TUF 18 Finale

[SPX]

+200

[Luke]

+200

I doubt it will be that high. Think you'll be lucky to get +130.......but I could be wrong

[SPX]

If that's the odds I'll probably be on DJ.

[poopoo333]

Just bet the fight to go the distance at whatever

[Luke]

If that's the odds I'll probably be on DJ.

They can't both win the fight. Either you like Mighty Mouse or Benavidez

[edman5555]

You can bet the favorite and the underdog with points.

[SPX]

They can't both win the fight. Either you like Mighty Mouse or Benavidez

Value bro. It's called value.

[poopoo333]

I'll be betting DJ. At any odds.

[Luke]

Value bro. It's called value.

Value is another word for "I like losing money."

[SPX]

Value is another word for "I like losing money."

Well it's like this:

I favor DJ to win. At even odds, I would bet him. Because I favor him. But Benavidez has been looking great lately and it wouldn't shock me at all if he pulled it out. So if I could get a good enough return on my money, he'd be worth the bet I think.

[SPX]

I'll be betting DJ. At any odds.

-1000

[Luke]

Value is completely overrated in combat sports. Most of the time you could set up two fighters to fight ten times and the same guy will win all ten times. There is value in other sports, though. If the Jags are getting 50 points against the Broncos or UTEP is getting 80 against Bama, there's value. That's because teams rarely ever win by 50 in the NFL or 80 in college. If you set up Cain vs Rothwell Cain will win 100 out of 100 times unless there's a one in a million freak accident, so even if you were getting Rothwell at +5000 there's no value .

[Mr. IWS]

Value is completely overrated in combat sports. Most of the time you could set up two fighters to fight ten times and the same guy will win all ten times. There is value in other sports, though. If the Jags are getting 50 points against the Broncos or UTEP is getting 80 against Bama, there's value. That's because teams rarely ever win by 50 in the NFL or 80 in college. If you set up Cain vs Rothwell Cain will win 100 out of 100 times unless there's a one in a million freak accident, so even if you were getting Rothwell at +5000 there's no value .

But what if I was on the ride side betting Rothwell?

[Luke]

But what if I was on the ride side betting Rothwell?

BOL!!!!









reported

[SPX]

Value is completely overrated in combat sports. Most of the time you could set up two fighters to fight ten times and the same guy will win all ten times. There is value in other sports, though. If the Jags are getting 50 points against the Broncos or UTEP is getting 80 against Bama, there's value. That's because teams rarely ever win by 50 in the NFL or 80 in college. If you set up Cain vs Rothwell Cain will win 100 out of 100 times unless there's a one in a million freak accident, so even if you were getting Rothwell at +5000 there's no value .

Yeah, but not every fight is that lopsided. If you could get +220 on a fighter and you think he has a 50% chance of winning, you wouldn't bet it or say there's value there?

[Luke]

Yeah, but not every fight is that lopsided. If you could get +220 on a fighter and you think he has a 50% chance of winning, you wouldn't bet it or say there's value there?

Nope. I don't bet a fighter unless I expect him to win

[poopoo333]

I agree with Luke. Which sucks, because he should kill himself

[Luke]

I agree with Luke. Which sucks, because he should kill himself

That's an awful thing to say to someone who won you 500 dollars on Monday.

[SPX]

Nope. I don't bet a fighter unless I expect him to win

Well I have to think you're leaving money on the table then.

[edman5555]

Some people take the approach of betting for value but i think there is too much variance in it.