I agree with Luke on researching and waiting. That seems to be the best policy but spx is also correct about vitor.
I agree with Luke on researching and waiting. That seems to be the best policy but spx is also correct about vitor.
I think he means that a lot of the guys who end up around -500 or worse start out at -365 or better and then quickly travel in that direction.Originally Posted by Luke
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yep. thats whats im saying. its not often to see a huge fav's line get worse and then get back to the original opening line. i too think belfort line will only get worse but i havent bet him yet. the other books have him at -270 while bmaker has him at -345? shiet
Rashad Evans vs Jon Jones - 5 rounds - UFC 145 propositions Sat 4/21 1003 Evans/Jones goes 5 round distance +170 9:00PM 1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance -230
Word on the street is that Stephen Thompson vs Matt Brown has been added to this card.
I hope to get Thompson at good odds.
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Thompson probably gets worked in that fight.
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Why?
It's not like Brown is a great striker OR a great grappler.
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He is vastly more experienced though.
No, but he is the classic representation of the kind of fighter who beats fighters like Stephen. Thompson as we saw is a side stance straight up TMA-er. Anyone with a decent clinch or single may very well fuck his world up. Brown is a pure grinder, he's going to make this ugly, which was something Stephen's last opponent was unable to do.
2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
2012: +20.311u
They keyword there is MAY. That's speculation. We really don't know much about Thompson's grappling. We DO know that he is a black belt in a form of jiu-jitsu that at least claims to be 50% groundwork and that his brother-in-law is Carlos Machado. Personally, I think that it will probably take a grappler other than I-get-subbed-every-time-the-fight-hits-the-ground Matt Brown to exploit whatever weakness may be there.
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Only in MMA. Thompson is a far more experienced fighter as a whole.
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I'll also point out that Brown is 13-11 overall. Granted, he's fought some good comp and everyone who beat him is pretty good.
But on the flipside of that, who is his best win? John Howard, I guess. Then who? James Wilks? Matt Arroyo? Pete Sell?
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Would you put Thompson on par with any of those guys, though?
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thompson is really new to the game though. He only has 6 mma fights as far as I know.
The problem is that Thompson is a wildcard. We just don't know. But he's been doing well so far and most regard him as a serious prospect. I'll at least say that I have little doubt that Thompson would put Pete Sell in a bodybag. I also would favor him against Wilks, Arroyo, and maybe Howard.
And Chris Weidman only had 4 fights when he got to the UFC. John Makdessi only had 7 fights. And they both came in and beat mid-tier guys like Brown.
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Matt Brown is going to go buckwild on the karate fag. He'll make it dirty and straight dig in dat ass.
Triple-six killers in this motherfucker runnin shit
My Prediction:
Thompson's footwork and movement is so good that Brown can barely even touch him. 30-27 for Thompson.
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Sig bet?
2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
2012: +20.311u
That it's a 30-27 or just that Thompson wins?
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Let's just go pick'em on it. If Thompson wins you pick My sig for a week, if Brown wins I pick yours for a week. Deal?
2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
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