Spylock
Baltimore 1 unit



colin cowherd:

ravens
panthers
eagles
steelers



DOC sports

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

4 Unit Play. #5 Take Baltimore Ravens +3 over Tennessee Titans





KELSO

2008 PERSONAL BEST FOOTBALL CLUB
Saturday, January 10, 2009
NFL Playoff Game Of The Year
100 Units
Titans (-3) over Ravens
4:30 PM -- AFC Divisional Playoffs - LP Field
Tennessee by 7-10
TV: CBS Comments: The first thing one must consider in this American Football Conference showdown is the weather, and it could be downright dreadful. The weather forecast calls for an 80% chance of rain, with a game-time temperature of 45 degrees and with winds out of the west-southwest at 13 miles per hour. That might put the damper on a team that figured to be a low-scoring battle between two ball control teams. Baltimore comes into this game 12-5 SU and 13-4 ATS while Tennessee is 13-5 and 12-4 in those categories, with the figures meaning both have played above expectations all season. However, there are three edges Tennessee, which beat Baltimore 13-10 in Baltimore in the fourth game of the season, has that I believe will make the difference. 1. While both teams have excellent running games, the efficiency of the quarterback is going to be a major factor—and Tennessee has a big edge with the grizzled and seasoned old pro in Kerry Collins. He is no world-beater but he does not make the mistakes that get teams beaten. As much respect as I have for Baltimore rookie Joe Flacco, he will be facing a one of the most aggressive defenses in the NFL and it has not been lost on me that he completed 9-of-23 passes for just 135 yards in last week’s playoff win over Miami. The Titans are no Miami, to say the least. 2. Tennessee had last week off to get ready for this while the Ravens had to play in the wild-card round at Miami. A rested team this deep into the season always has some edge. 3. Tennessee is at home. Both these teams play great defense, with Tennessee giving up just 14.9 points and 293.6 yards per game and Baltimore surrendering just 14.6 points 261.9 yards per outing. The quality of defensive play almost insures a close game and I believe the Titans have a far better chance of taking Flacco out of the game than the Ravens have of rattling Collins.
Mostly cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 45.




Al DeMarco

10 Dime Tenn

He suggest buying to -2 1/2.





ATS Financial pick is up:

3 Unites UNDER 34 Tennessee/Baltimore






Steve Budin

25 dime teaser - Carolina/Steelers 6 pt teaser





January 10 2009
Frank Patron First Ever 50000 Unit Lock

Frank Patron
First Ever 50000 Unit Lock
Baltimore Ravens +3





ASA

3* Arizona
3* Under 40 Eagles




ATS Lock Club
3 Ravens +3
8 Michigan St -7
8 N . Iowa -6
7 Arkansas -6
6 BC -2
2 Unit round robin parlay the above 4
5 Marquette -2.5

ATS Financial Package
4 San Diego St -3.5
4 Washington -4.5
4 Rutgers +7





Bob Balfe

NFL Football
Ravens/Titans Under 34
Both teams played in a low scoring game earlier this year and I expect exactly the same type of game today. The Titans have the edge on paper, but Center Kevin Mawae is out and that is going to affect the timing of the offense which will have the Ravens Defense licking their chops. Tennessee has an experience defensive line going against a Ravens O-Line that is very young. The weather will be cold and windy and this should be a classic defensive game. Take the Under.

Panthers -9.5 over Cardinals
In the earlier game this season the Panthers turned the ball over a bit and gave Arizona prime positioning to score. There is one thing that Kurt Warner isn't good at and that is playing in the cold weather. Also, in the last two cold weather games Arizona's Defense has gotten hammered for about 48 pt's in both. The Panthers are 8-0 at home and are a better team in every phase of the game. AZ will be without Boldin and if he does play he will not be a factor at all. The Panthers can key in on Fitzgerald and its going to be a long night. Look for the Panthers to dominate. Take Carolina.






Truschel 20 Tenn





John Ryan

Arizona at Carolina
Play = Over

Simulator shows a 74% probability that 50 or more points will be scored in this game. AiS also reveals an 85% probability that Arizona will gain between 350 and 400 yards, allow 6 or more yards per play, and allow 8 or more passing yards per attempt. Note that Arizona is 6-1 OVER this season and 13-4 OVER the past 3 seasons when they allow 6 or more total yards per play. They are 4-0 OVER this season, 10-0 OVER the past 3 seasons and 30-13 OVER since 1992 when they gain between 350 and 400 total yards. They are also 5-1 OVER this season and 10-3 OVER when they allow 8 or more passing yards per attempt. Arizona is also in a series of strong over roles for this game. Note that they are 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) versus good rushing teams - averaging >=130 rushing yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) versus good offensive teams scoring 24 or more points/game this season. Arizona is also in a solid power type of trend noting they are 15-3 OVER (+11.7 Units) after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992. Cardinals certain have their hands full having not only to play a rested Carolina team, but also having to travel to the Eastern time zone where they are just 2-19 and an imperfect 0-5 this season. Carolina’s OL and DL needed the BYE week and for the first time since week 10 – after their BYE – the Panthers will be playing close to 100% full strength. The Cardinals have offensive weapons that will make it difficult for Carolina to consistently contain throughout this game. Yet, the key to this over play is that Carolina knows they can score at will against this Arizona defense if they simply execute. They have NO other choice, but to assign CB Gamble to cover Fitzgerald, especially if Boldin is still not completely healthy. Warner knows how to read this at the LOS and even if Carolina shows zone matchup or Tampa-2, or even base cover-2, he can expect that to transition into man on Fitzgerald. Look for Warner to hook up with Fitzgerald on double move routes when he is on the strong side and has plenty of field to operate within. I also like a 3* amount on the first half line OVER as well. I would not surprised to see this game 24-17 Carolina at the half.






Spec K
Spec K 20 Villanova




Handicapper: Nite Owl Sports
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Arizona Cardinals @ Carolina Panthers - Saturday January 10, 2009 8:15 pm
Pick: 2 units ATS: Carolina Panthers -9.5 (-110)



While we are not wild about laying this many points in NFL, we still believe that Carolina is the best way to go in this game out of the four options (Carolina, AZ, over or under), as the "numbers don't lie," and Carolina has a clear edge in just about all of them except the one that is keeping this line from "crashing" the double digit barrier, that being the fact that when these two played in mid season in Carolina, the Cards played Panthers tough, losing by only 4 points and "pushing" ATS vs the consensus line for that game, in which they led 17-3 in third quarter before a series of costly mistakes did them in -- what else is new for Cards on the road TY, especially when playing decent teams in the eastern time zone? And that brings us to the first edge that Carolina has in this game, which is Arizona's miserable 0-4-1 ATS record (with average MOL/margin of loss 20 points) when playing road games TY in the eastern time zone. And it just so happens that the only meaningful road games played by cards TY (the four that they played vs teams with .500> W-L records, excluding rout loss at NE after Cards had already clinched NFC-West) were all played in the east. In those four representative games (at Wash, Jets, Caro and philly), AZ was a horrible 0-3-1 ATS, with an average MOL of 15 points. And conversely, Carolina was 4-0-1 ATS in their five representative home games, played vs teams with .500> W-L records (AZ, Denver, TB, NO and Atlanta), with an average MOV of 15.5 points in those five games. So combining and averaging these #s and records, we have a 7-0-1 edge for Carolina (counting earlier game between these two just once), with a projected 15 pont SU and ATS Carolina win. And while it's understandable to be reluctant to lay the big points (>7) against a decent team like Arizona, it should be noted that in playoff point spread records compiled for the divisional round over last 32 years (since 1976), the highest % of wins in any point spread category is for home faves of 7-9.5 points, with a 24-18 (57%) ATS record.We believe that one of the reasons for that good record is that in the playoffs, where there is no tomorrow unless you win, the faves rarely take their foot "off the gas pedal" when they have a late lead, like they often do in the regular season for various reasons. And this results in very few "back door covers" by heavy dogs in the playoffs.

Looking at the stats for this game, while we note that Arizona QB Curt warner played a very solid game in the earlier season match-up between these two, passing for 381 yards with two TDs and just one "pick," we have been really impressed with the development of Carolina's running game, particularly RB De Angelo williams, with 18 TDs TY and an average of 5.5 YPC. resulting in Carolina having one of the top running games in NFL at 145 YRPG on 4.8 YPC. While both teams' run defenses have basically similar #s, allowing about 110 YRPG on 4 YPC, the Arizona rush offense is just so-so, averagging only 73 YRPG on 3.4 YPC. In that mid-season match-up, Carolina outrushed Cards 120-50, and with panther rushing attack much more developed since then and with RB Williams still healthy, we project a 100+ yard rushing edge tonite for Carolina. Nor does it hurt that Carolina also has a significant ST (special teams) edge, being ranked #17 in STs as opposed to Arizona's crappy #31 ranking. The final edge for Carolina that we will mention is with the defensive comparison, especially when looking at the key stat of YPT (yards per point), where Carolina "D" has a very good YPT of 17, compared to Arizona's bad defensive YPT of 12.5. For those of you unfamiliar with the term YPT, Carolina's good YPT of 17 means that opposing teams need to gain 17 yards for every point scored against Carolina defense, while Arizona's bad YPT of 12.5 means that opposing teams need to gain ony 12.5 yards for every point scored against the leaky Arizona defense.

So based on the foregoing, we suggest a small (two unit) play on Carolina at -9.5 (but pass at -10>). We also like Carolina as "teaser bait" for one> 7 point teasers, teasing line down to -2.5 for Carolina and teasing Panthers to one or more of our other NFL picks for this WE, as well as teasing Carolina to the over in this game (with totals line teased down to 42.5 points or less). Once individual team totals lines are released for today's NFL games, we will update this pick write up for our subscribers, with at least one likely individual team totals play as well, along with some very solid second half betting strategy and guidelines for this late game.






North coast
4'* Over Ariz
2* Under Tenn
1* Tenn
1* Car





ATS Financial NHL

3* CAROLINA +190
4* BUFFALO OVER 5 1/2





TEDDY JUNE

NFL
Tennessee Titans

CBB
West Virginia Mountaineers
Miami FL Hurricanes





Matt Far go

Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky
Play Kentucky -8

Kentucky enters this game off a tough loss at Louisville in a game it could have easily won. The Wildcats came back late with a ferocious rally as they tied the game by going on a 7-0 run in fewer than 50 seconds but the Cardinals hit a three-pointer with 2.5 second left to pull off the win. Kentucky had come in on a five-game winning streak and it is starting to look more and more like the team to beat in the weak SEC. After an embarrassing loss to VMI and a blowout against North Carolina, the Wildcats are 11-2 their last 13 games.

Vanderbilt is hot with a winning streak of six games entering SEC action. The Commodores are coming off a 30-point win against Massachusetts, on the road no less. It was the first true road win of the season after getting beaten badly at Georgia Tech in their first. This makes just the third true road game of the season and Vanderbilt has never been a strong road team, especially within the conference. Things are not going to be very easy on Saturday.

Last season, Kentucky made a trip to Nashville and was hammered by the Commodores 93-52. It was its biggest loss ever in SEC action and its worst loss since losing to Kansas by 55 points way back in December of 1989. The Wildcats finished with more fouls (26) than made shots (17) and their 11 first half points were the fewest since scoring 11 in a game against Cincinnati in 1983. I am guessing that Kentucky has not forgotten that game and it will be out for some major payback.

Kentucky is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings in this series at home and the SEC has seemed to perk it up as it is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 SEC games. The Commodores as mentioned do not travel well and they are just 6-13 ATS as a road underdog of more than seven points and fewer than 13 points. Vanderbilt is also only 6-17 ATS under head coach Kevin Stallings after 15 or more games when playing a team that shoots more than 48 percent from the floor. Look for Kentucky to get its payback on Saturday. 3* Kentucky Wildcats


Harvard at Dartmouth
Prediction: Dartmouth

Reason: Harvard is coming off one of the biggest wins in school history as it upset Boston College on Wednesday. I put out Harvard as a 3* play but I certainly didn?t think it would win outright but considering that the Eagles were coming off a road win at top ranked North Carolina, it may not have been such a big surprise after all. Now Harvard must try and regroup quickly to open Ivy League action on the road. This line is no doubt inflated due to that win over Boston College.

Dartmouth is no prize but it could not be in a better spot here. This is more of a play against the Crimson than anything plus the fact that this rivalry has been home court dominated over the years. The Big Green have dropped five straight games so they do not come in with much momentum but they do come in hungry. In their last loss to Army, the Big Green opened up an 11-point lead in the second half, only to get outscored 21-4 over the final seven and a half minutes.

Dartmouth has been in a big shooting slump over the last five games, as it has hit just 34 percent from the floor and 27.5 percent from three-point range. Any good news from that is the fact that three of those games were on the road and it now faces a defense that is anything but good. Harvard allowed Boston College to shoot 43.9 percent from the floor including a mere 15.4 percent from long range. It was one of those nights where the shots simply were not falling.

Was the Crimson win over the Eagles a fluke? Of course it was. We get tremendous line value because if it as well as a great situation. Harvard is 0-7 ATS in its last seven Ivy League road games and is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 road games dating back to last season. Meanwhile, Dartmouth is 5-0 ATS in its last five conference games and the host is 5-2 ATS in the last seven games in this series. Look for Dartmouth to give the Crimson all it can handle, something Boston College could not do. 3* Dartmouth Big Green






Stu Feiner

10000 Dime High Roller Club
Pro Football Divisional Playoff GOY
2-0 with these ULTRA rare plays this year!

Carolina


2500 Dime High Roller Club Mismatch

Tennessee




NorthCoast

4'* Over Ariz (4.5)



ras


#570 Georgia State -2
#604 Wilmington +6
#646 New Mexico State -.5
#690 Montana State -3

All 1 unit plays





ATS Sports Club
NCAA Hoops Blowout Winner:

Michigan State -4




ATS Sports Club
$25 NBA Side Winner:

Utah Jazz -8




alatex
neb



lenny stevens
20 byu
10 nd



Stan Sharp | NFL Total Triple-Dime Bet
304 CAR / 303 ARI Over 49.0 BetUS
Analysis: Stan is Betting ARIZONA/CAROLINA OVER today. Neither team plays defense and both teams have very potent offenses. Stan has these two marching up & down the field with the winner hitting the in the 30's. Stan expects 58-62 points in this game. TAKE ARIZONA/CAROLINA OVER as STAN'S NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY




Fargo’s **9** CBB 81.1% TOP Revenge Play *BLOWOUT*
Pick # 1 UL Lafayette (2.0)