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Thread: 2012 Parlay

  1. #61
    Senior Member Vandelay's Avatar
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    went 875 to win 50 on it. May hedge out later, but I doubt this happens. Feel more confident in the not nelson by sub

  2. #62
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    It could happen, anything can. Condit has some legit submission skills, but Diaz is pretty damn great on the ground. I really don't think he will get submitted, by anyone, ever. I feel pretty good about not nelson and not pierce too.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  3. #63
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    I was in class when the lines came out..you fags pushed it up to -2600. I guarantee you two were the cause of it. Nobody else bets on that shit

  4. #64
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by poopoo333 View Post
    I was in class when the lines came out..you fags pushed it up to -2600. I guarantee you two were the cause of it. Nobody else bets on that shit
    Probably. I know for a fact that my measly 1000 bet moved it from -1275 to -1750, because as soon as i bet it, it was changed, instantly. I think it takes more than a grand to move a line usually, but I did bet it very soon after it opened. Sometimes they won't let me go over $1000, but this time they did. I think if the is enought money on Diaz straight, they somehow figure it in with the prop limits. Someone else had to bet it though, because it didn't move for a while after Vandelay bet it. But I don't think the lines move straight... like I think a straight bet on Diaz will move the line on "Not Condit by sub" through some fancy math.

    That's ok though, now there is no pressure, you can wait for the Nelson and Pierce lines...
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  5. #65
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    I will just parlay Not Nelson/Pierce/Condit by sub

  6. #66
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    And if Not Nelson by sub is less than -1000 somehow, I will add that to the 2012 parlay.

  7. #67
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    Quote Originally Posted by poopoo333 View Post
    I was in class when the lines came out..you fags pushed it up to -2600. I guarantee you two were the cause of it. Nobody else bets on that shit

    I always do too, just not usually post my bets on here. But those kinds of parlays are risky for sure, because there is a lot of money involved to win small, but on the long term, it pays a lot.

    But I am not one of the guys who caused the line to get that high this time, when I saw the line, it was also -2600 for me also .... you have to get the line right when it gets posted, which I almost never get

  8. #68
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    Sometimes they stay put for a while, I usually don't bet them early... I just did this time because I felt the line would move dramatically. -2600 isn't that bad IMO... I bet them into -8000 territory before. The submission prop lines really don't make sense a lot of the time, they really have not figured out a good way to set them IMO. I am still going to bet it at -2600 when the other lines come out.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  9. #69
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by poopoo333 View Post
    And if Not Nelson by sub is less than -1000 somehow, I will add that to the 2012 parlay.
    I am putting all 3 of them in the 2012 parlay.

    Nelson is not going to be less than -1000. It is going to be like -3000. Werdum has never been subbed and Roy hasn't subbed anyone in like 6 years.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  10. #70
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    You might be able to fashion a magic parlay if you include "not starks" and "not jorg". Jorg has a nasty guillotine though, so I am not going to do that. But You might be able to substitute something else in there to come in under -400.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  11. #71
    Senior Member Vandelay's Avatar
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    Line went from 1750 to 2600 right after I bet it.

  12. #72
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    Not Condit bu submission down to -1850. Go poopoo.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  13. #73
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    Not Condit by sub down to -1850

  14. #74
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    Not Condit by sub -1850.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  15. #75
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by poopoo333 View Post
    Not Condit by sub down to -1850
    31 minutes later:


    Quote Originally Posted by MMA_scientist View Post
    Not Condit by sub -1850.

  16. #76
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    lmao

    Post #72

    Quote Originally Posted by MMA_scientist View Post
    Not Condit bu submission down to -1850. Go poopoo.
    Post #73

    Quote Originally Posted by poopoo333
    Not Condit by sub down to -1850
    Post #74

    Quote Originally Posted by MMA_scientist
    Not Condit by sub -1850

    So... yeah. I thought we were just posting the same thing over and over since you posted the exact same thing I posted. Are we not doing that?
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  17. #77
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    Fucking banned

  18. #78
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    I want to add Not Nelson by sub too, so I am waiting. Unless I split up my $439.22 on both?

  19. #79
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    Why don't you use your new mod powers to change the order of the posts so that you don't seem so tarded?
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  20. #80
    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by poopoo333 View Post
    I want to add Not Nelson by sub too, so I am waiting. Unless I split up my $439.22 on both?
    i would wait. It probably won't move much now.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

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