-
Joe Gavazzi
NFL MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Pittsburgh at Cincinatti (-7/40-) 8:40 ET ESPN
5* Pittsburgh
Cincinnati had a strong second half last year with a 7-1 SU ATS season. It was fueled in part by significant defensive improvement that saw the Bengals allow just 13 PPG. It led to a consecutive playoff appearance and a 19-13 loss at Houston. With great year over year continuity in their roster, much was expected from the Bengals in their 11th year under HC Lewis. When the Bengals led the Bears in the 2d half of last weeks game, it looked like the pundits were correct. But the Bengals got caught reading their press clippings, and lost that game 24-21. Now, after blowing the 21-10 3d quarter lead last week, they return home in a bad historical role. Under Lewis, the Bengals are 29-42 ATS/L and 33-46 ATS at home. They have had little success against the Steelers on this field under Lewis. In fact, Cincinnati is 1-11 ATS at this site. What is unique about todays line is that the Steelers were the favorite at this site each of the last 6 years. You can see from the huge line adjustment that the Steelers ineptitude of late has been well adjusted. Last week, Pittsburgh hit the nadir of their discontent in a rare home opener loss. This proud franchise did not score an offensive TD for the first 59 minutes of the contest. The resulting 16-9 loss showed Pittsburgh to be outrushed 42/112 to 15/32 with a -2 TO margin. It dropped the Steelers record since the midpoint of 2012 to 2-10 SU ATS (including the collar in preseason play this year). The Steelers ineptitude at the point of attack pointed out continuing failings in their OL. Injury was added to insult with the loss of All-Pro (C) Pouncey. He has been replaced on the roster with Fernando Volasco, an NFL veteran, most recently with Tennessee, who is expected to provide a measure of stability for the young OL. Also lost, in last weeks fray, was (LB) Foote, the defensive signal caller. He will be replaced by inexperienced Kion Wilson. RB Dwyer, last years leading rusher who was cut just prior to the season, has been recalled to replace the injured Stephens-Howling. Those are all new players who need to be integrated into their respective positions which could well take time to show a flow on both the offensive and defensive side of the ball. As if the Steelers do not have enough motivation from last weeks embarrassing home opener, consider that late last season they lost on their home field to Cincinnati 22-13, a defeat that knocked them out of the playoffs. It sure would have been nice if the Bengals had held on for the victory last week. But the huge line adjustment combines with the history and emotional motivation of the Steelers to take this one to the final whistle. Contrary call with great line value on Pittsburgh.
-
Harry Bondi Free pick
NFL
OVER 40.5
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
8:40 p.m. ET
Coming off a pair of nice FREE WINNERS this weekend lets go against the public tonight and GO OVER the total in the Monday Night Game. Pittsburgh is incredibly banged-up and has no running game so its only chance in this one is to let Big Ben throw it early and often. That will slow up the clock and lead to a lot of possessions and scoring opportunities for both teams. Steelers have absolutely owned Cincinnati in this series of late but the shoe is on the other foot this year. Bengals have the better team and will try to put as many points on the board as possible to embarrass their division rival. Paybacks a bitch. Go over.
-
Bankroll Sports
2* Texas Rangers +120
-
LT Lock
Steelers/Bengals OVER 41
-
Dave Price
Pittsburgh Steelers +7
-
Umpire UNDER streakers
Guccione 6-0-1 L7 (DET/SEA)
Nauert 9-0-1 L10 (PHI/MIA)
-
From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER
PITTSBURGH (223) AT CINCINNATI (224)
Latest Line: Bengals -6.5; Total: 40.5
The Steelers and Bengals are both eager to erase Week 1 losses when they collide Monday night. Not only did Pittsburgh fall 16-9 at home versus the Titans, but it lost three key players to season-ending injuries -- ILB Larry Foote, C Maurkice Pouncey and RB/KR La'Rod Stephens-Howling. Cincinnati escaped Chicago without major injuries but also without a victory despite an 11-point lead late in the third quarter. Bengals WR A.J. Green had 162 receiving yards and 2 TD in the loss. Green also caught 10 passes for 116 yards at Pittsburgh on Dec. 23, helping his team stop a five-game losing skid (SU and ATS) in this series.
FORECASTER: Bengals 18, Steelers 16
-
Hank Goldberg
Cincy 24
Pitt 10
-
Seabass Report for Monday;
50 Angels
50 Texas
50 OVER Tigers
100 Steelers
-
Sports bank
400 - over 40.5
-
WAYNE ROOT
Millionaire pittsburgh
-
-
Al DeMarco
15 Dime Run Line Lock of the Month!
Phillies RL-1.5
-
Vegas Runner
MLB Confirmed TRUE Steam=
UNDER - MIA/PHI
CUBS
RANGERS
No opinions on those but will have some "leans"
MLB Confirmed TRUE Steam/Leans=
OVER - LAD/ARZ
INDIANS
hese I do agree with and will add them to exotics w/ Premiums.
-
BookBreakers
Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+168)
Cleveland Indians vs Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians (+137)
Los Angeles Angels vs Oakland Athletics
Oakland Athletics -1.5 (+160)
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals -7 (+110)
-
9X Sports
Arizona Dimondbacks
Pittsburgh +6.5
-
Vegas Runner
MLB Steam PROPS
STRAIGHT BET
TOTAL u3½-120 RUNS-RAYS
( M GARZA -R / A COBB -R )
MLB Steam PROPS
STRAIGHT BET
TOTAL o5-130 RUNS-TIGERS
(J SAUNDERS-L / R PORCELLO-R)
-
-
-
Posting Permissions
- You may not post new threads
- You may not post replies
- You may not post attachments
- You may not edit your posts
-
Forum Rules
Reply With Quote