7-9-10

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NSA

20 Boston Red Sox -135
20 LA Dodgers-145
20 Washington/SF Giants under 6.5

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LVSIT
Friday July 9, 2010

AllDaySports
MLB
1* Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Under 7.5

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Greg Shaker | MLB 07/09/10

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HOU 1.5 (+110)

one more big play will be added later

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Dave Cokin 7.9

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Cleveland Indians (Moneyline)
Dog of the Week

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CANADIAN BACON

Friday

Toronto Argonauts at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-11.5, 46.5)

It looks like it’s going to be another tough season for Toronto CFL fans. Once again the defense of the Double Blue held its ground in Week 1 for at least the first half against the Stampeders. But the offense led by QB Cleo Lemon, who was 16 in 28 for 192 yards, didn’t offer much.

Rookie receivers Jeffery Webb and Brandon Rideau dropped a few easy catches, and even sure-handed Jeremaine Copeland fumbled the ball after a catch. No, the Argos’ attack didn’t shine on opening night.

It’s a different story for Winnipeg. Blue Bombers QB Buck Pierce completed 17 of 25 passes for 291 yards and a pair of TDs without throwing an interception against the Tiger-Cats. Wideout Terrence Edwards also had a great game reeling in five balls for a couple of TDs. If Pierce and Edwards are given the opportunity, they will rip the Argos defense to shreds.

But the veteran QB will need more support from his O-line. Pierce got sacked four times and was hurried multiple times against Hamilton. That’s not a good sign for a signal caller who’s been injury prone throughout his career and especially vulnerable to concussions.

Also keep in mind that defensive end Phillip Hunt had a blast against Hamilton’s rookie RT Simeon Rottier last week with a career high three sacks, two tackles and a forced fumble. Toronto RT Chris Van Zeyl has only five starts in the CFL.

Pick: Winnipeg

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Ben lee had Np Thursday.

For Friday "Mr Chalk" likes the Dodgers -$140/Cubs.

"Mr Chalk" is 55-38 -$900 for the 2010 MLB season.

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executive comp-s.d.

250-oak

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NSA

20 Boston Red Sox -135
20 LA Dodgers-145
20 Washington/SF Giants under 6.5

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DEANO
HRC Smart Choice* Best Bets|Your Capping Agent-July 9th
Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*************************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*************************
[974] Texas |8*|+100|-1.5 Runs|Network N/A|8:05 pm EST
[967] Boston |5*|-127|-1.5 Runs|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST

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MJP Sports

SAN FRANCISCO 136
NY METS -104
MILWAUKEE -1.5 (139)
TORONTO 119
DETROIT -127
KANSAS CITY 145

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SSG

San Fran v. Washington 7:05pm
PICK: OVER 6.5 Game ev Best bet of the day #1
PICK: Giants ML + 143 Game

Cincinnati v. Philadelphia 7:05pm
PICK: OVER 9.5 Game +105

Atlanta v. NY 7:10pm
PICK: Mets ML +105 Game Best bet of the day #2
PICK: OVER 7.5 Game +105

NY v Seattle 10:10pm
PICK: Yankees ML -105 Game

3 Team Parlay for
Padres ML +143 Game
OVER 8.5 Rays Game +105
Jays ML +120 Game

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SPORTS WAGERS / RANDALL




Florida/ARIZONA under 9 Pinnacle

The D-Backs and Marlins rank 1st and 2nd, respectively, in strikeouts in the NL, and with two power pitchers on the mound, there’s likely going to be a lot of whiffs in this game. That’s always good for the under. Don’t even think about Haren’s 4.38 ERA. Rather, concentrate on the differential between his ERA and his xERA (3.48) and feel confident that a positive correction is coming. Fact is, Haren's control, domination and BPV (137) are Elite with a capital "E". The fly in the ointment? Haren is giving up bombs at an unprecedented rate (1.6 HR/9). You can bet that corrects itself as well. Then there’s Ricky Nolasco, who is similar to Haren in that his ERA is higher than it should be. Nolasco’s ERA over his lat five starts (4.91) is a complete illusion, as his xERA is 2.38. Nolasco has been pummeled by an unfavorable hit percentage and strand percentage. Like Haren, he, too, has pinpoint control, as evidenced by his 19 walks in 103.2 innings. Bottom line is that the surface stats don’t reflect this elite-pitching match-up and therefore we get a very beatable number to go under against. Play: Florida/Arizona under 9 (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).



HOUSTON +1.85 over St. Louis Pinnacle

What we have here is the majors most overvalued team, the Cards, playing the majors most undervalued team, the Astros and the result is an inflated line. Hopefully, the Cards will be favored in all three games so that we can all get some great value over this weekend. Even with such a horrible record, the Astros have won four of six from the Cardinals this season, all at Busch Stadium, and swept St. Louis during a three-game set May 11-13. Bud Norris (75 BPV, 5-0-2-3-4 PQS) has made encouraging back-to-back starts since returning from a DL stint for right biceps tendinitis. Norris has faced the Cardinals twice this season, compiling a 0.69 ERA and 182 BPV (see the bottom of this page for an explanation of BPV and PQS). Adam Wainwright is an elite pitcher. He’s been incredibly consistent with his skills this season (despite a recent rough start against Toronto), posting month-by-month BPV scores of 103, 143 and 110. He can dominate, anytime, anywhere and certainly can do that here. However, this isn’t about playing against Wainwright at all. It’s about taking back +1.85 on the Astros against a team they can beat and that is way overpriced. Incidentally, the Cards have lost three, six of eight and its pen is in bad shape after a three-game set in Colorado while the Astros have won three straight and its pen is in good shape after playing the feeble Pirates. Play: Houston +1.85 (Risking 2 units).



Baltimore +2.15 over TEXAS Pinnacle

We’re going to split this up and play the Orioles in the first five and the full game because of an O’s bullpen that cannot be trusted, especially at this park. Anyway, what is true is that Scott Feldman should not be better than a 2-1 favorite over anyone. Feldman is about as ordinary as they come and even that’s a stretch. He’s won five games all year for a team that’s won 50 games and it’s not because he doesn’t get run support. The Rangers are just 8-9 in games that’s he’s started, so he’s personally lost 25% of all the Rangers losses this year. Feldman is 0-2 in his last three starts with an ERA of 7.13. In three recent games vs Houston, Pittsburgh and Seattle, arguably the three worst offenses in baseball, Feldman lasted a combined 18.2 innings and allowed 30 hits for a BAA of .427. On May 20 he faced the O’s and they, too, hit him hard to the tune of 12 hits in six innings. Brian Matusz has made some great strides over his last seven starts. He’s coming off a two-hit, seven inning gem against the Red Sox. In fact, Matusz has allowed three runs or less in six of his last seven starts and right across the board his numbers are better than Feldman’s. Since June 1, Matusz has seen his ERA dip 1.20 runs and that’s a damn good sign. The Orioles are playing much better ball these days too. They’re scoring runs and they should have won three of its last five after blowing a late four-run lead against the Tigers on Tuesday. They beat the Rangers here last night and with a tag like this against Feldman, they’re definitely worth a shot tonight. Play: Baltimore +2.00 in the first five innings (Risking 1 unit). Play: Baltimore +2.15 (Risking 1 unit)

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World's Greatest Sports Betting Systems" 7-9

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Today's Selections




MLB Baseball Betting System A
Today's Selection(S)




San Diego Series Wins!
New Series Starts Today!
Selection#1 (Game#1) Kansas City +140 8:10 PM

Series in Progress!

Selection#2 (Game#2) Pittsburgh +1.5/-150 7:05 PM

Run Line Bet!



L.A. Angels Series Wins!
New Series Starts Today!












Selection#3 (Game#1) Florida +125 9:40 PM

Series Idle


Selection#4 (Game#1) NONE

Series Idle

Selection #5 (Game#1) NONE
Series Idle
Selection #6 (Game #1) NONE

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The Sharp Side 7/9

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Tigers (-120)

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GoodFella | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/09/10 - 9:40 PM

double-dime bet 964 ARI (-139) Sportbet vs 963 FLA
Analysis:
Both Haren and Nolasco MUST START

(2*) Double Star Play

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Win or Lose

952 WASH ML -151
955 ATL ML -111
957 STL ML -170
960 MIL ML -151
962 CO ML -166
966 LAD ML -151
967 BOS ML -131
969 MN ML +116
974 TX ML -217
974 TX -1.5 +100
976 CWS ML -152
979 NYY ML -101


PICK 4
960 MIL UN 9.5 -105
966 LAD UN 7.5 -110
972 TB UN 8.5 -105
977 LAA OV 8 -115

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Stephen Nover

Friday's Play
My 30 Dime Release is on the Tigers with both pitchers listed. Note that the schedulad pitchers must start in this game or else the selectiaon will be null and void. As this play is releastd at 9:15 AM Pacific, the Tigers are -130.

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Paul Leiner

50* Braves -110

25* Nationals -145

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Dave Cokin

Matchup: Cleveland at Tampa Bay
Time: 7:10 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) CARMONA, F vs. (R) SHIELDS, J

Play: Cleveland (ML +196)

You'll be hard pressed to find gigantic underdogs where everything looks great for the upset on paper. Certainly that's the case here as the Indians have lost three in a row and the red hot Rays are on a 6-0 streak. But I believe the road team has a real shot to get the shocker tonight. Fausto Carmona is seldom sensational, but he's generally reliable. The same cannot be said for struggling James Shields, who has had all kinds of trouble lately after tearing things up early. Right now, Shields simply isn't pitching well enough to justify his role as big chalk, and Carmona is a tough enough adversary to give the Tribe a real opportunity here. The big price is the key that gets me over the top and willing to go for the shocker with the Indians.

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ASIAn Executive

Vegas Arena Line Error of the Month - Orlando

Arena Parlay of Our Generation - Orl & Orl Over

Arena 0-2

CFL Total of the Year - Toronto Under



MLB First Half Lock of the Last 10 Years - Detroit Under