Page 1 of 2 1 ... LastLast
Results 1 to 20 of 21

Thread: UFC on FX 5 Bets

  1. #1
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    18,303
    Rep Power
    79

    UFC on FX 5 Bets

    What will be tracked?

    Straight bets
    -Fights that are posted like this:
    -Tim Sylvia risking 100 units to win 1 unit
    -Seth Petrizezli risking .6 units to win 1 unit
    -Carlo Prater by DQ risking 1u to win 1000u

    Props (will be tallied as straight bets)
    -Edgar by TKO risking 1u to win 7.5u

    -Parlays will be tracked seperately.

    -We will have a seperate results thread for Boxing and MMA

  2. #2
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    18,303
    Rep Power
    79
    3u to win 1u on Darren Uyenoyama
    1.75u to win 2.28u on Aaron Simpson
    1.7u to win 1u on Jacob Volkmann
    1.75u to win 1u on Shane Roller/Jacob Volkmann goes distance
    1.45u to win 1u on Marcus LeVesseur
    4.63u to win 2.5u on Aaron Simpson/Mike Pierce over 2.5 rds
    2u to win 3.1u on Danny Castillo
    1u to win 2.5u on Justin Edwards
    2.5u to win 8.05u on Jake Ellenberger ITD
    6u to win 10.5u on Antonio Bigfoot Silva
    1.38u to win 18.67u on Travis Browne via Decision

    0.5u to win 8.48u on:

    Pending 10/5/12 5:00pm UFC Fighting 1801 Darren Uyenoyama -270* vs Phil Harris
    Pending 10/5/12 4:30pm UFC Fighting 1901 Marcus LeVesseur -120* vs Carlo Prater
    Pending 10/5/12 11:00pm Bellator Fighting 2002 Thiago Santos -650* vs Eric Prindle
    Pending 10/5/12 9:30pm Props Fighting 1030 Any other result -1580* vs Browne wins in round 3
    Pending 10/5/12 9:00pm Props Fighting 1132 Any other result -1140* vs Ellenberger wins by submission
    Pending 10/5/12 8:00pm Props Fighting 1203 Dodson/Formiga goes 3 round distance -195* vs Fight won't go 3 round distance
    Cancelled 10/5/12 7:30pm Props Fighting 1403 Stephens/Edwards goes 3 round distance -210* vs Fight won't go 3 round distance
    Pending 10/5/12 6:00pm Props Fighting 1603 Roller/Volkmann goes 3 round distance -175* vs Fight won't go 3 round distance
    Pending 10/5/12 5:30pm Props Fighting 1703 Palaszewski/Nunes goes 3 round distance -190* vs Fight won't go 3 round distanc
    Last edited by poopoo333; 10-05-2012 at 09:37 PM.

  3. #3
    Senior Member Svino's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2010
    Posts
    3,873
    Rep Power
    39
    Quote Originally Posted by poopoo333 View Post
    2.5u to win 8.05u on Jake Ellenberger ITD
    Well that seems like a good... wait... what?

  4. #4
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    18,303
    Rep Power
    79
    Quote Originally Posted by Svino View Post
    Well that seems like a good... wait... what?
    What do you mean?

  5. #5
    Senior Member Svino's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2010
    Posts
    3,873
    Rep Power
    39
    Quote Originally Posted by poopoo333 View Post
    What do you mean?
    Is that actually not a typo? Where did you get that line? Is it still up?

  6. #6
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    18,303
    Rep Power
    79
    It was the opening line, +322.


  7. #7
    Senior Member Svino's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2010
    Posts
    3,873
    Rep Power
    39
    OK, wow. Is that 5d?

    Anyway, I'd set the line for that at +150 at the highest.

  8. #8
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    18,303
    Rep Power
    79
    Yeah, 5D. Would have went bigger on it +322 but $100 limits.

  9. #9
    Senior Member Vandelay's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
    Posts
    1,934
    Rep Power
    18
    Nice find there. I may take Ellenberger by ko (probably around 200) or Ellenberger in rd 1 which may be around 350.

  10. #10
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    18,303
    Rep Power
    79
    I'm not ruling out Hieron to win, but I think Ellenberger definitely has the potential to KO Hieron. Hieron is a bit chinny and Ellenberger is pretty damn powerful. Hopefully he isn't tentative because his gassing out in the Kampmann fight.

  11. #11
    Senior Member edman5555's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2010
    Posts
    6,630
    Rep Power
    35
    Is Hieron really that chinny? Ellenberger is a beast on the feat that can KO anyone but I dont see why Hieron is especially vulnerable. I am just looking at Hierons record though. I havent watched many fights.

  12. #12
    Senior Member Svino's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2010
    Posts
    3,873
    Rep Power
    39
    Quote Originally Posted by edman5555 View Post
    Is Hieron really that chinny? Ellenberger is a beast on the feat that can KO anyone but I dont see why Hieron is especially vulnerable. I am just looking at Hierons record though. I havent watched many fights.
    Let's break it down this way:

    1) Ellenberger is considered by the odds to be about 75% likely to win the fight.
    2) Most of Ellenberger's wins are by KO/TKO (17 of 27)
    3) Most of Hieron's losses are by KO/TKO (3 of 5) (admittedly 1 was by cut, and some were long ago)

  13. #13
    Senior Member Ludo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    4,932
    Rep Power
    35
    .371u to win .5u on Simpson
    .455u to win 1u on Justin Edwards
    .556u to win 1u on Yves Edwards
    1.55u to win 1u on Michael Johnson
    1.9u to win 1u on Nunes

    1.065u to win 1u Parlay on Dodson/Uyenoyama
    2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
    Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
    Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
    Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

    2012: +20.311u

  14. #14
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    18,303
    Rep Power
    79
    Quote Originally Posted by Vandelay View Post
    Nice find there. I may take Ellenberger by ko (probably around 200) or Ellenberger in rd 1 which may be around 350.
    Fri 10/5 1121 Ellenberger wins in round 1 +250
    9:00PM 1122 Any other result -350

    Fri 10/5 1133 Ellenberger wins by TKO/KO +180
    9:00PM 1134 Any other result -260



  15. #15
    MMA Moderator poopoo333's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    18,303
    Rep Power
    79
    Ellenberger to not sub Hieron is -1140. All in.

  16. #16
    Senior Member Svino's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2010
    Posts
    3,873
    Rep Power
    39
    Pierce 4u to win 2.3u
    Silva 1.6u to win 3u
    Formiga 1.1u to win 2u
    Castillo 1.4u to win 2u
    Prater 2u to win 2u

  17. #17
    Senior Member SPX's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2009
    Posts
    23,876
    Rep Power
    60
    Silva: .59u to win 1u
    Castillo: 1u to win 1.1u
    Bartimus: .59u to win 1u
    I heart cock

  18. #18
    10 year vet Luke's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2006
    Posts
    30,071
    Rep Power
    98
    Dodson 2.3 to win 1
    2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP



  19. #19
    Senior Member edman5555's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2010
    Posts
    6,630
    Rep Power
    35
    GJ guys

  20. #20
    Senior Member Vandelay's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
    Posts
    1,934
    Rep Power
    18
    Stephens cancellation cost me 925 bucks for the fotn props getting cancelled. ah well.

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •