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Thread: 2012 Parlay

  1. #221
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    I think Luke was generalizing. On bookmaker it gets up to $5k-$10k on main card fights on fight day

  2. #222
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    Sat 3/3 1027 Kampmann wins by submission +1280
    10:30PM 1028 Any other result -2920
    Sat 3/3 1029 Kampmann wins by TKO/KO +1280
    10:30PM 1030 Any other result -2920
    Sat 3/3 1031 Alves wins by submission +927
    10:30PM 1032 Any other result -1880
    Sat 3/3 1033 Alves wins by TKO/KO +640
    10:30PM 1034 Any other result -1320

  3. #223
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    I like Not Alves by sub

  4. #224
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    Kampmann has never been subbed. Alves did just finish his first submission ever in his last fight though... maybe he is planning on using his bjj more now that he has brain damage. Kampmann is a good grappler though, and he has been in there with some solid submission specialists (Leites, Condit, Volkmann, Thiago, Shields). At -1880, that is kind of a steal IMO.

    That is definitely off. I don't know why Not Kampmann by sub is worse than Not Alves, when Kampmann has submitted 6 guys, and Alves has only submitted one. Also, Kampmann has never been subbed, and Alves has been subbed several times. Line is upside down. I am going to bet it, maybe not for the whole stack though... since I think Alves is probably going to blast Kampmann standing. This is just the kind of fight where he might drop him and jump on the back.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  5. #225
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    I want to wait for the "Not Urishanti by submission" line for a parlay, but I know that -1880 is not going to hold.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  6. #226
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    I think Kampmann probably beats Alves, I don't see Alves subbing him at all. I think the UFC hype train made Alves into some sort of Muay Thai killer guy....in fact..I think Kampmann is the better striker. His only problem is his defense up against the cage/getting into brawls...you would think he has figured it out by now.

    I just don't see Alves subbing Kampmann. Gonna bet this for sure

  7. #227
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    If you are going to bet it... bet it. Because I am getting ready to blow that line up.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  8. #228
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    My account is a little short at the moment, I have money tied up,gotta wait till tomorrow to reload a little bit. go ahead

  9. #229
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    I dropped $700 on it. The line has not moved. I am going to save the rest for the Benavidez bet. They have distance props on a bunch of fights, maybe will get submission props on some of the others. I could piece together a magic parlay if they offer props on 4 or 5 fights.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  10. #230
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    $571.47 @-1880...what's the profit on that?

  11. #231
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    well, let's see...

    571.47 divided by 18.80 = 30.39

    I don't see how you could be betting this long and still not know how to figure this shit out. You're asian for god's sake. At least SPX has dumb ass cracker as an excuse
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  12. #232
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    Banned


    but thanks

  13. #233
    Senior Member Vandelay's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by MMA_scientist View Post
    I want to wait for the "Not Urishanti by submission" line for a parlay, but I know that -1880 is not going to hold.
    Shoulda done a rolling parlay...

  14. #234
    Senior Member SPX's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by MMA_scientist View Post
    well, let's see...

    571.47 divided by 18.80 = 30.39

    I don't see how you could be betting this long and still not know how to figure this shit out. You're asian for god's sake. At least SPX has dumb ass cracker as an excuse
    BOL

    Well thanks.
    I heart cock

  15. #235
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    I didn't get home in time to get the Not Urishanti bet.

    Update with this

    700 to win 37.23 on Not Alves to sub Kampmann
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  16. #236
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    Updated. Good think you didn't do not kampmann by sub

  17. #237
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    I would not have bet that. So no worry there. I am just pissed that I didn't get to put the full bankroll into play. We had seminar at the gym tonight and I just got home. I got promoted (not really, I got a couple pieces of tape on my belt).
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  18. #238
    Senior Member edman5555's Avatar
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    lol

  19. #239
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    OP updated for you Ludo, who's the next one in Ludo's locks?

  20. #240
    Senior Member Ludo's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by poopoo333 View Post
    OP updated for you Ludo, who's the next one in Ludo's locks?
    Thanks, breh breh. Next is Brian Stann over Alessio Sakara.

    5.143u to win 1.371u on Stann -375
    2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
    Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
    Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
    Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

    2012: +20.311u

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