James Jones
(0-7 last night)
* NCAA BASKETBALL *
2 Units: Utah +6.5 9:30 PM EST
2 Units: Denver +3 10:00 PM EST
2 Units: Santa Clara -5 10:00 PM EST
2 Units: Texas State +8.5 8:00 PM EST
1 Unit: USC +8.5 10:00 PM EST
1 Unit: Penn State -2 8:00 PM EST
Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball
2-1 Yesterday and 3 of 4 winning days, let's keep building on that today. We have also strung together 6 of 9 Winning Days with a 19-14 Run and 15-11 Run. More work to do.
3-Unit Play. #521. Take Florida Atlantic +16.5 over Middle Tennessee State (Thursday @ 8pm est).
3-Unit Play. #528 Take Arkansas Little Rock -3.5 over North Texas (Thursday @ 8pm est).
3-Unit Play. #536. Take Vanderbilt +12.5 over Kentucky (Thursday @ 9pm est).
I'm a fan of Mike Jarvis' teams and have for some time. Two years ago he had a 21 win team and last year he had a 11 win team and now is building those young guys to the level of talent he had two years ago. This year this team already has 8 wins on the year and are .500 on the year. They are 3-2 in conference play and one of the tougher teams Middle Tennessee State will face this year. Coming off back to back wins against Hofstra and Louisiana Lafayette this team is building confidence heading into Middle Tennessee State. This team does need to improve on its turnover percentage but they will be much more excited about this game than Middle Tennessee State will. State has beat this team by 13 points the last two years and has not bet this team by the margin they are facing them today over the last 10 times they have played each other since 2008. These two coaches are familiar with each other and so are the programs and even with that team from last year which was really inexperienced for Florida Atlantic they lost by 13 both times. This year's team is a bit better and if these two freshman of Moody and Baker can get settled in, I like Florida Atlantic to hang tough today. At the end of the day, this is a conference game in the Sun Belt and I'll take the points here. Arkansas Little Rock is a 9 win team from the Sun Belt facing North Texas at home. This team beat North Texas the first time they played them last year on the road by 3 points only to have North Texas beat them and return the favor in overtime the second time they played them last season. Arkansas Little Rock comes off a tough loss to Troy on the road by 3 points and that's a tough loss to swallow considering they are a team outside the top 300. But this team has shown the prowess to beat some very good teams at home including Western Kentucky a top 175 team at home by 8 points and lost to a dynamic Louisiana Tech team who is a top 100 team at home by 2 points. This team has also defeated Tulsa who is a top 200 team at home and don't hold the Troy game against them too much because it was a revenge game for Troy from an earlier loss to the Rock this year. North Texas's last 3 wins were against teams outside the top 300 and all were at home. This is a tough feat for North Texas I think considering they have to face a top 200 team essentially on the road today. I watched the Vanderbilt vs. Davidson game in Kissimmee, Florida and it was a 5* Gotw for us and we rode Davidson in that game for the win. Vanderbilt has been improving steadily since that game however. Sure, they got crushed by Butler at home but this is a very young team. After coming off back to back losses to Middle Tennessee State and Butler, they bounced back against William and Mary at home. One of the most attractive things about taking an underdog and an underdog at home with a low scoring total is that when you get 12.5 points on a projected total which is smaller, it is significant. This team loves to play drag out type games such as beating Xavier on the road in a 66-64 game which was an overtime victory at that. Kentucky comes off crushing Eastern Michigan at home but I do think they have a let down here on the road. Kentucky has struggled away from home such as losing to Louisville (can't blame them though because Louisville had years of pent up revenge) and losing to Notre Dame by 14. Look for Vanderbilt to get up for this game as this is a huge game for them and look for Kentucky to finally get that first pure road win on the road in conference play at that, but I don't think it will be going away. Look for a drag out contest that will see Kentucky likely win by single digits.
Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball
Passing on the Card Today. We are not at the All-Star break yet. Still lots of time for us to put together a solid run. We had a great December (+$3300) highest of my career in the NBA and we will build off that. Looking forward to the larger card on Friday.
My leans are on Portland to upset Miami possibly at home but Miami comes off a bad loss against Indiana so that is tough sledding there, I liked Sacramento at home after the city announced they will be moving their team essentially (this might be the video comp today) but the Mavs are desperate for a win and did play the Clippers close last night and although I would have leaned on Indiana with Melo', with Melo being suspended for this game teams have a way of coming together and covering so the Knicks might actually end up covering today so just laid off.
ATS insider picks
4 Troy (-3) over Louisiana-Monroe, 7pmET
3 Iowa (+2) over Michigan State, 7pm
Ben Burns
9* Dallas/Sacramento Over
9* USC
CHRIS JORDAN 200*
Arkansas Little Rock -3.5
Trace Adams 2-7 - 9 UNITS
01 Jan: 2000♦ Purdue Boilermakers +17
02 Jan: 1500♦ Florida Gators -14
03 Jan: 1500♦ Kansas State Wildcats +8
04 Jan: 1500♦ Oklahoma Sooners
05 Jan: 2500♦ Cincinnati Bengals +4.5
06 Jan: 1000♦ Baltimore Ravens -7
07 Jan: 2000♦ Notre Dame Fighting Irish +9.5 (He says buy the 1/2 and get it at +10)
08 Jan: 1000♦ Alabama Crimson Tide +10
09 Jan: 1000♦ Louisville Cardinals -11
10 Jan: 1000♦ Miami Heat -3.5
Latewinners
503 Dallas UNDER 206
# 578 Belmont -16 8pm x
# 534 BYU -16 9pm x
583 IPFW +16 8pm x # 550 Idaho -2 10pm x
# 531 Louisiana Tech - 8x 566 Marist + 9.5 7pm x
# 501 New York OVER 184.5 8pm
# 505 Miami UNDER 196 1035pm
# 515 Michigan state OVER 135.5 7pm
# 524 Texas-San Antonio +1 8pm x
# 567 Samford +14 730pm x
# 538 Oregon +1 9pm x
# 554 Laola Marymount +6 10pm x
# 556 UC Dvis - 1.5 10pm x
# 529 South alabama + 2.5 8pm x
# 517 Miami Florida +5 7pm x
# 516 Iowa +2 7pm x
# 545 San Diego + 5.5 10pm x
# 509 Detroit pk 7pm x
Prediction Machine:
Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times):
Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
515 7:00 PM MICHIGAN ST. @IOWA -1.5 5.0 57.6
★ ★ ★ ★THE FINISHING SCHOOL ★ ★ ★ ★
(8pm) Take #504 Sacramento -2.5 over Dallas
Once again we are witnessing reverse line movement with 64% of the public on the Mavs (91% on the Mavs moneyline!). The line opened up at -2 and is now down to -2.5, meaning someone must really like the Kings. When a line stinks this badly it's best to be on the side of the guy's who are setting it, this looks a lot like the Rockets @ Hornets game last night. Mavs are coming off an exhausting game vs Clippers last night, and with Dirk Nowitzki back in the lineup the majority of the public is backing them, believing they are the "Mavs of old" and can handle the King. SacTown has benefitted from improved play of DeMarcus Cousins (averaging 20/14/5 last 7 games) and I'm calling for the outright win based a few things: 1- I value speed in sports. After that up-and-down the court all offensive affair last night the old Mavs have tired legs, while the Kings are fresh (coming off a loss Monday night). On top of that they had to travel to Sacramento, a team that is difficult to "get up for" especially after playing max effort basketball against LA. 2- Give legitimate trouble it's due- DeMarcus Cousins is a beast in the middle and also showed up in earlier meeting when scoring 25 vs. Mavs in Big D on Dec. 10. Mavs had lost 13 of last 15 SU and are a turnstile on defense while Sacramento has been offering decent value over the past few week. 3- ALWAYS GO WITH POINT SPREADS AIMED AT SUCKERS! If a number looks funny always side with the people who set it. Play on: Kings minus the points.
(10pm) Take #550 Idaho -1.5 over Denver
We see under the radar value in the vandals tonight, Soph Connor Hill really stepped up recently as a contributor with regular starter minutes and the team has a solid, experienced frontcourt with Kyle Barone in the lane and Stephen Madison on the wing. They continue to be an extremely efficient team under HC Don Verlin, leading the WAC in both FG% and 3 pt FG% while playing solid defense in conceding only 67 ppg on the stop end. As for Denver, they are coming in off of big wins against lesser competition in Texas State and UTSA at home and have not been good on the glass at all this season. This is their first year in the WAC and while they matchup well with Idaho our power ratings have Idaho 4+ points better in this one. We'll lay the basket.
KB Hoops
7 units Texas San Antonio -1.5 **POD**
5 units Michigan State -1.5
5 units Utah +6.5
latewinners
# 517 Miami Florida UNDEr 142.5 7PM X
# 513 Old Dominion UNDER 132 7PM X
Nevada Sports Experts
CBB:
3.5 Unit Play of the Day USC +8.5
3 Units Xavier +3.5
NBA:
2 Units Portland +3.5
Great Lakes Sports
5 * GOM
Xavier
Kelso
50 Colo
25 San Fran
Charlie Sports
500*s
iowa over 135.5
gonzaga over 147
kings over 205.5
Rocketman
USC
Tennessee-Martin
Sports bank
400 oregon state
Dr Bob
2* Iona, Youngstown, La Tech, Montana
Scott Ferrall
Indiana -5
Sacramento -2
Portland +5 1/2
Dallas/Sacramento UNDER 206
Miami/Portlannd OVER 196
Marco D'Angelo
2*--xavier
Posting Permissions
Reply With Quote