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Thread: 12-31-12

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    12-31-12


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    Indian Cowboy
    ***CFB Bowl Game of the Year***

    Autozone Liberty Bowl

    Monday December 31st 2012-

    7 Unit Play Take #244 Tulsa +1 over Iowa State (3:30pm est):

    These two teams met way back on September 1st at Iowa State to open up their season's. A lot has changed for both teams since Iowa State won that game by a 38-23 score. The big difference in that game probably was the plus two turnover edge for Iowa State, the home field advantage and the fact it was Tulsa playing their first game of the new season under their 2nd year head coach while Iowa State was a little more established as a program at that time.

    Iowa State comes into this contest with a questionable quarterback for this one as starter Steele Jantz was forced to sit out their final game of the year with a concussion. Without Jantz the Cyclones will be in trouble but there is still a good chance he plays in this one. The Cyclones were an up and down team for most of the season but they did really stumble down the stretch by dropping five of their last seven games overall. Some of those losses were quite ugly also as they were hammered by Texas 33-7 and things were much worse than the 35-20 looked in a loss to Oklahoma the week before the Texas game. In fact most of the Cyclones games in the second half of the season weren't very impressive showings. Their wins this year even left a lot to be desired as they beat a bad Iowa team by a 9-6 score, beat TCU who was going with a new quarterback in his debut start and also took advantage of the fact that Baylor fumbled three times in the Iowa State win over the Bears and Iowa State survived to win this one despite the fact Baylor averaged over a yard play more than Iowa State in the game. Add in a win over Big 12 doormat Kansas and once again IowaState finished with another season of 3-5 in the Big 12 (the fourth straight 3 win conference season for ISU) with all three victories coming over non-winning Big 12 teams this year.

    I love to back teams who are playing in a bowl under a 2nd year head coach. If this team has shown some late season improvement than this is an even better play as it's usually around this time of the year that things are really starting to click for a program under a 2nd year head coach. We have a great example of that here in this one as Tulsa played some of their best football of the season down the stretch and on their way to winning the Conference USA championship. Head coach Bill Blankenship took over a program that went 10-3 in 2010 and probably would have duplicated that last year but they faced three top ten teams last season which probably led them to an 8-5 year overall. This year they have played some excellent football with two wins over Central Florida to win the conference, not too mention an inspired effort on the road versus SEC Arkansas. Even their late season loss on the road at SMU looks a lot better now with how strongly SMU finished up their year with their big blowout bowl win. Keep in mind Tulsa also hammered SMU at the line of scrimmage in that game, nearly doubling them in yardage for the game racking up 591 yards of offense while allowing just 305. It was the -3 turnovers differential what did the Golden Hurricanes in for that game and plus that was a big Senior Day game for SMU in that contest as well.

    Tulsa should be pumped up for this game. The Golden Hurricanes seem to be in the group of teams that lines makers and the betting markets have a tough time placing their finger on with just how good/bad they are overall. The reality is this team is not only a decent squad and much better than Iowa State, they also have two other big things going for them here in this game. One, they are pumped up for their earlier season loss to this IowaState team to open the year. The Golden Hurricanes came out of that game upset knowing they didn't play very well but they did have an excuse as it was their season opener, on the road and it was also still early under a 2nd year head coach. They also lost last year's bowl game and would love nothing more than to avenge both these two defeats here with a good effort in this game. Two, this is a vastly improved football team from the beginning of the year and one who is much more confident now also. Tulsa has improved leaps and bounds down the stretch as things really looked like they clicked for them after they came back from their bye week in late October. Since that time they have not only beat some decent teams but they also played fairly well in their two losses as well. Look for Tulsa to roll here in this one. Play Tulsa in this game.

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    Vegas Sports Informer

    2 Unit Play. #240 Take Vanderbilt -7 over NC State (12:00p.m., Monday, Dec. 31 ESPN Music City Bowl)
    Pretty much a home game for the Commodores and if the Commodores offense explodes like they did in their last 2 games this game could get ugly quick. Vanderbilt won their last 6 games and their offense in those 6 games averaged 38.1ppg. NC State lost 3 out of their last 5 games and the Wolfpack will be coached by interim HC James Franklin. The QB battle will be fun to watch in this game and I see Vandy QB Jordan Rodgers having a big game and I see the Commodores winning this game by double-digits. Vanderbilt is a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games and I see this trend cashing again.

    2 Unit Play. #242 Take USC -9 over Georgia Tech (2:00p.m., Monday, Dec. 31 CBS Sun Bowl)
    No Matt Barkley in this game but freshman QB Max Wittek will have no problem against the Yellow Jackets defense. Both teams come into this game on losing streaks but we like USC in this matchup as they have the better athletics then Georgia Tech. USC is a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games and Georgia Tech is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.

    2 Unit Play. #244 Take Tulsa +1 over Iowa St (3:30p.m., Monday, Dec. 31 ESPN Liberty Bowl)
    Yes I know that Iowa St played the tougher schedule but their offense scares me. Tulsa defense will win this game against a Cyclone offense that struggled all season long to score points. Look for Tulsa to score first and put pressure on the Cyclones offense. Iowa St is 0-3-1 ATS when playing a team with a winning record and Tulsa is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

    3 Unit Play. #246 Take LSU -5 over Clemson (7:30p.m., Monday, Dec. 31 ESPN Chick-fil-A Bowl)
    Here is another good matchup between a good offense (Clemson) and a good defense (LSU). I saw this statement on a website and I thought this was damn good info, ? Les Miles is 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS in bowl games and the Tigers average margin of victory is 26 points.? That's pretty good. If LSU can slow down this game and keep the offense of Clemson off the field LSU will win this game and I see them winning this game by 2-field goals. LSU is 12-5 ATS when playing a team with a winning record and Clemson is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 bowl games.

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    Allen Eastmen

    2-Unit Play. Take #244 Tulsa (+1) over Iowa State (3:30 p.m., Monday, Dec. 31) - Liberty Bowl
    A lot of the public is jumping on the team from the Big 12. People think just because Iowa State is from the bigger and better conference that they will hammer this team from Conference USA. But Tulsa actually has more bowl experience than Iowa State and this is their fifth bowl game since 2008. This is just Iowa State's third in the same time. Iowa State has lost its last two bowl games in 2011 and in 2005 when they were posted as a one-point favorite. I think their offense is going to struggle to keep up with the high-powered Tulsa attack. This game is a rare rematch from earlier in the season. Iowa State won that game but that was at home. That gives the Golden Hurricane al the motivation in this one in a rare in-season revenge game. I like Tulsa to get the win.

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    Robert Ferringo
    2-Unit Play. Take #240 Vanderbilt (-7) over N.C. State (Noon, Monday, Dec. 31)
    2-Unit Play. Take #241 Georgia Tech (+10) over USC (2 p.m., Monday, Dec. 31)
    1-Unit Play. Take #244 Tulsa (+1) over Iowa State (3:30 p.m., Monday, Dec. 31)

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    Doc Sports
    4 Unit Play. #244 Take Tulsa Golden Hurricanes +1 over Iowa State Cyclones (Liberty Bowl, 12/31, 3:30 pm ESPN) Memphis is the site for this match-up between a bad team from the Big 12 and a team from Conference USA. The Cyclones do not deserve a bowl bid since they were just 6-6 on the season, and that includes going 3-6 during Big 12 play. Iowa State has won just two games since Oct. 7, and they score 10 points less per game than the Golden Hurricanes. Tulsa had an outstanding year, going 7-1 during conference play, and I expect them to play with a chip on their shoulder since they are not getting much respect from the linesmakers. They will also have revenge on their minds, as this game features a bowl rematch from the regular season where Iowa State beat them by 15 points the first game of the season. These teams have gone in opposite directions since that point, and Tulsa is playing much better football as of late. Iowa State is 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. Tulsa is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS victory in their previous game. Revenge is served on the field, and this game means more to Tulsa.

    Tulsa by 13

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    DCI College Football
    The Daniel Curry Index

    Week 18 Predictions

    Week
    Straight Up: 8-4 (.667)
    ATS: 9-3 (.750)
    ATS Vary Units: 44-7 (.863)
    Over/Under: 5-6 (.455)
    Over/Under Vary Units: 7-18 (.280)

    Season
    Straight Up: 1054-350 (.751)
    ATS: 426-398 (.517)
    ATS Vary Units: 2489-2302 (.520)
    Over/Under: 380-367 (.509)
    Over/Under Vary Units: 1244-902 (.580)

    Monday, December 31, 2012

    Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl
    at LP Field, Nashville, TN
    Vanderbilt 32, NC State 22

    Hyundai Sun Bowl

    at Sun Bowl Stadium, El Paso, TX
    USC 38, Georgia Tech 32

    AutoZone Liberty Bowl

    at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis, TN
    Tulsa 29, Iowa State 26

    Chick-fil-A Bowl

    at Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
    Lsu 31, Clemson 27

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    CFB

    Music City Bowl (Nashville)
    NC State fired Tom O’Brien after 7-5 year with senior QB that was expected to be better; have to believe Wilson’s success with Seahawks (he was basically cut by O’Brien before his senior year with Wolfpack) had something to do with it. Interim coach is OC Bible; interesting to see if he turns senior QB loose more than conservative O’Brien did. Vandy gets home game after winning last six games; they’re 2-2-1 in bowls in school history; this is first time they’ve gone to bowls in consecutive years. Commodores won this game 16-14 (+3.5) over Boston College four years ago, ending BC’s long bowl winning streak- their QB now is Jordan Rodgers, Aaron’s little brother. Vandy scored 17 or less points in all four of its losses; they scored 40+ points in four of last five games, and are 4-2 vs spread when favored this year. State is 2-4 away from home, allowing 35-44-43-62 points in the losses, 7-18 in wins. ACC teams are 3-4 in this game last seven years, 3-0 vs spread as an underdog; overall, dogs covered six of last eight Music City Bowls.

    Sun Bowl (El Paso)
    Look at USC’s schedule this year and tell me who their best win is; 38-17 over Arizona State Nov 10? That was also their only win in last five games, as they closed regular season with losses to UCLA/Notre Dame- they allowed 38+ points in three of last five games, so HC Kiffin fired DC Kiffin, his dad (And highly respected NFL DC). Trojan players making noise about not liking El Paso area; team showed up hour late for banquet planned by bowl, so no faith that favored USC (3-7 as favorite this year) will show up and play solid game; then again, Georgia Tech is rare bowl team with losing record coming in- they fired their DC during year, have trouble coming from behind because their passing game isn’t good. Jackets scored 33+ points in all six wins; they’re 3-2 vs spread as underdog, but are 0-6 SU when scoring less than 33 points, with three losses by 6 or less points, four more by 16+ points. Pac-12 teams won six of last Sun Bowl appearances (weren’t here in ’10); Tech lost this game 30-27 (-2) to Utah LY, its fourth straight bowl loss (0-4 vs spread) under option-loving Johnson.

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    POINTWISE PHONES:

    3* Tulsa, LSU

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    Music City Bowl: What bettors need to know

    North Carolina State vs. Vanderbilt (-7, 52)

    When: 12:00 PM ET, Monday, December 31, 2012
    Where: LP Field, Nashville, Tennessee

    FRANKLIN AMERICAN MORTGAGE MUSIC CITY BOWL STORYLINES

    1. North Carolina State boasts one of the top passing offenses in the nation, ranking 20th nationally with 304 passing yards per game, while Vanderbilt ranks 10th in the nation against the pass (175.8).

    2. With six straight wins, Vanderbilt is riding its longest winning streak since 1955 and trying to match the program's single-season record of nine victories set in 1904 and tied in 1915. The Commodores' last bowl victory was a 16-14 win against Boston College in the 2008 Music City Bowl.

    3. Offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach Dana Bible will serve as N.C. State's acting coach. The Wolfpack hired Dave Doeren away from BCS-bound Northern Illinois, but Doeren will be a spectator on New Year's Eve.

    TV: 12 p.m. ET, ESPN.

    LINE: Vandy opened as a 5.5-point favorite at some offshores and is now a touchdown fave at most shops.

    CONSENSUS: Nearly 58 percent of Covers Consensus players like Vanderbilt to cover while 54 percent are on the over.

    WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-40s with a 30 percent chance of showers. Winds will blow out of the south at 5 mph.

    TRENDS:

    * Wolfpack are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five bowl games.
    * Commodores are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.
    * Over is 8-2 in Commodores’ last 10 games following a win.
    * Under is 5-2 in Wolfpack’s last seven games overall.

    ABOUT N.C. STATE (7-5, 4-4 ACC): The Wolfpack are one of only 12 schools from BCS automatic-qualifying conferences who have won bowl games each of the past two years. N.C. State's ability to extend that streak likely depends on which defense shows up - the one that allowed 33 or more points five times, including 62 against Clemson, or the one that shut down high-powered Florida State. Quarterback Mike Glennon (3,648 pass yards, 30 touchdowns, 14 interceptions) leads the offense, and while the run game hasn't consistently produced, freshman Shadrach Thornton rushed for 329 of his 655 yards in the final three games of the regular season.

    ABOUT VANDERBILT (8-4, 5-3 SEC): The Commodores enjoyed their best regular-season in nearly three decades on the strength of a stout defense that ranked 17th in total yards allowed (326.4) and 15th in scoring (18.2). The offense is unremarkable but steady and balanced, with running back Zac Stacy (1,034 yards, nine touchdowns) leading the ground game and Jordan Rodgers (2,431 pass yards, 13 touchdowns, five interceptions) and Jordan Matthews (87 catches, 1,262 yards, seven touchdowns) providing a prolific passing connection.

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    Liberty Bowl: What bettors need to know

    Iowa State vs. Tulsa (1, 51)

    When: 3:30 PM ET, Monday, December 31, 2012
    Where: Liberty Bowl Memorial, Memphis, Tennessee

    AUTOZONE LIBERTY BOWL STORYLINES

    1. Tulsa and Iowa State will end their seasons the same way they began four months ago - playing each other. The Cyclones beat Tulsa 38-23 in the season opener on Sept. 1 behind three touchdowns from senior quarterback Steele Jantz. It is the second time the Golden Hurricanes are playing a rematch this season. Tulsa beat Central Florida twice in a two-week span, including the Conference USA title game, to earn the bowl berth.

    2. The Cyclones used three starting quarterbacks this season and redshirt freshman Sam Richardson will likely start the Liberty Bowl. Richardson came off the bench to throw four touchdowns in the 51-23 victory against Kansas in Week 12 that gave Iowa State its sixth win. Jantz and sophomore Jared Barnett combined for 19 touchdowns and 15 interceptions.

    3. Tulsa is ranked 11th in the country in rushing, averaging 240.2 yards. Most of the yardage is divided up between juniors Trey Watts and Ja'Terian Douglas and senior Alex Singleton, although Singleton has scored 21 of the team's 37 rushing touchdowns. Watts and Douglas average six yards per carry.

    TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

    LINE: This game opened as a pick at some shops and now Iowa State is a 1.5-point favorite at some offshores.

    CONSENSUS: Nearly 53 percent of Covers Consensus players like Iowa State to cover while 60 percent are on the over.

    WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-40s with a 75 percent of rain. Winds will blow out of the south at 5 mph.

    TRENDS:

    * Under is 3-0-1 in Cyclones’ last four Bowl games.
    * Under is 5-1 in Tulsa’s last six Bowl games.
    * Tulsa is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.
    * Cyclones are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four vs. a team with a winning record.

    ABOUT IOWA STATE (6-6, 3-6 Big 12): Richardson didn't attempt a pass until the Kansas game and is 36-of-80 for 412 yards, seven touchdowns and zero interceptions in less than two full games. Richardson rushed for 119 yards in a 31-24 loss to West Virginia in the regular-season finale. That was the Cyclones' second 100-yard performance of the season. Junior Shontrelle Johnson picked up the other with 120 yards against Tulsa. Johnson leads the team with 504 rushing yards and two touchdowns and James White adds 469 yards and two scores. All-Big 12 linebacker A.J. Klein (98 tackles) leads the Cyclones' defense that is allowing 23.2 points. The Cyclones have forced 25 turnovers, including Durrell Givens' FBS-leading six fumble recoveries.

    ABOUT TULSA (10-3, 7-1 C-USA): The Hurricane are looking for the second 11-win season in school history. Watts had a 54-yard punt return that tied the C-USA title game in the fourth quarter and Singleton scored the winner with a 1-yard plunge in the 33-27 overtime victory. Watts, named the championship game's MVP after a 134-yard performance, leads the team with 959 yards on 161 carries. He rushed for 125 yards against Iowa State in the season opener. Junior quarterback Cody Green went 217-of-396 for 2,499 yards, 17 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Sophomore Keyarris Garrett (64 catches, 826 yards, nine touchdowns) is his favorite target. The Hurricane allow 24.2 points and 353.9 yards.

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    Sun Bowl: What bettors need to know

    USC vs. Georgia Tech (7.5, 64)

    When: 2:00 PM ET, Monday, December 31, 2012
    Where: Sun Bowl Stadium, El Paso, Texas

    HYUNDAI SUN BOWL STORYLINES

    1. USC coach Lane Kiffin on Thursday said senior quarterback Matt Barkley will not play because of a sprained shoulder he suffered Nov. 17 against UCLA. Barkley missed the Trojans’ 22-13 loss to Notre Dame the following week. Barkley passed for 3,273 yards and 15 touchdowns, but also threw a career-high 14 interceptions. Freshman Max Wittek, who made his first career start against Notre Dame, will replace Barkley.

    2. Georgia Tech obtained an NCAA waiver to play in a bowl game with a losing record. But aside from a blowout loss at Georgia on Nov. 24, the Yellow Jackets were impressive down the stretch, scoring 68 points in a victory at North Carolina and nearly upsetting Florida State for the ACC title. In that game, Georgia Tech shut out the Seminoles in the second half.

    3. Both teams have been brutal defensively and are looking for defensive coordinators. USC’s Monte Kiffin will resign after this game. The Trojans, who give up an average of 24.6 points, lost consecutive games to Arizona and Oregon despite scoring a combined 87 points. The Ducks shredded Kiffin’s defense for 62 points and 730 yards. Georgia Tech fired Al Groh after a 2-4 start, and secondary coach Charles Kelly serves as interim DC. Tech gave up at least 40 points six times, and averaged 29.9 points allowed.

    TV: 2 p.m. ET, CBS.

    LINE: USC opened as high as 10-point favorites but has since been bet down to -7.5.

    CONSENSUS: Over 54 percent of Covers Consensus players believe USC will cover while nearly 60 percent are on the over.

    WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-40s with a 25 percent chance of rain. Winds will be strong out of the WSW at 22 mph.

    TRENDS:

    * Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last four bowl games.
    * Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
    * Under is 6-0 in Trojans’ last six games in December.
    * Yellow Jackets are 0-5 ATS in their last five Bowl games.

    ABOUT USC (7-5, 5-4 Pac-12): The Trojans make their third Sun Bowl appearance, first since losing to TCU in 1998. USC entered the season ranked No. 1 and started 6-1 before a 1-4 collapse ruined its BCS hopes. USC ranks 37th nationally in scoring (34.2) and boasts perhaps the nation’s finest collection of skill players: incomparable sophomore wide receiver Marqise Lee (112 catches, 1,680 yards, 14 touchdowns), wide receiver Robert Woods (73 catches, 813 yards, 11 TDs), running back Silas Redd (817 rushing yards, nine TDs) and running back Curtis McNeal (696 yards, two TDs, 6.2 yards per carry). The Trojans have won two of three meetings with the Yellow Jackets, but they haven’t met since 1973.

    ABOUT GEORGIA TECH (6-7, 5-3 ACC): The Yellow Jackets lost 30-27 in overtime to Utah in last year’s Sun Bowl, their seventh straight bowl defeat. Georgia Tech is making its 16th straight bowl appearance, the fourth-longest active streak. With their triple option attack, the Jackets rank fourth nationally in rushing (312.5) and have run for more yards than any FBS team since 2008. Senior quarterback Tevin Washington, operating behind a line led by All-ACC guard Omoregie Uzzi, ran for 19 touchdowns this season. His 37 career rushing touchdows are the most in ACC history by a quarterback. Redshirt freshman quarterback Vad Lee, who has a stronger arm, has been rotating with Washington the second half of the season. The offense should get a boost with the expected return of senior A-back Orwin Smith (career 9.4 yards per carry), who missed the last two games with an ankle injury. Sophomore kick returner Jamal Golden could be an X-factor - he ranks ninth nationally with 29 yards per return and took two back for scores.

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    Where the action is: New Year's Eve bowl games

    There are four bowl games for bettors to choose from New Year’s Eve. We talk with online sportsbook BetDSI.eu about the biggest line moves on the board.

    Music City Bowl

    North Carolina State vs. Vanderbilt (-7, 51.5)

    Public action set the tone in this game and it currently sits at a 2-to-1 bet count and 2-to-1 money position. Some respected money did back NC State at the +7.5 number giving it a slight nudge to 7, but the line has held pretty steady to this point. If late public wagering backs Vandy late, then it’s possible that value could get back to where it opened.

    Sun Bowl

    Southern California vs. Georgia Tech (7.5, 64)

    The side on this matchup has not attracted a lot of betting action and the line availability has been on and off due to injury reports. The current betting position on this game is at 3-to-1 in both wager count and money wagered in favor of the Trojans. Those counts were built on the strength of solely public action. Sharp money did chime in early on the total at under 66, creating the 2-point move to 64.

    Liberty Bowl

    Iowa State vs. Tulsa (1, 51)

    Sharp money did back Iowa State at PK pushing the value to -1. However, that did get some respected money buying back Tulsa at the +1 value and creating two-sided action on this game.

    Chick fil-A Bowl

    Louisiana State vs. Clemson (5, 58.5)

    This will be a game to watch as it has become a perfect storm from a betting point of view. It is currently a lopsided affair with both sharp and public money backing LSU. Sharp money came in early at the 3.5 to 4 line values and has been bolstered by the public money piling on at the 4 and 4.5 values pushing the current line to LSU -5. The bet count is currently 5-to-1 in favor of LSU and showing no signs of slowing down. The money wagered is currently a staggering 8-to-1 in favor of LSU. This line could possibly see some more movement late.

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    Chick-fil-A Bowl: What bettors need to know

    LSU vs. Clemson (6, 58.5)

    When: 7:30 PM ET, Monday, December 31, 2012
    Where: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, Georgia

    CHICK-FIL-A BOWL STORYLINES

    1. The third all-time meeting between No. 7 LSU and No. 13 Clemson on New Year’s Eve in the Georgia Dome will be the first between 10-win teams in Chick-fil-A Bowl history. LSU and Clemson last met in the Peach Bowl in 1996, which was later retitled the Chick-fil-A Bowl. LSU won 10-7.

    2. Clemson will bring the nation’s 13th-ranked passing offense to Atlanta. The Tigers are led by junior quarterback Tajh Boyd, who has thrown for 3,550 yards and 34 touchdowns and rushed for another 492 yards and nine scores. He’ll face a tough test against LSU, which ranks 20th in the nation in pass defense.

    3. Every team in the SEC had a running back who totaled more yards this season than LSU’s leading rusher, but the Tigers still managed to finish fifth in the conference in team rushing. Jeremy Hill led the way with 631 yards and 10 touchdowns, with Spencer Ware, Michael Ford and Kenny Hilliard combining for 1,207 rushing yards and 10 scores.

    TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

    LINE: LSU opened as 3.5-point favorites at some offshores and could be a touchdown favorite by kick-off Monday.

    CONSENSUS: Over 60 percent of Covers Consensus players like LSU to cover while almost 60 percent are on the under.

    TRENDS:

    * Clemson is 1-6 ATS in its last seven bowl games.
    * LSU is 3-0-1 ATS in its last four December games.
    * Over is 4-1 in LSU’s last five neutral site games.
    * Under is 6-1 in Clemson’s last seven vs. SEC foes.

    ABOUT LSU (10-2, 6-2 SEC): Zach Mettenberger hasn’t played to the expectations many envisioned when the Tigers opened the season ranked No. 1 in the USA Today coaches’ poll. Mettenberger, a third-stringer at LSU last season after beginning his college career at Georgia, finished the regular season with 2,489 passing yards and 11 touchdowns, leaving the Tigers 11th in the SEC in passing offense. LSU coach Les Miles has remained firmly committed to Mettenberger as no other player has attempted a pass this season.

    ABOUT CLEMSON (10-2, 7-1 ACC): Boyd has had an assortment of targets to choose from this season. DeAndre Hopkins has been atop the pecking order, hauling in 69 passes for 1,214 yards and 16 touchdowns. If Hopkins is covered, Boyd usually looks to his other starting receiver, Sammy Watkins, who has caught 57 passes for 708 yards and three touchdowns, or tight end Brandon Ford, who is third on the team with 31 catches for 411 yards and eight touchdowns. The team’s fifth-leading receiver, Martavis Bryant, is suspended from the bowl game for academic reasons.

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    RICH SPORTS

    Play 1 of 4 4 Units

    CBB New Mexico + 4
    Play New Mexico plus the points versus St Louis. St Louis has faced only 2 decent teams this year and lost both of those games. New Mexico has faced 2 top 50 teams and has won both of those games including an upset at then undefeated Cincinnati. The Lobo’s are well coached and have won games at Cincy, New Mexico State, and Indiana State. I think they stay within the spread in this one.

    Play 1 of 2 4 Units

    LSU - 6

    Play LSU minus the points versus Clemson. The Clemson Tigers have not seen a defense that is even close to these Tigers. The only team they faced that was even close was South Carolina in their season finale which they scored a season low 17 points and lost by 10. LSU finished the season strong winning 5 of 6 games, losing only a game late to the Tide. The last time I remember LSU playing in the Georgia Dome was against the Hurricanes in a bowl game and they blew them out.

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    Mighty Quinn

    Mighty missed with the Jaguars (+4) Sunday.

    Monday it’s USC. The deficit is 1148 sirignanos.

  17. #17
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    Stephen Nover | CFB Side Mon, 12/31/12 - 12:00 PM
    double-dime bet 240 Vanderbilt -7.0 (-115) Bookmaker.com vs 239 N.C. State Analysis: Sure, Vanderbilt has home field advantage with this matchup being played in Nashville just a few miles from its campus.

    But there are other strong reasons to like the Commodores, too.

    Vanderbilt has three excellent skill position players in senior quarterback Jordan Rodgers, wide receiver Jordan Matthews, who had 87 receptions for 1,262 yards, and running back and 1,000-yard runner Zac Stacy. Rodgers will be operating against a North Carolina State secondary that ranked 94th versus the pass.

    The Commodores play in a much stronger conference, the SEC, and have a strong defensive edge. Vanderbilt held eight opponents to 325 yards or less. The Commodores have won six in a row with an average victory margin of 24 points during their streak.

    North CaÉrolina State has been a disappointment going 7-5, including just 4-4 in the ACC. The Wolfpack nipped Florida State, 17-16. That was the only foe they beat who finished with a winning record.

    The Wolfpack have faced a huge distraction since the regular season ended with the controversial firing of Tom O'Brien after six seasons of being the team's head coach. Dave Doeren of Northern Illinois was hired to replace O'Brien, but the team is being handled on an interim basis for this game by Dana Bible. That kind of arrangement usually isn't a plus.

    The Wolfpack's big plus is senior quarterback Mike Glennon. He led the ACC with 3,648 yards passing and was No. 2 in the league in touchdown throws with 30. Glennon could be the first quarterback taken in the NFL draft, but he's not viewed as a franchise type of quarterback. Vanderbilt has a strong secondary ranking in the top 10 in pass defense yielding 175.8 passing yards and only six touchdowns through the air.

  18. #18
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    Tony George | CFB Side Tue, 01/01/13 - 1:00 PM
    triple-dime bet 254 Georgia -10.0 (-110) Justbet vs 253 Nebraska Analysis:
    Georgia -10


    The Huskers are my team, I graduated from UNL and love me soœme Husker Nation, but a realist approach is that Nebraska in a very tough spot here. Georgia argueably one of the Top 2 teams in the nation and were 5 yards away from playing for a national title. The defense of Georgia will stunt the Husker run game and Martinez for Nebraska under pressure throwing it is going to cause turnovers. He has struggled against good defenses all year, Ohio State comes to mind as a simular team to the Bulldogs and Ohio State pounded Nebraska into submission. Nebraska also lacks the speed at WR to strecth the field out against a team like Georgia, and NU has issues stopping strong run games. No pass rush against QB Murray is going to be a huge Issue. Huskers way over macthed against a team who is a national title contender and loaded with talent and speed. Pelini is not a big game coach. Huskers were waxed by a 5 loss team in the Big 10 Championship on a nuetral site and Georgia vastly better than Wisconsin.


    Play 3 Units on Georgia...56-20 a likely score. Long day for this Husker fan, I might as well profit from thje misery of being a Hukser fan


    Pick Made: Dec 15 2012 7:44AM PST

  19. #19
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    SB Professor Bowl Picks

    241. Georgia Tech +8

    This is a B bet on the progression.
    SBP is 5-2 overall on the Bowl games.

  20. #20
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    Big Al

    3* Clemson
    Op Tulsa

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