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Thread: 2012 Parlay

  1. 02-02-2012, 10:31 AM #81
    poopoo333
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    Quote Originally Posted by MMA_scientist View Post
    Why don't you use your new mod powers to change the order of the posts so that you don't seem so tarded?
    Because I'm not a true commy
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  2. 02-02-2012, 04:03 PM #82
    MMA_scientist
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    If the nelson and pierce lines dont' come out tonight, I am going to put what is rest on the 2012 parlay bankroll ($558) on "not condit" @ -1850

    Mark it down.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u
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  3. 02-03-2012, 07:32 PM #83
    MMA_scientist
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    Went ahead and bet the remaining 558 on not nelson and not pierce by sub to win 41
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u
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  4. 02-03-2012, 07:57 PM #84
    Ludo
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    You lying motherfucker. You said you wouldn't be here today!
    2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
    Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
    Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
    Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

    2012: +20.311u
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  5. 02-03-2012, 08:03 PM #85
    MMA_scientist
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    I brought my tablet... i am out of town until wednesday. I found access so i couLd bet, figured i should p00ost while iwas at it. Also dangerously close to betting kos
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u
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  6. 02-04-2012, 03:00 AM #86
    poopoo333
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    10.98u to win 1.28u on Not Pierce/Nelson/Condit by sub
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  7. 02-05-2012, 09:49 PM #87
    MMA_scientist
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    Poopoo, would you move this to the first post:

    Not Condit subs Diaz/Not Pierce subs Koscheck/not Nelson subs Werdum

    $1558 to win $121

    running bankroll tally: $1679
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u
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  8. 02-05-2012, 09:51 PM #88
    poopoo333
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    Did you shit your pants when Nelson had the standing guillotine? I did.
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  9. 02-05-2012, 10:02 PM #89
    poopoo333
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    If we gets props for Fuel...is there anything worth it for the parlay?

    I say wait for UFC 144. Not Rampage/Bader/Okami/Boetsch/Akiyama/Hunt by sub. Choose a few.
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  10. 02-05-2012, 10:10 PM #90
    MMA_scientist
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    Sorry, poopoo, I forgot to carry the 1. Running tally is actually $1779... all week I thought I only had $1558 to work with, and I had $1658. Change that please.

    I wasn't worried about the guillotine. I didn't think he had anything there.

    I haven't looked at the Fuel card yet... they probably won't offer props on it. I don't think they did for the last Fuel card did they?
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u
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  11. 02-05-2012, 10:11 PM #91
    poopoo333
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    Quote Originally Posted by MMA_scientist View Post
    I haven't looked at the Fuel card yet... they probably won't offer props on it. I don't think they did for the last Fuel card did they?
    It's the first fuel card. So no.
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  12. 02-12-2012, 11:08 PM #92
    poopoo333
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    Not Ellenberger by sub????
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  13. 02-13-2012, 12:18 AM #93
    Vandelay
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    Ive found a rolling parlay option on 5d. Started with 500 and just putting heavy faves or things I dont see happening in it. Not really restricting it to a sport. But im adding not ellenberger and herman by sub to it. need 15 total plays to finish it. these two will be the third and fourth plays.

    Not sure if scientist does this or just puts the whole parlay acct into each bet. I kinda like this one tho. Could also prevent me from making stupid bets.
    Last edited by Vandelay; 02-13-2012 at 12:22 AM.
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  14. 02-13-2012, 01:44 AM #94
    Ludo
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    Quote Originally Posted by poopoo333 View Post
    Not Ellenberger by sub????
    Solid play. Diego has great submission defense and overall grappling. It took Marcelo Garcia like 11 minutes to lock something up, Diego kept working from top position and surviving until then. To put it in perspective Marcelo absolutely clowned Andrei Arlovski(former youth sambo champion and took 2nd place in the world championships and the sambo world cup), and subbed him multiple times in a similar amount of time.)
    2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
    Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
    Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
    Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

    2012: +20.311u
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  15. 02-13-2012, 09:11 AM #95
    poopoo333
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    Diego has never been subbed in a fight, and Ellenberger has only subbed cans, and hasn't had a sub since 2005.
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  16. 02-13-2012, 09:23 AM #96
    MMA_scientist
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    Yeah, that is good. I just dropped $1779 on it @ -1897 to win $93.77. I do have some nerves about it, not sure why. Diego has very good defense. As mentioned, he grappled with Marcelo for a long time, even before he had any actual bjj training. Since then, he went and trained with Saulo got to brown belt I believe, and then went back to Jackson's. I don't recall him ever being in a catch in MMA, despite being in there with BJ, Diaz, Karo, Kampmann, Thiago... he should be good to go.

    I am not going to do the Herman/Struve one. The line is worse and it seems more likely to happen IMO.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u
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  17. 02-13-2012, 09:33 AM #97
    poopoo333
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    $490.27 to win $25.84 on Not Jake Ellenberger by sub
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  18. 02-13-2012, 01:11 PM #98
    poopoo333
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    Looking ahead to UFC 144, not Tim Boetsch, Yushin Okami, Rampage, Ryan Bader by sub look like fair additions. I would probably pick the Bader one out of all of them
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  19. 02-13-2012, 01:17 PM #99
    trotterz
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    Quote Originally Posted by poopoo333 View Post
    Looking ahead to UFC 144, not Tim Boetsch, Yushin Okami, Rampage, Ryan Bader by sub look like fair additions. I would probably pick the Bader one out of all of them
    lol I was also looking ahead this morning for further opportunities for not by sub parlay and I fell on those exact 3 too for that event, okami, rampage and boetsch.
    Really confident in all of those
    I also really like Not Alves by sub in the event following UFC 144, and maybe not philippou by sub also
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  20. 02-13-2012, 01:23 PM #100
    poopoo333
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    I like Not Alves by sub as well. Then UFC 145..not Rashad by sub but that will be like -1,000,000.
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