Both. I obviously favor Machida but +300 is nuts imo. Davis is only getting better and I feel that Machida has already hit his peak and may not even be there anymore. I hate how this fight is in Brazil based on the recent trends of America (besides Nik Lentz) getting fucked up in Brazil.
Can he do what he did to Fitch to Koscheck? Maia didn't give Fitch any room to strike, he might be able to do the same to Koscheck. Also, Koscheck is definitely one of those fighters that is just fighting for the money now in my opinion. He isn't with AKA and just went ahead and opened his own gym. He seems to have made his money and I have this feeling he just isn't into it anymore. Combine that with traveling to Brazil and the cards are stacked against him.
HOWEVER, he might have a "fire lit under his ass" now because if he loses I am pretty sure he is going to get cut.