12-30-12

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Indian Cowboy

4-Unit Play. #309. Take Houston -6.5 over Indianapolis Colts (Sunday @ 1pm est).

4-Unit Play. #326. Take Denver Broncos -16 over Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday @ 4:25pm est).

The Texans need this game and the Colts really don't. The Colts are essentially locked in and although the emotional return of their head coach to the sidelines will be a boost for this team, given how poorly Houston played in their last week against the Vikings, you'd have to think that this team shows up with so much on the line in this game. Foster is probable and sure the Colts have some revenge here, but I just can't see Indianapolis really getting up for this game because it does not have much meaning for them. The Colts of course will still look to play their best football for the most part but despite 65% of the public on the Colts getting the points, the Texans line quickly shot up on opening for this very reason. I like the Texans here by about 10 points as they will be motivated to play after their really poor effort last week plus looking forward to secure positioning in the playoffs.

Peyton Manning is one of the best at making the necessary changes. If you think for a second just because this is the Chiefs and he cares less about this game because of that think again. The Chiefs gave Manning quite a bit of trouble in Arrowhead. The Broncos ended up winning that game 17-9. The Chiefs covered that game. The Chiefs also played a great against Indianapolis and I suspect they might have given it all in their game. This is a team that got shutout against Oakland 0-15 in a division game. They lost 7-30 against Cleveland on the road, 13-31 against San Diego and 10-38 against Oakland. Now they face a Bronco team that is rolling now who just beat a very good Cleveland team 34-12 at home. I don't see Denver laying down the gas at all as most of the public is on the underdog which bodes well for a good public fade as well and I wouldn't be surprised to see the Colts win this game by a similar margin to the Cleveland game. If the Chiefs had trouble scoring against the Oakland defense, they will find it hard against a Denver defense that is one of the best in the league.

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ROOT

millionaire vikes
no limit giants
inner circle dallas
billionaire bengals
Pinnacle lions
perfect 49ers

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1unit wagers / Steven Kane

Saints(-4.5)
Giants(-6.5)
Bears(-2.5)

Buy 1/2 point in some spots.

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Handicapping Kings

JIMMY

1:00PM New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills
[302](KINGS RANSOM- 2 UNIT PLAY) Buffalo Bills -3 +100

4:25PM Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos
[325] OVER 42 -110

GOODFELLAS

4:25PM Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings
[319](Cigar Game - 2 unit play) Green Bay Packers -3 +100

1:00PM Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions
[318] Detroit Lions +3.5 -135

4:25PM Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers
[330] San Francisco 49ers -16.5 +100

MARC

1:00PM Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans
[311](LIGHTS OUT PLAY- 2 UNIT PLAY) UNDER 41.5 -110

4:25PM St. Louis Rams vs Seattle Seahawks
[331] OVER 41 -110

8:30PM Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Redskins
[315] OVER 48.5 -110

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Football Crusher
Chicago Bears -150 over Detroit Lions
(System Record: 43-5, won last game)
Overall Record: 43-52-4



Soccer Crusher
Queens Park Rangers + Liverpool OVER 2
This match is happening in England
(System Record: 334-14, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 334-293-39

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NFL Weather Watch: Snow Expected in Buffalo

Now that it’s officially winter, factoring weather into your handicapping will become even more important.

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (-3.5, 39)

Site: Ralph Wilson Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-20s with a 50 percent chance of snow. Winds will blow out of the WNW at 13 mph.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (-7, 45.5)

Site: MetLife Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures around the freezing mark and partly cloudy skies. Winds will be strong out of the NW at 19 mph.

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-11, 34.5)

Site: Heinz Field

Forecasts are calling for temperatures around the freezing mark and overcast skies. Winds will blow out of the west at 13 mph.

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-10, 46)

Site: Gillette Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-20s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the NW at 13 mph.

Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (-10, 39)

Site: Qualcomm Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s with a 40 percent of thunderstorms. Winds will blow out of the west at 6 mph.

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Bears at Lions: What Bettors Need to Know

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (3, 44.5)

The Chicago Bears need a win and some help in the final week of the regular season to lock up a playoff spot. The Detroit Lions are only playing for one thing - history for Calvin Johnson. The Bears are hoping to keep Johnson in check when they visit the Lions on Sunday. Johnson broke Jerry Rice’s single-season record for receiving yards last week and is aiming to become the first player in history to reach 2,000.

The Bears kept their playoff hopes alive with a win over the Arizona Cardinals in Week 16 and are hoping their banged-up roster can pull out one more in the final week. Chicago will also need the Green Bay Packers to beat the Minnesota Vikings (9-6). Detroit, which made the playoffs last season, has lost seven games in a row to crush any hope of a return trip. Johnson has been the only thing keeping spirits up with his record 1,892 yards.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Bears -3, O/U 44.5

ABOUT THE BEARS (9-6): Chicago is hoping running back Matt Forte (ankle) will be ready for the Lions. He sat out practice Wednesday and was limited Thursday. Forte was knocked out of Sunday’s win over Arizona and left the locker room in a walking boot, but he told reporters he would play against the Lions. Linebacker Brian Urlacher (hamstring) has missed the last three games and has yet to practice this week. The Bears had dropped five of six prior to the win at Arizona, averaging 11.4 points in the losses. They have won every game in which they have scored at least 18. The defense accounted for a pair of touchdowns in the 28-13 win over the Cardinals and quarterback Jay Cutler bounced back from an awful start to throw for a touchdown and at least keep the offense moving.

ABOUT THE LIONS (4-11): Detroit has simply become the Calvin Johnson show. What was once an explosive offense trying to compensate for a lackluster defense has put up an average of just 16 points in the last three games. Matthew Stafford (4,695) could end up with another 5,000-yard season but has only 17 touchdown passes to go with 16 interceptions. His 443 yards in Saturday’s 31-18 loss to the Atlanta Falcons marked the most in NFL history without a touchdown pass. Stafford hasn’t gotten much help from the running game and is frequently throwing from behind. Johnson caught 11 passes for 225 yards in the loss to Atlanta and is averaging 126.3 yards, making the 108 he needs for 2,000 a strong possibility. He has had at least 118 yards in each of the last eight games.

TRENDS:

* Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Under is 6-0 in Bears’ last six vs. NFC North foes.
* Under is 4-1 in Lions’ last five vs. NFC North foes.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Bears also lost starting S Chris Conte (hamstring) in the Arizona game. Anthony Walters replaced him the rest of the game.

2. Johnson was held to a season-low 34 yards in a 13-7 loss at Chicago on Oct. 22.

3. Chicago has taken eight of the last nine in the series but lost in its last trip to Detroit 24-13 on Oct. 10, 2011.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Packers at Vikings: What Bettors Need to Know

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (3.5, 46)

The Green Bay Packers' path is pretty well defined. If the visiting Packers can defeat the NFC North rival Minnesota Vikings on Sunday, they'll receive a bye and punch their ticket to the divisional playoffs. Should Green Bay suffer just its second loss in 11 outings, it could still clinch the No. 2 seed - provided San Francisco stumbles against Arizona and fellow NFC West rival Seattle follows suit versus St. Louis.

Minnesota's path to the postseason is a little trickier. A fourth straight victory on Sunday will secure the Vikings the No. 6 seed - and perhaps a return trip to Lambeau Field for the first round of the playoffs. A loss to the division foe on Sunday isn't entirely a death knell to the season, although Minnesota would require Chicago, Dallas and the New York Giants to all suffer losses in Week 17.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Packers -3.5, O/U 46

ABOUT THE PACKERS (11-4): Green Bay, which has defeated Minnesota in five straight games, secured its postseason berth with a convincing 55-7 rout of Tennessee last week. Pro Bowler Aaron Rodgers led the charge with his second consecutive three-touchdown game on Sunday, and has torched Minnesota during the team's winning streak. Rodgers has thrown for 14 touchdowns and accumulated a 122.2 passer rating. Green Bay's run-by-committee approach has been successful, with veteran Ryan Grant recording 80 yards and a pair of scores last week.

ABOUT THE VIKINGS (9-6): Adrian Peterson's bid to usurp Eric Dickerson's single-season rushing record hit a bump in the road in last week in the team's 23-6 victory over Houston. The Pro Bowler battled abdominal soreness to amass "only" 86 yards, thus requiring 208 on Sunday if he wishes to break Dickerson's 1984 mark. Peterson torched the Packers for 210 yards on Dec. 2, but Green Bay walked away with a 23-14 triumph. Christian Ponder was victimized by two critical interceptions in the loss.

TRENDS:

* Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Vikings are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six home games.
* Under is 5-0 in Packers’ last five vs. NFC North foes.
* Under is 6-0 in Vikings’ last six vs. a team with a winning record.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Green Bay OLB Clay Matthews didn't play in the first meeting due to a hamstring injury. The Pro Bowler, who has a team-high 12 sacks, is set to compete on Sunday, however.

2. Ponder has been picked off on only one occasion during Minnesota's three-game winning streak.

3. Packers WR Jordy Nelson returned to practice this week after injuring his hamstring in the teams' earlier tilt.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Raiders to start QB Pryor Sunday vs. Chargers

The Oakland Raiders have announced 23-year-old QB Terrelle Pryor will start Sunday versus the San Diego Chargers in place of the injured Carson Palmer.

After being deemed not ready to be the backup when Palmer got hurt last week in Carolina, Pryor now gets the chance to make his first career NFL start. The Ohio State product will be making his first start since the Sugar Bowl on Jan. 4, 2011.

The LVH SuperBook put this Sunday’s game back on the board this afternoon and has the Raiders listed as 9.5-point road underdogs with the total set at 39.5

Pryor was taken in the third round of the supplemental draft in August 2011 by late Raiders owner Al Davis. The Former Big Ten Freshman of the Year got a few snaps in the preseason but was then inactive for the first 11 games of this year. He also saw action briefly the past two weeks in specialty packages.

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WUNDERDOG SPORTS

Game: Houston at Indianapolis (Sunday 12/30 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total OVER 46.5 -110

The Houston Texans need the win here. A win clinches home-field advantage for as long as they manage to stay in the playoffs. However, the Colts certainly aren't going to wave the white flag. The Colts will get a huge emotional lift out of the return to the sidelines of their head coach Chuck Pagano. The Texans average 27 points per game and of late, their defense has been allowing an equal amount as offenses seem to have found ways to exploit the secondary. In their last six games, the Texans have allowed 31+ three times and the average points allowed has been 26.7. The only team they kept under 23 points was the lowly Titans. In the Gary Kubiak era, the Texans are 31-19 OVER after a loss including 18-6 OVER after a double-digit loss. The Colts average 24 points per game in dome games and they should score enough here to get this game OVER the total.

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SB Professor Original NFL Picks

316. Tennessee Titans -4*

Rest of Games
314. New York Giants

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Trace Adams


1500♦
Raise the Bar
Sunday Winner #6 of 8


Minnesota Vikings +3.5



Adams Note: At the time I release this pick to you, the Vikings are +3 1/2 point underdogs against the Packers. If your line should dip to +3, buy the half point up on the Vikings.

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HSW overnight report

HSW
7 TB
3 team parlay
TB, Miami, GB

NY Steam
2 TB

Computer Group
NE, GB and TB

GD West 1 unit each
GB, TB, NO and Seattle

L & M Las Vegas
2 Philadelphia

Compufun 1 unit each
NE, Carolina and SF

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

Dayton at USC

The Trojans look to take advantage of a Dayton team that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. USC is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Trojans favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: USC (-1). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 30 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 809-810: Illinois State at Indiana State (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 65.285; Indiana State 59.309 Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 6 Vegas Line: Illinois State by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (-3 1/2)

Game 811-812: Princeton at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 57.812; Akron 68.305 Dunkel Line: Akron by 10 1/2 Vegas Line: Akron by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Akron (-8 1/2)

Game 813-814: Yale at St. Mary's (5:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Yale 46.125; St. Mary's 66.550 Dunkel Line: St. Mary's by 20 1/2 Vegas Line: St. Mary's by 22 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Yale (+22 1/2)

Game 815-816: Tulane at Alabama (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 55.428; Alabama 62.206 Dunkel Line: Alabama by 7; 128 Vegas Line: Alabama by 9; 124 Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+9); Over

Game 817-818: Northern Iowa at Wichita State (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 61.470; Wichita State 70.910 Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Wichita State by 5 Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-5)

Game 819-820: Southern Illinois at Missouri State (6:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 50.454; Missouri State 44.013 Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 4 Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (-4)

Game 821-822: Dayton at USC (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 61.229; USC 64.205 Dunkel Line: USC by 3 Vegas Line: USC by 1 Dunkel Pick: USC (-1)

Game 823-824: Wofford at Virginia (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 57.552; Virginia 68.775 Dunkel Line: Virginia by 11 Vegas Line: Virginia by 9 Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-9)

Game 825-826: Canisius at Detroit (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 56.645; Detroit 63.860 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 7 Vegas Line: Detroit by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-5 1/2)

Game 827-828: Eastern Kentucky at West Virginia (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 50.610; West Virginia 60.134 Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: West Virginia by 11 Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (+11)

Game 829-830: Furman at SMU (5:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Furman 39.993; SMU 56.685 Dunkel Line: SMU by 16 1/2 Vegas Line: SMU by 14 1/2 Dunkel Pick: SMU (-14 1/2)

Game 831-832: Loyola-MD at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 54.615; Memphis 65.867 Dunkel Line: Memphis by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: Memphis by 13 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (+13 1/2)

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DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/30/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 1473-427 (.775)
ATS: 585-608 (.490)
ATS Vary Units: 2104-2300 (.478)
Over/Under: 164-162 (.503)
Over/Under Vary Units: 211-241 (.467)

Gotham Classic
Round Robin at Detroit, MI
DETROIT 81, Canisius 72

Missouri Valley Conference
Illinois State 71, INDIANA STATE 69
Southern Illinois vs. MISSOURI STATE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
WICHITA STATE 70, Northern Iowa 59

Non-Conference
AKRON 69, Princeton 63
ALABAMA 64, Tulane 53
COLGATE 64, New Hampshire 62
Cornell 67, BINGHAMTON 57
CSU BAKERSFIELD 73, North Carolina A&T 67
Dayton 65, USC 57
GEORGE WASHINGTON 75, Sacred Heart 62
MEMPHIS 71, Loyola (Md.) 56
MISSISSIPPI STATE 76, Alabama A&M 56
SAINT MARY'S 83, Yale 59
SMU 66, Furman 50
St. Francis (N.Y.) 70, NEW JERSEY TECH 69
TCU 69, Mississippi Valley State 55
VIRGINIA 59, Wofford 47
WEST VIRGINIA 74, Eastern Kentucky 61
WINTHROP 64, Hampton 54

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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/30/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 295-138 (.681)
ATS: 215-223 (.491)
ATS Vary Units: 681-624 (.522)
Over/Under: 230-208 (.525)
Over/Under Vary Units: 393-324 (.548)

DETROIT 96, Milwaukee 95
San Antonio 107, DALLAS 100
Boston 99, SACRAMENTO 97
L.A. CLIPPERS 105, Utah 94

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Today's NBA Picks

Milwaukee at Detroit

The Bucks look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Milwaukee is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+3). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 30 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 801-802: Milwaukee at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 118.154; Detroit 118.427 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 197 Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 3; 192 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+3); Over

Game 803-804: San Antonio at Dallas (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.288; Dallas 114.755 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 11 1/2; 204 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 5 1/2; 208 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-5 1/2); Under

Game 805-806: Boston at Sacramento (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 114.848; Sacramento 117.411 Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 2 1/2; 200 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 807-808: Utah at LA Clippers (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 116.262; LA Clippers 132.571 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 16 1/2; 191 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 9; 195 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-9); Under

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Rice (+3) Saturday.

Sunday it’s t he Jaguars. The deficit is 1,093 sirignanos.

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 956 - 712 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free Winner SUN REDSKINS -3

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Dayton +1