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1-17-12
Note:
ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK
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Paul Leiner
100* Over 133 Maryland/Florida State
50* Georgetown -8.5
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FantasySportsGametime
Tuesday Hockey Plays
Play Washington -220 over NY Islanders TOP PLAY
Play Boston -190 over Tampa Bay
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WUNDERDOG
NHL 100-78 Last 178 picks +$2420
Game: Los Angeles at Vancouver (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total OVER 5 -120
This is an LA team that was just not able to do much scoring for a long stretch of the season. They went through a 16-game stretch where they failed to score as many as 4 goals in a contest. That has changed as the offense has come to life and since that 16-game stretch they have now scored 4 or more in five of their last 11, including three of their last four. It certainly poises them as a much bigger threat as they have found their legs on offense. To a low total here, we stand a good chance at winning the over as the Canucks have been vulnerable in front of the net, allowing 15 goals in their last five games, so take the OVER in this one.
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Jimmy Boyd
5* Bobcats +12.5
5* Maryland +12
4* Purdue -10
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SPORTS WAGERS NBA
Detroit +293/+7½ over HOUSTON
Great spot for the Pistons to come in here and steal a win. Detroit is 3-10 and is coming off a home loss to the Warriors. The Rockets are 6-7 and they're coming off three straight wins over Portland, Sacramento and Washington. Despite this recent run, the Rockets are weak in the middle and weak off the bench. That has them very vulnerable in unfavorable situations like this one. Chances are that they take the 3-10 Pistons very lightly. Houston will play its fourth game in five nights, the tail end of back-to-backs and the sixth game since last Tuesday. This is where they can run out of steam. The Pistons will come in much fresher and surprisingly better than their record indicates. The Pistons have had one of the more difficult schedules in the league, having already played the Bulls twice, Pacers twice, Knicks, Boston, Philly, Milwaukee, Orlando and Dallas. That's tough. They should control the middle tonight with stud Greg Munroe playing lights out and guard Ben Gordon finding his game. Detroit has a poor record but they play hard each night and they should not be grouped with the likes of the Kings, Bobcats and Wizards (three of the past four teams the Rockets have beaten). We're definitely giving the Pistons a chance to win straight up and will play a unit on both the money line and spread. Play: Detroit +293 (Risking 1 unit). Play: Detroit +7½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
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SPORTS WAGERS NHL
Ottawa +111 over TORONTO
The Senators came up a flat last night in a home loss to the Jets. It was their first regulation loss in three weeks and it was also the first time they were shut out this season. The last time the Sens lost in regulation they subsequently went on a 8-0-1 run. Now the Sens embark on a six-game trip that begins here and teams often play their best in the first game of a long trip in an attempt to set the tone. They also get a chance to face James Reimer, who is the confirmed starter for the Maple Leafs. Reimer hasn't played since New Year's Eve. In his last three games, Reimer has a 4.11 GAA and there's little doubt that he'll be feeling some pressure at home with the Leafs on a two-game losing streak. In the last two games that these two played against one another, the Sens scored eight times and won both. Play: Ottawa +105 (Risking 2 units).
Detroit -½ +105 over DALLAS
Both teams will play their third game in four days but the difference is that the Red Wings are in much better form, they're deeper and they're healthier. The Red Wings are coming off a 5-0 win over Buffalo last night while the Stars were shutout in St. Louis. With that win last night, Detroit has won three in a row and outscored the opposition 11-4. By contrast, Dallas has scored once in its past two games and has lost three of its last four games. The Stars also lost Jamie Benn (42 points in 43 games) as he joins Mike Ribeiro (31 points in 40 games) on the rack. For an offensively challenged team, losing both those guys is a huge handicap and it's no mystery as to why the Stars have scored just once in two games. That leaves Loui Erikson as the Stars’ only bona fide scorer while Detroit has numerous threats. This is a cheap price for a superior team against a seriously hurting Dallas club that among issues mentioned, is also forced to go with its backup netminder tonight. Play: Detroit -½ +105 (Risking 2 units).
N.Y. Islanders +159 over WASHINGTON
The Islanders lost 3-1 to the Preds yesterday but Nashville scored on its first two shots on net against backup goaltender Kevin Poulin (0-2-0). It'll be Evgeni Nabokov back between the pipes tonight against a strongly overvalued and overrated Caps team. The Islanders are playing some decent hockey right now but this one is all about taking back a pretty sweet price against this falesly perceived “good team”. They're not good. The Caps have won three in a row but the combined January record of opponents they've beaten is 5-13-2. In its last game against Carolina, the Caps were outshot 44-24. Only once in their past six games and twice in its past 10 has Washington mustered more than 24 shots on net. On most nights they're around the 21 shots on net range or about seven a period. In its last four games, they've been outshot 44-24, 31-20, 30-21 and 35-22. The Capitals are no better than most of the teams behind them in the standings and that 17-5-1 home record they possess is extremely misleading and fortunate. Playing against the Caps at these prices comes highly recommended because over the remainder of the year, it's likely going to be hugly profitable. Play: N.Y. Islanders +159 (Risking 2 units).
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Northcoast - Tuesday comp line
Line 9 > (Byran Leonard Sports) 3* under 189.5 Detroit/Houston [#512] (NBA)
Line 4 > (Byran Leonard Sports) 3* Cleveland -2 [#504] over Golden State (NBA)
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ARLON SPORTS
2* Maryland
1* Michigan
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Indian Cowboy
NCAA: LSU -9.5
Comp: Detroit Pistons +7.5
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Handicappster
5* Depaul +9
3* Iowa +10
3* Oklahoma -12.5
3* LSU -8.5
3* Rockets -7.5
3* Nuggets -3
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Rich Sports
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Detroit Pistons @ Houston Rockets - Tuesday January 17, 2012 8:05 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) TOTAL: Under 190.5 (-110)
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Golden State Warriors @ Cleveland Cavaliers - Tuesday January 17, 2012 7:05 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) ATS: Cleveland Cavaliers -2 (-105)
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DAVID BANKS:
Tuesday January 17, 2012 (9:00pm ET)
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Utah Jazz (-4, 190.5)
A pro hardwood confrontation between second place teams is set to go on Tuesday night when Blake Griffin and the Los Angeles Clippers (6-3, 5-4 ATS) invade EnergySolutions Arena to battle Paul Millsap and the Utah Jazz (8-4, 7-5 ATS); tip-off from Salt Lake City, UT is set to go live on Fox-West and ROOT (UTAH) starting at 9:00 ET.
Habitually ranking out in the bottom of the Pacific Division standings for what seems like forever, the Los Angeles Clippers have been on a steady incline ever since selecting Blake Griffin in the NBA Draft. Though he missed a bulk of his 2010-11 campaign, he made an impact a year ago that earned him Rookie of the Year accolades and the third-year big man with ridiculous athleticism has run with it to make the Clippers one of the hottest tickets in Tinseltown. Most recently, the Clippers let it be known that they werent going to be playing second fiddle to the Lakers anymore by beating Kobe Bryant and their hated rivals by a 102-94 final count as short 2.5-point favorites. The win was the teams second in a row both SU & ATS after getting the best of LeBron James and the Miami Heat in overtime their previous game. Lob City will look to secure its seventh win of the season at home where it will host the New Jersey Nets on MLK Day before hitting the road for this one; LAs 1-2 SU & ATS on the road to date.
The Jazz were by far the laughing stock of the league at the outset of the strike shortened season after getting rolled up in three of their first four games and getting beaten by an average of 19 points per game. However since then, Head Coach Tyrone Corbins squad has rattled off wins in seven of their L/8 (6-2 ATS) with only an overtime loss at home to the Lakers on the resume during that stretch; not too shabby for a Jazz squad void of any superstar talent! Center Al Jefferson (18.7 PPG) and forwards Paul Millsap (15.6 PPG) and Josh Howard (10.7 PPG) are the only double-digit scorers on the roster, with the prior two leading the team in rebounding with 8.9 & 8.6 RPG respectively. The Jazz rank amongst the top 15 in points scored (#14 at 94.7 PPG) and allowed (#15 at 94.7 PPG), and have outboarded their opposition by half a rebound per game. Theyve successfully defended their court six out of seven times and covered the closing number in five of those contests.
Utah has flat out dominated this match-up dating back to 2008 winning nine of the 10 overall meetings while covering the oddsmakers number in eight of those games; the over has cashed in each of the L/3 meetings but the O/U is split at 5-5 the L/10. Utahs won each of the L/5 games they hosted the Clippers by an average of 15.6 PPG but only won last years confrontations by a bucket. LAs 4-1 ATS its L/5 versus Northwest Division opposition while the Jazz stand just 2-6 ATS their L/8 against the Pacific Division, but the home team has covered 15 of the L/22 in this conference rivalry.
PICK: LA CLIPPERS-UTAH JAZZ OVER 190.5
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TURNER SYSTEM
1/17/2012
Game: Denver at Milwaukee
NBA: Pick: Under 201.5 (-110)
1/17/2012
Game: Detroit at Houston
NBA: Pick: Over 190 (-110)
1/17/2012
Game: Winnipeg at New Jersey
NHL: Pick: New Jersey -1.5 (+170)
1/17/2012
Game: NY Islanders at Washington
NHL: Pick: Washington -1.5 (+145)
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Viking Sports
Yesterday 2-0 (+200 for the day and +285 last 4)
2* Ott/Tor 5.5 u +105
2* Bos/TB 5.5 o -110
1* LAK/Van 5 u -105
1* Cal/SJ 5.5 o +115
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Leiner
500*
Spurs/Heat Under 200.5
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Daily NHL Shots on Goal January 17, 2012 3:01 AM by Nick Pellegrino
Hockey Plays (sides)
Carolina Hurricanes (+180), at Pittsburgh
N.Y. Rangers (-165), vs. Nashville
Dallas Stars (+150), vs. Detroit
Hockey Plays (totals)
Minnesota-Philadelphia, UNDER 5½
Carolina-Pittsburgh, OVER 5½
Winnipeg-New Jersey, UNDER 5½
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NHL Hockey Play of the Day January 17, 2012 3:01 AM by GT Staff
NHL Hockey
Nashville Predators at New York Rangers -165 at 4:35 p.m. PT
Just a great spot for the Rangers as they had the day off yesterday while Nashville was on the Island beating the Islanders, look for the first place Rangers to put an abrupt halt to the Nashville five game winning streak.
RANGERS -165 ***
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GamingToday’s Consensus Picks January 17, 2012 3:01 AM by GT Staff
NBA Basketball
Golden State Warriors +2½
Miami Heat -7
Detroit Pistons +7
NHL Hockey
New Jersey Devils -175
New York Rangers -165
Boston Bruins -1½ Goals +115
Detroit Red Wings -165
NCAA Basketball
Depaul +9
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4-STAR MILWAUKEE over Denver - Denver starts a long five-game road trip tonight but the thing is, with the level of opponents they play it does not create much sense of urgency. Milwaukee meanwhile absolutely needs this win after losing two straight and have likely six games in a row coming up where they will be underdogs as well, four as heavy road dogs. This is a big game for them to pull off.
Milwaukee lost each of its last two games, at Dallas and Philadelphia by double digits. The Bucks are 9-0-1 ATS (8.6 ppg) since November 21, 2008 at home when they lost and failed to covered as an underdog in each of their last two games.
They did not shoot the ball well in either, going a combined 8-of-38 on threes. The Bucks are 6-0 ATS (7.9 ppg) since January 08, 2008 as a dog when they shot less than 25% from the three-point-line in each of their last two games.
The game yesterday was a 94-82 loss to Philly. They had just 16 assists on 35 baskets in that loss. The Bucks are 9-0 ATS (9.1 ppg) since January 27, 2008 as a home dog after a game on the road in which the percentage of their baskets that were assisted was at least ten percentage points lower than their season-to-date average.
They had 16 turnovers as well, 12 of which came by steals. The Bucks are 6-0 ATS (10.1 ppg) since October 31, 2009 with at most one day of rest after a game in which their opponent stole the ball at least twelve times.
Brandon Jennings went 3-of-11 for seven points in that game. The Bucks are 5-0 ATS (5.5 ppg) since April 03, 2010 with no rest after a loss in which Brandon Jennings scored fewer than 10 points.
Denver was upset last game, 106-96 to Utah. They made 26 free throws in that game. The Nuggets are 0-9 ATS (-8.3 ppg) since March 01, 2009 as a road favorite with at least one day of rest after a game in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line.
This is a rare second non-conference meetings for teams early in this season. Denver pulled off a late 91-86 win at home in the first matchup. They had trailed by six entering the fourth quarter. The Bucks are 6-0 ATS (5.3 ppg) since February 26, 2008 as a dog when seeking revenge for a loss as a dog in which they led at the end of the third quarter.
Arron Afflalo went just 2-of-8 for four points in that game. The Nuggets are 0-9 ATS (-13.4 ppg) since December 20, 2009 as a favorite after winning the previous matchup at home in which Arron Afflalo scored fewer than 10 points.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: MILWAUKEE 90, Denver 86
4-STAR Chicago and Phoenix Under - We certainly saw the way Derrick Rose's injury changes the complexion of Chicago's offense yesterday. However, there is no reason their defense can't still play well and we expect that to occur tonight.
Phoenix had a day off after a 102-91 loss to San Antonio on Sunday. They made just 10 free throws in that loss. The Suns are 0-10 OU (-11.5 ppg) since December 08, 2009 on the road after a loss in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.
Jared Dudley went just 4-of-9 from the field with 12 points in that game. The Suns are 0-9 OU (-11.6 ppg) since January 24, 2011 on the road after a loss in which Jared Dudley took fewer than 10 shots.
Chicago played in Memphis yesterday afternoon and without Derrick Rose, fell 102-86. They managed just 12 assists in his absence. The Bulls are 0-8 OU (-12.2 ppg) since March 20, 2000 at home with at most one day of rest after a loss in which less than 40% of their baskets were assisted.
However, they also allowed Memphis to score 15 points more than expected. The Bulls are 0-8 OU (-13.9 ppg) since December 29, 2008 with at most one day of rest after a road loss in which their DPA was at least plus 15 points.
That was even with Memphis going just 5-of-9 at the free throw line at the game. The Bulls are 0-8-1 OU (-7.5 ppg) since March 08, 2007 with at most one day of rest after a road loss in which their opponent shot less than 60% from the free-throw line.
Chicago was bad at the free throw line in that one, going just 1-of-12 on threes. The Bulls are 0-6 OU (-12.4 ppg) since March 19, 2010 at home with at most one day of rest after a game in which they scored less than 10% of their points from the three-point line.
Joakim Noah did not pick up any of the offensive slack, going just 1-of-4 for two points. The Bulls are 0-7 OU (-15.6 ppg) since November 01, 2008 at home after a loss on the road in which Joakim Noah shot worse than 33% from the field. Also, the Bulls are 0-7-1 OU (-15.6 ppg) since March 25, 2010 at home after Joakim Noah scored fewer than 10 points the last two.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: CHICAGO 90, Phoenix 84
4-STAR Charlotte and Orlando Over - Orlando is generally known for their defense, but it's been their offense which has been surging lately, scoring at least 102 points in each of their last four game. Charlotte meanwhile has allowed at least 98 points in each of their last four games so we expect Orlando to score enough to help carry this game over.
Charlotte lost yesterday afternoon to Cleveland, 102-94. They had 20 assists and 10 turnovers in that one. The Bobcats are 8-0 OU (16.8 ppg) since March 24, 2005 as a dog with no rest after a loss in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least two.
One thing that kept them, and scoring, down in that game was Charlotte going just 14-of-26 at the line. The League is 7-0 OU (15.0 ppg) since April 04, 2010 as a dog with no rest after a home loss in which they shot less than 60% from the free-throw line.
Orlando struggled from the line yesterday too, going 13-of-22 in a 102-93 win at New York. The Magic are 8-0 OU (15.4 ppg) since December 23, 1999 with no rest after a road win in which they shot less than 60% from the free-throw line.
They also committed 17 turnovers in the game, 12 came on steals. The Magic are 7-0 OU (9.1 ppg) since March 26, 2006 as a home favorite after a game on the road in which their opponent stole the ball at least twelve times.
These teams played already in late December with Orlando cruising to a 100-79 win. Charlotte shot just 36% in that game. The Bobcats are 6-0 OU (9.3 ppg) since January 14, 2011 when seeking revenge for a loss in which they shot less than 40% from the field.
DJ Augusin was part of the problem, going just 3-of-11 from the field. The Bobcats are 6-0 OU (12.5 ppg) since April 12, 2010 after losing the previous matchup at home in which Dj Augustin shot worse than 33% from the field. SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: ORLANDO 107, Charlotte 97
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