9-14-13

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Dave Essler

3* Duke

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Today's MLB Picks

Kansas City at Detroit

The Royals look to build on their 4-1 record in Ervin Santana's last 5 starts against a team with a winning record. Kansas City is the pick (+135) according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+135). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 14 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.774; Milwaukee (Hellweg) 15.830 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-180); 8 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+160); Over

Game 903-904: Miami at NY Mets (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Alvarez) 14.645; NY Mets (Matsuzaka) 13.801 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Miami (-115); 8 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-115); Under

Game 905-906: Miami at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Turner) 14.374; NY Mets (Torres) 13.462 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 9 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (+115); Over

Game 907-908: Philadelphia at Washington (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.672; Washington (Gonzalez) 16.931 Dunkel Line: Washington by 2 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Washington (-150); 7 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-150); Under

Game 909-910: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Baker) 14.993; Pittsburgh (Cole) 14.660 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-185); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+165); Under

Game 911-912: San Diego at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Erlin) 14.720; Atlanta (Medlen) 16.277 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-190); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-190); Over

Game 913-914: Colorado at Arizona (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Oswalt) 13.804; Arizona (Miley) 15.285 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Arizona (-180); 9 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-180); Under

Game 915-916: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.779; LA Dodgers (Nolasco) 14.817 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 8 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+145); Over

Game 917-918: Baltimore at Toronto (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 14.797; Toronto (Rogers) 15.850 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Baltimore (-155); 9 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+135); Over

Game 919-920: NY Yankees at Boston (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.432; Boston (Lester) 17.062 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Boston (-165); 9 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-165); Under

Game 921-922: Oakland at Texas (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Colon) 14.518; Texas (Darvish) 16.199 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Texas (-160); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-160); Under

Game 923-924: Kansas City at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Santana) 15.522; Detroit (Fister) 14.588 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Detroit (-155); 8 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+135); Over

Game 925-926: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Jimenez) 15.675; White Sox (Rienzo) 14.173 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Cleveland (-155); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-155); Over

Game 927-928: LA Angels at Houston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 15.772; Houston (Oberholtzer) 16.662 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 7 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 8 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+140); Under

Game 929-930: Tampa Bay at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Moore) 15.376; Minnesota (Albers) 13.934 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-175); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-175); Under

Game 931-932: Seattle at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Paxton) 15.361; St. Louis (Wacha) 14.808 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-240); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+200); Over

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WNBA Basketball Picks

Tulsa at Seattle

The Shock look to take advantage of a Seattle team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Western Conference opponents. Tulsa is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 14 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 651-652: Chicago at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 114.967; Minnesota 125.125 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 10; 153 Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 8; 160 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-8); Under

Game 653-654: Tulsa at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 112.237; Seattle 112.670 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 152 Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 4 1/2; 144 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+4 1/2); Over

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Today's CFL Picks

Toronto at Saskatchewan

The Roughriders look to build on their 9-3 ATS record in their last 12 games in September. Saskatchewan is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-8). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 14 Time Posted: 8:00 p.m. EST (9/12)

Game 293-294: Winnipeg at Edmonton (6:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 107.448; Edmonton 109.952 Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 2 1/2; 58 Vegas Line: Edmonton by 4 1/2; 53 Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+4 1/2); Over

Game 295-296: Toronto at Saskatchewan (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 109.193; Saskatchewan 120.227 Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 11; 59 Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 8; 54 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-8); Over

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Essential Betting Tidbits for Week 3 of College Football

We dug up these vital betting tidbits for Saturday's early college football action that will help you make the right call before kickoff.

-Some big line moves for the 12 p.m. ET games as of late Friday morning:
Tulsa-Oklahoma -27 to -24.5
Stanford-Army +27.5 to +30
UCLA -Nebraska -7.5 to -3.5
Georgia State-West Virginia -37 to -40
Louisville-Kentucky +10 to +14
Akron-Michigan -35.5 to 37.

-More special teams gaffes from Tulsa last week. Fumble on a punt return, two missed field goals from short range (a problem going back to last season), and a punt return TD against. This has become a key betting factor for Tulsa games. +24.5 at Oklahoma.

-Virginia Tech easily beat FCS Western Carolina last week but QB Logan Thomas had 5 pass progression errors in the game. Not good considering Thomas, who loves to run, has had his had his running plays limited this season. -7.5 at ECU

-Blake Bell will start at QB in place of the injured Trevor Knight. This could actually be a good thing for the Sooners after Knight struggled with passing accuracy against West Virginia (10-of-20).

-The average weight of Stanford's offensive line outweighs Army's defensive line by 70 pounds. The defensive line outweighs the Black Knights' O-line by 40 pounds on average. Stanford +30 at Army.

-Stanford has 25 straight games with at least one takeway, longest streak in the nation.

-Keep in mind it could feel like 9 a.m. (Pacific Time) to the Cardinal when they play Army Saturday at noon ET at West Point.

-Seven players on Nebraska's front seven have made their college debuts over the past two weeks. They're in tough against a UCLA team that put up 653 yards on the Huskers last year. Nebraska -3.5

-UCLA has the No. 3 offense in the country so far with 647 yards per game.

-Kentucky freshman wide receiver Ryan Timmons told Kentucky.com he expects a high-scoring game against Louisville on Saturday. The total was at 60 late Friday afternoon.

-Brady Hoke has doughnuts coming for the first 5,000 students to go to the game vs. Akron on Saturday. He calls noon games "doughnut games" because he used to buy a doughnut before he played football at that time as a youth player. He says the Wolverines love these games. Michigan is -37.

-Bowling Green is one of 18 FBS teams who have started the year at 2-0 ATS. +3 at Indiana.

-You might want to look at first half wagers for Oregon this season. "Oregon has an FBS-high 60 TD drives that lasted 2 minutes or less since the start of last season. 40 of those 60 came in the first half" according to ESPN's stats & info.

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB TAMPA BAY at MINNESOTA

Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TAMPA BAY) poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL
144-52 since 1997. ( 73.5% 57.2 units )
15-8 this year. ( 65.2% 0.8 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB CLEVELAND at CHI WHITE SOX

CLEVELAND is 31-14 (+18.0 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.

The average score was: CLEVELAND (5.6) , OPPONENT (4.0)

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA TULSA at SEATTLE

Play On - Home teams (SEATTLE) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games
113-61 since 1997. ( 64.9% 45.9 units )
8-4 this year. ( 66.7% 3.6 units )

WNBA TULSA at SEATTLE

Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (SEATTLE) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
128-59 since 1997. ( 68.4% 0.0 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% 0.0 units )

WNBA TULSA at SEATTLE

Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points good free throw shooting team - making >=76% of their free throws
294-183 since 1997. ( 61.6% 92.7 units )
20-12 this year. ( 62.5% 6.8 units )

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Sharpwins

CFB
UL Monroe +3 over Wake Forest
The game kicks off at 12:30pmET.

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Jeff white

Bama/ A&M under 62 1u
Oregon-27 1u
Game of week 2u under 51 Vandy/SCarolina

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"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee lost on Friday with the Diamondbacks -$150/Rockies.

For Saturday "Mr Chalk" likes two the Braves -$185/Padres and the Dodgers -$165/Giants both for $100.

"Mr Chalk" is 5-2 -$10 for the week and 95-58 +$567 for the 2013 MLB season.


For Saturday Ben lee (Ecks and Bacon) likes

*Arizona St -5/Wisconsin (Best Bet)

Illinois +10.5/Washington

Texas A&M +8.5/Alabama


For Saturday's fight between Saul Alvarez/Floyd Mayweather Ben lee likes under 11.5 rounds +$250 for $50.

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ROCKY WINNERS CIRCLE NEWSLETER

CFB BEST BET
WESTERN KENTUCKY –10 at South ALABAMA
If it wasn’t for bad luck last week, Western would have had none at all in their loss at
Tennessee last weekend, turning the ball over in 5 consecutive snaps from center, in a
scenario you couldn’t even begin to “make up”….and that doesn’t count their turnover
going in from the UT 3 yard line either—7 turnovers in all. Won’t happen this week
against a South Alabama team that gave up 39 points to Tulane last weekend, they
just don’t have the talent or athletes to keep this competitive for long. This one could
and should be covered by halftime.—call this one WESTERN KENTUCKY 40-17

Teaser
SO CAROLINA –2.5
USC –3
OREGON –15
ILLINOIS +21
VIKINGS +17
UCLA +15

* NEWSLETTER GAME OF THE WEEK
OREGON –25 over TENNESSEE
so why buck an offensive juggernaut against an offensive tinderbox that needed WK
last week to shoot themselves in the foot 7 times in order to pull away and win?
Tennessee not close to being in the same class as these DUCKS and so what if UT is
from the SEC? Big deal, so what. Can’t compare apples and oranges and no way can
Volunteer defense slow down the QUACK ATTACK, let alone travel a couple of time
zones over to the West Coast for a rare appearance, and are going to be up against
it vs an Oregon team looking to make a severe statement against the hyped up SEC.
Lay the lumber as Oregon won’t take foot off gas pedal in this affair.
OREGON ROLLS HERE 55-13

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INSIDE THE PRESS BOX / PHIL STEELE

BEST BETS

Louisville
Maryland
Ohio St.
LSU

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Confidential
Kick-Off
11 STANFORD over *Army
Late Score Forecast:
STANFORD 52 - *Army 9
(Saturday, September 14)

10 BOSTON COLLEGE over
*Southern Cal
Late Score Forecast:
BOSTON COLLEGE 17 -
*Southern Cal 19
(Saturday, September 14)

10 BALL STATE over *North Texas
Late Score Forecast:
BALL STATE 40 - *North Texas 27
(Saturday, September 14)

10 *RICE over Kansas
Late Score Forecast:
*RICE 36 - Kansas 23
(Saturday, September 14)

10 *ARIZONA over Detroit
Late Score Forecast:
*ARIZONA 34 - Detroit 23

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POWERSWEEP KEY SELECTIONS

4* Louisville over KENTUCKY
FORECAST: Louisville by 21 over KENTUCKY

3* AUBURN over Miss St
FORECAST: AUBURN by 13 over Miss St.

3* Alabama over TEXAS A&M
FORECAST: Alabama by 16 over TEXAS A&M

OTHER SELECTIONS

2* KANSAS ST over UMass
FORECAST: KANSAS ST by 45 over UMass

2* Western Michigan (+) over NORTHWESTERN
FORECAST: Western Michigan (+) NORTHWESTERN by 21

UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE WEEK
NEW MEXICO ST (+6') over UTEP
FORECAST: NEW MEXICO ST by 1 over Utep

TECHNICAL PLAY OF THE WEEK..........AUBURN
REVENGE PLAY OF THE WEEK.............ALABAMA
SITUATIONAL PLAY OF THE WEEK.......FLORIDA ST.

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LINE CHANGERS

CFB

Utah -3 (5 UNITS)

Ga Tech -8 (3 UNITS)

MLB

Orioles (3 UNITS)

Angels (3 UNITS)

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Mike Missanelli:
Rice

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BOB BALFE

CFB
Ole Miss +3 over Texas

QB David Ash is out for Texas and this is not a good defensive football team. Rumors are swirling that Mac Brown is on his way out of town after this season. Ole Miss has paid their dues in the SEC and are a team to be reckoned with. There is no flaws on this football team and they have size and power on offense. Texas is yesterdays news and needs to rebuild. Take Ole Miss

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Sean Higgs

Bowling Green vs. Indiana (NCAAF) - Sep 14, 2013 12:00 PM EDT
Premium Play
Play Title 4* Money-Maker
Play Selected Point Spread: 3.0/-110
Taking BOWLING GREEN here. I like this bunch. I think they can win the MAC. They have 18 returning starters. This is a big game for them. Last year they went on the road and faced Florida in week 1 and lost 27-14. They won't be intimidated coming here. This is football, not hoops! They have a gimme on deck vs Murray State so you know they will focused here. Indiana on the other hand has a SEC clash with Missouri up next. Will grab the small dog here. 4* Money-Maker BOWLING GREEN

New Mexico vs. Pittsburgh (NCAAF) - Sep 14, 2013 12:30 PM EDT
Premium Play
Play Title 4* Money-Maker
Play Selected Point Spread: -21.5/-110
Taking PITT here. Last time we saw the Panthers they were being picked apart on ESPN by Florida State. They have had an awful long time to prepare for this battle. I am sure they will be looking to wipe that taste out of their mouth. This is a hefty number, but I have zero confidence in New Mexico crossing time zones. 4* Money-Maker PITT PANTHERS

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From This Week's BEST BETS
STATFOX BRIAN

LOUISVILLE (117) AT KENTUCKY (118)
Latest Line: Louisville -13.5; Total: 60.5

I realize that Louisville doesn't always blow out inferior opponents, but I can't overlook the fact that Kentucky is 0-9 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points in the past three seasons. Also, Cardinals head coach Charlie Strong is 12-4 ATS (75%) on the road and 8-1 ATS (89%) following an ATS loss since coming to Louisville. His quarterback, Teddy Bridgewater, has been dominant this year (46-of-60, 752 yds, 9 TD, 1 INT) and completed 19-of-21 passes versus Kentucky last season. Also, Strong is well aware that his team plays such a soft schedule, that to be in the national title discussion, he needs to run up the score all year to impress the pollsters. Louisville wins by 30 on Saturday.
PLAY ON: LOUISVILLE -14

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9X Sports

12:00PM
Juventus+106
(Italy Soccer) Side

3:30PM
Florida State @ Nevada - OVER 64.5
(NCAA Football) Total

7:10PM
LA Angels @ Houston - OVER 8
(MLB) Total

10:05PM
Seattle Storm-4.5
(WNBA) Side

10:00PM
Elvis Mutapcic-110
(World Series Fighting) Side

Bonkman's Play of the Day (NCAA Football) 7:30PM MARYLAND-6.5