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Thread: UFC 141 Bets Thread

  1. #1
    Senior Member Ludo's Avatar
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    UFC 141 Bets Thread

    2011 MMA/Boxing Bets Tracker

    What will be tracked?

    Straight bets
    -Fights that are posted like this:
    -Tim Sylvia risking 100 units to win 1 unit
    -Seth Petrizezli risking .6 units to win 1 unit
    -Andy Wang risking 2 units to win 1.6 units

    Props (will be tallied as straight bets)
    -Edgar by TKO risking 1u to win 7.5u

    -Parlays will be tracked seperately.

    -We will have a seperate results thread for Boxing and MMA
    2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
    Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
    Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
    Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

    2012: +20.311u

  2. #2
    Senior Member Ludo's Avatar
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    .5u to win 1.1u on Diaz

    1u to win 1.3u Parlay on Fitch/Gustafsson/Hyun Kim
    1u to win 1.036u Parlay on Castillo/Cerrone
    2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
    Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
    Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
    Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

    2012: +20.311u

  3. #3
    10 year vet Luke's Avatar
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    Assuming you want Cerrone to win so why not just bet him straight?
    2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP



  4. #4
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    3u to win 8.4u on Nate Diaz
    3u to win 3.45u on Brock Lesnar

    5u to win 8.85u on Alexander Gustafsson/Ross Pearson/Not Hendricks by sub/Not Cerrone by sub/Overeem vs Brock doesn't start round 4

  5. #5
    Senior Member Ludo's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Luke View Post
    Assuming you want Cerrone to win so why not just bet him straight?
    I don't like his line straight, I think it's off at -280 which is why I put a small straight on Diaz to begin with. I think Cerrone will win but I'm not paying Anderson Silva money on him over Diaz.
    2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
    Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
    Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
    Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

    2012: +20.311u

  6. #6
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    6u to win 2.04u "Not Cerrone/Hendricks/Gusstaffson by sub"

    Lesnar 2u to win 2.4u

    Diaz .5u to win 1.12u

    (2011 Parlay: Not Hendricks by sub)
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  7. #7
    Senior Member Vandelay's Avatar
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    How'd you get over 100 dollars on that magic prop parlay? 5d is limiting me to 100 dollars.

  8. #8
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    I have about $1600 on it. I placed it last week though... sometimes 5d gives me trouble, but for whatever reason, just bet an odd amount, like $399 and it lets me do it or sometime I just have to keep betting $100 over and over. But this time, it didn't give me any trouble. I originally included "not Hettes by sub" but hedged out of that with a bet on Hettes by sub, which is why I have so much on it (because I am on both sides of the Hettes sub).
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  9. #9
    Senior Member Vandelay's Avatar
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    I guess it cant go over the lowest amt. So i did not cerrone by sub at -395, not overeem at -1400, and not hendricks at like -1700. I cant bet anything over 395. So it ended up being 395 to win like 166.

  10. #10
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    yeah, it is weird. I thought they capped my bets earlier this year because I couldn't bet over $100. But I think it is just a glitch in their system.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  11. #11
    Member BIGDAY's Avatar
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    I jumped on Cerrone. I think his style matches up perfect with Diaz. Diaz at +200 or better is real nice one would think right... Diaz struggles with agressive/relentless wrestlers imo. I am 100% confident that Cerrone can get this fight to the ground if stand up isn't going well for him. Only way Diaz's hand is raised imo is by catching Cerrone with a nice sub. Was hoping that the books have the odds closer to EV but I have this fight capped at -350 for Cerrone so I played it strait.

    Currently have 3 Units on Cerrone at -250.

  12. #12
    Senior Member SPX's Avatar
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    Why so much faith in Cerrone's wrestling? I think he's a CAPABLE wrestler, but not a GOOD wrestler, and not the type of fighter to give Diaz too much trouble in that department.
    I heart cock

  13. #13
    Member BIGDAY's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SPX View Post
    Why so much faith in Cerrone's wrestling? I think he's a CAPABLE wrestler, but not a GOOD wrestler, and not the type of fighter to give Diaz too much trouble in that department.
    I looked more at Diaz's takedown defense. Diaz is so confident on his back, that sometimes I wonder if he even attempts to defend the takedowns. I also believe that Cerrone's camp has a number on Diaz...

  14. #14
    Senior Member Ludo's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDAY View Post
    I looked more at Diaz's takedown defense. Diaz is so confident on his back, that sometimes I wonder if he even attempts to defend the takedowns. I also believe that Cerrone's camp has a number on Diaz...
    Not according to Melvin Guillard, but I see what your saying about the takedowns. Cerrone is a pretty capable submission guy himself. It's fair to say he should have plenty of experience fending off subs.
    2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
    Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
    Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
    Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

    2012: +20.311u

  15. #15
    10 year vet Luke's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ludo View Post
    I don't like his line straight, I think it's off at -280 which is why I put a small straight on Diaz to begin with. I think Cerrone will win but I'm not paying Anderson Silva money on him over Diaz.
    Got ya. Didn't realize you bet Diaz first
    2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP



  16. #16
    Senior Member Vandelay's Avatar
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    i'm surprised luke didn't neg us all for chatting in a bet thread.

  17. #17
    Senior Member Ludo's Avatar
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    He started the chatter. If anything we should all neg him.
    2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
    Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
    Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
    Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

    2012: +20.311u

  18. #18
    Member BIGDAY's Avatar
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    2 Unit Parlay
    Gustafsson+Pearson+Lesnar/Overeem Fight Wont Start Rd 4
    Pays +137

  19. #19
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    Gust, Pearson, Castillo, Kim,Volkmann .5u to win 1.89u
    Lesnar 1u to win 1.15u
    Lesnar dec .1u to win 1.5u
    Reem/Lesnar under 1.5 rds .8u to win .5u
    Pearson/Kim over 1.5 rds .87u to win .5u
    Gamburyan .5u to win 1.25u
    Diaz 1u to win 2.1u
    Hendricks .5 to win 1u

  20. #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by Thewisemann View Post
    Gust, Pearson, Castillo, Kim,Volkmann .5u to win 1.89u
    Lesnar 1u to win 1.15u
    Lesnar dec .1u to win 1.5u
    Reem/Lesnar under 1.5 rds .8u to win .5u
    Pearson/Kim over 1.5 rds .87u to win .5u
    Gamburyan .5u to win 1.25u
    Diaz 1u to win 2.1u
    Hendricks .5 to win 1u
    Castillo sub 1u to win 3.47u

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