UFC on FX 3, June 8th

[poopoo333]

Yup, I love Brenneman in this spot. 2u on him to win by decision and gonna throw another 2-3u on him straight up at +145 or +150.

McCall/DJ is hard to call imo. The first fight was really close, I was thinking about a small play on DJ by decision @+130 or McCall straight but still not sure. Both guys showed they were capable of getting on top in the last fight and DJ wasn't the quicker one in this fight like he is used to being. For this fight I have 7u @-350 for it to go to decision.


What does everybody like on this card?

I think Jared Papazian should beat Dustin Pague. Papazian looked great against Mike Easton imo.

Tim Means is a tall guy that walks forward and seems like a decent striker, but Justin Salas is one of those compact wrestlers that will look for the takedown and stay on top. Salas probably has the edge, Tim Means had some problems in KOTC with being taken down in the fight he had with Dom O' Grady (I couldn't find the fight, but I saw his post fight interview where he said that)


Off the top of my head, Jake Hecht may have the grappling edge over Pierson, but I haven't really looked at it much. Rooting for Pierson to win though, he ended up quitting his real job for a chance in the UFC and is facing a possible 3rd straight loss.

I think Henry Martinez should be a slight favorite over Bernardo Magalhaes. Better striking, and didn't he stuff TDs in his WW fight against Riddle when Riddle actually went for them? Remember...Martinez is a guy that fought @ FW before and made his debut @ WW against Riddle and arguably won. From what I saw of Magalhaes, he doesn't have the best wrestling and his striking is below Martinez's.

Leonard Garcia/Matt Grice....just fade Garcia in every fight and hedge with Leonard Garcia by split decision

Mike Pierce vs Rocha...very slight edge to Pierce imo

Eddie Wineland vs Scott Jorgensen...Jorgensen should win, he has the style that Wineland loses against. Wineland may be able to steal a round though like he did against Faber. Jorgensen under -175 would be nice. Wineland has had it rough in the UFC

Mike Pyle/Josh Neer...I like Neer at the current odds. Pyle may get the nod in a lackluster decision though if he doesn't fall into Neer's game.

[poopoo333]

[poopoo333]

http://www.allthebestfights.com/mcca...o-ufc-on-fx-2/

Ian McCall vs Demetrious Johnson 1st fight video

[poopoo333]

UFC on FX 4 - Lightweight Matchup
1355
Henry Martinez
-140

-

o-



Bernardo Magalhaes
+110

-

u-


18:00 ET
UFC on FX 4 - Welterweight Matchup
1360
Sean Pierson
-115

-

o-



Jake Hecht
-115

-

u-


19:00 ET
UFC on FX 4 - Featherweight Matchup
1335
Leonard Garcia
-225

-

o-



Matt Grice
+175

-

u-


19:00 ET
UFC on FX 4 - Bantamweight Matchup
1340
Dustin Pague
-135

-

o-



Jared Papazian
+105

-

u-


19:00 ET
UFC on FX 4 - Lightweight Matchup
1345
Tim Means
-200

-

o-



Justin Salas
+160

-

u-


19:00 ET
UFC on FX 4 - Light Heavyweight Matchup
1350
Buddy Roberts
-135

-

o-



Caio Magalhaes
+105

-

u-


20:00 ET
UFC on FX 4 - Welterweight Matchup
1330
Seth Baczynski
-125

-

o-



Lance Benoist
-105

-

u-


20:30 ET
UFC on FX 4 - Welterweight Matchup
1325
Mike Pierce
-220

-

o-



Carlos Eduardo Rocha
+170

-

[poopoo333]

Salas +160

Grice +175

Martinez -140

Papazian +105

I would hammer all of those if I had sportsbook. Especially Papazian and Martinez.

[poopoo333]

Just put some $ in Sportsbook, guess it is good to have anyways as they are always breaking lines

[SPX]

I've used Sportsbook forever and they are often good for either new lines or better lines than you can get anywhere else. I've never tried to do a withdrawal, though. That will be the real test.

[poopoo333]

Sorry X, I should have had you refer me (however that works) and gotten you extra money.

[SPX]

Oh, yeah.

. . . fuckin' asshole.

[poopoo333]

Anybody betting anything on this card besides me?

[SPX]

Brenneman.

Been looking at Pyle and Pierce, too.

[poopoo333]

Brenneman for sure. He is going to fuck that pretty boy Brazilian right in his fucking ass for 15 minutes, and when that bell rings, Brenneman is going to pull out and give Silva a California Cookie.

[poopoo333]

I kind of like Pierce as well. Rocha has been out for along time and I think his only chance of winning is to get Pierce down...which should be very difficult for him to do.

[Svino]

As of now, I've got bets on Brenneman, Pierson, and Grice. I was planning to bet Pierce, but balked at the line. Still might do it though.

[poopoo333]

Why do you like Pierson? I have no opinion on either side so I am curious.

[Luke]

Silva

[poopoo333]

Apparently Mike Pyle is having a real tough cut.

[MMA_scientist]

I am excited to see Rocha again. The secret is out now though, so I am sure Pierce's strategy is to not grapple, or at least wait until later in the fight.

[Svino]

Why do you like Pierson? I have no opinion on either side so I am curious.

I'm not *too* confident, but I was definitely surprised to see Hecht as the favorite. Against Rich Attonito (who kinda sucks), Hecht got taken down in the first round and controlled on the ground. Having bet on him, I felt extremely lucky when he hurt Attonito with an elbow and finished him in round 2.

Pierson has two losses in a row, but he got fed to the wolves against DHK and Ellenberger who are much better than him (and Hecht). Even then, he arguably stole the first round from Kim at the end, and when Ellenberger did get him to the ground, he bounced right back up. Pierson also looked very good in beating a wrestler more of Hecht's caliber in Matt Riddle. I'm happy to get him at + odds, although I am a little worried about age being a factor.

Also, I forgot one bet: Ian McCall, another guy I'm a little surprised to see at + odds.

[SPX]

Rocha impressed me against Ellenberger.

I can't remember what his striking was like, though. Anyone remember?