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Thread: 9-7-13

  1. #61
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    Diamond Dog Sports

    Over Illinois
    Under Missouri
    Under Virginia
    Under Ball State
    Toledo

  2. #62
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    MLB

    Hot pitchers
    -- Greinke is 6-0, 1.22 in his last six starts.
    -- Latos is 4-2, 1.79 in his last six starts.
    -- Wood is 2-1, 2.70 in his last six starts.
    -- Eovaldi is 1-2, 2.14 in his last three starts.

    -- Niese is 2-0, 1.30 in his last four starts.

    -- Straily is 2-0, 2.45 in his last two starts. Oberholtzer is 4-1, 2.20 in six starts this season.
    -- Duffy is 2-0, 0.55 in his last three starts.
    -- Richards is 2-1, 2.87 in his last three starts.
    -- Correia is 1-0, 0.64 in his last couple starts.
    -- Archer is 2-1, 3.28 in his last four starts.

    Cold pitchers
    -- Arrieta is 1-1, 6.32 in his last three starts. Hellweg is 0-3, 16.76 in his three starts this season.
    -- Kendrick is 0-4, 7.24 in his last five starts.
    -- Roark was 9-3, 3.15 in AAA this year, with 11 starts in 33 appearances; he is 4-0 in big leagues already, in only nine relief appearances (22.1 IP, 1.19 ERA).
    -- Locke is 0-2, 8.44 in his last six starts. Wainwright is 0-2, 16.88 in his last two outings.
    -- Chatwood allowed ten run in 4.1 IP in his last two starts.
    -- Ross is 0-2, 6.23 in his last three starts.
    -- McCarthy is 1-5, 5.09 in his last six starts. Cain is 1-2, 3.70 in his last four.

    -- Kluber was 1-0, 2.25 in his last five starts before he went on DL; last start for him was August 5.

    -- Lackey is 1-4, 3.19 in his last six starts; Boston was shut out in five of his last 11 starts. Huff is 20-26, 5.18 in 52 MLB starts; he is 2-0, 3.32 in 19 IP in bigs this year (9 games). He was 4-7, 3.90 in 14 minor league starts this year.
    -- Chen is 1-4, 6.09 in his last six starts. Santiago is 1-2, 4.40 in his last five.
    -- Detroit lost last five Verlander starts (0-2, 4.50).
    -- Happ is 0-3, 9.00 in his last three starts.
    -- Holland is 0-1, 4.86 in his last three starts.
    -- Lefty Paxton was 8-11, 4.45 in 26 AAA starts this year; this is his first big league appearance. .

    Starting Pitchers/First Inning
    You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
    -- Hellweg 2-3; Arrieta 2-10 (0 of 5 as Cub)
    -- Greinke 7-23; Latos 9-28 (1 of last 9)
    -- Wood 2-9; Kendrick 11-28 (4 of last 7)
    -- Roark 0-0; Eovaldi 4-14
    -- Locke 6-26; Wainwright 9-30 (5 of last 10)
    -- Chatwood 5-16; Ross 4-11
    -- McCarthy 6-17; Cain 8-26 (1 of last 7)

    -- Niese 6-19; Kluber 3-19 (0 of last 5)

    -- Lackey 10-25; Huff 0-0
    -- Oberholtzer 1-6; Straily 5-23 (1 of last 6)
    -- Santiago 4-19; Chen 4-18 (1 of last 7)
    -- Verlander 9-29 (5 of last 9); Duffy 1-4
    -- Happ 4-13 (3 of last 5); Correia 6-27 (0 of last 13)
    -- Holland 4-28 (1 of last 6); Richards 3-12
    -- Archer 6-18 (4 of last 6); Paxton 0-0

    Totals
    -- Six of last eight Milwaukee road games went over the total.
    -- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Atlanta games.
    -- Over is 10-4-1 in last fifteen Washington games.
    -- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine eCincinnati games.
    -- Over is 5-1-1 in Cardinals' last seven games.
    -- Six of last seven Colorado games went over the total. Five of last six San Diego games stayed under total.
    -- Seven of last nine Arizona games stayed under the total.

    -- Seven of last eleven Cleveland games stayed under total.

    -- Six of last seven Bronx games went over the total.
    -- Four of last six White Sox games went over the total.
    -- Six of last nine Kansas City games stayed under total.
    -- Five of last seven Toronto games stayed under total; three of last four Twin games went over.
    -- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Angel games.
    -- Eight of last twelve Houston games stayed under the total.
    -- Four of last five Tampa Bay games went over the total.

    Hot teams
    -- Braves won eight of their last eleven games.
    -- Washington seven of its last ten games on foreign soil. Marlins won four of their last five games.
    -- Dodgers won five of their last seven games. Cincinnati won four of last five. .
    -- San Diego won six of its last eight home games.

    -- Indians won four of their last five games.

    -- Royals won eight of their last eleven games. Tigers won six of eight on road.
    -- Red Sox won ten of their last twelve games.
    -- Baltimore won five of its last six home games.
    -- Blue Jays won eight of their last eleven games.
    -- Angels won ten of their last thirteen games.
    -- A's won ten of their last thirteen games.

    Cold teams
    -- Cubs are 7-18 in last 25 home games. Brewers lost six of last seven games.
    -- Phillies lost four of their last six games.
    -- St Louis lost five of its last eight games. Pirates are 11-15 in last 26 games.
    -- Rockies lost seven of their last ten road games.
    -- Giants are 1-7 in game after their last eight wins. Arizona lost six of its last nine games.

    -- Mets lost four of their last five games.

    -- Bronx lost last two games, allowing 21 runs.
    -- White Sox lost their last eight games.
    -- Detroit lost three of its last five games.
    -- Tampa Bay lost ten of its last twelve games. Seattle lost four of last six.
    -- Rangers lost five of their last seven games.
    -- Houston lost eight of its last twelve games.

    Umpires
    -- Mil-Chi-- Favorites won seven of last eight McClelland games.
    -- LA-Cin-- Last four Nelson games stayed under the total.
    -- Atl-Phil-- Six of last nine Everitt games stayed under total.
    -- Wsh-Mia-- Home side won 11 of last 13 Barksdale games.
    -- Pitt-StL-- Last five Vanover games went over the total.
    -- Col-SD-- 17 of last 23 Miller games stayed under the total.
    -- Az-SF-- Last five Guccione games stayed under the total.

    -- NY-Cle-- Under is 9-5-1 in last fifteen Meals games.

    -- Bos-NY-- Three of last four Holbrook games stayed under.
    -- Hst-A's-- Four of last five Gibson games went over the total.
    -- Chi-Balt-- Five of last six Hoye games stayed under total.
    -- Det-KC-- Favorites won five of last six Marquez games.
    -- Tor-Min-- Five of last six Blaser games stayed under total.
    -- Tex-LA-- Underdogs won five of last six BWelke games.
    -- TB-Sea-- Six of last nine Fairchild games went over total.

  3. #63
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    Cappers Access

    Illinois +9.5
    Georgia -3.5
    Northwestern +17
    Notre Dame +4.5

  4. #64
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    The Gold Sheet

    Key Releases

    ARKANSAS STATE Plus over Auburn
    KANSAS STATE by 20 over La.-Lafayette
    WYOMING by 35 over Idaho
    UNLV Plus over Arizona

  5. #65
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    ScLiveDogs

    Why we like the Angels on Saturday at +110...this is one of those valuable home dogs who are playing the better baseball at this point in the season and will be facing a pitcher who is looking to regain form in a ballpark where he has shown little success in. This Angels team comes in as winners of their last 10 of 13 games where they have averaged 5 RPG while allowing just 3 RPG during that stretch. On the other hand, the Rangers have lost their last 7 of 12 games while averaging 4 RPG and allowing 4 RPG during that stretch. This is a Rangers team, who throughout the stretch of the entire season, have averaged 4.5 RPG, so they seem to have hit a soft spot offensively come September. The Angels will be pitching Garret Richards who is clearly pitching his best ball of the season where he brings in a 2.87 era in his last 15 innings while allowing 13 hits and just 1 HR. This Rangers team has a combined 56 ABs off of Richards where they have a .268 average with just 1 HR. Richards faced this Rangers team on August 6th IN Los Angeles where he allowed just 3 runs through 6 innings on 5 Ks, 1 BB & 0 HRs. The Rangers will be pitching Derek Holland who brings a 4.32 era over his last 16 innings where he allowed 4 HRs on 12 BBs and 11 Ks. It should be noted that those numbers were in the pitcher friendly ballparks of the Athletics and Mariners as well as a start against the Astros; which should play to the advantage of the Angels IN Los Angeles. There are a few reasons to fade Holland in this matchup and we will start by talking about his recent troubles on the road. In Hollands last three road starts, he allowed a combined 9 runs through 16 innings on 17 hits, 3 HRs, 12 Ks & 11 BBs. The room for concern with Holland lies with his BB totals as they have steadily increased up to this point in the season. To take his road problems a step further, we will examine his last three road starts IN Los Angeles against the Angels. In those three starts, Holland allowed a combined 14 runs through 18 innings on 21 hits, 3 HRs, 11 Ks & 6 BBs. This Angels team is familiar with Holland as they have a combined 146 ABs with a .301 average and 9 HRs. Our final reason for a fade against Holland is because of the fact that he sees his 3.07 season era rise to a 3.71 era when pitching on 4 Days of Rest (which he will be doing on Saturday). We will play on the Angels at +110.

  6. #66
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    Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

    Our Free Plays are 1091-821(57% +)over the last 5 1/2 years !

    Free winner Sat Oklah State -26

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    Gamblers Data

    Free Plays Saturday

    Houston +1.5 -115

    Mets/Indians Under 8

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    Dave Essler | CFB SideSat, 09/07/13 - 12:00 PM
    triple-dime bet306 Miami 3.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 305 Florida

    Dave Essler | CFB SideSat, 09/07/13 - 12:00 PM
    double-dime bet316 Temple 3.0 (-110) BetOnline vs 315 Houston

    Dave Essler | CFB SideSat, 09/07/13 - 3:30 PM
    double-dime bet347 Toledo 17.5 (-110) 5dimes vs 348 Missouri

  9. #69
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    Mighty Quinn

    Mighty hit with the Indians on Friday and likes Oregon on Saturday.

    The deficit is 1318 sirignanos.

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    Beathespread FREE NCAAF Play!
    Temple +3

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    Today's MLB Picks

    Detroit at Kansas City

    The Royals look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is 0-5 in Justin Verlander's last 5 starts as a favorite. Kansas City is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115). Here are all of today's picks.
    SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 7
    Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
    Game 951-952: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs (4:05 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Hellweg) 14.437; Cubs (Arrieta) 16.019
    Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 7
    Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-130); No Run Total
    Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-130); N/A
    Game 953-954: LA Dodgers at Cincinnati (1:05 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 15.904; Cincinnati (Latos) 14.970
    Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 8
    Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 7
    Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+100); Over
    Game 955-956: Atlanta at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Wood) 16.491; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 13.954
    Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 9
    Vegas Line: Atlanta (-160); 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-160); Over
    Game 957-958: Washington at Miami (7:05 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Roark) 14.430; Miami (Eovaldi) 15.592
    Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 7
    Vegas Line: Washington (-120); 7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Miami (+100); Under
    Game 959-960: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Locke) 15.123; St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.123
    Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 6
    Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); 7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+150); Under
    Game 961-962: Colorado at San Diego (8:40 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chatwood) 13.925; San Diego (Ross) 15.400
    Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 8
    Vegas Line: San Diego (-135); 7
    Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-135); Over
    Game 963-964: Arizona at San Francisco (9:05 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (McCarthy) 13.989; San Francisco (Cain) 15.418
    Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 8
    Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 7
    Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-145); Over
    Game 965-966: Boston at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lackey) 16.293; NY Yankees (Huff) 17.281
    Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 8
    Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 9
    Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+115); Under
    Game 967-968: Houston at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oberholtzer) 15.172; Oakland (Straily) 14.564
    Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7
    Vegas Line: Oakland (-220); 8
    Dunkel Pick: Houston (+190); Under
    Game 969-970: Chicago White Sox at Baltimore (1:05 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Santiago) 14.494; Baltimore (Chen) 15.874
    Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 9
    Vegas Line: Baltimore (-180); 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-180); Over
    Game 971-972: Detroit at Kansas City (7:10 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 15.177; Kansas City (Duffy) 16.214
    Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 7
    Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 8
    Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115); Under
    Game 973-774: Toronto at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Happ) 14.271; Minnesota (Correia) 15.753
    Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 9
    Vegas Line: Minnesota (-120); 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120); Over
    Game 975-976: Texas at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Holland) 16.290; LA Angels (Richards) 14.937
    Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 7
    Vegas Line: Texas (-130); 8
    Dunkel Pick: Texas (-130); Under
    Game 977-978: Tampa Bay at Seattle (9:10 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 14.538; Seattle (Paxton) 15.632
    Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 8
    Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-155); 7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+135); Over
    Game 979-980: NY Mets at Cleveland (8:05 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 15.867; Cleveland (Kluber) 14.973
    Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7
    Vegas Line: Cleveland (-160); 8
    Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+140); Under

  12. #72
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    Mitch Wilson

    BYU +7

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    The Winning Prescription - Marcus Langdon
    Saturday 9/7 - (6-4 YTD)

    FLORIDA -3
    OKLAHOMA ST -27.5
    BOWLING GREEN -6.5
    MID TENN ST @ NORTH CAROLINA U65.5
    SAN DIEGO ST +28
    DUKE -4
    WEST VIRGINIA +21
    SAM HOUSTON ST +37

    UTEP -6.5 (Best Bet)

  14. #74
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    Baseball Crusher
    Miami Marlins +105 over Washington Nats
    (System Record: 74-7, lost last game)
    Overall Record: 74-80-2

    Football Crusher
    Miami FL +3 over Florida
    (System Record: 9-0, lost last game)
    Overall Record: 9-7

    Soccer Crusher
    Ponta Preta SP + Internacional UNDER 2.5
    This match is happening in Brazil
    Chapecoense + BkofAma UNDER 3 - Brazil (pending)
    (System Record: 450-15, won last game)
    Overall Record: 450-390-59

  15. #75
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    Jim Fiest

    Elite Western Ky + 14

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    Donahue Sports Ball St -8

  17. #77
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    StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

    CFB UTAH ST at AIR FORCE

    Play Against - Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (UTAH ST) in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 3 or more straight wins
    41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
    0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.1 units )

    CFB UTAH ST at AIR FORCE

    Play On - A road team vs. the money line (UTAH ST) first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season strong with 3 or more straight wins, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season
    41-17 since 1997. ( 70.7% 0.0 units )
    2-2 this year. ( 50.0% 0.0 units )

  18. #78
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    Inside The Press Box/Phil Steele

    CFB BEST BETS

    Air Force
    Tulane
    Texas
    Penn St.
    USC

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    NASCAR Concludes Regular Season Saturday Night
    By: Brian Graham

    NASCAR Sprint Cup Series
    Federated Auto Parts 400

    Saturday, September 7 – 7:00 p.m. EDT
    Richmond International Raceway – Richmond, VA
    The last race before the Chase for the Cup takes place Saturday night in Richmond, the third straight night race for the NASCAR circuit. Seven different drivers will secure a spot in the Chase with a win in this race -- Dale Earnhardt Jr., Joey Logano, Greg Biffle, Kurt Busch, Jeff Gordon, Martin Truex Jr. and Ryan Newman. Defending points champion Brad Keselowski, Jamie McMurray and Paul Menard are all still mathematically alive for a berth in the NASCAR playoffs. Richmond International Raceway is a 0.75-mile short track built as a D-shaped oval with varying degrees of banking from 2 to 14.

    Odds to Win Race

    Driver Odds
    Kyle Busch 5-to-1
    Matt Kenseth 7-to-1
    Brad Keselowski 7-to-1
    Jimmie Johnson 7-to-1
    Kasey Kahne 8-to-1
    Jeff Gordon 10-to-1
    Kevin Harvick 12-to-1
    Denny Hamlin 12-to-1
    Clint Bowyer 12-to-1
    Kurt Busch 15-to-1
    Dale Earnhardt Jr. 15-to-1
    Joey Logano 18-to-1
    Carl Edwards 18-to-1
    Martin Truex Jr. 20-to-1
    Brian Vickers 25-to-1
    Greg Biffle 30-to-1
    Ryan Newman 40-to-1
    Mark Martin 60-to-1
    Juan Montoya 60-to-1
    Jamie McMurray 75-to-1
    Jeff Burton 100-to-1
    Aric Almirola 100-to-1
    Danica Patrick 100-to-1
    Paul Menard 100-to-1
    A.J. Allmendinger 100-to-1
    Marcos Ambrose 100-to-1
    Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 100-to-1
    FIELD (Any other driver) 100-to-1

    Drivers to Watch

    Kyle Busch (5/1) - Although he's the favorite, how can you not put a wager on Busch at this short track? In his past nine starts in Richmond, he has four wins, two runner-ups, a 5th-place finish and a 6th-place finish. In total, Busch has top-5 finishes in 12-of-17 (71%) career starts at Richmond, and 28 career top-5's in 52 starts on short tracks. He’s also been racing extremely well heading into racing's second season with two wins in his past four starts and top-8 showings in eight of his past 13 races. The payoff isn’t too exciting, but the smart play on Saturday night is definitely the No. 18 car.

    Clint Bowyer (12/1) - The defending champion of this fall race has already clinched a spot in the Chase, so he'll go all out to win at this track for the third time since 2008. Bowyer also finished second at this track in April, marking his sixth top-7 finish in his past eight Richmond races and lowering his career average finish to 9.1 at this venue. His average finish this season has been 11.8 thanks to 11 top-6 showings, five of which have occurred in his past 10 races. With double-digit odds, Bowyer is certainly worthy of a sizable wager here.

    Jeff Gordon (10/1) - One of many desperate drivers, Gordon also needs this win for a shot at making 2013 a meaningful campaign. He has put himself in this position with four strong finishes in his past six starts -- 7th at Brickyard, 2nd at Pocono, 7th at Bristol and 2nd at Atlanta last week. Although Gordon hasn’t won at Richmond since 2000, he’s been awfully close recently with a pair of runner-ups and two third-place showings in his past eight starts on this track. Gordon's odds are favorable enough to justify a small wager here.

    Martin Truex Jr. (20/1) - Truex Jr. continues his late-season surge, banging out four top-3's in his past 11 starts despite crashing twice during this span. One of those came last week in Atlanta. Although Truex has never won on a short track, he does have five career top-5 finishes at this length. His Richmond history isn't checkered with much success, but three straight starts of ninth or better is at least something to build on. He also tested on this track, which can only improve his chances. Don’t wager more than a unit on this darkhorse, but increasing that unit 20 times is not too shabby of a payoff.

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    NASCAR Betting Federated Auto Parts 400 Preview

    Richmond International Raceway will play host to a nerve-wracking Federated Auto Parts 400. There are plenty of talented drivers yet to qualify for the Chase, but not enough spots for all of them.

    Here is our betting preview.

    Favorite: Kyle Busch (5-1)

    Kyle has raced extremely well at Richmond winning four times in 17 starts at the .75 mile oval track. Busch, who is fifth in the standings, won last week in Atlanta and a victory at Richmond would tie him for the top Chase seed.

    Live dog: Martin Truex, Jr. (20-1)

    Truex, Jr. will need to put in a strong performance to qualify for the Chase and a victory Saturday would basically see the New Jersey native advance. Truex finished 17th at Richmond earlier in the year after starting ninth in the grid. The track has traditionally gotten the best of him as he has an average finish of 23.3 over the past five years there, but he'll be gunning for a solid result as he looks to get to the playoffs.

    Long shot: Ryan Newman (40-1)

    Newman has fared well at Richmond posting five top-10 results and one top-five over the past five seasons. He's maintained composure as he still looks for a home in 2014 (though he's expected to move to the No. 31 Caterpillar car). Newman won at the Brickyard 400, so a victory here would give him claim to at least a wildcard position.

    Key stat: Kevin Harvick, who won the Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond back in April, has started 25 races at the track and has yet to record a DNF.

    Weather: Forecasts are calling for clear conditions and temperatures in the mid-70s.

    Notable quotable:

    "Well, after last year, this is going to be easy. We went through so much last year that I think it allows us to be more relaxed, be more prepared knowing that you got to race as hard as you can until the final lap. I think the way (last year) prepared us was knowing no matter what happens, you can't ever give up. You just have to put every bit of effort into every single moment, every lap. If the car's off, you've got to work on it. Sometimes take big swings at it. If your car's perfect, don't get complacent." Jeff Gordon on the pressure of battling for a Chase spot.

    Odds to win the Federated Auto Parts 400:

    Kyle Busch 5-1
    Jimmie Johnson 6-1
    Brad Keselowski 7-1
    Matt Kenseth 7-1
    Kasey Kahne 8-1
    Jeff Gordon 10-1
    Denny Hamlin 12-1
    Clint Bowyer 12-1
    Kevin Harvick 12-1
    Kurt Busch 15-1
    Dale Earnhardt Jr. 15-1
    Carl Edwards 18-1
    Joey Logano 18-1
    Martin Truex Jr. 20-1
    Brian Vickers 25-1
    Greg Biffle 30-1
    Ryan Newman 40-1
    Mark Martin 60-1
    Juan Montoya 60-1
    Jamie McMurray 75-1
    Paul Menard 100-1
    A.J. Allmendinger 100-1
    Danica Patrick 100-1
    Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 100-1
    Marcos Ambrose 100-1
    Aric Almirola 100-1
    Jeff Burton 100-1
    Field ( Any Other Driver ) 100-1

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