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Thread: Boxing 2013 tracker

  1. 03-30-2013, 11:55 AM #1
    Luke
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    Boxing 2013 tracker

    Rios -440

    4.4 to win 1
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  2. 03-30-2013, 12:14 PM #2
    edman5555
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    Woah Luke with the boxing bet. I'm tempted to tail you.
    1 unit = 300 $
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  3. 03-30-2013, 12:17 PM #3
    Luke
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    Quote Originally Posted by edman5555 View Post
    Woah Luke with the boxing bet. I'm tempted to tail you.
    Its 3 months into the year and I havent bet shit. Its time to wake the hell up
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  4. 03-30-2013, 01:33 PM #4
    edman5555
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    I havent been doing that well. I am starting to get in the right mood/frame of mind. I've been shooting from the hip for a while here and its been costing me. I am going to try and go back to my old style of picking favorites. I am thinking about all the things I did in 2011 that made me successful and hopefully I will be able to implement those methods now and win. I deviated from them for a while. I won some bets and lost some others. All in all I think I haven't done so bad betting dogs with value and I do think there is value to that approach. I just need to tone it down. I went 3u on Gesius Cavalvante over a guy whom I have not seen against top competition. That was stupid. Putting 8u on Overeem was dumb. I have made a few mistakes that have cost me dearly. I guess I just need to tighten my game up.
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  5. 03-30-2013, 02:17 PM #5
    SPX
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    Quote Originally Posted by edman5555 View Post
    I'm tempted to tail you.
    Me too.
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  6. 03-30-2013, 02:17 PM #6
    SPX
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    Quote Originally Posted by Luke View Post
    Its 3 months into the year and I havent bet shit. Its time to wake the hell up
    'Bout time, goddamn it!

    Should've bet that Pope shit. . .
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  7. 03-30-2013, 02:22 PM #7
    SPX
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    Quote Originally Posted by edman5555 View Post
    I havent been doing that well. I am starting to get in the right mood/frame of mind. I've been shooting from the hip for a while here and its been costing me. I am going to try and go back to my old style of picking favorites. I am thinking about all the things I did in 2011 that made me successful and hopefully I will be able to implement those methods now and win. I deviated from them for a while. I won some bets and lost some others. All in all I think I haven't done so bad betting dogs with value and I do think there is value to that approach. I just need to tone it down. I went 3u on Gesius Cavalvante over a guy whom I have not seen against top competition. That was stupid. Putting 8u on Overeem was dumb. I have made a few mistakes that have cost me dearly. I guess I just need to tighten my game up.
    I think a proper approach involves both dogs and faves. I can't remember what the exact stats were but I'm pretty sure I remember Svino posting something that said on average there's usually about a 70/30 split between dogs and faves. If dogs are winning 30% of fights on average, then that's definitely something to exploit. But you can't forget that faves still win the majority of the time.

    And I know this is obvious, but most important factor in making money is, quite simply, accuracy. The more bets you win the more money you make. It doesn't matter how much "value" there was in a line if the guy you bet doesn't win and vice versa.
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  8. 03-30-2013, 03:20 PM #8
    Luke
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    Quote Originally Posted by edman5555 View Post
    I havent been doing that well. I am starting to get in the right mood/frame of mind. I've been shooting from the hip for a while here and its been costing me. I am going to try and go back to my old style of picking favorites. I am thinking about all the things I did in 2011 that made me successful and hopefully I will be able to implement those methods now and win. I deviated from them for a while. I won some bets and lost some others. All in all I think I haven't done so bad betting dogs with value and I do think there is value to that approach. I just need to tone it down. I went 3u on Gesius Cavalvante over a guy whom I have not seen against top competition. That was stupid. Putting 8u on Overeem was dumb. I have made a few mistakes that have cost me dearly. I guess I just need to tighten my game up.
    I dont think the Reem bet was stupid. He got cocky in the 3rd and got caught . My problem is I just dont have the time to look at things anymore. I'm usually gone from 6:30 in the morning till 8 at night , then I have HW to do.
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  9. 03-30-2013, 03:25 PM #9
    edman5555
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    Yeah i hear you. Reem gassed though. I shouldnt have bet it so big considering the layoff and the lack of roids.
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  10. 03-30-2013, 03:29 PM #10
    Luke
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    Quote Originally Posted by edman5555 View Post
    Yeah i hear you. Reem gassed though. I shouldnt have bet it so big considering the layoff and the lack of roids.
    If they fight again....and I'm sure they probably will....I'd bet Reem
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  11. 03-30-2013, 03:34 PM #11
    SPX
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    At any odds?
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  12. 03-30-2013, 03:37 PM #12
    Luke
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    Quote Originally Posted by SPX View Post
    At any odds?
    At the same odds he was the first time, whatever that was.
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  13. 03-30-2013, 03:46 PM #13
    edman5555
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    Quote Originally Posted by Luke View Post
    If they fight again....and I'm sure they probably will....I'd bet Reem
    How about jds? If no, who would you take in a kickboxing match?
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  14. 03-30-2013, 03:53 PM #14
    SPX
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    Quote Originally Posted by Luke View Post
    At the same odds he was the first time, whatever that was.
    -400
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  15. 03-30-2013, 04:37 PM #15
    Luke
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    Quote Originally Posted by edman5555 View Post
    How about jds? If no, who would you take in a kickboxing match?
    Probably JDS in both instances
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  16. 03-30-2013, 04:53 PM #16
    Luke
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    Can anyone make out what Bob Arum says right after the 4:00 mark of this video?

    http://www.toprank.tv/shared/flash/m..._rios_alvarado
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  17. 03-30-2013, 10:24 PM #17
    poopoo333
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    If I lose I am deleting Luke from my life.


    8.1u to win 2u on Brandon Rios
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  18. 03-30-2013, 10:44 PM #18
    SPX
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    Well fuck it. . .

    Brandon Rios: 3u to win 1u

    (Y'all got some shitty fucking odds.)
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  19. 03-30-2013, 10:46 PM #19
    poopoo333
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    Where is he -300 at?!
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  20. 03-30-2013, 10:50 PM #20
    SPX
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    Your favorite book. . .
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