Page 5 of 30 FirstFirst ... 234567891015 ... LastLast
Results 81 to 100 of 591

Thread: UFC 109 Discussion

  1. #81
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Feb 2010
    Posts
    510
    Rep Power
    0

    Re: UFC 109 bets

    The max I put on one fight is 25u. The past 2 years i am 31-5 on picks that I bet more than 10u on, so it has been working for me. I understand why not to and thanks for the input. I feel strongly that Couture wins this better than 90%, so i am comfortable with my bet.

  2. #82
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Feb 2010
    Posts
    510
    Rep Power
    0

    Re: UFC 109 Discussion

    Quote Originally Posted by Luke
    The Coleman -Couture fight will go much like the Coleman-Rua II fight went imo
    But Couture wont be gassed like Rua was.

  3. #83
    Senior Member Ludo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    4,932
    Rep Power
    35

    Re: UFC 109 bets

    8.5u to win 5.5u parlay on Marquardt and Maia at -350 each
    3u to win 3.3u on Frank Trigg at +110
    1u to win 3u on Mark Coleman at +300

    and when a line comes out on Rolles Gracie I'll probably toss a unit on him as well provided his line is under -200
    2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
    Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
    Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
    Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

    2012: +20.311u

  4. #84
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    18,303
    Rep Power
    79

    Re: UFC 109 bets

    Quote Originally Posted by LudoCain
    and when a line comes out on Rolles Gracie I'll probably toss a unit on him as well provided his line is under -200
    Try -550 on bodog.

  5. #85
    Senior Member Ludo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    4,932
    Rep Power
    35

    Re: UFC 109 bets

    Christ... I would have hoped he wasn't THAT much of a favorite. I know it's Mustapha Al Turk but shit. Scratch that, I won't be putting anything on Gracie then unless I can get better odds somewhere, I'll have to look around.
    2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
    Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
    Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
    Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

    2012: +20.311u

  6. #86
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2009
    Posts
    9,857
    Rep Power
    47

    Re: UFC 109 bets

    Quote Originally Posted by LudoCain
    Christ... I would have hoped he wasn't THAT much of a favorite. I know it's Mustapha Al Turk but shit. Scratch that, I won't be putting anything on Gracie then unless I can get better odds somewhere, I'll have to look around.
    Rolles is actually fighting Joey Beltran now.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  7. #87
    Senior Member Ludo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    4,932
    Rep Power
    35

    Re: UFC 109 bets

    Damn it all. Might as well stick him in there with big Cabbage(yes I know Cabbage is long gone from the UFC but you get My point)
    2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
    Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
    Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
    Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

    2012: +20.311u

  8. #88
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Feb 2010
    Posts
    510
    Rep Power
    0

    Re: UFC 109 bets

    Quote Originally Posted by Thewiseman
    So far I have:
    Couture 22.3u to win 5.8u
    Couture wins inside the distance .3u to win .8u
    Serra .4u to win .3u
    Serra wins inside the distance .16u to win .5u
    Sonnen wins by decision .3u to win 1.5u
    Dan Miller wins by decision .16u to win 1.6u
    Just added my parlays:
    Couture, Swick, Maia, Serra, Danzig, Davis, Tuscherer .5u to win 4.7u.
    Two parlays with futures both risking .03u with the same fighters + Torres
    And I always do a parlay with the whole card.
    Couture wins inside the distance, Sonnen by decision, Swick, Maia, Serra, Torres, Danzig, Emerson, Davis, Tuscherer, and Gracie .03u to win 23.5u
    So total parlay risk is only .59u, and for crazy parlays its .09u

  9. #89
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2009
    Posts
    9,857
    Rep Power
    47

    Re: UFC 109 bets

    Quote Originally Posted by Thewiseman
    Quote Originally Posted by Thewiseman
    So far I have:
    Couture 22.3u to win 5.8u
    Couture wins inside the distance .3u to win .8u
    Serra .4u to win .3u
    Serra wins inside the distance .16u to win .5u
    Sonnen wins by decision .3u to win 1.5u
    Dan Miller wins by decision .16u to win 1.6u
    Just added my parlays:
    Couture, Swick, Maia, Serra, Danzig, Davis, Tuscherer .5u to win 4.7u.
    Two parlays with futures both risking .03u with the same fighters + Torres
    And I always do a parlay with the whole card.
    Couture wins inside the distance, Sonnen by decision, Swick, Maia, Serra, Torres, Danzig, Emerson, Davis, Tuscherer, and Gracie .03u to win 23.5u
    So total parlay risk is only .59u, and for crazy parlays its .09u

    You are wild man.

    As to 31-5, @-400 on average you would only be up 2.5 times your bet after risking 25% of your bankroll 36 times.

    There is a better way.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  10. #90
    Senior Member Ludo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    4,932
    Rep Power
    35

    Re: UFC 109 bets

    Just out of curiosity, why Sonnen?
    2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
    Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
    Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
    Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

    2012: +20.311u

  11. #91
    Senior Member zY|'s Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2009
    Posts
    8,387
    Rep Power
    32

    Re: UFC 109 bets

    If any of you can use Pinnacle, check out Davis/Stann. HUGE arb available. Of course, it could be a mistake, but just FYI.

    http://www.bestfightodds.com/
    Triple-six killers in this motherfucker runnin shit

  12. #92
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Feb 2010
    Posts
    510
    Rep Power
    0

    Re: UFC 109 bets

    Quote Originally Posted by MMA_scientist
    Quote Originally Posted by Thewiseman
    Quote Originally Posted by Thewiseman
    So far I have:
    Couture 22.3u to win 5.8u
    Couture wins inside the distance .3u to win .8u
    Serra .4u to win .3u
    Serra wins inside the distance .16u to win .5u
    Sonnen wins by decision .3u to win 1.5u
    Dan Miller wins by decision .16u to win 1.6u
    Just added my parlays:
    Couture, Swick, Maia, Serra, Danzig, Davis, Tuscherer .5u to win 4.7u.
    Two parlays with futures both risking .03u with the same fighters + Torres
    And I always do a parlay with the whole card.
    Couture wins inside the distance, Sonnen by decision, Swick, Maia, Serra, Torres, Danzig, Emerson, Davis, Tuscherer, and Gracie .03u to win 23.5u
    So total parlay risk is only .59u, and for crazy parlays its .09u

    You are wild man.

    As to 31-5, @-400 on average you would only be up 2.5 times your bet after risking 25% of your bankroll 36 times.

    There is a better way.
    Yeah, that is true but most of those bets are far less than -400. To give you a couple examples of big wins last year
    Sanchez over Stevenson, Maia over Sonnen, Marquardt over Wilson G, Silva over Leites, Machida over Evans, Fitch over Paulo Thiago, Hendo over Bisping, Penn over Florian, Silva over Forrest, Stevenson over Fisher, Mir over Kongo. Just a few off the top of my head, Big losses were Liddell vs Rua, Cantwell vs Stann and Jon Jones vs Hamil

  13. #93
    10 year vet Luke's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2006
    Posts
    30,071
    Rep Power
    98

    Re: UFC 109 bets

    Quote Originally Posted by zY|
    If any of you can use Pinnacle, check out Davis/Stann. HUGE arb available. Of course, it could be a mistake, but just FYI.

    http://www.bestfightodds.com/

    must have been an error because I dont see anything.What were the lines?
    2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP



  14. #94
    Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Posts
    46
    Rep Power
    0

    Re: UFC 109 bets

    Quote Originally Posted by SPX
    Why Tuch and why so much?
    Tuchscherer has better stand up and was doing ok against Gonzaga until the huge nut shot. Hague has one UFC win over an inexperienced ground fighter in Barry. He showed a pretty weak chin against Duffee too.

  15. #95
    Senior Member zY|'s Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2009
    Posts
    8,387
    Rep Power
    32

    Re: UFC 109 bets

    Quote Originally Posted by Luke
    Quote Originally Posted by zY|
    If any of you can use Pinnacle, check out Davis/Stann. HUGE arb available. Of course, it could be a mistake, but just FYI.

    http://www.bestfightodds.com/

    must have been an error because I dont see anything.What were the lines?
    Actually the lines moved that much since I posted it. I wonder if they just changed it.

    Look at the line change graph.

    It opened at -230 Stann, +205 Davis
    Triple-six killers in this motherfucker runnin shit

  16. #96
    Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Posts
    46
    Rep Power
    0

    Re: UFC 109 bets

    Quote Originally Posted by MMA_scientist
    tell me something about Torres.. i am considering it as well
    Good takedowns. Should be able to get Guillard down with no problems. Half of his wins are by submissions.

  17. #97
    Senior Member zY|'s Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2009
    Posts
    8,387
    Rep Power
    32

    Re: UFC 109 bets

    Quote Originally Posted by The HOFF
    Quote Originally Posted by SPX
    Why Tuch and why so much?
    Tuchscherer has better stand up and was doing ok against Gonzaga until the huge nut shot.
    Haha this nearly made me fall out of my chair. Gonzaga kicked him in the nuts in the first 15 seconds and it was literally the first strike thrown by either fighter.

    I'm not saying it's a bad bet, Hague is awful and doesn't belong in the UFC, but cmon. Gonzaga beat Tuscherer like he had anally raped his mother and poured sugar in his gas tank.
    Triple-six killers in this motherfucker runnin shit

  18. #98
    10 year vet Luke's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2006
    Posts
    30,071
    Rep Power
    98

    Re: UFC 109 Discussion

    Dana White: UFC 109 co-headliners Marquardt and Sonnen fighting for title shot

    The winner of Saturday's UFC 109 co-main-event fight between Nate Marquardt (29-8-2 MMA, 8-2 UFC) and Chael Sonnen (24-10-1 MMA, 3-3 UFC) will earn a middleweight title shot.

    At today's UFC 109 pre-event press conference, UFC president Dana White confirmed the recent speculation and guaranteed the winner a shot at the belt.

    White, who emceed today's presser at Mandalay Bay Resort & Casino's Mizuya Lounge in Las Vegas, said he always considered the co-headlining fight a No. 1 contender's bout.

    "We always had it in mind," White said. "These are two of the top five [middleweights] in the world depending on what you look at."
    2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP



  19. #99
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Feb 2010
    Posts
    510
    Rep Power
    0

    Re: UFC 109 bets

    Quote Originally Posted by LudoCain
    Just out of curiosity, why Sonnen?
    Nate will probanly win, but with his wrestling Sonnen could grind out a decision.

  20. #100
    Senior Member Ludo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    4,932
    Rep Power
    35

    Re: UFC 109 bets

    Quote Originally Posted by LudoCain
    8.5u to win 5.5u parlay on Marquardt and Maia at -350 each
    3u to win 3.3u on Frank Trigg at +110
    1u to win 3u on Mark Coleman at +300

    and when a line comes out on Rolles Gracie I'll probably toss a unit on him as well provided his line is under -200

    added a 1u parlay on Tim Hague, Rolles Gracie, Mac Danzig, and Mike Swick to win 4.5u
    2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
    Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
    Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
    Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

    2012: +20.311u

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •