7-15-10

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LENNY DEL GENIO
ODDSMAKER EDGE
20* Minnesota -110

The White Sox were Red Hot going into the All Star break having won 25 of their last 30 games. Can the winning continue? We don’t think so. The worse thing that could have happened for the Sox is the three day break. Tonight they open a big four game series in Minnesota. The Twins now trail these first place White Sox by 3.5 games. Chicago sends lefty Danks to the hill tonight while the Twins counter with Slowey. Danks is coming off a great outing, a complete game shutout over the Angels where he allowed only two hits while striking out seven. However, Danks has struggled a bit on the road this season with a 4-3 TSR and a 4.29 ERA. For the Twins, Slowey has had an up and down season, but at home he’s been very effective this season with a 3.54 ERA and 6-3 TSR. In his last two starts he’s shown excellent control walking only one batter in each outing. This sets up a very strong situation for Slowey as he has a 14-2 TSR after walking one or less batters in his last two starts. The Twins come into this game having lost six of eight games, a situation that they are excellent in posting a 15-3 record over the last two seasons. Minnesota has owned these White Sox winning 16 of the last 20 games and we think they’ll beat them again tonight.

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NICK "BookieKiller" PARSONS

9* LA Angels -150

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the home side:

Doug Fisters heads to the hill for the visitors; Fister enters the second half with a 3-4 record and 3.09 ERA.

Although he had a decent outing before the break, I'm not reading too much into that start as he was 0-1 with a disturbing 9.35 ERA in his previous two outings.

And keep in mind that not only is Seattle 1-6 its last seven overall, its also a horrible 8-17 its last 25 on the road; 7-21 (-16.3 units) vs. division opponents.

In the other dugout: Joel Pineiro gets the nod for the home side; Pineiro is 9-6 on the year with a 3.95 ERA.

He's gone at least six frames in his last nine outings with a 6-1 mark over that span.

Pineiro has already beaten the M's this season and remember, the Angels are 5-0 their last five vs. the M's; also 33-29 (+2.7 units) vs. right-handed starters and 16-11 (+4 units) against division opponents.

Bottom line: Los Angeles has averaged 8.0 runs en route to winning five straight versus Seattle, and leads the season series 7-2; expect more domination here with the superior pitcher and the home field advantage.

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STREET ROSENTHAL of Handicappingtrends
58% for the first half of the season.

*200 Atlanta Braves -175
*200 Boston Red Sox -112
*300 Minnesota Twins -115

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JEFF BENTON
Thursday's Action

10 DIME selection on the Dodgers-Cardinals game staying UNDER the posed total in the opener of a four-game series at Busch Stadium. The total in this contest is a solid 7 across the board. As with all over/under wagers, the listed pitchers must start the game, so St. Louis’ Chris Carpenter and L.A.’s Clayton Kersoaw must go or this play is VOID!


Dodgers-Cardinals UNDER

Perfect setup for a low-scoring game here, as we’ve got two outstanding pitchers on the mound in Chris Carpenter and Clayton Kershaw and two offenses that figure to be sluggish coming out of the All-Star break (nothing like three days of partying to mess up a hitter’s timing, right?)

Kershaw comes into this one at 9-4 with a 2.96 ERA overall and 4-2 with a 2.61 ERA on the road. In his final three pre-break starts, the southpaw gave up just four runs on 15 hits in 20 2/3 innings (1.74 ERA), walking just two and striking out 25. That includes a 12-strikeout, no-walk performance a week ago when he led the Dodgers to a 3-2 victory over the Cubs.

Kershaw also has outstanding career numbers against the Cardinals, going 2-0 with a 2.35 ERA in six career starts (1-0, 0.60 ERA in two starts covering 15 innings at Busch Stadium). In 38 1/3 innings against St. Louis, Kershaw has 40 strikeouts and the Redbirds are batting .189. The final scores of those six games: 4-3, 4-1, 3-2, 3-2, 3-2 and 4-3.

As for Carpenter, he’s 9-3 with a 3.29 ERA on the season, including 6-2 with a 3.49 ERA at home. Most significant for the big right-hander are his day-night splits. He’s 3-3 with a 4.62 ERA when working in sunshine, but 6-0 with a 2.45 ERA under the lights. And like Kershaw has dominated St. Louis in his career, so too has Carpenter enjoyed great success against the Dodgers, going 5-0 with a 1.88 ERA in seven regular-season starts. That includes seven shutout innings in Los Angeles on June 8 (the Dodgers prevailed 1-0).

Take away his first career start against the Dodgers, and Carpenter has given up just five earned runs in 43 regular-season innings against L.A. (1.05 ERA). And his last three regular-season matchups versus the Dodgers have stayed under the total.

Finally, these teams have gone low in five of their last six Busch Stadium clashes.

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MATT FARGO

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT Premium Play
10* Pick: Money Line: 166 Milwaukee Brewers

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PROPICKSWEEKLY
5 UNIT Milwaukee Brewers +161
5 UNIT Minnesota Twins -115
5 UNIT Seattle Mariners +149

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DOC SPORTS
UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR
8* Atlanta Braves run line 1- +115

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LT Profits

Mets/Giants UNDER 7 -120

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B&S PICKS
1 DIME Atlanta Braves RL
1 DIME Texas Rangers ML
1 DIME LA Dodgers ML
1 DIME SF Giants RL
2 DIME BOOKIE BASHER Atlanta Braves under 8.5

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AL DeMARCO
Thursday's Plays

10 Dime play on the Cardinals and Carpenter over Los Angeles and Kershaw. Both scheduled starters must go for their respective teams or this play would be voided. As I release this selection at 1 AM Pacific, St. Louis is -125 in Las Vegas and offshore.

10 Dime play on the Twins and Slowey over Chicago and Danks. Again, specify both scheduled starting pitchers in this contest. The Twins are -115 as I release this selection.

10 Dime play on the Giants and Lincecum - 1 1/2 Runs over New York and Dickey. Again, list both pitchers. At this time, the Giants +125 on the Run Line as I check Vegas and offshore.

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LANCES LOCK

Pick: the Dodgers +110

Overall: 987-878-35

Current streak: 3 wins

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SPORTSVIZION

7:10 est | Texas Rangers -101 | T. Hunter

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VEGAS RUNNER
2-Cubs under 8.5
2-Cards over 7
3-Cubs -130
3-Red Sox under 9.5

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ANTHONY REDD
40 DIME NY Mets
20 DIME Minnesota Twins

[BKK]

vegas-runner | MLB Total Thu, 07/15/10 - 7:10 PM

triple-dime bet 909 TEX / 910 BOS Under 9.5 Sportbet
Analysis:
*** MLB 3* BEST TOTAL BET OF THE DAY ***

UNDER 9.5 (-105) TEX/BOS....(3*)....HUNTER vs WAKEFIELD

seriously ? everytime he labels a play it dies

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it's not a lost yet man, hope it works out for ya man!

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vegas-runner | MLB Total Thu, 07/15/10 - 7:10 PM

triple-dime bet 909 TEX / 910 BOS Under 9.5 Sportbet
Analysis:
*** MLB 3* BEST TOTAL BET OF THE DAY ***

UNDER 9.5 (-105) TEX/BOS....(3*)....HUNTER vs WAKEFIELD

seriously ? everytime he labels a play it dies

looks like you won by a .5 point..congrats!!