Study Group: Thursday's Top 25 NCAAB Betting Notes
Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on all of Thursday’s ranked college basketball games:
(18) Michigan State at Iowa (+1)
The Spartans look for their first league win away from home when they visit Iowa. After falling at Minnesota on New Year's Eve, Michigan State was able to rebound at home with an easy 84-61 triumph over Purdue on Saturday. The buzz surrounding the Hawkeyes was somewhat warranted when they took the Indiana Hoosiers to the wire in their Big Ten opener on New Year's Eve. However, Iowa was no match for the Wolverines on Sunday, falling 95-67 in Ann Arbor. Michigan scored 76 points in the final 26 minutes, showcasing several highlight-reel plays that embarrassed the young Hawkeyes. Iowa is 6-1 ATS in its last seven overall.
(3) Arizona at Oregon (+1)
The Wildcats are off to their best start since the 1931-32 squad opened the season with 16 consecutive victories. But that doesn’t mean there isn’t room for improvement. Arizona shot just 36.2 percent from the field in a close call against Utah last time out. Oregon is 10-0 at home and has won 16 consecutive games at Matthew Knight Arena dating back to last season. Arizona is just 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall.
St. Mary’s at (8) Gonzaga (-11)
Gonzaga has lived up to the hype after being touted as a potential Final Four team in the preseason, while Saint Mary’s cruised through a fairly easy nonconference schedule. This game features two of the WCC’s marquee players in Bulldogs junior forward Kelly Olynyk and Gaels senior point guard Matthew Dellavedova. The 7-foot Olynyk was named the WCC Player of the Week after averaging 23.3 points and 7.7 rebounds in victories at Oklahoma State, Pepperdine and Santa Clara. Gonzaga leads the WCC in scoring (80.7) and points allowed (63.1). The Gaels are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
Notable non-Top 25 games:
Kentucky at Vanderbilt (+11.5)
John Calipari's defending national champion Wildcats have already lost twice as many games as they did last season and are 0-2 on the road, while the Commodores snapped a two-game losing streak with a 64-50 victory over William & Mary on Jan. 2. Vanderbilt blocked a season-high 10 shots in that win and held the Tribe to just 34 percent shooting. The Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
UCLA at Utah (+5)
UCLA, which has won seven straight games overall, hasn’t played a true road game this season but will get its first taste of hostility when they travel to Utah on Thursday in what will be the first high-altitude experience for most of its freshman-laden roster. The Bruins enter as the Pac-12’s top scoring team (79.9 ppg) with the conference’s best shooting percentage (.480), while Utah has improved its national ranking in opponent field goal percentage from 321st in the nation last season to 22nd so far this campaign. All six of Utah’s losses this season have come by seven points or less, while the Bruins are 4-1 in games decided by five points or fewer. The Utes are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.
Arizona State at Oregon State (-4)
Arizona State won its first two conference games for just the fourth time in 35 seasons and seeks a 3-0 start in Pac-12 play when it visits Oregon State. This will be only Arizona State’s second road game – the Sun Devils beat Texas Tech on Dec. 22. Oregon State lost its Pac-12 opener to Oregon in a contest in which the Beavers were outplayed on both ends of the court. The Beavers have struggled in the interior since losing starting center Angus Brandt to a season-ending knee injury and are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.
Miami-Florida at North Carolina (-5)
North Carolina started the season ranked 12th in the nation, but an unranked Tar Heels’ squad looks to avoid a 0-2 start in ACC play when it hosts Miami. Virginia held North Carolina 29 points below its season average in a 61-52 loss on Sunday in the conference opener. The Tar Heels were outscored 11-2 in the final three minutes, losing for the second time in four games. Miami experienced a much more enjoyable start to conference play, beating Georgia Tech 62-49 on Saturday. The Hurricanes have won two in a row since ending December with losses to then No. 5 Arizona and Indiana State.
Exposing The Top 25: Where The Polls Went Wrong
Each week throughout the college basketball season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.
Most Underrated Top 25 Team – North Carolina State Wolfpack (12-2 SU, 6-6 ATS)
The Wolfpack are the top shooting team in the country hitting over 53 percent of their shots from the field, and only recently have they climbed back into the rankings. They have won eight straight since losing to Michigan and they remain undefeated at home. They are dominating opponents in their own building, winning by an average margin of 18 points.
After failing to cover the spread in three straight games, N.C. State is just a 10-point favorite at home against Georgia Tech Wednesday. The Wolfpack shouldn't have any trouble with the Yellow Jackets and the line in that game appears to be a little low. They might get caught looking ahead though, as they have a date with Duke Saturday.
Most Overrated Top 25 Team - Cincinnati Bearcats (13-3 SU, 6-6 ATS)
The Bearcats came storming out of the gates winning 12 in a row to start the season, but all of those victories came against unranked opponents. The schedule has gotten a little tougher for Cincy and it has now lost three of its last four. Poor shooting has been an issue for the Bearcats. They shot just 31.3 percent from the field in their first loss of the season, losing to New Mexico by a score of 55-54 at home.
Cincinnati ranks among the worst in the country in field goal percentage, shooting just 43 percent. Until recently, it has been able to overcome poor shooting with great defense. But after losing to New Mexico, the Bearcats went on to lose their next two home games to St. Johns and Notre Dame. The schedule isn't going to get any easier for them, with upcoming games against Rutgers, Marquette and Syracuse over the next two weeks.
Unranked Team That Should Be Ranked - Maryland Terrapins (13-1 SU, 5-2 ATS)
The Terrapins are flying under the radar, not getting a lot of attention for a team with a 13-1 record. They have only played one ranked team this season and that was a 72-69 loss to Kentucky in their opening game. They have since gone on to win 13 straight games in very impressive fashion. Granted they haven't had a tough schedule, but they aren't just winning - they are mopping the floor with their opponents.
Maryland was an underdog in its only true road game so far this season, getting five points against Northwestern. The Terps went on the blow out the Wildcats by a 20-point margin, winning 77-57. They host Florida State at home in their next game but things start to get a lot more difficult after that, with upcoming road games at Miami and North Carolina, as well as hosting N.C. State next week.
NBA Betting: Toughest & Easiest Schedules Prior to the All-Star Break
Taking a given team’s schedule into consideration is a vital aspect of sports handicapping.
The NBA All-Star game is just over a month away, so we thought it would be beneficial to examine which teams have the easiest and toughest schedules prior to the break beginning Feb. 15.
Easiest Schedules
Denver Nuggets (20-16 SU, 22-14 ATS)
The Nuggets are entering a friendly portion of their schedule Wednesday when they host the Magic. Denver plays 12 of its next 14 games at home and has covered in three of its last four games overall. This is important to bettors because the Nuggets boast an impressive 10-3 ATS mark at the Pepsi Center.
Philadelphia 76ers (15-21 SU, 15-21 ATS)
NBA schedule-makers saddled the Sixers with a daunting road schedule early in the season, but now Philly enjoys a stretch where it plays 12 of its next 15 games at the friendly confines of the Wells Fargo Center against relatively weak opposition. The Sixers play the Raptors and Bucks twice in that span and will also have the chance to beat up on the Magic, Bobcats, Wizards and Hornets prior to the break.
Atlanta Hawks (20-13 SU, 13-19-1 ATS)
Atlanta’s 20-13 SU record hasn’t translated into ATS success (13-19-1) this season, but the Hawks will have the opportunity to improve on that mark in coming weeks. Atlanta only plays one back-to-back set (Brooklyn, San Antonio) and has good balance to its schedule with no more than two consecutive games on the road or at home prior to the break. The Hawks have been a better road bet (8-8 ATS) than at Philips Arena (5-11-1).
Toughest Schedules
Los Angeles Clippers (27-8 SU, 22-13 ATS)
The Clippers have an impressive 15-5 home ATS mark but are slightly under .500 ATS on the road (7-8). Los Angeles will be road warriors prior to the All-Star break, playing 14 of its next 20 away from La La Land. The Clippers embark on a season-high eight-game road swing predominantly against Eastern foes beginning in Minnesota on Jan. 30.
Houston Rockets (21-14 SU, 21-13-1 ATS)
The Rockets boast one of the top offenses in the Association thanks to the addition of James Harden, but they’ll be tested with a vigorous schedule in the next month or so. Houston hits the road for 13 of its next 20 games, including stops in tough venues such as Los Angeles, Golden State, Utah, Boston and Indiana. The Rockets are the hottest bet in the league, covering in 11 of their last 12 games.
Oklahoma City Thunder (26-8 SU, 20-13-1 ATS)
It’s no secret the Thunder have some of the top talent in the league and are one of the better bets this season. But Oklahoma City begins a stretch where it plays nine of its next 10 away from home beginning Friday in Los Angeles. The Thunder will play three times at the Staples Center (twice vs. the Lakers, once vs. the Clippers) during that stretch.
Knicks' Anthony Suspended for Thurs. tilt with Pacers
New York Knicks forward Carmelo Anthony has been suspended by the league for one game without pay for his altercation with forward Kevin Garnett following Monday night’s game with the Boston Celtics.
Anthony will serve the brief suspension Thursday night when the Knicks visit the Indiana Pacers. Odds are being held off the board at most books overnight, but Nevada-based oddsmaking service The Sports Club is sending out a suggested spread of Pacers -2 with the total set at 186.
The Pacers boast the second-best defense in the Association (89.5 PPG), a factor oddsmakers will surely take into consideration with New York’s top scorer sidelined.
Anthony is averaging 29 points and six rebounds in 28 games this season.
Pointwise
CBB
THURSDAY, JANUARY 10 SCORE
(7:00) TROY 79 - La-Monroe 65
(7:00) YOUNGSTOWN STATE 73 - Detroit 72
(7:00) Temple 71 - XAVIER 70
(7:00) GEORGE MASON 65 - Old Dominion 63 (NBCS)
(7:00) Michigan State 86 - IOWA 78 (ESPN2)
(7:00) NORTH CAROLINA 64 - Miami-Florida 57 (ESPN)
(8:00) PENN STATE 65 - Northwestern 62 (ESPNU)
(8:00) MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST 76 - Florida-Atlantic 56
(8:00) TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 62 - Texas-Arlington 61
(8:00) ARKANSAS STATE 78 - Florida International 64
(8:00) ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK 67 - North Texas 66
(8:00) South Alabama 73 - LA-LAFAYETTE 63
(8:00) TEXAS STATE 60 - Louisiana Tech 59
(9:00) BYU 82 - Pepperdine 60
(9:00) Kentucky 76 - VANDERBILT 67 (ESPN)
(9:00) OREGON 65 - Arizona 64
(9:00) SAINT LOUIS 71 - Massachusetts 70 (CBSC)
(9:30) UTAH 63 - Ucla 62
(10:00) SEATTLE 69 - New Mexico State 68
(10:00) SAN FRANCISCO 82 - San Diego 71
(10:00) COLORADO 78 - Southern California 60 (ESPN)
(10:00) IDAHO 62 - Denver 55
(10:00) PACIFIC 58 - Cal-Santa Barbara 50
(10:00) Santa Clara 67 - LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT 63
(10:00) CAL-DAVIS 66 - Cal-Poly Slo 57
(11:00) GONZAGA 80 - Saint Marys 65 (ESPN2)
(11:30) OREGON STATE 73 - Arizona State 61
BEST BETS: MICHIGAN STATE, PENN STATE, SOUTH ALABAMA, BYU,
MASSACHUSETTS, SAN FRANCISCO, GONZAGA.
NBA
THURSDAY, JANUARY 10 SCORE
(8:00) New York Knicks 98 - INDIANA PACERS 95 (TNT)
(10:05) SACRAMENTO 113 - Dallas Mavericks 97
(10:35) PORTLAND BLAZERS 105 - Miami Heat 99 (TNT)
BEST BETS: SACRAMENTO, PORTLAND (3)
JOE WIZ FREE PLAY
Nebraska Omaha +6 over IUPUI
Mighty Quinn
Mighty hit with Virginia Commonwealth (-10 1/2) Wednesday.
Thursday it’s Saint Louis. The surplus is 240 sirignanos.
Gold Medal Club Selections 10/01/2013
CBB:
#509 Detroit PK
#529 South Alabama +2.5
NBA
Hot Teams
-- Pacers won 11 of last 14 games (7-3 HF).
-- Kings won four of last five at home, but it came out yesterday that team will probably move to Seattle next year-- this will be a sad night for Kings squad that is 4-2-1 HF.
-- Portland won five of last six games (4-1 HU).
Cold Teams
-- Knicks are 5-6 in last eleven games (3-3 AU).
-- Dallas lost four in row, 10 of last 11 games (9-6 last 15 AU).
-- Miami is 3-4 in its last seven games (4-9 AF).
Totals
-- Four of last five New York games went over the total; seven of Pacers' last eight games stayed under.
-- Eight of last nine Sacramento games went over total
-- Seven of last ten Miami games stayed under the total.
Back-to-backs
-- Mavericks are 5-4 vs spread if they played night before.
CBB
-- Detroit won seven of last eight games vs Youngstown, winning four in row in this gym, by 4-8-4-2 points; Titans won seven of last eight, with only loss at Syracuse by 4- they won first two Horizon games, by 15-8 points- their only win in six road games was at #295 Alcorn by 16. YSU split first two Horizon games, losing by 5, winning by 2 (both on road).
-- Home team won last seven Temple-Xavier games; Owls lost last three visits here, by 8-9-11 points. Temple is 3-1 on road, winning at Kent St, Buffalo, Villanova, losing by 7 at Kansas- they're 8-1 vs teams outside top 100. Xavier lost last four games, scoring 51.5 ppg; they've won four of six home games, losing to Vandy/Wofford by total of three points.
-- Michigan State won nine of last ten games with Iowa, winning four in row, by 19-5-34-17 points; they've won two of last three visits to Iowa City, also beat Hawkeyes in last two Big Dozen tourneys. Spartans are 11-0 when they score 64+ points, 1-3 otherwise; they're 2-3 away from home. Iowa opened league play by losing to Indiana (4), Michigan (28).
-- North Carolina is 1-4 vs teams in top 150, with only win over UNLV by 6 at home; Tar Heels won nine of last ten games vs Miami, winning last four here, by 41-17-7-17 points. 'canes are 4-1 on road, with loss at Florida Gulf Coast by 12- their last six wins are all by 13+. Carolina is #306 in experience; they shoot 63.7% from foul line (#300 in country).
-- Kentucky won five of last six games, but they're 1-4 this year vs clubs in top 200; Wildcats won six of last eight games vs Vanderbilt, winning three of last four here, with wins by 13-2-6 points; Vandy beat them LY in SEC tourney. Commodores are 0-5 vs teams in top 100, losing by 26-13-10-4-19 points; two of those (Villanova/Butler) came at home.
-- UCLA won last seven games, last three vs top 70 teams; this is first true road game of year for Bruins, who whacked Utah 76-49 in LA LY, in teams' only meeting. Utes lost four of their last five games, with five losses all by 5 or less points; they lost two games in Arizona last week by total of 4 points. UCLA is 302nd in country in terms of experience.
-- 14-0 Arizona has two road wins, by 28 at Texas Tech, at Clemson by 12; Wildcats won six of last seven games with Oregon, but got upset at home by Ducks 59-57 LY, in teams' only meeting. 12-2 Ducks split pair in Vegas, only two top 100 games they've played, beating UNLV by 4, losing to Cincinnati by 11. Arizona won its last three visits to Eugene by 10-14-19 points.
-- USC has played #25 schedule to this point; they're 0-3 on road, with losses by 12-8-8 points. Colorado lost twice in Arizona last week; they got hosed in Tucson, am curious to see how they bounce back at home. Buffs are 6-1 vs squads outside top 100; they hammered USC 74-50 in LA LY, in teams' only meeting. USC is 3-5 vs teams in top 100, losing games by 30-6-8-14-8 points.
-- Denver won last three games, by 15-11-25 points; they're 1-5 on road, with only win by 15 at Texas-Arlington, in last road tilt. Idaho opened WAC play with 2-1 road trip, losing in OT at league kingpin Utah State; Vandals are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 15-9-10 points- they force turnovers only 13.1% of time, less than any team in country.
-- Santa Clara lost twice to LMU LY, by 12-3 points, after going 7-2 in previous nine series games; Broncos are 3-2 in last five visits here. LMU is 0-4 vs top 100 teams, losing by 3-21-41-13 points, but big losses all came on road. Broncos are 3-1 in true road games, winning by 12-21-4, with loss at Duke. LMU hasn't beaten a team ranked higher than #230.
-- St Mary's won eight of last nine games-- only one of those eight wins was over top 150 team; Gaels are 2-1 on road, losing at Northern Iowa by 7. Gonzaga won its last six games, with four of those by 7 or less points; Zags are just 3-4 in last seven games vs St Mary's, but Gaels lost eight of last nine visits here, with five of eight losses by 11+ points.
-- Oregon State lost eight of last nine games vs Arizona State, going 1-3 in last four played here; overall, Beavers lost two of last three, falling to Towson State/rival Ducks at home- their last seven wins are all vs clubs ranked #186 or lower. ASU won nine of last 10 games; they won by 15 at Texas Tech, in only true road game. Frosh PG Carson is huge plus.
-- South Dakota State is 1-7 in last eight games vs Oakland, but won by 12 in Grizzlies' last visit here; Jackrabbits just finished 3-3 month-long road swing- this is their first home game since Dec 9. Oakland is 3-10 on road, losing by 20 at Alabama Saturday; they've only played four home games this year. Teams shoot 59% inside arc vs Oakland, the 2nd-worst percentage in country.
NCAA Basketball Picks
St. Mary's at Gonzaga
The Bulldogs look to build on their 11-4 ATS record in their last 15 home games. Gonzaga is the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulldogs favored by 12 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-10). Here are all of today's games.
THURSDAY, JANUARY 10
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. ESTGame 507-508: UL-Monroe at Troy (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 47.618; Troy 48.908
Dunkel Line: Troy by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Troy by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+3 1/2)Game 509-510: Detroit at Youngstown State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 57.188; Youngstown State 55.331
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: DetroitGame 511-512: Temple at Xavier (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 63.869; Xavier 58.825
Dunkel Line: Temple by 5
Vegas Line: Temple by 3
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-3)Game 513-514: Old Dominion at George Mason (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 50.942; George Mason 59.503
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 8 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: George Mason by 10 1/2; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+10 1/2); OverGame 515-516: Michigan State at Iowa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 69.477; Iowa 66.168
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 3 1/2; 130
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-2); UnderGame 517-518: Miami (FL) at North Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 67.961; North Carolina 71.232
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 3 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 5; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (+5); OverGame 519-520: Northwestern at Penn State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 58.045; Penn State 58.312
Dunkel Line: Even; 127
Vegas Line: Penn State by 2; 122 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+2); OverGame 521-522: Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 47.808; Middle Tennessee State 63.064
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 17
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+17)Game 523-524: TX-Arlington at TX-San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 55.632; TX-San Antonio 49.373
Dunkel Line: TX-Arlington by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: TX-Arlington by 2
Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (-2)Game 525-526: Florida International at Arkansas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 50.961; Arkansas State 58.805
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 8
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+9 1/2)Game 527-528: North Texas at AR-Little Rock (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 47.452; AR-Little Rock 54.928
Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (-3 1/2)Game 529-530: South Alabama at UL-Lafayette (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 52.633; UL-Lafayette 56.636
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 4
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (-2 1/2)Game 531-532: Louisiana Tech at Texas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 59.660; Texas State 48.258
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-8 1/2)Game 533-534: Pepperdine at BYU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 52.623; BYU 67.065
Dunkel Line: BYU by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: BYU by 16
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+16)Game 535-536: Kentucky at Vanderbilt (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 76.322; Vanderbilt 61.795
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 14 1/2; 125
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 12 1/2; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-12 1/2); UnderGame 537-538: Arizona at Oregon (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 70.793; Oregon 73.611
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 3; 147
Vegas Line: Pick; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon; OverGame 539-540: Massachusetts at St. Louis (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 57.880; St. Louis 65.769
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 8; 137
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 11; 132
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+11); OverGame 541-542: UCLA at Utah (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 68.029; Utah 60.832
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 7
Vegas Line: UCLA by 5
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-5)Game 543-544: New Mexico State at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 56.898; Seattle 53.349
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+4)Game 545-546: San Diego at San Francisco (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 53.429; San Francisco 55.582
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 6
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+6)Game 547-548: USC at Colorado (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 56.494; Colorado 67.503
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 11; 125
Vegas Line: Colorado by 9; 129
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-9); UnderGame 549-550: Denver at Idaho (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 57.021; Idaho 60.103
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 3
Vegas Line: Idaho by 1
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (-1)Game 551-552: UC-Santa Barbara at Pacific (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 51.840; Pacific 57.808
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 6
Vegas Line: Pacific by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (-5 1/2)Game 553-554: Santa Clara at Loyola-Marymount (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 60.252; Loyola-Marymount 51.766
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 6
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (-6)Game 555-556: Cal Poly at UC-Davis (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 53.603; UC-Davis 52.647
Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 1
Vegas Line: UC-Davis by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+1 1/2)Game 557-558: St. Mary's at Gonzaga (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's 62.075; Gonzaga 74.663
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 12 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 10; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-10); UnderGame 559-560: Arizona State at Oregon State (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 57.801; Oregon State 63.559
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 6
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-4 1/2)Game 561-562: Chattanooga at The Citadel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 46.967; The Citadel 37.625
Dunkel Line: Chattanooga by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chattanooga by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (-6 1/2)Game 563-564: Rider at Manhattan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 49.930; Manhattan 53.138
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 3
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (-2 1/2)Game 565-566: Iona at Marist (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 60.220; Marist 49.567
Dunkel Line: Iona by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Iona by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-9 1/2)Game 567-568: Samford at College of Charleston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 40.958; College of Charleston 54.331
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+14 1/2)Game 569-570: Montana at North Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 54.854; North Dakota 47.211
Dunkel Line: Montana by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Montana by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana (-5 1/2)Game 571-572: Jacksonville State at SIU-Edwardsville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 48.806; SIU-Edwardsville 46.399
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Jacksonville State by 4
Dunkel Pick: SIU-Edwardsville (+4)Game 573-574: Oakland at South Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 51.605; South Dakota State 60.632
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 9
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 8
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-8)Game 575-576: IUPUI at NE-Omaha (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 47.038; NE-Omaha 40.306
Dunkel Line: IUPUI by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: IUPUI by 5
Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (-5)Game 577-578: SE Missouri State at Belmont (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 50.500; Belmont 64.669
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 14
Vegas Line: Belmont by 16
Dunkel Pick: SE Missouri State (+16)Game 579-580: Tennessee-Martin at Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 39.273; Tennessee State 55.965
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 11
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (-11)Game 581-582: Tennessee Tech at Eastern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 42.364; Eastern Illinois 40.807
Dunkel Line: Tennessee Tech by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Illinois by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+1 1/2)Game 583-584: IPFW at North Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 47.395; North Dakota State 66.216
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 19
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-16 1/2)Game 585-586: Montana State at Northern Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 43.680; Northern Colorado 48.823
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 5
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (+6 1/2)Game 587-588: Northern Arizona at Eastern Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 41.701; Eastern Washington 43.305
Dunkel Line: Eastern Washington by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Washington by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+4 1/2)Game 589-590: Weber State at Southern Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 60.648; Southern Utah 49.081
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Weber State by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-10 1/2)Game 591-592: Sacramento State at Portland State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 45.195; Portland State 51.837
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Portland State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (-4)
DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index
01/10/13 Predictions
Season
Straight Up: 1782-545 (.766)
ATS: 725-755 (.490)
ATS Vary Units: 2498-2671 (.483)
Over/Under: 195-195 (.500)
Over/Under Vary Units: 240-272 (.469)
Atlantic 10 Conference
SAINT LOUIS 73, Massachusetts 62
Temple 67, XAVIER 65
Atlantic Coast Conference
NORTH CAROLINA 73, Miami (Fla.) 70
Atlantic Sun Conference
EAST TENNESSEE STATE 73, Stetson 68
JACKSONVILLE 74, Kennesaw State 62
NORTH FLORIDA 66, Mercer 63
USC UPSTATE 74, Florida Gulf Coast 69
Big Sky Conference
EASTERN WASHINGTON 79, Northern Arizona 72
Montana 69, NORTH DAKOTA 60
NORTHERN COLORADO 77, Montana State 72
PORTLAND STATE 75, Sacramento State 67
Weber State 75, SOUTHERN UTAH 66
Big Ten Conference
Michigan State 70, IOWA 68
Northwestern vs. PENN STATE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Big West Conference
Cal Poly 70, UC DAVIS 66
PACIFIC 70, UC Santa Barbara 65
Colonial Athletic Association
GEORGE MASON 72, Old Dominion 58
Horizon League
Detroit 73, YOUNGSTOWN STATE 72
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference
Iona 83, MARIST 74
MANHATTAN 65, Rider 63
Northeast Conference
BRYANT 71, Quinnipiac 68
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE 78, Sacred Heart 72
MONMOUTH 74, Saint Francis (Pa.) 62
Robert Morris 75, FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 68
ST. FRANCIS (N.Y.) 73, Mount St. Mary's 64
Wagner 75, LONG ISLAND 74
Ohio Valley Conference
BELMONT 83, Southeast Missouri 61
Jacksonville State 64, SIUE 60
TENNESSEE STATE 79, UT Martin 57
Tennessee Tech vs. EASTERN ILLINOIS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Pacific-10 Conference
Arizona vs. OREGON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
COLORADO 70, Usc 54
OREGON STATE 74, Arizona State 69
Ucla 70, UTAH 61
Southeastern Conference
Kentucky 70, VANDERBILT 60
Southern Conference
Chattanooga 73, THE CITADEL 66
COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON 74, Samford 54
Southland Conference
LAMAR 64, Sam Houston State 63
McNEESE STATE 70, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 60
ORAL ROBERTS 78, Northwestern State 74
Stephen F. Austin 75, CENTRAL ARKANSAS 60
Summit League
Iupui 82, OMAHA 74
NORTH DAKOTA STATE 76, Fort Wayne 57
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE 80, Oakland 70
Sun Belt Conference
ARKANSAS STATE 76, Fairleigh Dickinson 62
MIDDLE TENNESSEE 74, Florida Atlantic 54
TROY 69, Ulm 64
UALR 70, North Texas 66
UL LAFAYETTE 73, South Alabama 71
West Coast Conference
BYU 80, Pepperdine 60
GONZAGA 80, Saint Mary's 70
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT 75, Santa Clara 74
SAN FRANCISCO 75, San Diego 66
Western Athletic Conference
IDAHO 63, Denver 62
Louisiana Tech 79, TEXAS STATE 67
New Mexico State 76, SEATTLE 70
UT Arlington 67, UT SAN ANTONIO 64
DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index
01/10/13 Predictions
Season
Straight Up: 342-166 (.673)
ATS: 255-262 (.493)
ATS Vary Units: 772-711 (.521)
Over/Under: 266-251 (.515)
Over/Under Vary Units: 431-386 (.528)
INDIANA 97, New York 93
SACRAMENTO 104, Dallas 103
Miami 100, PORTLAND 96
5Lines
Total Line for 01/10/2013
(Won last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Miami Heat : o196
Cost: -110
Run Line for 01/10/2013
(Lost last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Miami Heat : -4
Cost: -110
Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
Our Free Plays are 961 - 718 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !
Free Winner THURS: BYU -16
Gamblers Data
Free Play Thursday
BYU -16
Basketball Crusher
Portland Trail Blazers +3.5 over Miami Heat
(System Record: 38-3, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 38-29-0
Soccer Crusher
Real Betis + Las Palmas UNDER 3
This match is happening in Spain
(System Record: 339-14, lost last game)
Overall Record: 339-296-40
Today's NBA Picks
Dallas at Sacramento
The Mavericks look to take advantage of a Sacramento team that is 0-9 ATS in its last 9 games against Southwest Division teams. Dallas is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+2). Here are all of today's picks.
THURSDAY, JANUARY 10
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. ESTGame 501-502: New York at Indiana (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 116.542; Indiana 123.235
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 4 1/2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-4 1/2); N/AGame 503-504: Dallas at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 111.977; Sacramento 111.789
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+2); OverGame 505-506: Miami at Portland (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 121.199; Portland 116.001
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 5; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 3 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-3 1/2); Under
StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets
CBB LOUISIANA TECH at TEXAS ST.
Play Against - A favorite (LOUISIANA TECH) poor three point shooting team (<=32%) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse.
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
CBB N TEXAS at ARK-LITTLE ROCK
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (ARK-LITTLE ROCK) average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (<=32%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-17.5 TO) - 15+ games.
148-210 since 1997. ( 41.3% 23.0 units )
CBB ARIZONA at OREGON
Play Over - All teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 after 1 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (<=63 PPG)
89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% 39.5 units )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% 3.0 units )
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