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HI-Roller Sports
NFL
3* Tennessee +7..... short week for the Chargers as they come off a less than inspiring win against the inept Raiders. They won that game because the Raiders were unable to execute in any phase of the game. Titans, on the other hand, ran into a buzzsaw at home facing the Patriots and their improved defense. A TD here is a lot of points to give off short rest to a good team who will look to pound the ball and control the clock. Give me the points.
2* Cincinnati -7..... short week for the Bengals as well, but they, on the other hand, are much better than they looked against the Ravens. They hung tough for 2.5 quarters before Ed Reed closed the curtains on them. Dalton, Green and "The Law Firm" should have big games against Cleveland's D minus their top cover corner, Haden. And their defense should be able to pressure rookie QB Weeden into a few more mistakes and put the game out of reach. Bragging rights for the state of Ohio goes to the Bengals in the first matchup of the season.
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DAVID BANKS
Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers
The last meeting between the Detroit Lions (1-0, 0-1 ATS) and the San Francisco 49ers (1-0, 1-0) led to a post-game coaches squabble after the Niners 25-19 win last season in what has become parochially known as the Handshake Bowl in Detroit. The rematch takes place at Candlestick Park in San Francisco, CA on Sunday night at 8:20, and can be seen nationally on NBC.
Both coaches, Jim Harbaugh of the 49ers and Jim Schwartz of the Lions, now consider the incident "ancient history" and both insist there are no hard feelings. With that in mind let us just focus on the two teams here, and while each club won its opener, the 49ers were easily the more impressive of the two. In fact, San Francisco had the look of a legitimate Super Bowl contender, going into Lambeau Field in Green Bay and physically manhandling the Packers 30-22. The Niners had the best defense in the NFL last season, and that unit remains intact. However, the Niners revamped their wide receiver corps in the off-season, adding Mario Manningham and Randy Moss, and Michael Crabtree in now another year wiser, and that made the offense look formidable last week. Quarterback Alex Smith could be in line for his best season ever thanks to those receivers, and he was outstanding in Week 1 while completing 20-of-26 passes for 211 yards and two touchdowns with no picks. And do not forget about running back Frank Gore, who rushed for 112 yards on only 16 carries. Gore is a beast when he is healthy like he was last week, but unfortunately that is not very often. To that end, the Niners added some nice depth there too in Brandon Jacobs and rookie LaMichael James, and Kendall Hunter seems ready to break out in his second season,
On the other hand, the Lions had a devil of a time getting by the lowly St. Louis Rams, needing a rally to win 27-23 on a touchdown pass to Kevin Smith with only 10 seconds remaining. Before being too rough on Detroit however, consider that Schwartz was an assistant coach under Rams' coach Jeff Fisher for eight years while the two were in Tennessee, so St. Louis had a good idea of what the Lions were going to do. Besides, Detroit did win the yardage war 429-250, although the Lions obviously do not figure to move the ball that easily vs. the stout San Francisco defense. Still, Matthew Stafford does have a quick release that can beat the 49ers' pass rush and he obviously has one of the best receiving corps in the NFL to get the ball to, led by Calvin Johnson, who is impossible to cover by any defense. Also, the Detroit defensive front four can get to the quarterback just as well as the Niners can, although Alex Smith can exploit the suspect Detroit back seven if he can duplicate last week's performance.
Last year's meeting did stay 'under' the total, making the 'under' a perfect 6-0 in the last six head-to-head meetings. The 49ers are now 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings, and the Lions are 0-4 ATS the last four times they have been installed as road underdogs.
Pick: Over 46
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FantasySportsGametime
Baseball Sunday
100* Play Philadelphia -190 over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 1:00 PM EST
Jordan Lyles has lost 17 of the last 20 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and he has lost 22 of the last 27 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Jordan Lyles has lost 14 of the last 15 day games and he has lost 9 of the last 10 games when playing on a Sunday.
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50* Play Texas -230 over Seattle (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play LA Angels -160 over Kansas City (MLB BONUS PLAY)
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FantasySportsGametime
Football Sunday
1000* Play Miami +2.5 over Oakland (TOP NFL PLAY)
Starts at 1:00 PM EST
Oakland has lost 7 of the last 10 games coming off a division game and they have also lost 6 of the last 7 games vs. Miami on the road. Oakland has lost 6 of the last 9 games when playing in the 1st month of the season and they have also lost 6 consecutive road games when the total posted is between 38.5 and 42 points.
1000* Play Baltimore +2.5 over Philadelphia (TOP NFL PLAY)
Starts at 1:00 PM EST
Baltimore has won 14 of the last 17 games coming off an UNDER the total and they have also won 10 of the last 12 games coming off a division game. Baltimore has won 7 consecutive games coming off a game where 50 or more total points were scored and they have won 7 of the last 9 games when playing in the 1st month of the season.
1000* Play Seattle +3.5 over Dallas (TOP NFL PLAY)
Starts at 4:30 PM EST
Dallas has lost 15 of the last 19 games against the spread when playing as a favorite and they have also lost 17 of the last 24 games vs. NFC Conference Opponents. Dallas has lost 8 of the last 10 games against the spread coming off a division game and they have also lost 8 of the last 10 games against the spread coming off an UNDER the total.
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Gold Medal Club NFL Selections
#208 10* Philadelphia
#215 10* Dallas
#222 5* San Diego
#224 10* San Francisco
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Andey Iskoe
Sunday, Sept. 16
Bucs +7½ at Giants (44): This becomes an important game for the defending Super Bowl champs who seek to avoid an 0-2 start with both losses at home. Tampa played an efficient game in defeating Carolina but face a much stiffer test here. New York has the more mature offense and is capable of extending late. GIANTS.
Cards +13½ at Patriots: (48): Arizona may well start Kevin Kolb at QB after starter John Skelton was injured. West Coast teams traveling east have often had trouble with the early starts and it’s questionable if the rather pedestrian Arizona offense can trade points. Laying double digits hazardous against a decent defense. UNDER.
Vikings -1 at Colts (43½): QB Andrew Luck makes his regular season home debut for the Colts and seeks to rebound from the rude welcome to the NFL he received last week in Chicago. Minnesota struggled and needed OT to get past weak Jacksonville. Indy should show steady improvement and this is very winnable. COLTS.
Saints -2½ at Panthers (50½): Both of these NFC South rivals lost as favorites last week and the loser of this game falls to 0-2. Carolina’s rushing game (13 yards on 10 rushes) was abysmal in the loss at Tampa Bay. The Saints appear to be the team more likely to rebound from a subpar effort and worth backing laying a FG or less. SAINTS.
Chiefs +3½ at Bills (44½): Both teams lost as short underdogs last week. Both offenses appear capable of both big plays and time consuming drives. Neither defense distinguished itself last week. Buffalo’s running game was dealt a blow with an injury to RB Fred Jackson that could lead to a greater emphasis on passing. OVER.
Ravens +3 at Eagles (44): Baltimore’s defense is aggressive, which could be both a benefit and a hindrance. The Philly defense intercepted Cleveland rookie QB Weeden four times which also kept scoring down. Both of these offenses are capable of finishing off drives with touchdowns or field goals. OVER.
Raiders -3 at Dolphins (40½): Oakland has a shortened work week and is another West Coast team heading east for an early starting game. They are the more talented team but are in a negative situation. This could be one of Miami’s few favorable spots and chances to win a game this season, making the points worth taking. DOLPHINS.
Browns +7 at Bengals (40½): Cleveland’s decent defense will be their strength as the offense figures to struggle with limited talent. The Bengals also have a solid defense in addition to a balanced offense. It’s hard to back the Browns even as big divisional underdogs. Expect the defenses to outperform the offenses. UNDER.
Texans -7½ at Jaguars (41½): Houston won both games last season, by 10 and 6 points. The Jags have more areas in which to improve over their opening week effort and RB Maurice Jones-Drew should be more effective after ending his holdout just a week prior to their opening game. JAGUARS.
Cowboys -3 at Seahawks (42½): Dallas has extra rest. Seattle played well in defeat in Arizona as rookie QB Russell Wilson showed poise and nearly led the Seahawks to a last second game winning TD. Seattle strong at home and there is concern about Dallas’ ability to string together back to back strong efforts. SEAHAWKS.
Redskins -3 at Rams (45½): Washington did very little wrong in its impressive upset of New Orleans and has a chance to start 2-0 with a pair of road wins. Both offenses are capable of big plays and we should see plenty of points in what could be a shootout. OVER.
Jets +6½ at Steelers (41½): The Jets shocked almost everyone with their 48 point outburst against Buffalo. Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger tossed a late interception that was returned for a touchdown to cement Denver’s 31-19 win. Steelers aware of what the Jets plan to do with Sanchez/Tebow combo. STEELERS.
Titans +5 at Chargers (44½): The Titans should be concerned with their running game after rushing for just 20 yards on 16 carries against the Pats. The Chargers have a huge edge at QB with Philip Rivers against the still inexperienced Jake Locker. Barring major injuries on Monday night, the spot is favorable for the hosts. CHARGERS.
Lions +6½ at 49ers (46½): The 49ers have the more disciplined defense. QB Alex Smith manages the 49ers offense well and has a solid group of receivers in addition to a solid ground game. Laying close to a TD is not an overreaction to last week. Niners appear to have just continued from where they left off last season. 49ERS.
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Dennis Ball @ Gaming Today
Sunday, Sept. 16
Bucs +7½ at Giants: If you’re thinking the Giants and Packers could both lose back to back home games, it could be a little bit of a stretch. Stranger things have probably happened, right? Parity is alive and well in the NFL, right? No, I can’t pull the trigger on that idea. I think the Giants defensive front will be in Josh Freeman’s face all day long. Freeman had a good game against Carolina. But I’m betting against him here. GIANTS.
Cards +13½ at Patriots: John Skelton went down late in the Seahawks game with an ankle injury and Kevin Kolb saved the day. I don’t see Kolb saving anything here except his life. The Patriots now have a defense that can put a little pressure on the QB. Everyone knows the Pats can throw the ball, but some people thought they wouldn’t run the rock a lick. Looks like Belichick and the Pats might be able to surprise some folks if Ridley keeps up his current pace. PATRIOTS.
Vikings -1 at Colts: Andrew Luck found the regular season a little tougher than the preseason. There are plenty of offensive line issues for Luck to contend with and Dwight Freeney went out of the game with an ankle sprain. Peterson may not be 100 percent healthy. If not, he’s extremely close. VIKINGS.
Saints – 2½ at Panthers: I can’t believe I’m already hearing things like the Saints will be horrible all season long because of Sean Peyton’s absence. Week 1 is important, no doubt about it. But I’m not ready to bury the Saints before Week 2 kickoff! Cam Newton is trying to do everything by himself. SAINTS.
Chiefs +3½ at Bills: I’m a sucker for a big “phat” hook, especially on the number 3. Bills look to be far away from that quick start they jumped out to last season. CHIEFS.
Ravens +3 at Eagles: Philly looked so bad in Cleveland. The first line I saw looked like an over-reaction with Eagles at -2½. But that number quickly went to 3 and it looks right. The Ravens have a chance to be as good as any other club in the AFC, including some of the overrated teams in the NFC like Philly. RAVENS.
Raiders -3 at Dolphins: I will take Carson Palmer over Ryan Tannehill. I like the guys in the trenches better as well. RAIDERS.
Browns +7 at Bengals: If the Browns can get any semblance of quarterback play out of Brandon Weeden, Cleveland should keep this game within a field goal. BROWNS.
Texans -7½ at Jags: The Jags defense should keep them in this game, just like it did against the Vikes last week. Blaine Gabbert is not great, but he is getting better. Look for the hook! JAGS.
Cowboys -3 at Seahawks: I understand the Russell Wilson move, but I’m not taking him over Tony Romo. If the Seahawks can’t handle the Cards they shouldn’t be able to touch the Cowboys. COWBOYS.
Skins – 3 at Rams: As predicted here, the St. Louis football team will not be the old Rams under Jeff Fisher. They could have very easily upset the Lions. I think they’re a live home dawg. RAMS.
Jets +6 at Steelers: Jets aren’t as great offensively as they looked against the Bills. But they’re not half as bad as everyone made them out to be in the preseason. The Jets defense can be nasty. The defense should be mean enough to win the money. JETS.
Titans +4½ at Chargers: Titans need to find a rushing attack. Chris Johnson continues to confound Tennessee backers. CHARGERS.
Lions +6½ at 49ers: I’m trying not to over-react to probably the best team performance of opening week. The 49ers were fantastic at Green Bay. I’m expecting more of the same here. However, the Lions are too talented a club to ignore the big number. You have to watch this game just to see the coaches handshake after the game! LIONS.
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ProSportsPlays
Sunday Football
• * *Play Baltimore +3 over Philadelphia (Top NFL Play)
Starts at 1:00 PM EST
Philadelphia has lost 7 of the last 9 games against the spread when
playing in the 1st month of the season and they have also lost 7 of
the last 9 home games against the spread when the total posted is
greater than 45.5 points.
• * *Play Houston -7 over Jacksonville (Top NFL Play)
Starts at 1:00 PM EST
Houston has covered the spread in 7 of the last 8 games when the total
posted is between 35.5 and 42 points and they have also covered the
spread in 4 of the last 5 games coming off a home win by ten points or
more.
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• * *Play Pittsburgh -6 over NY Jets (Extra NFL Play)
• * *Play San Francisco -7 over Detroit (Extra NFL Play)
ProSportsPlays
Sunday Baseball
• * *Play LA Angels -160 over Kansas City (TOP MLB PLAY)
Starts at 2:20 PM EST
Kansas City has lost 31 of the last 47 day games and they have also
lost 14 of the last 25 games when playing on a Sunday. *Kansas City
has lost 20 of the last 33 games vs. AL West Division Opponents and
they have also lost 12 of the last 15 games as a home underdog of +150
to +175.
Online Sports Winners
The Football Plays for Sunday are:
100* Take New England -13.5 over Arizona (NFL TOP PLAY)
1:00 PM EST
New England has won 12 consecutive games coming off a road win and
they have also won 21 of the last 23 games when the total posted is
between 42.5 and 49 points. *New England has won 17 of the last 19
home games and they have also won 36 of the last 38 games as a
favorite of ten points or more.
100* Take San Francisco -6.5 over Detroit (NFL TOP PLAY)
8:30 PM EST
San Francisco has covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games as a
favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points and they have also covered the spread in
12 of the last 16 home games. *San Francisco has covered the spread in
11 of the last 15 games coming off an OVER the total and they have
also covered the spread in 12 of the last 16 games coming off a road
game.
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50* Take Houston -7 over Jacksonville (NFL BONUS PLAY)
50* Take Pittsburgh -6 over NY Jets (NFL BONUS PLAY)
Online Sports Winners
The Baseball Plays for Sunday are:
100* Take Philadelphia -190 over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)
Houston has lost 37 of the last 49 games when playing on a Sunday and
they have also lost 66 of the last 92 day games. *Houston has lost 74
of the last 106 games vs. right-handed starting pitchers and they have
also lost 52 of the last 66 games when playing in the 2nd half of the
season.
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50* Take Texas -230 over Seattle (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Take Cincinnati -115 over Miami (MLB BONUS PLAY)
XpertPicks
Sunday Hoops & Baseball
• * *Play San Antonio -14 over Tulsa (TOP WNBA PLAY)---RISK 2% OF YOUR BANKROLL
3:00 PM EST
San Antonio has covered the spread in 14 of the last 21 games as a
favorite and they have also covered the spread in 13 of the last 19
games vs. division opponents. *San Antonio has covered the spread in
20 of the last 30 games coming off an OVER the total and they have
also covered the spread in 11 of the last 13 games vs. Tulsa.
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Play Rangers, Reds, and Phillies in 3-Team Parlay---RISK 1% OF YOUR BANKROLL
• * *Play Texas -230 over Seattle (TOP MLB PLAY)---RISK 3% OF YOUR BANKROLL
3:10 PM EST
Matt Harrison has won 7 consecutive games as a favorite of -200 or
higher and he has won 15 of the last 18 games when pitching on a
Sunday. *Matt Harrison has won 9 of the last 12 games when pitching in
the month of September and he is 9-1 vs. Seattle over his career with
an ERA of 2.39.
• * *Play Cincinnati -115 over Miami (BONUS MLB PLAY)—RISK 1% OF YOUR BANKROLL
• * *Play Philadelphia -190 over Houston (BONUS MLB PLAY)—RISK 1% OF YOUR BANKROLL
XpertPicks
Football Plays
Sunday
• * *Play NY Giants -7.5 over Tampa Bay (TOP NFL PLAY)---5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 1:00 PM EST
Tampa Bay has lost 7 of the last 9 games against the spread coming off
a division game and they have also lost 9 of the last 13 games against
the spread coming off an UNDER the total. *Tampa Bay has lost 11 of
the last 17 games against the spread when the total posted is between
42.5 and 49 points and they have also lost 19 of the last 22 road
games as an underdog of 7.5 to 10 points.
• * *Play Pittsburgh -6 over NY Jets (TOP NFL PLAY)---5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 4:30 PM EST
Pittsburgh has won 22 of the last 27 games as a favorite and they have
also won 19 of the last 23 games when the total posted is between 35.5
and 42 points. *Pittsburgh has won and covered the spread in 8
consecutive games coming off a loss and they have won 5 of the last 6
games vs. New York at home.
• * *Play San Francisco -6.5 over Detroit (TOP NFL PLAY)---5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 8:30 PM EST
San Francisco has covered the spread in 8 of the last 9 home games and
they have also covered the spread in 7 consecutive games when playing
in the 1st half of the season. *San Francisco has covered the spread
in 8 of the last 10 games vs. Detroit and they have also covered the
spread in 8 of the last 10 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points.
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Sports Wagers MLB
Pittsburgh -120 over CHICAGO
The bad news is that the Pirates are choking miserably. The good news is they snapped a seven-game losing streak yesterday and wake up today just two games out of a Wild Card because the teams’ ahead of them, St. Louis and Atlanta are slumping too.
There’s more good news. They get to face Chris Volstad here. Volstad has three wins in 17 starts. He walks too many, he doesn’t strike out many and his 5.04 xERA comes with a full lack of skills support. Blame the long ball. Blame ball four. Blame April and May when he posted a 7.46 ERA in 41 IP. There’s plenty of blame to go around. No insights. No answers. No solutions. Just lots and lots of blame.
By contrast, Jeff Locke has 13 K’s, a 57% groundball rate and just one walk in his brief 15 inning career, covering just two starts and two relief appearances. Locke displayed solid numbers as a SP in 141 Triple-A innings: 2.48 ERA with a good strikeout rate, elite control and a solid groundball profile. In fact, it’s pretty much the exact same thing he’s shown at this level. The strikeouts come despite the lack of a high-octane fastball but his in-out-up-down repertoire has proven to be successful at every level. He pitches like a seasoned vet and he pitches with confidence. Frankly, this is a cheap price to pay to fade Chris Volstad.
Our PickPittsburgh -120 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 1.67)
MILWAUKEE -1½ +142 over N.Y. Mets
In 2010, Chris Young pitched seven scoreless innings on May 1 then was never heard from again, as his shoulder tear required surgery. Subsequently, some brief cameos saw good results but they didn't have strong skill support. Young’s extreme fly-ball profile this season of 59%, the highest in the majors of any pitcher with at least 10 starts, limits the venues where he could be successful. Milwaukee isn’t one of them. The Brewers are one of the most dangerous teams’ at home. They go yard often, they hit gappers and they score runs. Young is in line to get rocked here and the Mets’ bullpen is as unreliable as he.
Wily Peralta has only two major-league starts. He has been very durable since returning from Tommy John surgery in '07. With a fastball that sits in the low-to-mid-90s and touches 97, he can be dominant with one pitch. Due to his height and arm slot, he pitches downhill which often leaves hitters burying his fastball into the ground. In his 13 major league innings, he has a sweet groundball rate of 59%. It’s a small sample size but it’s a mark that he also had in the minors. The kid has natural, pure stuff.
All of a sudden the Brewers are in this thing, as they sit just 2½-games back in the Wild Card race. Allowing Chris Young and the Mets to beat them here would be devastating but with the way the Brewers are playing and swinging the sticks, we see the Brewers striking early and often and burying this soft intruder.
Our PickMILWAUKEE -1½ +142 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 200.00)
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benton 50 dime on dallas cowboys
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Al DeMarco
Line Error Lock of the Week
5 Dime Play
Winning Day #25 of 39
Cowboys
Scott Delaney
30 Dime NFL
Winner #4 of 6
Indianapolis Colts
Chris Jordan
200♦ NFL Winner #8 of 12
InterConference
Underdog of the Year
Potential outright winner
Ravens
Anthony Redd
50 Dime NFL
Winner # 4 of 5
Ravens
Jeff Benton
50 DIME
Winner #4 in a Row
Dallas Cowboys
Chuck O'Brien
50 DIME NFL
WINNER #5 OF 7
NFC Interdivision
Road Warrior of the Year
Double-digit blowout
Dallas Cowboys
Craig Davis
50 DIME
Winner #14 of 18
#18 of 24 Overall
2Team Teaser
Oakland/Miami Over
Cleveland/Cincinnati Over
Matt Rivers
2nd Biggest Release
400,000♦ Winner #10 of 14
- #21 of 30 Overall -
New Orleans Saints
Bob Valentino
One and Only
75 DIME
NFL Dog of the Year
Seahawks
Sean Michaels
NFL Winner # 8 of 11 Overall
100 DIME
NFL WINNER 19 OF 23
Teaser Winner #22 of 30
NY Giants / Cin Bengals Teaser
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Rainman
10* Houston -7
5* San Francisco -7
3* Kansas City +3
1*Miami +2
1* Cleveland & Cinn over 39
-
Paul Leiner
100* Chargers -6.5
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SuperSportsGroup - MLB
LAA v. Kansas City 2:10pm
PICK: UNDER 9 Game -105
Chicago v. Minnesota 2:10pm
PICK: OVER 8.5 Game
Baltimore v. Oakland 4:05pm
PICK: OVER 8 Game -105
SAn Fran v. Arizona 4:10pn
PICK: OVER 9 Game -110
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Charlie Sports
500* Raiders / Dolphins Under 42
500* Saints / Panthers Under 52
500* Rams +7
30* Seahawks +3
20* Cardinals +14
-
Vegas Sports Consultants NFL Week #1 (5-2 +27.7*)
12 Kansas City +3.5
10 Indy O-45
10 Cincinatti -7
20 Oakland O-41
20 Dallas O-42
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Goodfella
3* GOM SEA
2* PHI
2* 7pt teaser NE & CAR
-
Northocast Private Play Hotline Plays:
Chalk-NE
Dog Bod-Clev
Aftenroon Play-NYJets
-
Bob Akmens
Steelers
49ers
Over Patriots
-
Seabass
NFL:
100 teaser-Miami and UNDER Cleveland.
100 St. louis
100 Seattle
100 Indy
200 New England
400 Houston
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