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Thread: Thoughts headed into week 1

  1. #1
    Senior Member Chico1856's Avatar
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    Thoughts headed into week 1

    I would love to see a weekly thread where everyone contributes what they can in terms of league/team trends for the upcoming slate of games and throws them into one, easy to use/find thread. As the week goes on I will be adding to this as time allows, and invite everyone to contribute any information they care to share.

    FWIW:

    Only 2 of the last 10 Super Bowl losing teams have made the playoffs the following year, 5 of the 10 ten had winning records SU, and 3 of 10 had winning records ATS. Things have started poorly for these teams, as the loser of the Super Bowl has gone 2-8 SU, and 1-8-1 ATS over the last 10 years.

    The last 9 SuperBowl Champs are 9-0 SU, and 7-1-1 ATS in week 1 defending thier title as Super Bowl Champions.
    “It is only when you see a mosquito land on your testicles that you realize that there is always a way to solve problems without using violence.”

  2. #2
    10 year vet Luke's Avatar
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    Re: Thoughts headed into week 1

    I'm not much for trends but I'll be willing to put my 2 cents in on any game anyone wants to hear about
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  3. #3
    215 Hustler Mr. IWS's Avatar
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    Re: Thoughts headed into week 1

    I usually get a long trend sheet emailed to me, Ill post it when I get it.
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  4. #4
    10 year vet Luke's Avatar
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    Re: Thoughts headed into week 1

    I'll try to find some also
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  5. #5
    10 year vet Luke's Avatar
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    Re: Thoughts headed into week 1

    Found a few for the thrus game


    at Pittsburgh Steelers by 5.0 Tennessee Titans O/U 35.0


    Pittsburgh Steelers are 76-56-5 ATS As Favorite (3 -> 6.5)
    Pittsburgh Steelers are 114-88-5 ATS As Home (All Lines)
    Pittsburgh Steelers are 58-42-4 ATS As Home (3 -> 6.5)
    Pittsburgh Steelers are 95-70-3 ATS As Home Favorite (All Lines)
    Pittsburgh Steelers are 47-31-2 ATS As Home Favorite (3 -> 6.5)
    Pittsburgh Steelers are 28-15-2 ATS After 4 Wins (All Lines)
    Pittsburgh Steelers are 17-8-2 ATS After 4 Wins (3 -> 6.5)
    Pittsburgh Steelers are 96-71-6 ATS After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)
    Pittsburgh Steelers are 74-96-1 O/U After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)
    Pittsburgh Steelers are 40-57-0 O/U After 1 Away (3 -> 6.5)
    Tennessee Titans are 111-89-3 O/U All Games (3 -> 6.5)
    Tennessee Titans are 108-84-3 ATS As Dog (All Lines)
    Tennessee Titans are 27-14-0 O/U After 2 Losses (3 -> 6.5)
    Tennessee Titans are 44-28-0 O/U After 2 ATS Loss (All Lines)
    Tennessee Titans are 26-14-0 O/U After 2 ATS Loss (3 -> 6.5)
    Tennessee Titans are 44-29-4 ATS After 2 Unders (All Lines)
    Tennessee Titans are 26-12-3 ATS After 2 Unders (3 -> 6.5)
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  6. #6
    Senior Member Chico1856's Avatar
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    Re: Thoughts headed into week 1

    -- Falcons covered 13 of last 18 against AFC teams.
    -- Ravens covered 23 of last 29 as non-divisional home favorite.
    -- Cowboys are 6-2 vs spread as a non-divisional road favorite.
    -- Bengals covered four of last five season openers.
    -- Rams are 0-8-1 vs spread in first road game the last nine years.
    -- Saints covered four of last 17 when giving 7.5 or more points
    “It is only when you see a mosquito land on your testicles that you realize that there is always a way to solve problems without using violence.”

  7. #7
    Senior Member Chico1856's Avatar
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    Re: Thoughts headed into week 1

    Some Nuggets from Marc Lawrence Playbook:

    Cincy is 8-18 ATS In home Openers

    Colts are 2-7 ATS as division Home favorites of 6 or more points / Jacksonville 8-2 ATS in season openers

    Game One dogs that finished 4-12 or worse each of the last two seasons are 10-1 ATS ( this week applies to Cleveland, Detroit, KC, St. Louis)

    NFL teams who won one or fewer games the previous season are 24-12-1 ATS as dog of more than 10 points
    the following season – the same role in which Miami (+12.5) beat New England, 38-13, last season. Those same teams are 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in
    season openers when squaring off against non-division opposition.
    “It is only when you see a mosquito land on your testicles that you realize that there is always a way to solve problems without using violence.”

  8. #8
    215 Hustler Mr. IWS's Avatar
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    Re: Thoughts headed into week 1

    Bills are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in New England.
    Bills are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
    Bills are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
    Bills are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC East.
    Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
    Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
    Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.
    Patriots are 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 vs. AFC East.
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