11-21-12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Striker Sports
3-Unit Play. #588 Take Toledo (-5.5) over Samford (4:30 p.m., Wednesday, November 21)

The Rockets are 0-3 but I am sticking with my original read on this team in thinking they will be a good squad throughout the season. And expectations on their end were just as high, returning all five starters in a MAC league they knew they would be able to compete in this winter. Well, this is a great chance to buy a stock low. Toledo will bounce back with a much-needed win over a team they should handle. Lay the number, as the better team from the better conference takes care of business.

3-Unit Play. #543 Take Colorado State (+3) over Denver (9 p.m., Wednesday, November 21)

An NCAA Tournament appearance last year, so far the Rams have done well to pick up where they left off last season. Granted it's just 2-0 against weak competition, but this Colorado State team is again a good one. Plus, the addition of Minnesota transfer Colton Iverson has really looked good in the frontcourt with Pierce Hornung. Even though Denver U has it's best player in Chris Udofia back, it has shown the overall outlook for the Pioneers (1-2) is not as good with several key players graudated. This is CSU's third game in only ten days to begin the season, and the first two were at home. With this being a quick travel for an in-state rival, I look for the Rams to be well rested and focused on scoring a quality non-conference victory which can be added to the resume for next spring's chances of making the Big Dance for the secon consecutive year.

3-Unit Play. #582 Take Michigan (-3.5) over Pittsburgh (9:30 p.m., Wednesday, November 21)

I might be willing to consent that the Wolverines are a tad overranked. They are good, but maybe not Top Five good. That being said, they are better than a Pittsburgh team that is very lacking of talent this season. The Panthers were getting pounded all game by Oakland prior to a near perfect rally to erase an almost 20-point deficit. That was last week in an earlier game for this preseason tournament. Here, Michigan isn't going to give them that luxury. Playmakers Tim Hardaway Jr. and Trey Burke might just be the best backcourt in the country. I don't see how Pittsburgh counters that in this game. The Maize and Blue are victorious here in NYC.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas
6 Unit Play. Take #516 Oklahoma City -4 over LA Clippers (7:35 p.m., Wednesday, November 21 ESPN)
(Game of the Month) Yes I know the Clippers are red hot and are perfect on the road this season but OKC will be looking to win this matchup at home. The Thunder will need to show the Western Conference elite that they are still a force to be feared. The Clippers are coming off a big road win against the Spurs which the Clippers made the Spurs look really old but they won't be able to do the same in Oklahoma City. The Thunder again will want to slow down 'Lob City' and look for Russell Westbrook to be the key tonight and make Chris Paul play more defense then offense. Should be a great game and a close one but the OKC Thunder win this game in the 4th quarter and we cash our Game of the Month. The Oklahoma City Thunder is 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games against Western Conference teams and again this trend continues as the Thunder win tonight at home.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc

3-Unit Play #502 Take Charlotte -2 over Toronto (7 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
This is a very public line, no doubt about it. The Bobcats are playing very well this season thus far and overachieving in a big way. Shoot, if the season ended today this team would be in the playoffs! Let's not get ahead of ourselves though. But this team is playing very hard every night and they will face a more talented team tonight in the Raptors but one who is a classic underachiever and one that is also coming in on a back-to-back after a pretty grueling game last night in Philly. This team led most of the way before being outscored 33-18 in the final frame by the home team. We think there is a pretty good chance that poor fourth-quarter performance will carry over into this game. Toronto is 1-5 on the road while the Bobcats are 4-2 at home. Plus, Charlotte has won six of the last seven meetings straight up and covered in seven straight. We think this line is based more on expectations than reality. While it is hard to fathom the Bobcats in a favorites role, we think that they are legit and we think this team will be very profitable until the oddsmakers catch up.

2-Unit Play #505 Take Philadelphia/Cleveland OVER 183.5 (7 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
We were on the Toronto/Philly OVER last night and we think this game is a similar situation. These teams played recently, just like Philly and Toronto had, and the total went well under the posted number, just like these teams did when they played on Sunday. However, that Sunday game against Philly was the first time in nine games that the Cavs did not allow a team to hit the century mark. This team is just not a good defensive club. They are second to last in the NBA in allowing nearly 103 points per game. Philadelphia's offense has been improving as these players learn to play together on a new team. We think they should be able to get to the mid-to-high 90s tonight and we expect this to be a pretty close game. Yes, Kyrie Irving is out for the Cavs. But since these teams played so recently we think that both teams should be able to make some offensive adjustments which will help scoring. And also the Sixers are on a back-to-back so their defense will probably not be as sharp as normal since fatigued players often lapse on defense.

4-Unit Play #509 Take San Antonio/Boston UNDER 194.5 (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
Boston hasn't been playing up to its normal defensive standards. They are giving up 98 points per game thus far. However, this is one of the best defensive teams in the league and they will start showing that sooner or later. And the totals lines for this team are rising while they will only get better on defense. Their defense should be primed for a strong showing in this Wednesday marquee matchup. The Spurs are a lot better defensively this season. They are allowing only 94.3 points per game, which puts them in the Top 10. This is a team that can run up the score on bad defensive teams but they normally score much less against defensive teams. The bottom line on this one is that we had this game at 188 and we think there is great line value tonight on a total that we think is highly inflated.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe
Wednesday November 21 2012-

6 Unit Play Take #503 Detroit +1.5 over Orlando (7:00pm est):

Going into this season the Detroit Pistons were considered an up and coming team with some good young talent but a horrific scheduling set-up really threw things for a loop for this team. The Pistons were forced to go out west and play some very tough games early on to start their year and they couldn't get on track because of it. Since then though things have calmed down and the Pistons have settled in nicely with two wins in their last three games and five point spread covers in their last seven overall. Their last loss was a very tough one too swallow for Detroit as it came against this Orlando team they face here in this one tonight as the Pistons blew a late double digit lead in the game. Detroit should be focused on getting some revenge here as they felt like they really let that game slip through their fingers. Also the Pistons have made some key lineup changes and since those moves things have fallen nicely into place for them. Not only have they made a key change in their starting lineup but Detroit has also been able to add a veteran presence to their bench in Corey Maggette that makes this team a whole better overall.

As for the Orlando Magic, they came out of the gates to this season playing with something too prove after their big off-season loss of Dwight Howard. The Magic were able to pull off some nice wins at home early on and folks started thinking maybe this team was better than people first thought. Well that ended up not being the case as Hedo Turkoglu got injured and things have started to unravel ever since. Not only have the Magic lost, they have been getting buried along the way. They are just 1-7 their last eight with their last six losses coming by eight points or more.

Detroit is the better of these two teams and will have some payback on their minds from that loss the other night to Orlando. Play Detroit here.


3 Unit Play Take #507 New Orleans +8 over Indiana (7:00pm est):

New Orleans comes in having followed up double digit defeats with a point spread cover their next game eight straight times. Head coach Monty Williams gets the most out of this group following embarrassing losses and once again he has to try and work his magic here as the Hornets were stomped by 22 points at home last night to New York.

Indiana has struggled to score points all season and asking them to win by nearly double digits in this one will be tough for a team that can't put the ball in the basket. The Pacers are a grind it out group who win close games, not the type that will blow someone out. Keep in mind also they have failed to cover the game after a win their last five straight times in this spot and they come into this match-up off a victory in their last game.

New Orleans should bring enough to keep things close here in this one. Take New Orleans and the points here.


3 Unit Play Take #238 Golden State -1.5 over Brooklyn (10:30pm est):

Once again we see a Brooklyn Nets team getting way too much respect this season. The Nets spilled their load and put their hearts into last night's contest with the Lakers. Though they lost to LA you get the feeling they come away happy with their performance for the most part. Now they have to turn right back around here and face an upstart Golden State team who seems to really flourish when at home.

The Warriors have had a rough schedule to start their season but despite the tough stretch of games they have come out of all of it with a winning record on the year so far. This a gutsy group who have been in nearly every ball game and also have some nice road wins over Dallas, Minnesota and the Clippers. Overall the product they have put on the court and their resume has looked just as good as the Nets thus far.

Not sure how much Brooklyn will bring to this game, a day after dropping their biggest game of the season. Plus add in the fact this is not only a back to back spot but they also head home after this one to face a very good Clippers team on Friday night. The Warriors should be ready for this one while the Nets probably have their minds elsewhere. Play Golden State here. What a huge weekend of betting action on tap and it kicks off tonight with two CBB plays going. I have won now four of my last five the last two days in CBB and had a huge winning season last year overall on the CBB hardwood. Turkey day should be a blast as I have two NFL plays going and then look out as three more days of lots of betting action after that. Get on board and let's make some money watching sports this weekend.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Ferringo

5-Unit Play. Take #511 Washington (+10) over Atlanta (7:30 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 21)
Note: This is my NBA Game of the Week.

This Wizards team is definitely getting desperate. They are the worst team in the NBA and they are the last team without a win. Now they are a facing a division rival and a team that is still trying to figure itself out. Atlanta made some major moves in the offseason and they are still learning to play with one another. This team is not explosive offensively, and relies more on production on the defensive end to get the job done. Those teams rarely make strong favorites. Atlanta beat Orlando - which is almost as bad as Washington - by just nine points on Monday, they lost at Golden State, they only beat Indiana by three, and they lost to Houston in a home game. So this Hawks team is a little shaky and I don't know that they are capable of laying the wood here. Washington is pathetic. But they have just one loss by more than 10 points this year and their last three losses have come by an average of just 5.3 points. I think the Wizards are going to find a way to hang around in this game and they might even threaten to get a win.

2-Unit Play. Take #519 Denver (-3) over Minnesota (8 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 21)

I think this T-Wolves team is pathetic. Truthfully, go look at their roster right now. Greg Stiemsma and Luke Ridnour are starting, and their bench consists of guys named Alexey Shved and Lou Amundson. That's gross. Yeah, they are going to get J.J. Barea back tonight. But that shouldn't be enough to beat an improving Denver team.

2-Unit Play. Take #507 New Orleans (+8) over Indiana (7 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take #504 Orlando (-1) over Detroit (7 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 200.5 Portland at Phoenix (9 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 191.5 Denver at Minnesota (8 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 204.5 L.A. Lakers at Sacramento (10 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 21)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

6-Unit Play. Take #503 Detroit (+1) over Orlando (7 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 21)
Note: This is our NBA Game of the Month.

I love the Pistons in this spot. Detroit looked outstanding in their 20-point blowout win over the Celtics the other night and this team definitely has the pieces to be a decent NBA team. Yes, they have had their struggles thus far this season, but looking at all of the "bottom" level teams this Pistons squad is the best of them (better than Orlando). Detroit also has revenge on their side as they are looking to make up for their home loss to Orlando (110-106) five days ago. Orlando scored 39 fourth quarter points in that contest to win and I just don't see that happening again. JJ Redick had 23 points in that contest and he will not be his usual self as he is trying to bounce back from the stomach flu. Redick missed Sunday's game and played sparsely in Monday's game. He lost five pounds over the weekend and won't be at 100 percent. Orlando has struggled to score in their last few games without JJ's shooting touch.

Detroit is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games when playing on two days rest and Orlando is just 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games when playing on one days rest. Detroit is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 trips to Orlando.


3-Unit Play. Take #521 New York (-2.5) over Dallas (8:30 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 21)

This Knicks squad is rolling, and who are we to stop them, as they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a S.U./ATS win. Yes, they should eventually slow down and struggle versus a Western Conference team, but they are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus the West. Yes, Dallas will be looking for some revenge, but they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall. Yes, the Knicks played last night in New Orleans and then had to fly to Dallas, but the Knicks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on zero days rest. Yes, the Knicks will win and cover this game, as they are 28-11 in their last 39 games overall.

Best of Luck -

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ocal:

la lakers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHRIS JORDAN

300* Utah -8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INTPICKS

3* Hofstra +7

2* Michigan -3; Orlando -1.5; Portland Over 200

1* Samford +6; Spurs -1

Free. Wright St -5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Players NBA *10* Wednesday on OVER in Orlando on 21 November
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA *10* (TOP Play) OVER in Detroit at Orlando @ 7:05 ET - The Detroit Pistons travel to Orlando to take on the Magic on Wednesday evening. Detroit is 2-9 SU overall this year while Orlando is now 3-7 SU on the season. We have another low total here tonight hovering around 186 1/2 at this time. The Over is 5-1 last 3 years when Detroit is a road underdog of 3 points or less. The Over is 22-10 last 32 games when Detroit is off an upset win as an underdog. The Over is 13-4 last 3 years after Detroit allows 85 points or less. The Over is 8-0 last 8 games when Detroit is off a SU Win. The Over is 6-1 last 7 games after Detroit scores 100 points or more. The Over is 13-4 last 17 games when Detroit faces the Eastern Conference. The Over is 5-1 last 6 when Orlando plays a team with a losing record. The Over is 18-4-2 last 24 games after Orlando scores 75 points or less. The Over is 19-9-3 last 31 games when Orlando plays at home. The Over is 5-1 last 6 meetings overall in this series. Play OVER in Orlando as a *10* TOP Play selection Wednesday.



Players CBB *8* Wednesday on Tulane on 21 November
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CBB *8* (Regular Play) Tulane over Nebraska @ 8 ET - The Tulane Green Wave travel to Nebraska to take on the Cornhuskers on Wednesday evening. Tulane comes in with a 3-1 overall record on the season while Nebraska is 3-0 this year. Tulane is allowing only 59 points per game overall this year. Nebraska is scoring only 63.7 points per game overall this year. Tulane is 11-3 ATS last 14 non-conference games. Tulane is 13-6 ATS last 19 games after a SU win. Nebraska is 4-10 ATS last 14 home games. Nebraska is 3-13 ATS last 16 games after an ATS loss. Nebraska is 1-6 ATS last 7 games overall. Tulane has the better team here tonight and gets the road win. Play Tulane as a *8* Regular Play selection Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nelly's Wednesday Night NBA Knockout - Nov. 21 (1* Charlotte)

11/21/12 Nelly's 1* #502 Charlotte Bobcats -2 over Toronto Raptors 6:05 PM CT
Most still perceive the Bobcats as one of the bottom feeders in the NBA but Charlotte is likely to have as many wins as last season by the end of November. Charlotte is 5-4 on the season including 4-2 at home. The Bobcats have not played too many elite teams yet but they have solid home wins over the Pacers, Mavericks and Bucks and they gave 8-2 Memphis a tough game last week. Kemba Walker has shown great improvement in his second season and rookies Jeffery Taylor and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist have made immediate positive impacts. The front court is fierce with the additions of Brendan Haywood and the emergence of Byron Mullens as well as contributions from Bismack Biyombo. Ben Gordon is the most recognizable player on the roster but he has drifted to a background role and he has been productive in limited minutes while Ramon Sessions provides stability in the backcourt. Charlotte may not be ready to make a playoff push but this team is no longer a pushover. Toronto is just 3-8 on the season through a demanding early season schedule. The Raptors will be playing a seventh road game in the first three weeks of the season, having gone 1-5 in the first six away games. This will be a fourth game in five days with three of the four games on the road with fairly significant travel after last night’s loss in Philadelphia. In the lone road win Toronto scored just 74 points but the defense has been the issue for the Raptors, allowing over 100 points per game on 46 percent shooting. Charlotte meanwhile has been solid defensively and if the Bobcats ever develop a 3-point threat on offense they might work into the postseason conversation. Toronto has allowed 40 percent 3-point shooting so there will be a chance for Charlotte to improve in that area tonight. This is a grueling situation for the Raptors and Charlotte is not being valued like the superior team despite the early returns suggesting that they are indeed the far better team in this match-up.
Nelly's rates our regular basketball selections 1, 2, and 3-stars. It is a long season so please have a money management plan and be conservative and conscientious with your wagers, Thanks for playing with Nelly's Sportsline and best of luck.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEST Basketball - Wednesday, Nov. 21

10* #582 Michigan -2.5 over Pittsburgh 8:30 PM CT



Bobby Dalton Basketball - Wednesday, Nov. 21

10* #579/580 'UNDER 136.5' Delaware at Kansas State 6:00 PM CT
5* #544 Denver -2.5 over Colorado State 8:00 PM CT

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso's
Wednesday, November 21, 2012
15 Units
Kansas State (-8) over Delaware
7:00 PM -- Madison Square Garden - New York, NY
Kansas State (4-0) -8 over Delaware (2-1) Prediction: Kansas State by 14-15 Semifinal Game of NIT Tip-Off Championship Played in New York City at Madison Square Garden (22,000) Starting Time: 7:05 TV: ESPNU Comments: There is no dispute Kansas State has compiled its 4-0 record against weak opposition, beating North Florida, 74-55, Alabama-Huntsville, 87-26, Lamar, 79-55, and North Dakota, 85-52, but that does not mean this is not an outstanding Wildcats team. First-year coach Bruce Weber, who came to K-State from Illinois, has this team in high gear and playing defense as if it invented it, giving up an average of just 47.0 points per game. There is no doubt this will be a bit of a test for Kansas State because this is the best team Delaware has put on the court in years and it comes into this game off an impressive 59-53 win at Virginia. The Blue Hens other win came on a neutral floor against Pennsylvania, 84-69, in a game that followed a season-opening 73-66 loss at LaSalle. The bottom line: Kansas State is more talented, more athletic, quicker and faster than Delaware and these elements, combined with that lockdown defense, should put the Wildcats into the winner’s circle.


10 Units
Colorado State (+3) over Denver
9:00 PM -- Magness Arena
Colorado State (2-0) +3 over DENVER (1-2) Prediction: Colorado State by 7-8 Played in Denver, Colorado, at Magness Arena (7,200) Starting Time: 9:05 TV: ROOT Sports Comments: I have nothing but the utmost respect for Denver, which has talent, experience and a strong home court bias working for it, but the Pioneers appear to be up against it in this one. Colorado State returns four starters from last year’s 20-12 NCAA team, has an outstanding coach in Larry Eustachy, who was at Southern Miss last season, and appears to have just too much talent for Denver. My suspicions are, as promising as Denver might be, it does not have the kind of talent it takes to beat good games. In its last game, Denver was a 1 ½-point favorite over California and lost 72-61. They are in exactly the same kind of spot tonight, home favorites over a team that has far more talent.


10 Units
Bobcats (-2) over Raptors
7:00 PM -- Time Warner Cable Arena
CHARLOTTE BOBCATS (5-4) -2 over Toronto Raptors (3-8) Prediction: Bobcats by 9-10 Starting Time: 7:05 TV: Sports Net Canada, Sports South Comments: Charlotte opened the season just as it closed out last year—opening 1-3 and looking somewhat like the team that went a shockingly miserable 7-59 to record the worst percentage losing record in NBA history. Then, something happened. The Bobcats started winning and come into this game standing 4-1 in their last five outings and playing like a real NBA team. Charlotte is 4-2 at home and tonight faces a Toronto team that last night lost at Philadelphia and which is now 1-5 on the road where it is giving up an average of 101.5 points per game and permitting opposing teams to hit 40.0% from 3-point range. I rest my case.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

4_SEASONS Power Play of the Day YTD record 9-9
MARQUETTE -4.5
NORTH CAROLINA -22
BELMONT -17.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

sportsbookbreakers

4-STAR New York -2 over DALLAS - After a nice little start to the season, the luster has come off this Dallas mis mashed squad. Meanwhile the Knicks continue to play well. This is a cheap line to grab New York on here.
Dallas is coming off a 105-101 loss in overtime to Golden State. However they were down double digits earlier in that game. The Mavericks are 0-7-1 ATS (-8.4 ppg) since November 08, 2006 off a loss of four points or fewer at home in which they trailed by double digits.

That happened despite blocking 11 Golden State shots in that game. The Mavericks are 0-6-1 ATS (-7.6 ppg) since March 17, 2005 after a home loss in which they blocked at least 10 shots.

New York is now getting this Dallas team coming off that overtime game. The Knicks are 7-0 ATS (9.7 ppg) since March 15, 2009 with at most one day of rest after playing on the road when their opponent is off an overtime game.

New York played last night and won 102-80 in New Orleans. They did it by hoisting plenty of threes, going 14-of-36 from beyond the arc. Teams which attempted at least 34 three pointers last game and shot more than 38% are 65-47-2 ATS.

As such they didn't get to the foul line as much going just 14-of-19 there. The Knicks are 6-0 ATS (12.7 ppg) since November 14, 2008 as a favorite with at most one day of rest after a road win in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: New York 96, DALLAS 88

4-STAR New York and Dallas Under 196 - The thing about the Knicks is they are better defensively than expected. That hold true to a point with Dallas as well. With no rest on the Knicks part, grab the under here.

These teams played two weeks ago with both rested and New York won 104-94 as a home favorite. The Knicks are 0-8 OU (-14.4 ppg) since January 2000 as a favorite when facing a non-conference team they beat as a favorite in their first match-up of the season.

Dallas did lead by a bucket in that game at halftime. The Mavericks are 0-6 OU (-11.8 ppg) since March 09, 1997 as a home dog when seeking revenge for a loss in which they led at the half.

Monday, Dallas lost to Golden State 105-101 in overtime. They had 12 steals in that game. The Mavericks are 0-10 OU (-13.8 ppg) since March 09, 1997 as a home dog with at most one day of rest after a game in which they had at least 12 steals.

New York meanwhile won last night, 102-80. They had just 10 turnovers in that game while attempting 83 shots. The Knicks are 0-9 OU (-9.4 ppg) since April 11, 1999 as a road favorite with at most one day of rest after a win in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was at least eight.

Plenty of those attempts were threes. They made 14-of-36 of them in the game. The Knicks are 0-6 OU (-12.9 ppg) since December 15, 2008 on the road after a double digit road win in which they scored more than 30% of their points from the three-point line.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: New York 96, DALLAS 88

4-STAR PHOENIX -2 over Portland - Phoenix's home schedule has been tough thus far and they've stayed competitive in every game there. With plenty of rest here we expect them to come out fresh and running and get a victory over a inconsistent Portland team.

Portland won their last game, 102-94 over Chicago. Wes Matthews and Nicolas Batum each had 21 to lead them in that game. The Trailblazers are 0-10-1 ATS (-5.2 ppg) since December 07, 2009 on the road with at least a day of rest after a win at home in which Lamarcus Aldridge was not the Trailblazers' high scorer.

Aldridge had 18 and it wasn't because of a lack of minutes as he played 40 in the win. The Trailblazers are 0-6 ATS (-8.8 ppg) since March 11, 2011 on the road with at least a day of rest after a win in which Lamarcus Aldridge played more than 40 minutes.

Portland made 39 buckets in that game and had just 15 assists in the game. The Trailblazers are 0-9-1 ATS (-8.4 ppg) since November 16, 2009 on the road after a win in which less than 45% of their baskets were assisted.

That went along with the 16 turnovers they committed. The Trailblazers are 0-9 ATS (-11.6 ppg) since February 19, 2008 with two or more days of rest after a game in which they had more turnovers than assists.

Batum had four turnovers in that game and just two assists. The Trailblazers are 0-11 ATS (-6.9 ppg) since April 30, 2009 on the road with at least a day of rest after a win in which Nicolas Batum had more turnovers than assists.

Phoenix's last game came against Miami while they lost 97-88. They allowed 53% shooting to the Heat in that game. The Suns are 10-0 ATS (8.1 ppg) since February 23, 2011 as a favorite with at least one day of rest after a game in which they allowed at least 50% from the field.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: PHOENIX 105, Portland 96

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm's Clubhouse

Today's Selections
November 21, 2012

1-3 last night....now 23-17

NBA

LAC +4 1/2 OKC
NY Knicks +1 1/2 Dallas
Golden St. -2 1/2 Brooklyn

College

Marquette minus the points against USC
Youngstown versus Duquesne
Illinois minus the points against Bulter

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bruce Marshall

Raptors / Bobcats Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Betting Professor Original NBA system play:
509. San Antonio Spurs -1*


8-1 (89%) last 9 original system NBA plays

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Points

preferred

cbb. Colorado st.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

3-Unit Play. #529. Take Auburn +4.5 over Boston College (Wednesday @ 4pm est).

3-Unit Play. #595. Take Rider +8.5 over SMU (Wednesday @ 8:30pm est).

3-Unit Play. #577. Take Idaho State +7 over Utah (Wednesday @ 9:30pm est).

The goal is always to focus on teams that are undervalued. Auburn in my ratings is a top 150 team that Coach Barbee has going in the right direction. The team is more veteran with two seniors leading the way and a lot was said about this team went they went on the road to beat Charleston who is a top 150 team. I have BC as a top 200 team who lost to this same Charleston team on the road by 4 points. And, BC's only win comes against Florida International a top 300 team at home by 14 points. I think the points are fortunate here but I actually think BC wins Outright. Idaho State has lost to Utah State by 8 and Portland by 3. I have Idaho State as a top 300 team and the irony is that I have Utah as a top 300 team as well. Utah fell short to top 250 Sacramento State by 3 points and I can see them doing the same here against Idaho State. Although Idaho State does not have a win overall, they have played two decent teams and possibly better teams than Utah and hung in the spread. Don't be surprised to see Idaho State hang in there most of the way in this contest. Rider should do well here coming off a tough loss against South Carolina. They are a team int he top 200 facing a team also in the top 200 in SMU. I think Rider gained a lot from the South Carolina loss and having 3 players scoring in double-digits is a positive for this team as well. Rider beat Robert Morris by 15 points who is a top 150 team and given that they face a top 200 team on the road against SMU I think they can be competitive against SMU here. Rider is top 100 in 3 point shooting and with Rider beating TCU and Texas State by 3 points a piece, I can see this game being a bit closer this evening. Given that Rider fell short by 12 points to a team 30 points better on the road than SMU, I like RIder to stay competitive against SMU as they come off a big win against a non-division one team. So, what we have today is Auburn that could potentially win Outright, Rider that should hang tough and likely lose by 3-4 and Idaho State who could lose by 2-3 points today.

4-Unit Play. #503. Take Over 186.5 Detroit vs. Orlando (Wednesday @ 7:05pm est).

4-Unit Play. #506. Take Over 183 Philadelphia vs. Cleveland (Wednesday @ 7:05pm est).

4-Unit Play. #524. Take Over 201 Portland vs. Phoenix (Wednesday @ 9:05pm est).

The Pistons have revenge coming into this game against the Magic. They had a tight contest at home and fell short to the Magic and now look for revenge in almost of a home and home. The last three times they have met the games have gone over as well. With Detroit coming off a big win against Boston by a score of 103-83 and now facing the Magic with revenge, I can see them winning Outright. The input of Kyle Singler into the lineup has made a huge difference as now Stuckey comes off the bench being the 6th man. Its a huge relief for Stuckey as he is able to play within himself and not have the pressure of carrying the team necessarily. Singler's length and the responsibilities he faced at Duke helps him in the starting role. I also like the fact that the Magic come off facing a very defensive oriented Hawks team and scored just 72 points in their last game. These elements make for a decent over here. Cleveland is without Kyrie Irving for some time. Teams have the ability of coming together immediately after a star's injury and in particular at home. With Kyrie's injury, I like Cleveland to step up offensively at home here. Keep in mind that Philly might be looking ahead to OKC in their next game. With a team coming together and a team possibly looking ahead it makes for a decent over here. The Over is 6-2 when the Sixers face a team with less than a 40% winning percentage meaning when they face teams that have less expectations games have a tendency to go over. Portland has put up greater than a 100 points in their last 3 games and they have revenge against Phoenix. Phoenix also comes off a game against a very good defensive team in Miami where they scored less than 90 points and now face a top 20 defense in Portland. I like Phoenix to bounce-back offensively and with Portland playing well on the offensive end themselves, I wouldn't be surprised if this game is high scoring today. The Over is 4-1 for Phoenix following a straight up loss and the Over is 4-1 for the Blazers following an ATS win.