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Thread: Strikeforce December 17th

  1. #21
    Senior Member Vandelay's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vandelay View Post
    Line guesses for this event? I expect future lw and lhw ufc champs to be underdogs in this one (fodor and OSP). Santos will probably be north of -1000, I believe evangelista will be a dog as well.

    So Mousasi -160/OSP plus 140

    Wilcox -250/Fodor plus 225

    Santos -1200

    Noons -200/Evangelista plus 170
    Not too far off on the last 2. guess I overestimated how bookies viewed Mousasi. His line wasnt even this high against jardine

  2. #22
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by MMA_scientist View Post
    OSP is already down to +325 and dropping. I lose yet again for not diversifying my online accounts.
    Yeah..hopefully I win this OSP bet and I will keep that $ in bodog for 2012 for my increased bankroll stuff. I will try and keep a good amount in bookmaker, 5 dimes, and bodog. Bodog has been breaking odds often

  3. #23
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    I think OSP has a very good shot here. I do think Mousasi SHOULD win, but he is bipolar, sometimes he looks like total crap. Just because of that reason, OSP is worth a bet. Also, Mousasi is trying to be a boxer or a kickboxer now, his head just seems like he has checked out of MMA.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  4. #24
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    OSP should be much bigger (right?) and probably has a better reach and will be able to wear Mousasi out against the cage and take him down and all that stuff. Jardine was taking Mousasi down fairly easy too IIRC. The only downside of OSP is that he will probably gas late in the fight and get in trouble

  5. #25
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    Yeah, I think OSP will be bigger, Mousasi is a MW that doesn't want to cut. I think Mousasi SHOULD be better standing though- but it depends which Mousasi shows up. I am all over OSP at that line, as I think he has a great shot here, mush better than the line indicates
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  6. #26
    Senior Member mike's Avatar
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    I dont know much about these strikeforce guys but I saw Justin Wilcox's fight vs JZ and thought he looked good. what do u guys think of him vs Fodor?

  7. #27
    Senior Member SPX's Avatar
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    Wilcox will probably win via wrestling, but hard to call in my opinion. Fodor has done surprisingly well up to this point.
    I heart cock

  8. #28
    Senior Member mike's Avatar
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    3u on wilcox.

  9. #29
    Senior Member Vandelay's Avatar
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    Wilcox is tempting at those odds, but Fodor is no joke. He beat an equally good striker and wrestler last time out.

  10. #30
    Senior Member mike's Avatar
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    I just watched Fodor's last 2 fights. I think Wilcox keeps it on the feet and beats him up.

  11. #31
    Senior Member Vandelay's Avatar
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    If wilcox tries to keep it on the feet, he will most likely lose. Fodor just pushes forward till he gets the clinch. Unless Wilcox circles and backpedals the whole fight.

  12. #32
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    I think Wilcox will go back to his wrestling here and win a decision
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  13. #33
    Senior Member mike's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vandelay View Post
    If wilcox tries to keep it on the feet, he will most likely lose. Fodor just pushes forward till he gets the clinch. Unless Wilcox circles and backpedals the whole fight.
    Fodor doesnt hit very hard and he just walk toward his opponent. Wilcox is pretty light on his feet, moving around instead of backing up. i think he will be the stronger puncher of the 2 also.

  14. #34
    Senior Member Vandelay's Avatar
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    Nope, but he isnt a pillow puncher like bisping either. He beat a very good opponent in James Terry last time out, one that is probably a better striker than Wilcox is, by simply outworking him.

  15. #35
    Senior Member SPX's Avatar
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    I really would not be surprised to see either guy win this fight. If Wilcox fights smart, he'll just take Caros down. He could also win a decision on the feet but I could see Caros pressuring him and wearing him down over three rounds.

    Wilcox has looked great and beat the SHIT out of Rodrigo Damm. But Caros looked very impressive against Douglas and Terry as well.
    I heart cock

  16. #36
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SPX View Post
    I really would not be surprised to see either guy win this fight. If Wilcox fights smart, he'll just take Caros down
    I don't think it will be that easy though...it's a tough fight to call.

  17. #37
    Senior Member SPX's Avatar
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    Maybe not. I agree, tough to call. Should be a fun fight to watch.
    I heart cock

  18. #38
    Senior Member Ludo's Avatar
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    Full odds out:

    2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
    Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
    Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
    Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

    2012: +20.311u

  19. #39
    Senior Member Ludo's Avatar
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    I will bet the shit out of OSP if that line holds anything close to what it is now. I'm liking Noons' line as well. BOL at Cyborg opening at -800
    2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
    Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
    Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
    Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

    2012: +20.311u

  20. #40
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ludo View Post
    I will bet the shit out of OSP if that line holds anything close to what it is now.
    Where have you been?

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