Originally Posted by
MMA_scientist
yeah, I am not totally ruling it out. I have seen a couple of different systems that it would be plausible. But I don't think it would work at higher stakes. That is the problem, when your bankroll grows, you turn conservative. I think I told you about the guy that did the "turning $100 into $1500" in a year thread. It worked... and he could probably replicate a similar system at least much of the time. But the issue is trying to turn that $1500 into $22,500, even though it is theoretically the same, definitely changes the psychology of it all (and the logistics, since a lot of books won't take a bet that big). But I like to do little side projects like that too, because I definitely do not rule out the possibility that there are people who figure some shit out.
I shoot for a 100% return every year, +50u, but really, I don't see that happening very often. I think a more realistic goal is a 50%, +25u though... and even that is only possible because of my 50u bankroll. When my stack gets bigger, I will probably go back to a 100u bankroll, and then I will be looking at 25% growth, maybe up to 50% if I have a good year. Still, even if you get 20% annually, you are beating the shit out of any other investment in the world by a mile.