Don't want you to think I am hijacking here Mike.

A site I use alot for college hoops is www.kenpom.com (Ken Pommeroy) he has a ranking that rivals the Sagarin system that is usally pretty solid. He puts out a projected score of teh game and % of probability.

Here is a link to this game: http://kenpom.com/sked.php?team=New%20Mexico%20St.&t=p