point home pups late Sunday night, the price to get those points was up to -125.

Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots (-4.5)

It’s a rematch of the Super Bowl, though neither team seems to be in championship form, particularly Atlanta. The Patriots, bettors will remember, were 3-point faves in the Super Bowl against Atlanta and needed a miracle to overcome at 27-3 second half deficit to win and cover the spread.

The Falcons (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) won their first three games, trying to put that incredible Super Bowl meltdown behind them. But they’ve now dropped the last two, including Sunday’s shocking 20-17 home loss to Miami as hefty 14-point chalk.

New England (4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS) spotted the New York Jets 14 points on Sunday, not exactly looking like a 9-point road favorite. However, the Patriots scored the next 24 points and hung on for a 24-17 victory.

“Sharps loved the Falcons in the last matchup between these teams, and they’re lining up again here,” Cooley said of early action for this Sunday night clash. “We’ve already moved the spread down to -3, but it’s doubtful we’ll see it dip under the key number. The Falcons look flat of late, but it’s not as if the Pats have been world beaters the last three weeks.”

Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-5.5)

Heading into Week 7, Philadelphia surprisingly holds the lead in the NFC East. The Eagles (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) played in the first game of Week 6 and dropped Carolina 28-23 catching 3 points on the road Thursday night.

Washington (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) blew all of a 17-0 lead Sunday, but held on late to move above .500. The Redskins edged the 49ers 26-24, falling well short as 12-point home faves.

“Early money has been on Washington, which is somewhat of a surprise,” Cooley said of the Week 7 Monday nighter. “We’ve moved down to -4 already, but it’s highly unlikely it will head further south. You have to like what both of these squads are doing on the field, but Philadelphia is a few pegs ahead of where Washington is.”

New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers (+4)

Green Bay was 4-1 SU and appeared to be rounding into form after a big road win at Dallas. Then Aaron Rodgers broke his collarbone in the first quarter Sunday against Minnesota, and poof! The Packers (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) lost 23-10 giving 3 points on the road, and will be without their stud QB for the foreseeable future, perhaps the rest of the season.

Meanwhile, New Orleans cracked the 50-point barrier in a wild Week 6 home victory. The Saints (3-2 SU and ATS) went off as 6-point faves against Detroit, led 45-10 midway through the third quarter, then held off a furious rally for a 52-38 victory. Drew Brees and Co. have won and cashed three straight.

Cooley said Bookmaker.eu wasn’t quite ready Sunday to post a Saints-Packers line, with Green Bay now relying on unproven backup Brett Hundley.

“We’ve got to do some additional assessment with Hundley under center in Green Bay before posting a line,” Cooley said. “The public will line up to fade a team sans Aaron Rodgers, but we’ve seen this Packers bunch blow out opponents without him. We’ll open the Saints as short road chalk.”

The Wynn sportsbook in Las Vegas opened with the Saints as 4-point road favorites, while offshore sportsbook Pinnacle installed the Saints as 4.5-point chalk.

Wiseguys are advising that these Week 7 NFL lines are going to move

Bill Belichick's defense has given up 300 or more passing yards in each of the Patriots last six games. Despite the high total, this could be another good opportunity to be the over with New England.

Game to bet now

Dallas at San Francisco (+6)

Call this one the National Anthem Bowl. The Cowboys, who have been ordered by owner Jerry Jones to stand for the anthem under penalty of benching (or worse), vs. the 49ers, who are the flagship franchise for protest and can stand or kneel depending on the depths of their beliefs.

There will probably be a football game after said anthem, and it’s a big game for the Boys if not the out-of-it-already Niners. Dallas is 2-3 (both SU and ATS) and staring down the barrel of a nasty October/November run that includes four straight winning teams (Washington, Kansas City, Atlanta, Philadelphia) after this Sunday.

It’s possible that all the hay will be in the barn by Thanksgiving, so the Cowboys really need this one to get some momentum for their most important four-game stretch of the season.

Game to wait on

New Orleans at Green Bay (+4.5)

Pro Football Talk has suggested that it might be time to institute even more protection for quarterbacks after Aaron Rodgers was lost for the year when he suffered a broken collar bone when hit a split second after throwing a pass last Sunday.

Maybe, maybe not. But Rodgers might be the best QB in the world, and losing him is bad for business.

The focus will now be on backup QB Brett Hundley, who has been holding a clipboard for a couple of years. Hundley threw 33 passes on Sunday and three of them wound up being intercepted. The Saints are scrambling to find tape on the kid. The line could expand based on early betting.

Total to watch

Atlanta at New England (53.5)

A week or more of warm weather is predicted in New England, and that’s good news for both offenses in this Super Bowl repeat.

The Falcons will welcome any help they can get after scoring just 34 total points in back-to-back losses to AFC East teams (Miami, Buffalo) – and the Patriots might just be the cure for what ails them.

Last Sunday vs. the Jets, New England’s defense gave up more than 300 passing yards for the sixth consecutive. Every week fans figure that Bill Belichick will get it fixed, and every week it isn’t.

Even with the high number, the over might be worth a long, hard look.

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 7
Monty Andrews

New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers (+6, 45)

Saints' impressive O-line vs. Packers' lack of QB pressure

This was supposed to be a matchup between two of the all-time great quarterbacks in NFL history - but with Aaron Rogers out for the long-term with a broken collarbone, the host Packers come in as close to a one-touchdown underdog against Drew Brees and the high-powered Saints offense. Sorting out the offense will be Green Bay's top priority, but finding a way to get to Brees - something no team has done yet this season - should be next on the list.

The Saints have shown tremendous growth on defense over the past three weeks, producing nine turnovers in that stretch. But it is the offensive line that deserves the lion's share of the laurels; it has limited opponents to just four sacks all season, the fewest of any team in the league. It's a big reason why New Orleans ranks seventh in the NFL in total offense (372.2 yards per game) and fourth in scoring offense (29 ppg). If Brees has time to throw, he is among the most dangerous QBs in history.

The Saints' O-line owns a decided edge over a Green Bay pass rush still needs work. Only three teams - Tampa Bay, the New York Jets and Tennessee - have produced fewer sacks than the Packers (11) through the first six weeks of the season. It's a mind-boggling stat considering that four of Green Bay's five defensive line starters have Pro Football Focus grades higher than 78. A lack of quarterback pressure this weekend could make for a long day for the home side.

Baltimore Ravens at Minnesota Vikings (-5.5, 39.5)

Ravens' wretched third-down results vs. Vikings' vaunted 3D defense

The Ravens have to be wondering what went wrong last weekend as they fell behind early, rallied late and ultimately fell short in a 27-24 overtime loss to visiting Chicago. Baltimore has been one of the most maddeningly inconsistent teams in the league through six weeks, and will need to be at its best this Sunday if it hopes to prevail against the impressive Vikings. One significant area of improvement: Third down execution, something that cost the Ravens the win on Sunday.

Baltimore had the ball on its own 40-yard line on its only possession of OT, but gained just eight yards and failed in a pivotal 3rd-and-2 situation that forced the Ravens to punt. It was the story of the game for Baltimore, which went 3-for-18 on third down Sunday and ranks 28th in the league with a 34.6-percent success rate. It's no wonder, then, that Baltimore sits 29th in total offense (289.2 ypg) and averages an unimpressive 19 points per game so far this season.

They won't find things any easier this weekend, as the Vikings come in off impressive victories over the Bears and Packers in which they limited their foes to 27 total points. Chicago and Green Bay went a combined 7-for-29 on third down against Minnesota, which has held the opposition to a 25-percent success rate - tops in the NFL, and well ahead of the 38.8-percent success rate opposing teams posted against the Vikings in 2016. Look for plenty of short Baltimore drives in this one.

Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams (-3.5, 47.5)

Cardinals' second-half struggles vs. Rams' late-game ball control

Twickenham Stadium is the site of the latest NFL foray into London, with the Cardinals and Rams making the trek overseas. Both teams are coming off impressive victories, with the Cardinals outlasting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38-33 and the Rams upending the host Jaguars 27-17. These teams are tightly bunched with Seattle atop the NFC West, but the Rams come into this one with a decided edge in ball control after the break - something Arizona will need to correct in England.

The Cardinals rank in the lower third in the league in second-half points per game at 8.8 - significantly below the 13.6 ppg average they posted in 2016. And while last week's circumstances - specifically, a 24-0 halftime lead - might have played a role, Arizona's second-half struggles allowed Tampa Bay to make a game of it in the second half. Arizona ranks 26th in the league in second-half possession rate, controlling the ball less than 46 percent of the time after the break.

On the flip side, the Rams' revamped offense has impressed in a number of ways - not the least of which being its ability to control the play in the second half of games. While Los Angeles ranks just outside the top-10 in second half points per game (11.2), that figure is still nearly five points higher than the 6.3 ppg mark it registered last season. And the Rams have masterfully dominated the football after halftime, sitting third in the NFL with a 56.1-percent possession rate.

Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5, 42)

Broncos' bad red-zone play vs. Chargers' downfield dominance

The Broncos are reeling after watching the receiver-bereft New York Giants come into Sports Authority Field at Mile High and escape with a 23-10 victory. And sure, Denver could have been stronger defensively, but no one can argue that the offense was the biggest source of frustration on the night, as the team squandered one red-zone opportunity after another. A similarly underwhelming performance won't fly against a Chargers team that has been one of the stingiest when foes get inside their 20-yard line.

Denver comes into the week as one of the worst red-zone performers in football, scoring a touchdown on just 45 percent of trips inside the opponent's 20 - the sixth-lowest mark in the NFL. The Broncos have scored TDs on red zone visits just 25 percent of the time over their previous three games after going a perfect 4-for-4 in a one-sided win over Dallas in Week 2. Denver had 13 possessions against the Giants and scored just one touchdown, going 1-for-4 in the red zone.

The Chargers have offensive issues of their own; they average a paltry 79 rushing yards per game and will be in tough to increase that total against the toughest run defense in the league. But few teams defend in the red zone like Los Angeles, which has limited opponents to a 40-percent touchdown success rate inside their 20-yard line - behind only Seattle, Buffalo, Oakland and Minnesota. The Chargers won't be easy to score on downfield, which could mean even more red-zone struggles for Denver.

NFL divisional battles are playing Under the betting total at an incredible pace
Jason Logan

There are seven divisional matchups on the board in Week 7, including Monday Night Football. So far this season, divisional games are 8-20 Over/Under - stay below the number 71 percent of the time.

Divisional games in the NFL are always a little more heated than those contests outside of a team’s grouping. The wins count for more and the stakes are much higher, so the intensity is ratcheted up.

Giving up an inch seems like budging a foot, which could be why defense is the name of the game for divisional matchups this season. And it could also be why 20 of the 28 divisional games so far have played Under the betting total.

If you bet the Under in each divisional contest so far in the 2017 season, you’d be celebrating a 71 percent winning clip like Von Miller celebrates a sack. And the victim on the other end of this trend, your bookie, would be peeling himself off the ground and picking grass out of his facemask. A $100 wager on the Under in each of those games would have returned $1,020 – given the standard opening -110 juice on Over/Under wagers.

Heading into Week 7, divisional games have averaged just 38.9 combined points – 4.5 points fewer than the average scoring pace in the NFL right now. Measure those up against an average betting total of 44 points for divisional matchups and Under bettors have plenty of overhead when it comes to cashing in on low-scoring grudge matches.

Huge matchups and a huge injuries headline NFL Week 7 betting odds in Las Vegas
The NFL Week 7 slate has a lot going on at once. You have massive divisional matchups, a Super Bowl rematch, and a team trying to recover from losing the Most Valuable Player to the NFL betting odds. We get the inside scooop on the opening odds and early sharp action from Johnny Avello of the Wynn Las Vegas sportsbook.

This trend is a swing in the other direction compared to last season, when NFL divisional games finished with a 53-42-1 Over/Under mark – playing Over the number in 56 percent of those games. You could look for a connection between this stunning 8-20 Over/Under record and the success of underdogs in divisional matchup this season. Teams getting the points against divisional foes are 15-12-1 ATS – covering more than 56 percent of the time. Generally, underdogs aren’t the sharpest offensive clubs and that dialed-up intensity on defense - as well as a familiarity with those opponents - could be helping keep those scores closer than the oddsmakers expect.

This uptick in Under results for divisional meetings has been a steady winner for total players just about every week – save for a 3-2 Over/Under divisional game record in Week 3. The 2017 schedule opened with seven divisional games on the board, with those matchups going 1-6 Over/Under and producing an average combined score of 34.5 points against an average closing total of 43.6 in Week 1. Week 2 had only three divisional games and posted a 1-2 O/U mark. After the aforementioned 3-2 O/U Week 4, divisional games went 2-5 O/U with an average of 39 points per game versus an average closing total of 43.2. Both divisional contest went Under in Week 5 and just this past weekend, Week 6 games between divisional rivals finished 1-3 O/U with only the Monday nighter between Indianapolis and Tennessee playing Over.

Heading into Week 7, there are seven games between divisional opponents on the schedule. Here’s a look at those games and their current line:

Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders (+3, 47)
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-3, 38.5)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (+3, 43.5)
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams (-3.5, 47.5)
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-5.5, 41)
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5, 42)
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5, 48.5)

The average betting total for those games is 44 points – the exact same average Over/Under number for divisional games this season.

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 7

Sunday, October 22

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TENNESSEE (3 - 3) at CLEVELAND (0 - 6) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 1-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (3 - 3) at INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 4) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 4-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (2 - 3) at PITTSBURGH (4 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 72-98 ATS (-35.8 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 102-73 ATS (+21.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 89-63 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 59-36 ATS (+19.4 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (3 - 3) at MINNESOTA (4 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY JETS (3 - 3) at MIAMI (3 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TAMPA BAY (2 - 3) at BUFFALO (3 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAROLINA (4 - 2) at CHICAGO (2 - 4) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CAROLINA is 81-48 ATS (+28.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ORLEANS (3 - 2) at GREEN BAY (4 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 118-89 ATS (+20.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 118-89 ATS (+20.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 183-128 ATS (+42.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 94-67 ATS (+20.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (3 - 3) vs. LA RAMS (4 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LA RAMS is 178-227 ATS (-71.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 178-227 ATS (-71.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 80-116 ATS (-47.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 127-179 ATS (-69.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 138-179 ATS (-58.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 69-96 ATS (-36.6 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 2-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 2-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (2 - 3) at SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 6) - 10/22/2017, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (3 - 2) at NY GIANTS (1 - 5) - 10/22/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
SEATTLE is 34-60 ATS (-32.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 41-65 ATS (-30.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DENVER (3 - 2) at LA CHARGERS (2 - 4) - 10/22/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LA CHARGERS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LA CHARGERS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CHARGERS is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-1 straight up against LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (3 - 2) at NEW ENGLAND (4 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) off a division game since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 109-80 ATS (+21.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 117-83 ATS (+25.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
ATLANTA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NFL

Week 7

Trend Report

Sunday, October 22

CAROLINA @ CHICAGO
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina

NEW ORLEANS @ GREEN BAY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

BALTIMORE @ MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Baltimore is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Baltimore

TAMPA BAY @ BUFFALO
Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Buffalo's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games

TENNESSEE @ CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Tennessee is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Tennessee

JACKSONVILLE @ INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games

NY JETS @ MIAMI
NY Jets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
NY Jets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

ARIZONA @ LA RAMS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Rams's last 8 games
LA Rams is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

DALLAS @ SAN FRANCISCO
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing Dallas

CINCINNATI @ PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati

DENVER @ LA CHARGERS
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
LA Chargers is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver

SEATTLE @ NY GIANTS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing NY Giants
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing Seattle
NY Giants is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle

ATLANTA @ NEW ENGLAND
Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Atlanta's last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games at home
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta

NFL
Dunkel

Week 7

Sunday, October 22

Tennessee @ Cleveland

Game 451-452
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
130.532
Cleveland
119.953
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 10 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 5 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(-5 1/2); Over

Jacksonville @ Indianapolis

Game 453-454
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
127.392
Indianapolis
128.548
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 1
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville
by 3 1/2
44
Dunkel Pick:
Indianapolis
(+3 1/2); Under

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh

Game 455-456
October 22, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
135.045
Pittsburgh
138.180
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 5 1/2
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+5 1/2); Under

Baltimore @ Minnesota

Game 457-458
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
132.269
Minnesota
133.822
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 6
40
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(+6); Under

NY Jets @ Miami

Game 459-460
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Jets
132.606
Miami
126.958
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Jets
by 5 1/2
32
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 3
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(+3); Under

Tampa Bay @ Buffalo

Game 461-462
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
128.157
Buffalo
138.009
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 10
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
N/A

Carolina @ Chicago

Game 463-464
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
134.841
Chicago
129.470
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 5 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
by 3
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(-3); Over

New Orleans @ Green Bay

Game 465-466
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
138.979
Green Bay
136.434
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 2 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 6
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(+6); Under

Arizona @ LA Rams

Game 467-468
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
132.165
LA Rams
131.002
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 3 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+3 1/2); Under

Dallas @ San Francisco

Game 469-470
October 22, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
134.401
San Francisco
121.461
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 13
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 6
46
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-6); Over

Seattle @ NY Giants

Game 471-472
October 22, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
139.095
NY Giants
130.609
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 8 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 5
40
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-5); Over

Denver @ LA Chargers

Game 473-474
October 22, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
128.274
LA Chargers
132.102
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Chargers
by 4
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 1
41
Dunkel Pick:
LA Chargers
(-1); Under

Atlanta @ New England

Game 475-476
October 22, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
133.078
New England
138.594
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 5 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 3
56
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-3); Under

NFL

Week 7

Sunday's games
Titans (3-3) @ Browns (0-6)— Short week for Titans after rare Monday night home game vs Colts. Tennessee scored 37-33-36 points in its wins, 16-14-10 in its losses; they’re 1-2 on road, with only win in Jacksonville. Titans are 1-3-1 in last five games as a road favorite. Winless Cleveland is 0-5 vs spread the last five weeks, 1-2 as home underdogs, losing by 3-3-16 points- they allowed 31+ points in 3 of last 4 games. In last three games, Browns scored only 14 points on seven red zone drives. Browns beat Tennessee 2 of last 3 years; Titans won LY’s meeting 28-26. Tennessee are 4-2 here, losing 28-14 in last visit here, in 2015. AFC South teams are 7-6 vs spread outside the division, 2-3 on road; AFC North teams are 5-6, 2-3 at home.

Jaguars (3-3) @ Colts (2-4)— Jacksonville is +11 in turnovers in its three wins, -1 in its losses; they allowed two special teams TD’s in home loss to Rams LW. Jaguars are 2-1 on road, with wins at Texans/Steelers- 4 of their last 5 games went over. Short week for Colts after Monday night game in Nashville- they’ve been outscored 85-22 in 4th quarter this year, allowing foes 7.4 yds/play in 4th quarter. All three Indy home games were decided by 3 points each. Colts won 7 of last 9 series games; home team won last four. Jaguars lost four visits here, by 20-20-3-4 points- one of their wins over Colts was in London LY. Over is 5-1 in Indy games this season, as have four of last five Jaguar games.

Bengals (2-3) @ Steelers (4-2)— Bengals won last two games after an 0-3 start; they’re 1-1 on road- they led 21-7 at half in Green Bay before Rodgers beat ‘em in OT, Cincy’s first cover in last five games as a road dog. Cincy (-7) has only 4 takeaways in five games. Steelers handed KC its first loss LW; Pitt has only two TD’s on its last 20 drives, scoring 19 points on last five red zone drives, but they’ve kept 5 of 6 opponents to 5.1 ypa or less. Pitt won 7 of last 8 series games, winning last four by 13-2-8-4 points. Bengals are 3-5 SU in last eight visits here. Cincy is 5-12-1 SU in last 18 post-bye games, 4-9 vs spread in last 13 games as a post-bye underdog. Under is 4-1 in Bengal games, 6-0 in Pittsburgh games. Last 6+ years, Steelers are 20-13 as home faves.

Ravens (3-3) @ Vikings (4-2)— Ravens lost 3 of last 4 games after a 2-0 start; they were only team that played LW that didn’t score an offensive TD- they had two special teams TDs but still lost at home to Chicago. Baltimore is 2-0 in true road games, beating Bengals 20-0 (+3), Raiders 30-17 (+2.5). Vikings were held to 9-7 points in their losses; they scored 20+ in their wins. Minnesota is 3-1 at home, 1-1 as a home favorite; they’re 14-5 vs spread as a home fave under Zimmer. Home team won last four series games; Ravens lost 33-31 in only visit here, back in ’09. AFC North teams are 5-6 vs spread outside the division, 3-1 as road underdogs; NFC North teams are 9-7, 2-2 as home favorites. Under is 5-1 in Viking games, 1-3 in last four Raven games.

Jets (3-3) @ Dolphins (3-2)— Jets won last six series games, upsetting Miami 20-6 (+6) in Swamp back in Week 3, Fish ran for only 30 yards, were 1-12 on 3rd down. Jets won last four visits here, by 3-13-13-4 points. Dolphins are 3-2 after rallying from 17-0 halftime deficit to upset Falcons LW; they’ve been held under 300 yards in last four games, but they did beat Titans 16-10 in only home game so far. Miami is 4-11-1 vs spread in last 16 games as a home favorite. Jets covered their last four games (3-1 SU); they’re 1-2 on road this year, winning at Cleveland, losing by 9-25 points. Under Bowles, NY is 3-6-2 vs spread as road underdogs. Under is 3-1 in last four Jet games, 5-0 in Dolphin games this season.

Tampa Bay (2-3) @ Bills (3-2)— Winston (shoulder) was KO’d in Arizona; 34-year old backup Fitzpatrick is 46-69-1 as an NFL starter for 6 other teams. Unsure which one starts here. Tampa Bay lost 34-17 (-2.5), 38-33 (-2) in its two road games; they’re 15-9 in last 24 games as a road underdog. Buffalo won its two home games, 21-12 (-8) over the Jets, 26-16 (+3) over Denver. Bucs are making only 2nd-ever visit to Orchard Park; they lost 33-20 here in ’09, but won 7 of other 9 series games. Buffalo won last two post-bye games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last 7 games as a post-bye favorite. NFC South teams are 7-12 outside their division, 2-3 as underdogs; AFC East teams are 9-5 vs spread, but 0-3 as home favorites.

Panthers (4-2) @ Bears (2-4)— John Fox opposes the team he took to the Super Bowl in 2003. Carolina is 1-4 in Windy City; the one win was an ’05 playoff game. Panthers are 3-0 on road this season, scoring 23-33-27 points; they’ve got only two takeaways in last five games (-7). Carolina is 6-12-1 vs spread in last 19 games as a road favorite. Trubisky split his first two NFL starts, averaging 5.9/5.3 ypa; both Chicago wins this season were OT games. Bears allowed two special teams TD’s LW, including game-tying punt return in last 3:00- they ran ball for 231 yards. NFC South teams are 7-12 outside their division, 2-3 as road favorites; NFC North home dogs are 4-1 vs spread. Last three Panther games went over total; under is 4-2 in Chicago games.

Saints (3-2) @ Packers (4-2)— Absence of Rodgers likely ruins Packers’ season; they’re home underdog to red-hot Saints, who forced 9 turnovers (+6) in winning last three games- their defense scored 3 TD’s LW— Brees’ offense has 10 TD’s on its last 34 drives. Green Bay scored one TD after Rodgers got hurt LW, on an 18-yard drive; this is Hundley’s first NFL start- he was 29-11 in his UCLA days. Over last decade, Packers are 4-2 as home underdogs. Home side won last four series games; Saints lost 42-34/28-27 in last two visits here- last series road win was Saints’ win here in ’06. NFC North home underdogs are 4-1 vs spread. NFC South teams are 7-12 outside the division, 2-3 as road favorites.

Cardinals (3-3) vs Rams (4-2) (@ London)— LA beat Jaguars Sunday, stayed in Jacksonville for next 3 days- they head overseas Thursday. Rams lost 17-10 in England LY- they head to London atop NFC West. Rams scored 27+ points in all four wins, were held to 20-10 points in their losses. Cardinals gave up 34-33 points in last two games; they led Bucs 31-0 LW, before backup QB Fitzpatrick rallied the Bucs. Cardinals ran ball for 160 yards in Peterson’s first game as a Redbird, Arizona’s first cover in six games this year. Arizona won 5 of last 7 series games; Rams won the first meeting the last two years. Arizona is 1-3 vs spread as an underdog this year, are 2-6 in last 8 games when getting points; 4 of their last 5 games stayed under total.

Cowboys (2-3) @ 49ers (0-6)— 49ers haven’t won a game yet, but covered 4 of last 5, losing those games by 3-2-3-3-2 points. This will be Iowa alum Beathard’s first NFL start; his grand father was a great Redskins’ GM. Niners scored 23+ points in 3 of their last 4 games. Cowboys scored 30-31 points in last two games but lost both; suspension of RB Elliott figures to hurt the Dallas run game, exposing their defense even more. Cowboys split their two road games; they’re 7-3 in last 10 games as a road favorite. Dallas won 4 of last 5 series games; 3 of the 4 wins were by 7 or less points- they won last 3 visits here by 3-3-7 points, with last loss in SF in 1997. NFC East teams are 9-8 vs spread, 2-6 as favorites; NFC West teams are 6-9 vs spread, 4-6 as dogs.

Seahawks (3-2) @ Giants (1-5)— Giants ran ball for 152-148 yards in their last two games since re-tooling the offensive line; they’re just 9-29 on 3rd down in those games- their young WR’s will be greatly tested by stout Seahawk defense. NY went over their team over/under in 3 of last 4 games. Seahawks are 1-2 on road, with only win 13-10 in LA; they’ve held 4 of 5 opponents to 18 or less points. Seattle is 4-6-1 SU in last 11 road games, 1-5 vs spread in last six tries as a road favorite- they won last three series games, by 11-23-21 points; 2 of those 3 games were played here. NFC West teams are 6-9 vs spread outside their division, 2-3 as favorites; NFC East teams are 9-8, 7-2 as underdogs. Seahawks are 6-12 SU in last 18 post-bye games (3-1 in last four).

Broncos (3-2) @ Chargers (2-4)— Denver lost its only road game this season 26-16 (-3) in Week 3 in Buffalo; Broncos are 6-3-1 in last ten games as road favorite. Denver is 11-2 in last 13 series games, winning 7 of last 8, including 24-21 home win Week 1 this year- Broncos ran ball for 140 yards. Denver won 5 of its last 6 trips to San Diego. Chargers won last two games, both on road; they’re 0-3 in their temporary home, losing by 2-14-2 points. Only one of Chargers’ four losses was by more than 3 points; they’re 19-42 on 3rd down the last three games, and have 5 takeaways in last two games, after three games with no takeaways. Bolts are 2-8 vs spread in last 10 games as home underdogs. Over is 3-1 in last four Charger games,

Falcons (3-2) @ Patriots (4-2)— Rematch of last winter’s Super Bowl, when Atlanta blew a 28-3 3rd quarter lead; Falcons blew a 17-0 lead to Miami Sunday, their second loss in row after a 3-0 start. Atlanta was outscored 36-7 in 2nd half of last two games, and those were at home; they’ve got road wins in Chicago-Detroit this year, under Quinn, they’re 6-1 as road underdogs. Patriots allowed 33+ points in all three home games this year (1-2, 0-3 vs spread); they’re still 17-11-3 in last 31 games as a home favorite. Pats won last four series games; Falcons’ last series win was here in 1998. NFC South teams are 7-12 outside the division, 2-1 as road underdogs; AFC East teams are 9-5 vs spread, but 0-3 as home favorites. Over is 4-2 in Patriot games this season.

Buccaneers at Bills 10/22/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

by Thomas

Latest Odds : BUF -3 Total 39

The Tampa Bay Bucs have now lost two straight games heading into Sunday. Tampa Bay will head to Buffalo to take on the Buffalo Bills. The Bucs are 2-3 on the season and are 0-2 on the road this season. Tampa Bay has covered the number just two of their last nine times in a week 7 game.

QB Jameis Winston has been in control for the Bucs this season. Winston has thrown for 1,259 yards with 7 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. The Bucs ranks 4th in the NFL in yards per game and 31st in the league in yards allowed.


The Buffalo Bills return home to host the Bucs after losing to the Bengals 20-16 last week. The Bills are 3-2 on the season and are 2-0 on their home field. Buffalo has also struggled in week 7 of action covering just one of their last five.

QB Tyrod Taylor will be in control for the Bill once again this week. Taylor has thrown for 910 yards with 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Buffalo ranks 31st in the NFL in yards per game and 13th in the league in yards allowed.


Recent Betting Trends:
Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Buccaneers last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Bills last 6 games overall.


Free Betting Pick: Tampa Bay Bucs +3


The Tampa Bay Bucs are getting three points on Sunday. The Bucs and Bills are similar and leaving points on the board here in not a smart move. The Bucs offense is good and their defense should find some success on Sunday. Final Score Prediction, Tampa Bay Bucs win outright as underdog but grab the free points just in case 20-14.

Panthers at Bears 10/22/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

by Thomas

Latest Odds : CAR -3 Total 40.5
The Carolina Panthers lost to the Eagles last Thursday night and have had plenty of time to prepare as they head into Chicago to take on the Bears on Sunday. The Panthers are 4-2 on the season and are 3-0 on the road this season. Carolina currently holds the top spot in the NFL South.

The Panthers are led by QB Cam Newton. Newton has thrown for nine touchdowns this season and eight interceptions. Newton has three fumbles and has completed just 64.5 percent of his passes. The Panthers have covered six of their last seven against the Bears.


The Chicago Bears finally show some signs off life as they beat the Ravens on the road last week. The Bears are 2-3 on the season and are 1-2 on their home field. Chicago has not covered the spread in their last four games played in week 7.

Rookie QB Mitch Trubisky will make his third start for the Chicago Bears. Trubisky has completed 48.8 percentage of his throws this season. Trubisky has thrown for two touchdowns and one interception
.
Recent Betting Trends:
Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Bears are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 21-10-1 in Panthers last 32 vs. NFC.
Under is 4-0 in Bears last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.


Free Betting Pick: Carolina Panthers -3


The Panthers have played some of their best football on the road this season. Carolina is laying points on the road and they should bounce back for a big win this week. Carolina owns this series and will find a way to win. Final Score Prediction, Carolina Panthers win and cover ATS 35-17.

Titans at Browns 10/22/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

by Eddie

Latest Odds : TEN -5.5 Total 46.5

In week seven NFL football action, the Tennessee Titans will invade FirstEnergy Stadium to tackle the Cleveland Browns. The Titans have split their first six games overall and are currently in a first place tie with Jacksonville atop the AFC South Division standings. On Monday night, Tennessee scored 21 fourth quarter points to rally for a 36-22 home victory versus Indianapolis. Marcus Mariota returned from a hamstring injury to throw for 306 yards and a touchdown.

Through six games, Tennessee ranks 17th in total offense and is scoring 24.3 points on average. Cleveland is improved on defense, ranking 8th in yards allowed and giving up 26.2 points per game.


It is becoming another lost season for the Cleveland Browns, who have dropped their first six games overall. On Sunday, Cleveland trailed by 30 points entering the final quarter before adding two scores late during a 33-17 loss at Houston. The Browns managed just 247 yards of total offense and turned the ball over three times on the afternoon. Cleveland RB Isaiah Crowell rushed 12 times for 58 yards in a losing effort.

For the season, Cleveland ranks 25th in total offense and their 15.7 points per game output is second worst in the league. Tennessee counters with a defense that ranks 17th in yards allowed and surrenders 27.8 points per contest.


Recent Betting Trends:
Tennessee is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road.
Tennessee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.
Cleveland is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee's last 10 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home.


Free Betting Pick: Cleveland Browns +5.5


Tennessee rookie WR Corey Davis (hamstring) missed Monday night’s game and could be held out through the Week 8 bye. The Titans are the better team, but Mariota’s injury prevents him from being a dual threat. Look for the Browns to keep this close and cover the number on Sunday. Final Score Prediction, Tennessee Titans win but fall short ATS 24-23.

Jaguars at Colts 10/22/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

by Eddie

Latest Odds : JAX -3 Total 44

Lucas Oil Stadium will play host to a week seven NFL clash between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Indianapolis Colts. Jacksonville has split their first six games overall and is currently in a tie with Houston for the AFC South Division lead. On Sunday, the Jaguars allowed two special teams touchdowns during a 27-17 home loss versus the Los Angeles Rams. Rookie RB Leonard Fournette rushed for 130 yards and a touchdown in a losing effort.

Through six games, Jacksonville ranks 17th in total offense and is scoring 26 points on average. The Colts are one of the worst defenses in the league, ranking 30th in yards allowed and surrendering a league worst 32.5 points per game.


The Indianapolis Colts have yet to suit up injured quarterback Andrew Luck and have dropped four of their first six games overall. On Monday night, Indianapolis led by four points entering the fourth quarter before falling at Tennessee by a 36-22 final score. The Colts were outgained by a 473-297 margin on the night. John Simon scored on a 26-yard interception return for a touchdown early in the third quarter to give Indianapolis a 19-9 lead.

For the season, Indianapolis ranks 30th in total offense and is scoring 19.8 points on average. Jacksonville is one of the tougher defensive units in the league, ranking 9th in yards allowed and giving up 18.3 points per game.


Recent Betting Trends:
Jacksonville is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games.
Jacksonville is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road.
Indianapolis is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Jacksonville.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 8 games at home.


Free Betting Pick: Indianapolis Colts +3


Jacksonville RB Leonard Fournette is listed as questionable with an ankle injury, but is reportedly expected to play. Indianapolis ranks 15th against the run and stopping Fournette will be the number one goal. Take the Colts to win as an outright underdog at home on Sunday. Final Score Prediction, Indianapolis Colts win and cover ATS 23-20.

Ravens at Vikings 10/22/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

by Adam

Latest Odds : MIN -5.5 Total 39.5

There's already a feeling that Baltimore (3-3) is losing its grip on the AFC North, and the Steelers could run away with it. The Ravens dropped a disappointing game last week to Chicago, with an overtime field goal making the difference.

The last four weeks have been miserable for Joe Flacco, who has thrown just one touchdown pass and six interceptions over that span. His decline is discouraging for Baltimore, who doesn't have a good backup plan and is weak at multiple other positions. Flacco's 66.1 passer rating is by far the worst mark of his career.

One issue for Flacco and the team is a lack of talent to target in the passing game. So far, no Ravens receiver has reached 250 receiving yards. Mike Wallace leads the bunch, with 239 yards and a touchdown.


Minnesota (4-2) has rolled to three wins in its last four games, including last week's over Green Bay. That was a devastating game for the Packers, who lost the result and their quarterback, Aaron Rodgers. With Minnesota and Green Bay tied at 4-2 in the NFC North, the door looks wide open for the Vikings.

Case Keenum has done a solid job behind center for Minnesota. In the second week against Tampa Bay, Keenum threw for 369 yards and three touchdowns.

Keenum's favorite target has been Adam Thielen, who has reeled 38 catches for 489 yards. The former Minnesota Golden Gopher, who had 967 yards last season, will look to eclipse the 1,000-yard mark for the first time in his career.


Recent Betting Trends:
Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Vikings are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games on fieldturf.
Under is 3-0-1 in Ravens last 4 games in Week 7.
Under is 5-0 in Vikings last 5 games in October.


Free Betting Pick: Baltimore Ravens +5.5


After tough OT loss last week it's Ravens bouncing back with great defensive performance this week. Helping out Baltimore is the poor QB play of the Vikings back-up QB as Keenum just doesn't have the accuracy or mobility to get it done against pressure Ravens defense. Final Score Prediction, Baltimore Ravens win outright as underdog but grab the points just in case 17-16.

Jets at Dolphins 10/22/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

by Mike

Latest Odds : MIA -3 Total 38.5
The New York Jets (3-3) had won three games in a row before losing a narrow one last week against New England. New York lost a controversial call and fell, 24-17. The AFC East is bunched up, with every team at .500 or better.

One perpetual issue for the Jets is an inability to consistently run the ball. That showed against the Patriots, as no New York rusher had more than 22 yards rushing. As a group, they carried the ball for just 3.1 yards per carry.

Josh McCown has been solid behind center for the Jets this season, but costly takeaways have doomed New York in a couple of games. McCown threw for 354 yards and a pair of scores against New England, but he also was picked off twice.


Miami (3-2) has won back-to-back games behind tough defense. Despite the success, it likely makes fans wonder if this could have been a special year with Ryan Tannehill behind center. Instead of Tannehill, of course, the Dolphins have snapped the ball to Jay Cutler, who has completed 61.6 percent of his passes for 857 yards and five touchdowns. At best, he's been a savvy game manager.

Running back Jay Ajayi had his best output in any game so far this season against Atlanta last week. He carried the ball 26 times for 130 yards and 5.0 yards per carry. Ajayi gets a lot of attention without a strong passing attack in Miami, and each yard is hard-earned in 2017.


Recent Betting Trends:
Jets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Jets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Under is 8-2-1 in Jets last 11 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 5-0 in Dolphins last 5 games on grass.


Free Betting Pick: NY Jets +3


This Jets team has been the biggest surprise of this NFL season and once again New York gets it done as underdog. Only a bad call kept Jets from pulling monster upset last week - but New York did cover ATS taking them to 4-2 ATS on the season. Final Score Prediction, New York Jets win and cover ATS 23-20.

Cardinals at Rams 10/22/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions
by Mike

Latest Odds : LAR -3.5 Total 47.5

The Arizona Cardinals (3 - 3) are heading overseas this week in order to take on the Los Angeles Rams (4 - 2). Los Angeles is 'hosting' this game at Twickenham Stadium in London but both teams will have the crowd rallying behind them. St Louis is coming off of a nice win over Jacksonville while Arizona just scored a big win over Tampa Bay. This is an important game for the NFC West standings.

Arizona is riding high off of a big win and the return of their ground game. Adrian Peterson, recently acquired from New Orleans, rumbled for 134 yards and a pair of scores last week against Tampa Bay. Arizona has now won two of their past three games. Arizona is averaging just 20 PPG on offense this year but we expect that number to improve with the addition of a real rushing attack.


Los Angeles has easily been one of the more surprising teams this season thanks to the evolution of QB Jared Goff (1,484 yards, 8 TD, 3 INT). Goff and the Rams have been putting up points in droves while actually playing decent defensively. Los Angeles is scoring 30 PPG on offense this year thanks to a well-rounded offense with a revitalized Todd Gurley (521 yards, 4 TDs). Los Angeles is giving up 23 PPG to opposing teams so far this season. Los Angeles and Arizona are built in much the same way.


Recent Betting Trends:
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Cardinals last 9 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Rams last 6 vs. NFC.


Free Betting Pick: Los Angeles Rams -3.5


Not a fan of the way this Cardinals team has played overall and even last weeks win can't change our mind. Think Arizona offense on the road will struggle to keep up with high scoring Rams offense. Too much balance offense from Rams as LA wins by double digits. Final Score Prediction, LA Rams win and cover ATS 27-17.

Saints at Packers 10/22/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

by Adam

Latest Odds : NO -6 Total 47.5

The New Orleans Saints (3 -2, 2 - 1 Away) are hitting the road in order to take on the hometown Green Bay Packers (4 - 2, 3 - 0 Home). Green Bay will be taking to Lambeau Field a week after losing star QB Aaron Rodgers for potentially the rest of the season due to a broken collarbone. New Orleans comes into this game off of a hard fought win over Detroit. Both teams need to start racking up victories to make a playoff run.

New Orleans will be visiting Green Bay with one of the best offensive units in all of football. New Orleans is averaging 29 PPG so far this season thanks to an incredible year by Drew Brees (1,321 yards, 10 TD, 2 INT). Brees has been on fire this season and the growth of the New Orleans running game has made everything so much easier. New Orleans is struggling defensively, however, as the Saints are surrendering 23 PPG to opposing squads this year.


Green Bay will be relying on a back up QB to take over on a short week in this contest. Green Bay will likely limit their playbook and lean heavily on their running game, including new lead back Aaron Jones (215 yards, 2 TDs). Green Bay was scoring 25 PPG as a team this year but that number is going to take a nosedive without Rodgers in the line up.


Recent Betting Trends:
Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 7.
Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games in Week 7.
Over is 4-1 in Packers last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.


Free Betting Pick: New Orleans Saints -6


The Packers have decided to stick with back-up QB Hundley instead of trying to acquire a veteran to replace injured superstar Aaron Rodgers - spells big trouble this week. This Saints team would have been tough for Packers to beat with healthy Rodgers as New Orleans offense is on fire right now. Final Score Prediction, New Orleans Saints win and cover ATS 30-20.

Seahawks at Giants 10/22/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

by Mike

Latest Odds : SEA -6 Total 38.5

The Giants finally got a win after five straight losses. Whether they can keep that momentum going will be the question when the host Seattle next weekend. The Giants are 1-5 and did better on offense last weekend. Seattle hs now on tow straight and is 3-2, keeping pace in the NFC West.

The Seahawks have been playing good defense, holding opponents to 17.4 points per game while scoring 22 per game. Seattle is close to the average on offense, averaging 228 yards passing and 109 yards rushing. The Seahawks have had some injuries, especially on the offensive line.


The Giants are next to last in the league in scoring, averaging 17.2 points, and giving up 22 per game. The Giants have been reeling, and the loss of Odel Beckham Jr., has not helped. Eli Manning has passed for 1466 yards, nine touchdowns, and five interceptions. Orleans Darkwa lead the team in rushing with 239 yards, and he has the only two touchdowns the Giants have on the ground through six games.

Giants coach Ben McAdoo let offensive coordinator Mike Sullivan call the plays last Sunday, and that seemed to boost the Giants' offense in yardage if not on the scoreboard. The Giants scored 23, and New York has scored between 22 and 24 each of the last four games.

Seattle is led by Russell Wilson who has 1222 yards passing, eight touchdowns and three interceptions. Chris Carson has rushed for 208 yards, and Wilson has run for 154. The Seahawks have two rushing touchdowns and have given up four.


Recent Betting Trends:
Seahawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Giants are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 7.
Over is 5-0 in Seahawks last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.


Free Betting Pick: Seattle Seahawks -6


The Giants surprised everyone to get first win last week but don't think New York in short week will be able to repeat that game plan. Seahawks great defense will smother Manning and Giants as Seattle wins easy. Final Score Prediction, Seattle Seahawks win and cover ATS 26-16.

Cowboys at 49ers 10/22/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions
by Adam

Latest Odds : DAL -6 Total 47

The 49ers are winless, but they have had a lot of close games, so it may be a matter of time before they get that first win. San Francisco hosts the 2-3 Dallas Cowboys this week, and the Cowboys have had their own struggles, losing the last two games. San Francisco has lost by three or fewer points in each of the last five games, losing them all by a combined 13 points.

The Cowboys have struggled more on the defensive end lately, giving up 35 points in each of the last two games, both of which were losses. Dallas is ninth in the league in scoring at 25 points per game, but next to last on defense, giving up 26.4 per game.


Ezekiel Elliot is averaging 30 fewer yards per game, and has just two touchdowns through five games, as opposed to five at this time last year. He has still rushed for 393 yards. Dak Prescott has passed for 1192 yards and 11 touchdowns. Dez Bryand has 264 yards and three touchdowns receiving. Whether Elliot will be available remains to be seen as his suspension was upheld, and will now be reviewed again.

The 49ers are averaging 226 yards passing and 94 rushing. The team is scoring 18.8 points per game and giving up 24.3. Brian Hoyer has passed for 1245 yards and four touchdowns with four interceptions. Carlos Hyde has run for 360 yards, and Pierre Garcon has 434 yards receiving. The 49ers have scored five times passing, and have given up nine passing touchdowns.


Recent Betting Trends:
Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 7.
49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Under is 12-3 in Cowboys last 15 road games.
Over is 5-1 in 49ers last 6 games in October.


Free Betting Pick: San Francisco 49ers +6


This Cowboys team looks like it will be without superstar RB Ezekial Elliott and that makes this game very close. Bad defense of Dallas allows young 49ers to keep their great ATS record going (4-2 ATS). Final Score Prediction, Dallas Cowboys win ugly game but fall short ATS 26-24.