11-20-12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Two for Tuesday November 20, 2012 3:00 AM by GT Staff

2 for Tuesday by Richard Saber

1) Akron +19 at Toledo (ESPN2, 4 p.m. PT)

Akron has not been very Zippy this year, winning one game; and that was against Morgan State. The host Rockets are headed to a bowl and may not be that motivated. AKRON.

2) Akron at Toledo (64 total at Station)

We know Toledo likes to pile up the points and will give up a few as well. Last time these teams met was in 2008 and they combined to score 77 points. That will work here. OVER.

Richard Saber (last week ATS: 2-0; 2012 record: 48-37-5).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CBB

-- Ball State lost 57-50 at Indiana State LY, but Sycamores lost four of LY's starters, are 2-1, losing by 27 at UCLA. Cardinals allowed 56 ppg in beating two stiffs by 27-5 points. MAC single digit favorites are 2-6 vs spread. MVC road underdogs are 5-1 against the spread.
-- Middle Tennessee lost by 21 at Florida, after allowing 54 ppg in pair of wins vs stiffs; Blue Raiders are rebounding 43% of their misses, very high %age. UCF allowed 54 ppg in winning first three games, with 74-56 win over South Florida. Sun Belt single digit road underdogs are 5-1.
-- South Florida split four home games to start season, losing to Western Michigan by 5 Sunday. Bradley scored 77.7 ppg in winning first three games by 23-17-7 points. Big East favorites are 11-12 vs spread, 7-8 at home. MVC road underdogs covered five of first six tries.
-- Harvard lost by 3 at UMass, then crushed Manhattan by 34 in next game; Ivy League road dogs are 3-6 vs spread. St Joe's split pair of tough games over weekend, beating Notre Dame in OT, losing to Florida State by 7; Hawks lost 74-69 at Harvard LY. A-16 single digit HFs are 2-4.

-- DePaul got upset by Gardner-Webb, beat up on two other stiffs; their strength has been creating steals. 4-0 Wichita has win at VCU; Armstead is experienced PG who will protect ball. Big East road underdogs are 6-3 vs spread, MVC home favorites covered seven of first ten games.
-- Marquette played 10 guys 10+ minutes Monday, but lost at buzzer to Butler, after grabbing early 14-4 lead; Eagles made just 19-28 on foul line, 4-14 from arc. Mississippi State was down 32 at half, lost by 46 to North Carolina Monday. SEC underdogs are 3-6 against the spread.
-- North Carolina had easy time Monday; they won previous game by 15 at Long Beach, after being up 1 at half- no one played more than 23 minutes Monday. Butler had emotional win, despite making 4-21 from arc and 14-25 at line. ACC road favorites are 7-2 against spread.
-- USC was down 31 at half last night to Illinois, lost by 30 in horrible game where Illini played great. Texas lost to D-II Chaminade, so both of these teams are out for redemption; only two Longhorns played more than 28 minutes. No one played more than 28 for the Trojans.
-- Texas A&M turned ball over 19 times in 70-49 loss (were down 9 at half) Monday; two guys played more than 28 minutes. Washington St. was down 29 at half to Kansas, lost by 37; Coogs had beaten couple of stiffs before reality hit last night. SEC favorites are 12-7, 2-3 on road.

-- Saint Louis learned Coach Majerus retired due to illness, then beat up on Texas A&M by 21; Billikens start four juniors and a senior. Kansas is basically at home in Kansas City; they're 3-1 despite making just 27% behind arc. A-16 underdogs are 5-7 against the spread.
-- UCLA lost by 9 to Georgetown last night, playing 8 guys; Anderson didn't score in 33 minute, Muhammad had 15 points in debut, which was Bruins' first road game. Georgia was up a point at half on #1 Indiana last night, lost by 13; they had only two guys play more than 24 minutes.
-- Georgetown runs Princeton-type offense that is tough to get ready for on short notice; they beat UCLA by 9 Monday, making 54% from floor, but they had four guys play 35+ minutes. Indiana was down 30-29 at half last night, won by 13; they had six guys play 25+ minutes.
-- Buffalo lost four of first five games, scoring less than 60 points in four games, turning ball over 26% of time; Bulls crushed Canisius 94-59 LY, but now Griffs have new coach, are 2-0, upsetting St Bonaventure last game. MAAC favorites are 3-1-1 against the spread this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFB

Akron-Toledo haven’t met since 2008; Rockets won three of last four series games, with favorites covering three of the four. Zips lost their last two visits here, 42-10/35-20, but won last meeting 47-30. Akron lost its last eight games overall, but is 4-1 vs spread as road underdog, losing away games by 3-21-6-21-11 points; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven games overall. Toledo lost last two games after winning previous eight; they’re 2-1 as home favorite year. Rockets’ last three losses were all by 6 or less points. Last six Akron games, last four Toledo games all stayed under the total. MAC home favorites are 15-12 vs spread in conference play this year.