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  1. #1
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SPX View Post
    Me, personally, I'd probably say it's about 70/30 or 75/25 in favor of Bisping. But we'll see.
    I don't really know much about the correlation with percentages and lines, but wouldn't 70% mean the line should be WAY more than -170 and would warrant a pretty big bet?

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    Senior Member MMA_scientist's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by poopoo333 View Post
    I don't really know much about the correlation with percentages and lines, but wouldn't 70% mean the line should be WAY more than -170 and would warrant a pretty big bet?
    -170 implies a 63% win rate

    -233 implies a 70% win rate
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

  3. #3
    Senior Member SPX's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by poopoo333 View Post
    I don't really know much about the correlation with percentages and lines, but wouldn't 70% mean the line should be WAY more than -170 and would warrant a pretty big bet?
    If in fact Bisping has a 70% chance to win then the line should be -233. So yeah, -170 would be low in that case. But I could always be wrong and Stann could show us just how wrong I am when he blows Bisping to pieces in 30 seconds. We both know how this sport is.

    BTW, if you ever want to know what the proper line is for any given percentage, this thing is pretty handy:

    http://www.covers.com/sportsbetting/money_lines.aspx
    I heart cock

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