Daley 1u to win 1.7u
Kawajiri 1u to win 1.8u
Mousasi 1.94u to win .61u
Daley 1u to win 1.7u
Kawajiri 1u to win 1.8u
Mousasi 1.94u to win .61u
Parlay,
Mousasi, Aoki 1.25u to win 1.01u
Mousasi, Aoki, Askren .5u to win .58u
2u to win 1u on Diaz
2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
2012: +20.311u
added mixed parlay,
Aoki, Mousasi, Askren, Hieron .3u to win .52u
5u to win 1.06u "Not Daley by submission/Not Kawajiri inside distance/Not Beerbohm by submission"
.2u to win 1u on Diaz/Melendez/Mousasi/Takaya/Duarte
^^ yeah, that is why it is only 5u... I realize it is not a lock. Had I been able to find another "lock" I would have added it to the magic parlay bankroll which would have made it a 12u bet.
Naw, he will probably win by standing kimura.
I bet on Beerbohm as part of my parlay, but he is going to get hustled by Aoki in the grappling department. I actually did think about the guillotine, but Beerbohm has only gotten that on cans, and Aoki has never been subbed. That said, it would be funny if Beerbohm put Aoki to sleep. I can't stand Aoki and I would cheer if it happened, despite the fact that it costed me 5u. But it isn't going to happen.
1.5u - Ben Askren (1.2)
.5u - Mousasi (1.2)/ Askren (1.2)
3u - Mousasi (1.2)
0.5u - Hieron (1.25) / Askren (1.2)
0.25u - Daley by KO (3.5)
Because I don't see how he can stop Melendez. He doesn't have KO power on his feet, and he sure as hell isn't going to submit Melendez. So that leaves just the GNP TKO stoppage. But Gil can scramble and is not going to just get pinned down and pounded on. I just don't see it happening. I think his bet shot at winning is by slighty more top control decision win, similar to how he beat Thompson. Still, it is not a lock, I recognize that. It definitely could happen. But I am willing to pay -500 on it.
1 unit on Aoki @ -200
1 unit on Diaz inside the distance @ +120