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Root Football 1/1/12
Millionaires.............................Miami
Billionaires.............................Cleveland
No-Limit.................................Cowboys
Pinnacle.................................Arizona
Fortune 500...........................San Diego
Big al
nfl
4* vikings -1 division g.o.y
4* bills/ne under 49.5 division total g.o.y.
3* saints under 54.5
3* kc +3
3* eagles -8
3* nyg -3
3* jags-3
3* falcons under 45.5
Ben Burns
10* - Arizona -3 Cardinals “Best Bet”
10* - Dallas -3 Cowboys “Personal Favorite”
10* - under 51 – Buffalo / New England “Total of the Month”
9* - Kansas City Chiefs +3
9* - Saint. Louis Rams +10.5
8* - Nashville ML -140
10* - over 196.5 – Los Angeles Lakers / Denver
Larry Ness' 10* NFL Game of the Year (7-0-1 run with 10*s since Week 13)
My 10* NFL Game of the Year is on the Bal Ravens at 4:15 ET.
The Ravens need a win to secure the AFC's No. 2 seed (or count on Pittsburgh losing at Cleveland) and could even earn the AFC's No. 1 seed if the Pats lost at home to the Bills. As for the Bengals, they need a win to grab the AFC's final wild card spot but could wind up in the postseason even with a loss, but would need some help. The Ravens were a perfect 8-0 at home this season but just 3-4 on the road, so securing at least ONE home playoff game is a high priority. A win (or a Pittsburgh loss) would give the Ravens their first-ever AFC North title under John Harbaugh. After three straight trips to the postseason as a wild card team, I can't imagine the Ravens won't be 'PUMPED' to earn a first-round bye. The Bengals surprised most by opening 6-2 but most observers warned that the team was going to struggle in the season's second half. Cincy may be 9-6 but the team's lone win TY over a team with a current winning record came against Tennessee (an 8-7 team, pending the outcome of its Week 17 game), 24-17 in Week 9. Rookie QB Dalton has been a nice surprise (25-13 ratio / 3,166 yards) but he completes a modest 58.9% and gets little help from his running game. Cincy averages just 111.5 YPG on 3.9 YPC, as while Benson is over 1,000 yards again (1,096), he also averages only 3.9 YPC. That hardly bodes well against a Baltimore defense which ranks second to only San Francisco in both rushing yards allowed (91.8 YPG) and YPC (3.5). Overall, the Ravens are third in yards allowed (285.7) and scoring (16.7 PPG). It doesn't help that Cincy's lone impact WR, rookie AJ Green (63 / 16.4 YPC / 7 TDs) will play but is hardly 100%. Baltimore QB Joe Flacco has come under plenty of 'heat' this year, falling from 62.6% completions with 25 TDs and 10 INTs (93.6 rating) last year, to 56.8% (19-12 ratio) and a QB rating of 79.7 through 15 games TY. It won't help him that Boldin is expected to miss but then again, the Ravens are at their best when Rice (1,173 YR / 4.4 YPC / 10 TDs plus 74 catches / 696 yards / 3 TDs) is the focus of the offense and the defense "does its thing." Speaking of being at its best, Baltimore has risen to EVERY challenge so far in 2011, beating 11-4 Pittsburgh twice, 10-5 Houston 29-14, 9-6 Cincy 31-24 (led 31-14 in the 4th) and 12-3 San Francisco, 16-6. That's 5-0 SU and 5-0 or 4-0-1 ATS, with the average margin of victory in those games coming by 12.6 PPG. Meanwhile, vs 9-6 teams or better, the Bengals are 0-5 SU and 0-4-1 or 0-5 ATS, losing on average by 9.6 PPG. The Bengals have gone furher than expected this year but won't win their way into the postseason Sunday (will nee help to get in). Once again, Baltimore wins a "big game!"
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