465 so far if these next 4 hit with the last 2 still open.
465 so far if these next 4 hit with the last 2 still open.
I'm not involved in this but I'll offer one small thing. Don't push it if you don't think it's right..Sometimes it sounds like you guys are hitting dry spells and taking greater chances than normal. I am not trying to be judgemental and I could be wrong.
I am definitely pressing it right now. I am being way more aggressive than I should be... but the power of compounding works a lot more in the later stages... so since it is still early I am trying to get there faster, definitely a risky game to be playing though. I feel pretty good about Not Boetch and Not Akiyama... by all accounts Hioki is pretty great, but Bart can grapple too, and I really haven't seen much of Hioki, so that is really more of a gamble in my mind- it is not really based on my own observations as much as reputation- that's not how I do this thing, so it was probably a bad decision. Hopefully, it works out.
2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5u
Eh, bart hasnt subbed any1 of note ever. His only way of winning by sub will be to rock hioki and rnc him. Hioki doesnt really shoot at all. He is more of a judo guy who looks for trips and throws from clinch. Hioki is equally competent on top or from his back.
Honestly, im most confident in Hioki not getting subbed. Shields always leaves his neck out and was almost rnc by miller. So its not like he is immune to getting subbed. Akiyama isn't much of a sub guy and will probably look to keep it standing though. Don't know enough about boetsch or Okami. I could see Okami getting subbed althought highly unlikely.
I think the most likely to get a sub is Boetsch.
Okami has never been subbed. From my perspective, Okami is a really good grappler. He really kind of beat Maia in ADCC. Munoz was unable to take him down, and he was able to hit TD's on Munoz. Boetch is not going to submit him, and even if he could, he is not going to be able to get Okami down. Okami is solid on the mat, he won't get subbed.
Shields won't get subbed unless he gasses out, which he does do at 170. I think he knew time was expiring against Miller so he let his guard down (I may be recalling that wrong though). Akiyama has never really subbed anyone decent, and it would be a shock to see him submit Shields IMO.
Hioki probably ain't getting subbed either, so it is a moot point. But I was just stating that i typically make these bets off of my own observations, and I really haven't seen Hioki fight much.
2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5u
OP updated....Originally Posted by MMA_scientist
We will be fine this weekend
I agree with everything said and yeah it was the Hioki bet that prompted me to say something. I guess that puts us on the same page.
Think it would take a lot more than that but I could be wrong.
2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP
I certainly hope so. I just remember reading some guy's post that he got shut down after $30K... Probably bullshit anyway. I have never heard it from a legit source. But i would be happy if I could take $300 per week regularly. That's a solid take from my perspective and I wouldn't feel the need to keep pressing my bankroll if I could take that much.
2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5u
Oh, you meant 30k total. I believe that then .
2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP
yeah, I meant if I was hauling in $1000 per week over an extended period of time, say 6 months or so...
2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5u
I agree then.I've heard 30-50k total and they'll shut you down to 1 dollar limits.
2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP
updated
Thanks for adding Mine in there, home slice.
2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
2012: +20.311u
I wonder if the shut downs are sport specific. I could see if you are betting a fringe sport they could have trouble balancing the line. I wonder if mma would qualify for that.
I'd guess MMA would get you shut down faster than most other sports because only 2% of money wagered is on MMA.
2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP
Is that a recent statistic? It could make a difference what MMA fights you are wagering on as well. Title fights/big name fights probably get a lot more action so it would be harder for one guy to tilt the line.
Yes. Only 2% of money wagered on sports is MMA. That is why MMA has 500 dollar limits and NFL has 50,000
2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP
mma has more than a 500 dollar limit. I know reduced odds has a 500 limit on 5d, but normal betting is higher than that. especially for main card bouts.
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