TUF 16 Finale

[poopoo333]

Shane Carwin (-200) vs Roy Nelson (+150)



Will be all over Carwin



..well actually idk

[SPX]

I kind of want to see Carwin fight once before putting any money on or against him.

Definitely not taking him as a -200 fave.

[poopoo333]

Yeah, lots of question marks on him considering his age/recent surgeries. That's why I included "..well actually idk" in my OP

[MMA_scientist]

Carwin gasses and dies if he can't put Roy away in 5 minutes. And he probably can't. So... Roy.

[poopoo333]

Roy Nelson vs Shane Carwin - 5 rounds - The Ultimate Fighter 16 Finale propositions
Sat 12/15		2003 Nelson/Carwin goes 5 round distance		+280
10:30PM		2004 Fight won't go 5 round distance		-400

[poopoo333]

Fight doesn't go 5 rounds at -400...


value.

[SPX]

Brookins vs Poirier

I suspect Poirier wins.

[poopoo333]

He should be favored but showed a T3D weakness against KZ. That is Brookins' game, but Brookins is so slow and ploddy for a featherweight.

[SPX]

Yeah, that's true. And Brookins did pretty well with the wall n' stall against Koch. Hmm. . .

[Vandelay]

I like Brookins here. Dont think Poirer can sub him nor do I believe he can stop the takedowns.

[edman5555]

Carwin gasses and dies if he can't put Roy away in 5 minutes. And he probably can't. So... Roy.

Yeah I agree. Roy is pretty fiesty on the feet as well. I could easily see him avoiding Carwins strikes long enough for Carwin to gas. Roys chin is solid as well. Carwin is super tough though...He went three rounds getting battered by JDS. His wrestling is also solid. Think Roy can take him down and sub him? I'm a little hesitant to think so. I think he will have a very difficult time getting him down. Once he is down, maybe. Standing they both have big power and great jaws. Maybe this one can go five rounds..I wonder what Shane will look like for this one though. His last fight was in June of 2011.

[SPX]

Post-injury, post-layoff Carwin is a huge question mark as far as I'm concerned.

[poopoo333]

Report: Pat Barry and Shane del Rosario to meet at The Ultimate Fighter 16 Finale

oh damn!

[mike]

i had 5u on Roy, will at more if odd gets better.
barry vs rosario is a good fight to watch. wonder if rosario can take barry down if he try.

[poopoo333]

Melvin Guillard vs Jamie Varner added

[SPX]

That's an interesting fight.

[poopoo333]

I like Varner. Slight edge though

[SPX]

I think Varner gets KTFOd, but I agree it could go either way.

[poopoo333]

Shane Carwin injured....replacement search underway

[mike]

lol roy shouldnt have insisted on the extra drug test