I have a pretty large bet on Rockhold/Kennedy goes the distance @+180. It is +125 now. I don't think Kennedy can finish this fight..he isn't going to sub Rockhold, especially if Jacare didn't. Will Rockhold stop Kennedy? Kennedy's only stoppage loss was his pro debut where he lost on a cut. Rockhold was stopped with punches in his 2nd pro fight.
I don't know PP. 5 rounds is a long time to go...
What do you guys think about Larkin vs Lawler? Will Lawler be a crowd pleaser and strike? Or will he go for the takedown?
I think that fight could go either way.
On paper, I think it favors Lawler. But he did get outstruck by Babalu, who should've never won a kickboxing bout.
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Line guesses on Jardine/Gracie? Larkin/Lawler? Masivdal/Wilcox?
I will go ahead and say -190 Gracie +150 Jardine, -120 -120 Larkin/Lawler, -120 Masivdal -110 Wilcox
I remember betting Babalu in that fight and having no fucking idea how Babalu was actually winning the fight without any grappling. This is Larkin's first cut to 185 lbs. His obvious weakness is his takedown defense and grappling. He is a good and flashy striker, but I feel it is somewhat overrated. I am going to watch the Rossborough fight again tomorrow and see if I see anything wrong with Larkin such as conditioning. I think Lawler has the potential to either: take down Larkin and try and control him from the top (but when the hell does he do that? he got into a slugfest with Manhoef) or just get into a brawl with Larkin and land a huge shot.Originally Posted by SPX
This is a hard fight to cap. I actually think every main fight card is hard to cap. Money is starting to come in on Marquardt, so I will be betting Woodley small if his line keeps getting better. Would love to get him at around +130
I agree that Larkin's striking may be a little overrated. He's gotten into trouble against some guys that he was heavily favored against.
If you're right about Masvidal's line then I will definitely be on him. I'm not sure Wilcox is ready for that level of comp, especially after getting knocked out by Fodor.
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Gracie -170 Jardine +130
Might bet Jardine he is +230 now
Just listened to an interview with Roger... he is talking crazy. I think he is going to stand with Jardine and try to be like Machida, his new bff.
2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5u
These guys never learn.
2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5u
Man, I really want to bet Nate. But so many damn questions. I just do not think Twood will be able to do what he needs to in order to get the W. but that is assuming Nate is healthy and his cardio is there.
Im tempted to bet on jardine but this guy sounds like he is working hard and he has already been able to take down and submit two good wrestlers.
Gracies line is back down to -245. Im thinking of betting it. Maybe a parlay with something else.
He couldnt take randleman down. He dropped him with a knee. I am a huge roger fan, but i am realistic about his wrestling... he doesnt even have great takedowns for a bjj guy. That said, he'll find a way
2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5u
Y'all know where I stand. . .
War the Dean
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I do not think it is a given Jardine wins if its a kickboxing match. But I will be betting Jardine if his line gets real nice. Sucks I missed the +310 boat.
Jardine by head-butt.
Roger is going to win. That is my breakdown.
2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5u
Jardine was outstruck by Trevor Prangley and Matt "I can't hear you" Hamill
Nuff said
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