2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP
I got 1.5u on QJ at -120.
I don't think Evans is going to be able to hurt Rampage with his boxing, while Rampage may very well knock Evans straight the fuck out. Also, Evans won't be able to run a train on Rampage like he did to Silva for 2 rounds. Rampage's wrestling is too good. He doesn't use it much, but he'll be able to defend the takedown.
My only concern on Rampage's side is ring rust.
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I like Rampage also .
2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP
after seeing what Lyoto Machida did to Evans, barring total lack of conditioning and Rampage being unable to make the weight cut(since he had to put a bunch on to play BA Baraccus) I don't see much of a problem for him. Evans has totally abandoned his sloppy boxing and gone back to his bread and butter. Problem is that was Rampage's bread and butter before he got into MMA. Not even Hendo gave Rampage much of a problem with wrestling, I don't see Evans having a chance at it. I'll be putting My money on Rampage.
2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
2012: +20.311u
NOG opens about where we figured guys. A little higher than I thought but not too much
2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP
Not gonna touch Nog at that price.
When's everyone think Forrest starts holding value?
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What's everyone think about Leben VS Simpson?
Aaron proved in the Lawlor fight that he has a lot of holes in his striking . . . but he also proved that he has a pretty excellent chin. Leben might be able to put him out if they get into a stand up war.
Simpson's wrestling will obviously be much better and he may be able to control Leben and get a decision, but I think that at +285 Leben may be worth a small play.
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I wouldn't have thought about picking Leben before his last fight, but he showed he's willing to do what it takes to win and not just go out and brawl.
He's a much more experienced fighter than Simpson, and seems like quite a bet at +285. I mean there's a good chance he gets taken down and either controlled or has his guard passed and choked out again, but the line seems off.
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Originally Posted by SPX
I thought this line would be -150 so theres already value there imo .I dont think Forrest wins though
2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP
I agree. Leben seemed like a rejuvenated fighter in his fight with Jay Silva. I went ahead and dropped .5u on him.
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I like Nog at that a lot. I think he slaughters Forrest.
Triple-six killers in this motherfucker runnin shit
Originally Posted by SPX
I think Simpson should win but -340 is just nuts imo. Theres no way this line should be that high
2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP
I at first put a little something on Cain.Originally Posted by IWS Zak
Then I dropped, I think, 1.25u on Nog once his line hit -140. Now that he's actually the underdog at a couple of books, I'm thinking of putting a little more on him so that I'll at least make a full unit if he wins.
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^^big nog or lil nog?
Triple-six killers in this motherfucker runnin shit
Oh, my bad, I wasn't thinking.Originally Posted by IWS Zak
Lil Nog. . .
I hope Forrest wrecks his shit.
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No, not really. But if the same Forrest who fought Rampage shows up, I think he could win a decision.Originally Posted by IWS Zak
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I'm pretty sure there's only one incarnation of Forrest, just as there is no old or new Vitor. He's just Vitor.
Triple-six killers in this motherfucker runnin shit