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Thread: 2012 Parlay

  1. #41
    Senior Member edman5555's Avatar
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    Russow is 35. That fight against Herman was balls to the wall also. Einemo knocker Herman down as well. You are right though, he looked tired. It was also his first fight after a long time. I would think he is in decent shape now.

  2. #42
    Senior Member edman5555's Avatar
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    Provided he trained and didn't drink his bonus money. Also, he trains at golden glory so he has good training partners for the standup game. I happen to think that is where this fight is taking place. Russow is no world beater on the feet.

  3. #43
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    ^ yeah, but he is tough to finish standing... I think Einemo will look for the takedown a lot and tire out. I don't know, Russow is fat, but he has shown that he can go for 15 minutes.

    But it is +odds... probably worth a play on JOE
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  4. #44
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    Not Condit, Nelson, Pierce...

    They may all get put in the 2012 parlay this weekend.



    Mod: Can you move the running total to post #1 please.
    Just this part:

    1500 to win 158 on "Not Evans by submission"
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  5. #45
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    did it for ya..i put myself there too

  6. #46
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    wtf, poopoo is a mod now? This place is going straight in the shitter.

    Thanks though.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  7. #47
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    I thought you were bailing out of this?
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  8. #48
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by MMA_scientist View Post
    Not Condit, Nelson, Pierce...

    They may all get put in the 2012 parlay this weekend.
    Are you going to parlay them for the 2012 parlay?

  9. #49
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    yeah maybe, it will depend on the lines. None of them are happening.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  10. #50
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    Yeah, the one most likely to happen is Condit...and that is VERY unlikely.

  11. #51
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    Yeah, I agree, because Condit actually has some pretty strong submission skills. He has submitted BJJ blackebelts before, but would have to break something off or choke him unconscious... Diaz won't tap. I love putting guys like that in these parlays, because it is that much less likely, not only do you have to catch them, you also have to finish it off. Condit is a pretty good grappler in his own right, but he hasn't subitted anyone since he started fighting better comp in the UFC. Still, we'll see what the line is. They are all 2012-worthy IMO at the right price.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  12. #52
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    Quote Originally Posted by MMA_scientist View Post
    Yeah, I agree, because Condit actually has some pretty strong submission skills. He has submitted BJJ blackebelts before, but would have to break something off or choke him unconscious... Diaz won't tap. I love putting guys like that in these parlays, because it is that much less likely, not only do you have to catch them, you also have to finish it off. Condit is a pretty good grappler in his own right, but he hasn't subitted anyone since he started fighting better comp in the UFC. Still, we'll see what the line is. They are all 2012-worthy IMO at the right price.
    2 fighter parlay nominees...Poitier, Barao(this one scares me a bit), Brown, Herman.

  13. #53
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    Have no idea why I quoted you Scientist...my bad.

  14. #54
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sbjj View Post
    2 fighter parlay nominees...Poitier, Barao(this one scares me a bit), Brown, Herman.
    Don't know much about Poirier's opponent, but it looks like a squash match. The guy is 4-0 with 3 decisions, including a split. He would have to have to be something pretty damn special to come in and have a chance with Poirier...

    I already said I think Starks is a good deal against Herman- a better wrestler anyway. Maybe he can't get him down, I don't know.

    I think Jorg is live.

    Brown should win that, but it is probably going to play out standing... Cope has no power, but he does score some. Brown should win.

    Of those choices, I like Poirier and Brown.

    Then again, I lost all 3 of my bets last weekend... so I clearly don't know what the hell I am talking about. Just fade me on straight plays if you want to win money.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  15. #55
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    Quote Originally Posted by MMA_scientist View Post
    Don't know much about Poirier's opponent, but it looks like a squash match. The guy is 4-0 with 3 decisions, including a split. He would have to have to be something pretty damn special to come in and have a chance with Poirier...

    I already said I think Starks is a good deal against Herman- a better wrestler anyway. Maybe he can't get him down, I don't know.

    I think Jorg is live.

    Brown should win that, but it is probably going to play out standing... Cope has no power, but he does score some. Brown should win.

    Of those choices, I like Poirier and Brown.

    Then again, I lost all 3 of my bets last weekend... so I clearly don't know what the hell I am talking about. Just fade me on straight plays if you want to win money.
    Pretty much agrre with you that Dustin and Matt are the 2 best options. I can see liking Starks because of the price, but I think Herman is just going to outwork him.

  16. #56
    Senior Member edman5555's Avatar
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    Herman seems pretty crafty. I fear betting against anyone that can pull off a heel hook.

  17. #57
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    What makes you think Brown should be so favored over Cope? Brown is very unreliable, I would never bet him as a decent favorite

  18. #58
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    Quote Originally Posted by poopoo333 View Post
    What makes you think Brown should be so favored over Cope? Brown is very unreliable, I would never bet him as a decent favorite
    Brown loses to good fighters.

  19. #59
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    Submission prop out for main event

    Not Diaz -875

    Not Condit -1275


    I took "Not Condit by sub" for $1000. I am going to have to borrow from my bankroll to cover the "not Pierce" and and "not nelson" bets. I didn't want to miss the cheap line though by waiting for the other two to come out. I will probably drop another $500 on all 3, and then maybe another $1000 on a parlay of the other 2, assuming favorable lines.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  20. #60
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    Line already moved to -1750. You better wake up Jordan
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

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