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Thread: 11-26-11

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    11-26-11

    New Guys!

    Don’t be afraid to post services if you come across any. Anything you contribute will be appreciated, and your user reputation will grow (the green dots under your name.)

    Note:

    ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

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    SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 26



    Time Posted: 5:00 p.m. EST (11/23)


    Game 139-140: Ohio State at Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 98.211; Michigan 101.301
    Dunkel Line: Michigan by 3; 50
    Vegas Line: Michigan by 7 1/2; 44 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (+7 1/2); Over


    Game 141-142: Missouri at Kansas (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 102.158; Kansas 76.052
    Dunkel Line: Missouri by 26; 58
    Vegas Line: Missouri by 23 1/2; 61
    Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-23 1/2); Under


    Game 143-144: Rutgers at Connecticut (12:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 94.343; Connecticut 85.790
    Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 8 1/2; 45
    Vegas Line: Rutgers by 3; 40 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-3); Over


    Game 145-146: Cincinnati at Syracuse (12:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 87.037; Syracuse 89.232
    Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 2; 46
    Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 2 1/2; 49 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+2 1/2); Under


    Game 147-148: Michigan State at Northwestern (12:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 98.029; Northwestern 96.729
    Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 1 1/2; 55
    Vegas Line: Michigan State by 6 1/2; 51 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+6 1/2); Over


    Game 149-150: Purdue at Indiana (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 85.349; Indiana 72.316
    Dunkel Line: Purdue by 13; 51
    Vegas Line: Purdue by 7 1/2; 56
    Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-7 1/2); Under


    Game 151-152: Illinois at Minnesota (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 89.203; Minnesota 80.279
    Dunkel Line: Illinois by 9; 48
    Vegas Line: Illinois by 10 1/2; 44
    Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+10 1/2); Over


    Game 153-154: Georgia at Georgia Tech (12:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 103.606; Georgia Tech 99.388
    Dunkel Line: Georgia by 4; 49
    Vegas Line: Georgia by 6; 54 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+6); Under


    Game 155-156: Vanderbilt at Wake Forest (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 92.406; Wake Forest 91.839
    Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 1; 46
    Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 2; 49 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+2); Under


    Game 157-158: Clemson at South Carolina (12:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 87.768; South Carolina 97.573
    Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 10; 54
    Vegas Line: South Carolina by 3 1/2; 49 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-3 1/2); Over


    Game 159-160: Maryland at NC State (12:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 78.412; NC State 87.567
    Dunkel Line: NC State by 9; 53
    Vegas Line: NC State by 12 1/2; 49 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+12 1/2); Over


    Game 161-162: Duke at North Carolina (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Duke 79.458; North Carolina 96.237
    Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 17; 51
    Vegas Line: North Carolina by 13; 54
    Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-13); Under


    Game 163-164: Tennessee at Kentucky (12:20 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 89.555; Kentucky 86.382
    Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 3; 41
    Vegas Line: Tennessee by 7 1/2; 44
    Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+7 1/2); Under


    Game 165-166: Wyoming at Boise State (2:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 82.130; Boise State 111.430
    Dunkel Line: Boise State by 29 1/2; 65
    Vegas Line: Boise State by 33; 61
    Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+33); Over


    Game 167-168: Nevada at Utah State (2:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 89.613; Utah State 84.133
    Dunkel Line: Nevada by 5 1/2; 61
    Vegas Line: Utah State by 1 1/2; 65
    Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+1 1/2); Under


    Game 169-170: Rice at SMU (12:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Rice 72.367; SMU 84.302
    Dunkel Line: SMU by 12; 58
    Vegas Line: SMU by 14; 54
    Dunkel Pick: Rice (+14); Over


    Game 171-172: Alabama at Auburn (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 114.581; Auburn 98.194
    Dunkel Line: Alabama by 16 1/2; 51
    Vegas Line: Alabama by 21; 47
    Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+21); Over


    Game 173-174: Oregon State at Oregon (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 83.227; Oregon 120.353
    Dunkel Line: Oregon by 37; 60
    Vegas Line: Oregon by 27 1/2; 64
    Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-27 1/2); Under


    Game 175-176: Virginia Tech at Virginia (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 98.041; Virginia 98.227
    Dunkel Line: Even; 49
    Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 4; 45 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+4); Over


    Game 177-178: Penn State at Wisconsin (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 95.397; Wisconsin 111.209
    Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 16; 44
    Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 14 1/2; 48 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-14 1/2); Under


    Game 179-180: Texas Tech at Baylor (7:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 79.921; Baylor 101.608
    Dunkel Line: Baylor by 21 1/2; 74
    Vegas Line: Baylor by 13; 78
    Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-13); Under


    Game 181-182: Florida State at Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 98.480; Florida 97.596
    Dunkel Line: Florida State by 1; 49
    Vegas Line: Florida State by 2 1/2; 45 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Florida (+2 1/2); Over


    Game 183-184: East Carolina at Marshall (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 77.007; Marshall 81.190
    Dunkel Line: Marshall by 3; 58
    Vegas Line: East Carolina by 1; 53
    Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+1); Over


    Game 185-186: New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech (4:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 68.854; Louisiana Tech 94.430
    Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 25 1/2; 53
    Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 20; 59
    Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-20); Under






    Game 187-188: Memphis at Southern Mississippi (4:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 58.344; Southern Mississippi 104.356
    Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 46; 60
    Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 35 1/2; 56
    Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-35 1/2); Over


    Game 189-190: Air Force at Colorado State (6:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 85.910; Colorado State 74.158
    Dunkel Line: Air Force by 12; 51
    Vegas Line: Air Force by 16 1/2; 54 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+16 1/2); Under


    Game 191-192: Washington State at Washington (7:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 84.586; Washington 90.318
    Dunkel Line: Washington by 5 1/2; 62
    Vegas Line: Washington by 9; 65
    Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+9); Under


    Game 193-194: Mississippi at Mississippi State (7:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 74.283; Mississippi State 95.641
    Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 21 1/2; 50
    Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 17; 46 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-17); Over


    Game 195-196: Notre Dame at Stanford (8:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 97.381; Stanford 109.832
    Dunkel Line: Stanford by 12 1/2; 60
    Vegas Line: Stanford by 7; 58 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-7); Over


    Game 197-198: San Jose State at Fresno State (8:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 77.526; Fresno State 81.736
    Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 4; 60
    Vegas Line: Fresno State by 6 1/2; 64 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+6 1/2); Under


    Game 199-200: Iowa State at Oklahoma (12:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 94.559; Oklahoma 118.867
    Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 24 1/2; 69
    Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 28 1/2; 61 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+28 1/2); Over


    Game 201-202: San Diego State at UNLV (10:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 81.814; UNLV 70.048
    Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 12; 47
    Vegas Line: San Diego State by 16 1/2; 54 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+16 1/2); Under


    Game 203-204: UCLA at USC (10:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 92.790; USC 104.629
    Dunkel Line: USC by 12; 62
    Vegas Line: USC by 14; 58 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+14); Over


    Game 205-206: Tulane at Hawaii (11:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 55.668; Hawaii 80.443
    Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 25; 50
    Vegas Line: Hawaii by 16 1/2; 55
    Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-16 1/2); Under


    Game 207-208: Troy at Western Kentucky (12:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Troy 71.658; Western Kentucky 74.280
    Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 2 1/2; 57
    Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 5 1/2; 51
    Dunkel Pick: Troy (+5 1/2); Over


    Game 209-210: UL-Lafayette at Arizona (4:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 77.657; Arizona 90.644
    Dunkel Line: Arizona by 13; 56
    Vegas Line: Arizona by 14; 61 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (+14); Under


    Game 211-212: Florida International at Middle Tennessee State (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 81.121; Middle Tennessee State 64.951
    Dunkel Line: Florida International by 16; 56
    Vegas Line: Florida International by 8; 53 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Florida International (-8); Over


    Game 213-214: UAB at Florida Atlantic (4:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: UAB 64.032; Florida Atlantic 60.275
    Dunkel Line: UAB by 4; 45
    Vegas Line: UAB by 5 1/2; 50
    Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+5 1/2); Under

  3. #3
    Regular user timbob's Avatar
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    Doc Sports
    Thursday & Friday 0 - 3

    4* Take Purdue Boilermakers -7.5 over Indiana Hoosiers (Sunday 3:30 p.m. Big Ten)

    4* Take Northwestern Wildcats +7 over Michigan State Spartans (Saturday 12 p.m.)

    4* Take Wisconsin Badgers -14.5 over Penn State Nittany Lions (Saturday 3:30 p.m.)

    5* Take Michigan Wolverines -7 over Ohio State Buckeyes (Saturday 12 p.m. ABC)
    Top College Football Game of the Weekend.

    4* Take Minnesota Golden Gophers +10.5 over Illinois Fighting Illini (Saturday 3:30 p.m. Big Ten Network)

    4* Take Purdue Boilermakers -7.5 over Indiana Hoosiers (Sunday 3:30 p.m. Big Ten)

  4. #4
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    Robert Ferrringo

    6-Unit Take #185 New Mexico State (+20.5) over Louisiana Tech (4 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 26)
    This is our College Football Game of the Month.

    2.5-Unit Play. Take #176 Virginia (+4.5) over Virginia Tech (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 26)

    2-Unit Play. Take #175 Ohio State (+7.5) over Michigan (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 26)

    2-Unit Play. Take #178 Wisconsin (-14.5) over Penn State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 26)

    2-Unit Play. Take #184 Marshall (+1) over East Carolina (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 26)

    2-Unit Play. Take #182 Florida (+2.5) over Florida State (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 26)

    1.5-Unit Play. Take #196 Stanford (-7) over Notre Dame (8 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 26)

    1-Unit Play. Take #153 Georgia (-6) over Georgia Tech (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 26)

    1-Unit Play. Take #140 Northwestern (+6.5) over Michigan State (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 26)

    1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 57.0 Purdue at Indiana (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 26)

  5. #5
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    Winning Points
    27 - 27 1

    Preferred
    #130 LSU
    #154 Georgia Tech
    #140 Michigan
    #162 No.Carolina

    Best Bets
    #194 Miss.St
    #120 Ball St

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    Colin Cowherd

    Arkansas

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    POINTWISE PHONES:

    4* NCST

    3* Bama, Okl, Mich, Miss St, Nev, SCal, W. Kentucky

    2* Wisky, Northwestern, Colorado St

    BEST OF LUCK

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    Arlon Sports

    Saturday November 26

    NCAAF
    3* UCLA @ USC Play UCLA.
    2* Duke @ North Carolina Play North Carolina.
    2* Clemson @ So Carolina Play Clemson.
    1* Ohio St @ Michigan Play Ohio St.

    All picks are based on our 3 star ranking, 3 stars being the highest

  9. #9
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    Greg Roberts
    7* Game of the Year
    Michigan

  10. #10
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    TodaysPicks - paid picks

    11/26/2011 8:00 p.m. ET
    Stanford Cardinal -7 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish
    Notre Dame Fighting Irish

    11/26/2011 7:00 p.m. ET
    Florida State Seminoles -2.5 vs Florida Gators
    Florida State Seminoles

    11/26/2011 3:30 p.m. ET
    Wisconsin Badgers -14.5 vs Penn State Nittany Lions
    Penn State Nittany Lions

    11/26/2011 12:00 p.m. ET
    Michigan Wolverines -7.5 vs Ohio State Buckeyes
    Ohio State Buckeyes

  11. #11
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    Sports Betting Professor NCAAF Original 11/26


    12 PM EST
    169. Rice +13*

    3:30 PM EST
    161. Duke +13*

    7 PM EST
    179. Texas Tech +13*

    Rest of Games
    146. Syracuse +2
    148. Northwestern +6
    154. Georgia Tech +6
    164. Kentucky +7.5
    159. Maryland +11.5
    150. Indiana +7.5
    152. Minnesota +11
    156. Wake Forest +1.5
    176. Virginia +5
    182. Florida +3
    192. Washington St. +9
    195. Notre Dame +7

  12. #12
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    Gold Sheet
    KR 17 - 29

    Key Releases
    #127 PITTSBURGH by 3
    #157 CLEMSON by 6
    #160 NORTH CAROLINA ST. by 28
    #208 WESTERN KENTUCKY by 15

    Gold Sheet - CKO
    11* 6 - 3 - 1
    10* 20 - 17

    Priority Picks
    11#153 GEORGIA
    10 * #146 SYRACUSE
    10 * #190 COLORADO STATE
    10 #197 SAN JOSE STATE

  13. #13
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    NELLYS
    1=9-5
    2=4-8
    3=9-3
    4=7-3
    5=4-5-3

    Key Selections
    RATING 5 #138 ARIZONA STATE (-5½)
    RATING 3 #126 NEBRASKA (-9½)
    RATING 2 #133 BOSTON COLLEGE (+14)
    RATING 2 #112 BUFFALO (-1)
    RATING 1 #124 TULSA (+3½)
    RATING 4 #182 FLORIDA (+3)
    RATING 1 #152 MINNESOTA (+10½)

  14. #14
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    Sports Reporter
    B.B.
    25-25-1
    Rec.
    23-21

    Best Bets
    #135 UTEP
    #160 No Carol.St
    #163 Tennessee
    #178 Wisconsin
    #200 Oklahoma

    Recomended
    #116 Temple
    #154 Georgia Tech
    #145 Cincinnati
    #210 Arizona

  15. #15
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    Powersweep
    2*21-13-2
    3*=7-17
    4*=6-6

    Key Selections
    2* #125 Iowa (+)
    3* #129 Arkansas
    4* #171 Alabama
    3* #163 Tennessee
    2* #203 Ucla
    2* #179 Texas Tech

  16. #16
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    Red Sheet
    90=0-1
    89=13-7
    88=17-16

    RATING: #200 OKLAHOMA 89
    RATING: #194 MISSISSIPPI STATE 89
    RATING: #140 MICHIGAN 88
    RATING: #163 TENNESSEE 88
    RATING: #141 MISSOURI 88

  17. #17
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    Powerplay
    1*=11-3
    2*=12-8
    3*=19-19
    4*=52-42-2
    4.5=15-20

    4* #118 W MICHIGAN 50 AKRON 12
    2* #129 ARKANSAS 25 (+) LSU 37
    4* #145 CINCI 28 SYRACUSE 20
    4* #149 PURDUE 37 INDIANA 26
    3* #153 GEORGIA 30 Ga TECH 22
    4* #158 SO CAROL 36 CLEMSON 23
    4.5* #160 NC ST 29 MARYLAND 9
    4* #165 WYOMING 19 (+) BOISE ST 45
    4.5* #167 NEVADA 35 UTAH ST 31
    3* #174 OREGON 45 OREGON ST 14
    2* #179 TEX TECH 34 (+) BAYLOR 45
    4.5* #190COL ST 21 (+) A FORCE 30
    3* #197 SAN JOSE 32 (+) FRESNO ST 34
    4* #206 HAWAII 39 TULANE 14

  18. #18
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    Marc Lawrence - Playbook
    AA=6-9
    5*=5-5
    4*=7-6
    3*=3-6
    BB=2-1
    GOW=6-4
    INC 4-5

    Awe Angle
    4* #129 Ark

    5* #124 Tulsa

    GOW #127 Pittsburgh
    Inc St. #139 Ohio St.

    3* #178 Wisconsin

  19. #19
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    Week 13 NCAA Trends & Angles

    If you recall, we made some nice money the past few weeks by fading teams on long ATS winning streaks, first cashing in by fading Oklahoma State, and then by fading Stanford when they lost to Oregon.

    Well, there is presently a team that is on an eight-game ATS winning streak, so we must stick to our guns and fade this team this week. However, what differentiates this team for the Oklahoma States and the Stanfords of the world is that it is a low profile team that has been underrated all season - and that brings us to our first trend.

    Play against any team that has won seven or more games in a row ATS (43-28-2, 60.6% ATS since 1985): Teams that are covering machines like this are very popular among bettors, but as you might expect, the bookmakers eventually adjust for these popular teams to the point where they lose their value. It finally happened to Stanford and Oklahoma State in recent weeks and this angle is now 3-2 ATS this season. There is one qualifier for Week 13, and it is the Troy Trojans +6 at Western Kentucky.

    Play against any team that has won eight or more games in a row ATS (14-9-1, 60.9% ATS since 1985): This is obviously a small sampling, but it also give you an idea just how rare this feat has been over the last 26 years, as it is much more difficult to win eight straight games ATS than it is to win eight in a row straight up, as the books usually catch up after getting beat by the same team week in and week out. Well, Western Kentucky has actually covered eight straight weeks, so the Hilltoppers qualify here again.

    Play against any conference home favorite that was an underdog in each of its last two games (204-143-2, 58.8% ATS since 2005): These are oftentimes teams that are not used to being favored, and this record suggests that they usually cannot handle the pressure of being expected to win. Betting against these favorites in unchartered territory would have produced a nice profit of +46.7 units since 2005 based on one unit per play at odds of -110. This angle has one qualifier for Week 13, and it says to take Mississippi +17 at Mississippi State.

    Play on any conference home favorite coming off of six straight up wins or more (129-80-3, 61.7ATS since 2002): Yes, you read that correctly, this is an angle that has gone nearly 62 percent over 209 decisions going all the way back to 2002, and unlike most of our other angles, this system is not contrarian! A team that wins six straight games in the same season is usually a good team, as that is enough wins where not all the victories can be attributed to luck, and these teams should continue to succeed inside their conference. Add in home favoritism and the results have been rather phenomenal over a nice nine-year span, as you can see. This angle has one qualifying play in Week 13 with that being Louisiana Tech -19½.

    Play the 'under' if a team has lost at least six straight games straight up (142-99, 58.9% since 2005): We are not sure about the reasoning behind this phenomenon, but there appears to be a direct relationship in college football between long losing streaks and going 'under' in the next game. This appears to be a straight line relationship too, since the winning percentage of the 'under' has gotten better as the losing streak has gotten longer since 2005. There are eight qualifying 'unders' this week: Colorado State vs. Air Force, Duke at North Carolina, Florida Atlantic vs. UAB, Indiana vs. Purdue, Kansas vs. Missouri, Maryland at North Carolina State, Mississippi at Mississippi State and Tulane at Hawaii.

    Play the 'under' if a team has lost at least seven straight games straight up (88-57, 60.7% since 2005): Add a seventh straight loss to the previous angle and the 'under' percentage jumps to over 60 percent over 145 trials. There are five qualifiers from the previous angle that qualify here, with those being the 'under' in games involving Florida Atlantic, Indiana, Kansas, Maryland and Tulane.

    Play the 'under' if a team has lost at least eight straight games straight up (55-34, 61.8% since 2005): Add a eighth straight loss to the previous angle and we are now at almost 62 percent for the 'under' through 89 decisions. There are four qualifiers from the previous angle that qualify here, with those being the 'under' in games involving Florida Atlantic, Indiana, Kansas and Tulane.

    Play the 'under' if a team has lost at least nine straight games straight up (30-18, 62.5% since 2005): Remember what we said about this being a straight line relationship? Yes, we are down to 48 decisions, but it is still a straight line in regards to the 'under' percentage when going from six straight losses on up. There are three qualifiers from the previous angle that qualify here, with those being the 'under' in games involving Florida Atlantic, Kansas and Tulane.

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    Brian Mac's Friday Night Hotside is Alabama

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