9-21-13

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College football betting weather report: Saturday's forecasts

Find out how weather will impact your college football bets for Saturday's matchups:

Toledo Rockets at Central Michigan Chippewas (+13, 56.5)

Temperatures will be in the high-50s but there is a 40 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

North Carolina Tar Heels at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-6.5, 58.5)

Temperatures will be in the low-70s, but there is a 100 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms.

Florida A&M Rattlers at Ohio State Buckeyes (-50, OFF)

Fans should expect a 55 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the high-60s.

Marshall Thundering Herd at Virginia Tech Hokies (-10, 51.5)

Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with a 95 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms.

North Texas Mean Green at Georgia Bulldogs (-33.5, 67)

Fans at Sanford Stadium will see temperatures in the mid-70s, but with a 95 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms.

Pittsburgh Panthers at Duke Blue Devils (+3.5, 50.5)

The forecast calls for temperatures in the low-70s with a 55 percent chance of showers.

Ball State Cardinals at Eastern Michigan Eagles (+9.5, 57.5)

Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with a 30 percent chance of showers and wind blowing diagonally from north to south at 12 mph.

Northwestern State Demons at UAB Blazers (-15.5, OFF)

Fans at Legion Field face a 100 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms with temperatures in the low-70s.

Idaho State Bengals at Washington Huskies (-49.5, OFF)

Temperatures at Husky Stadium will be in the low-60s with a 60 percent chance of showers

Murray State Racers at Bowling Green Falcons (-26, OFF)

There is a 25 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms with temperatures expected to be in the mid-60s. Wind will blow diagonally from the northwest end of the field at 11 mph.

Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators (-15, 47)

Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 30 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms.

West Virginia Mountaineers at Maryland Terrapins (-5, 53)

Fans at M&T Bank Stadium face a 90 percent chance of showers with temperatures in the low-80s.

Kent State Golden Flashes at Penn State Nittany Lions (-22, 54)

There is a 100 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms at Beaver Stadium with temperatures in the low-60s and wind blowing diagonally across the field at 11 mph.

Arkansas Razorbacks at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-2.5, 44)

Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with a 30 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms.

VMI Keydets at Virginia Cavaliers (-44, OFF)

Fans face a 90 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms with temperatures expected to be in the low-70s.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at Baylor Bears (-30.5, 75)

Temperatures at Floyd Casey Stadium will be in the mid-80s with a 20 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms and wind blowing diagonally out of the northeast at 10 mph.

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at Florida State Seminoles (-39.5, OFF)

The forecast calls for temperatures in the mid-80s with a 60 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms.

Colorado State Rams at Alabama Crimson Tide (-39, 51)

Temperatures will be in the low-70s with persistent rain expected to fall throughout the game.

SMU Mustangs at Texas A&M Aggies (-28.5, 78)

Temperatures at College Station are expected to be in the mid-70s with a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms tapering off throughout the night.

Arizona State Sun Devils at Stanford Cardinal (-5.5, 51.5)

There is a 40 percent chance of showers at Stanford Stadium with temperatures in the high-60s and wind blowing across the field from west to east at 10 mph.

Troy Trojans at Mississippi State Bulldogs (-13.5, 61)

Temperatures at Scott Field will be in the low-70s with a 40 percent chance of showers.

Auburn Tigers at LSU Tigers (-16.5, 55)

Fans at LSU Tiger Stadium face a 100 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms and temperatures in the mid-70s.

Michigan Wolverines at Connecticut Huskies (+18.5, 51)

There is a 40 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms with temperatures in the low-60s and wind blowing across the width of the field at 10 mph.

Utah Utes at BYU Cougars (-6.5, 62)

Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with a 20 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms and wind blowing from north to south at 13 mph.

Idaho Vandals at Washington State Cougars (-31, 58.5)

Fans at Martin Stadium will be treated to temperatures in the low-50s and a 20 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms.

** Odds and weather forecast as of 7:10 p.m. ET Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Essential betting tidbits for Week 4 of college football

We dug up these vital betting tidbits for some of Saturday's college football action that will help you make the right call before kickoff.

- The North Carolina Tar Heels and Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets played in the highest scoring game in ACC history last November. The Jackets won 68-50 and the teams combined for 1,085 yards of total offense and 16 touchdowns. Total is 59.5 for Saturday's matchup.

- The Florida International Golden Panthers are 0-3 and have been outscored 115-23 in the process. The Panthers travel to Papa John's Cardinal Stadium to face No. 6 Louisville and are 42-point underdogs.

- The UMass Minutemen have just 21 first downs on offense but have allowed 106 this season. The Minutemen are 31-point home dogs to Vanderbilt.

- The San Jose State Spartans will be without star-WR Noel Grigsby (10 rec, 106 yards, 2 TDs) who injured his knee at practice Wednesday and did not travel to Minnesota. The Spartans are 4-point dogs Saturday.

- The Virginia Tech Hokies are on a seven-game winning streak against Marshall. Hokies are 10-point home faves Saturday.

- The Toledo Rockets are 0-9 O/U in their previous nine games. Total is 56.5 at Central Michigan.

- The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against Florida Atlantic. Raiders are 3.5-point road faves Saturday.

- The Western Michigan Broncos face their third Big Ten program in four weeks as they travel to Iowa. They are 0-2 SU but 2-0 ATS having covered at Michigan State and at Northwestern. Iowa is a 16-point home fave.

- The Kansas Jayhawks are currently riding a 22 game losing streak against Bowl Subdivision schools. 10.5-point faves with Louisiana Tech in town Saturday.

- Army hosts the ACC's Wake Forest Demon Deacons Saturday. The Deacons are 5-0-1 O/U in their last six versus ACC opponents. Saturday's total is 49.5.

- The North Texas Mean Green have lost 34 straight games to ranked opponents. They are 33.5-point road dogs as the face No. 10 Georgia Saturday.

- After starting QB Anthony Boone broke his collarbone against Memphis on Sept. 7, Brandon Connette is back under center for the Duke Blue Devils. He was 15-of-28 for 122 yards in his first start one week ago, which was a 38-14 loss to Georgia Tech. Duke is a 3.5-point home dog with Pitt in town.

- Syracuse will give QB Terrel Hunt his first career start versus Tulane. Six of the Orange's last seven starting quarterbacks have lose their first game.

- Eastern Michigan will play host to Ball State Saturday. The Over is 4-0 in the previous four meetings and 6-1 in the last seven between the two schools. Total is 57.5 for this matchup.

- Houston WR Markeith Ambles will likely make his debut versus Rice Saturday. The WR transferred from Arizona Western Community College after beginning his career at USC. Houston is a 3-point fave.

- Michigan State is No. 12 in the country in points against (12.0). Spartans are 5-point road dogs at Notre Dame.

- The last time Kent State played Penn State was in 2010. Penn State's defense pitched a shutout in a 24-0 victory. Nittany Lions are 22-point home faves.

- Tennessee has not fared well in its recent meetings with Florida. The Volunteers are 1-4-1 ATS in the last six meetings with the Gators. Florida is a 16-point home fave.

- Wisconsin is No. 5 in the country averaging 337 rushing yards per game and Badgers RB Melvin Gordon is second in rushing yards with 477. The Purdue defense allowed Cincinnati to rumble for 221 rushing yards back in Week 1. Wisconsin is favored by 22 points at home.

- The Arkansas Razorbacks are tough down the stretch. They have outscored their first three opponents 21-0 and outgained them 308-78 in the fourth quarter. The Razorbacks are 2.5-point road dogs as they travel to Rutgers.

- Maryland is one of three teams in the country that has compiled 500-plus yards of total offense in the first three games of the season. The other two are Oregon and California. Maryland is a 5-point fave against rivals West Virginia.

- Utah State QB Chuckie Keeton is third in the country with a 78.1 completion percentage (82-of-105). Keeton has 12 TD passes and just one pick. Utah State is a 6.5-pont road underdog at USC Saturday.

- The Miami (Ohio) RedHawks are dead last in the nation with just 16 first downs. The RedHawks are 23-point home dogs with Cincinnati in town.

- Baylor defeated UL Monroe 47-42 last season. The Bears are 30.5-point faves and the total is 75 in this season's meeting.

- The Arkansas State Red Wolves have converted 26-of-47 third-down opportunities (55.3 percent), while Memphis has converted just 30.3 percent (10-of-33). Memphis is a 4-point home dog.

- The Akron Zips are 0-5 ATS and 1-4 SU in their last five home games. The Zips are 6-point home dogs with the UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns in town.

- The Arizona State Sun Devils have not fared well in recent trips to Stanford posting a 1-5 ATS mark in the last six meetings there. The Cardinal are 5.5-point home faves.

- The Texas A&M Aggies haven't lost a non-conference home game to a Texas school since 1954 (Texas Tech). -27.5 home faves with SMU in town Saturday.

- Alabama head coach Nick Saban faces his former offensive coordinator Jim McElwain who is the new head coach at Colorado State. Saban and the Tide are 39-point home faves.

- Texas State will have a tough test as they are away to Texas Tech Saturday. But the Bobcats are ranked No. 4 in the country allowing just 9.0 points against thus far. Tech is a 27.5-point home fave.

- San Diego State has lost 20 of its previous 21 games against the Pac-12. The Aztecs are 8-point home dogs as they host Oregon State.

- Troy's QB Corey Robinson is the NCAA's active leader is passing attempts, completions and yards. Troy is a 13.5-point road dog against Mississippi State Saturday.

- The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings between LSU and Auburn. LSU is a 16.5-point home favorite Saturday evening.

- UConn is expecting a record crowd at 40,000 capacity Rentschler Field as the Huskies play host to Michigan. UConn is an 18.5-point home dog.

- The Kansas State Wildcats are on the road to face the Texas Longhorns. The Wildcats are 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings and are 6.5-point road dogs Saturday.

- The Indiana Hoosiers average 50.0 points per game through their first three games and host the Missouri Tigers, who are averaging 48.0 ppg. The total is currently 71.

- The UTSA Roadrunners are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall and are 2.5-point road dogs at UTEP Saturday.

- Most shops opened the line in the Hawaii at Nevada game with Nevada as a 12.5-point favorite. That line has been coming down all week and is currently Nevada -7.

- It's an all Utah affair as BYU hosts Utah Saturday night. BYU is a 6.5-point home fave, but the underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

- Wyoming is one of nine programs to begin the season 3-0 ATS. The Cowboys are 4-point road faves at Air Force Saturday night.

- The UCLA Bruins have outscored their opponents 72-7 in the second half of their first two games. The Bruins are 42-point home faves against New Mexico State.

- The Idaho Vandals lead the country with eight fumbles lost. +31 at Washington State Saturday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Where the action is: Saturday's NCAAF line moves

There might not be as many marquee matchups on the college football Week 4 board but that doesn’t mean the action is any less intense. We talk to sportsbooks about the betting patterns, sharp and public money, and where they see the lines ending up come kickoff Saturday:

Kent State Golden Flashes at Penn State Nittany Lions – Open: -18.5, Move: -22

The Golden Flashes have a slew of injuries on defense and have allowed an average of 32 points per game so far this season. Some spots had this line opened as low as PSU -14 but with the public behind a rebounding Nittany Lions squad, this line has rocketed in favor of the home team.

“With the injuries to Kent State, it’s easy to see how the line has moved to (PSU),” Aron Black of Bet365.com tells Covers. “Money has been more Penn State, but luckily for us at higher numbers.”

North Carolina Tar Heels at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets – Open: -5, Move: -6.5

This ACC rivalry has seen one-sided money on the Yellow Jackets, according to Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag, who says 90 percent of the handle is riding on Georgia Tech.

“Tuesday, we got sharp action on the favorite, so we moved to the current number of -6.5,” says Perry.

Michigan State Spartans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish – Open: -7, Move: -4.5

The early action took this spread from a touchdown to as low as Notre Dame -4.5. The Spartans offense is still finding its stride but the Irish haven’t been able to turn away opponents in the first four weeks, allowing 259.3 passing yards per game.

“Money is split on this game, which is obviously one of the marquee games of the weekend, but as I’m sure it is the same with most places,” says Black. “Early money liked +7 and the later money is starting to come back on Notre Dame, leaving a possible middle or siding on this game for us.”

Colorado State Rams at Alabama Crimson Tide – Open: -41, Move: -39.5

A week after escaping College Station with a big win over Texas A&M, Alabama is giving a boat-load of points to the visiting Rams. Sharp money took the road team at the opening number and books have trimmed this spread under 40 with 55 percent of the action on CSU.

“Could be a case where (Alabama coach Nick) Saban calls off the dogs late in the fourth quarter against the Rams,” says Perry. “One of Saban's former disciples is CSU head coach Jim McElwain, who was offensive coordinator at Alabama from 2008-11.”

San Jose State Spartans at Minnesota Golden Gophers – Open: -5.5, Move: -3.5

Injuries to the Gophers’ skill players have bettors siding with SJSU coming to Big Ten Country. Minnesota QB Philip Nelson is questionable and RB Donnell Kirkwood is nursing an ankle injury, slowing down the Gophers’ ground game. That’s good news for the Spartans, who have allowed 197 yards rushing in a loss to Stanford.

“A loss at Stanford is no shame and this is a hard cross-country trip to follow that up,” says Black. “Sharp money likes San Jose State plus the points.”

Arizona State Sun Devils at Stanford Cardinal – Open: -9, Move: -6

The ultra-competitive Pac-12 headlines the late games Saturday, with money on Arizona State moving this spread past the key number of a touchdown and down to two field goals. According to Perry, 55 percent of the action is on the visiting Sun Devils.

“This is likely the game of day, and the sharps seem to like the dog,” says Perry. “The Cardinal opened -9 and wiseguy action came on Thursday to move the game to Cardinal -7.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookieshunter

3* purdue/wisconsin over 47.5 (total of the month)
3* maryland -4.5
2* missouri -1
2* wyoming -3.5
1* ga tech -6
1* arkansas st/memphis over 52.5
1* utsa -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Line Moves

Boise State +4

ULMonroe +28
Cincy -22
Wvirg +5.5
Utah State +6.5
Utah +7
Florida Atlantic +4
Iowa over 49.5
florida Under 47.5
eastern Michigan Over 55.5
stanford Under 51.5
San Diego State Under 54.5
UTEP Over 59.5
Wake Forest -2.5
Ball State -9.5
Nevanda -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOE GAVAZZI

CFB
North Texas at Georgia (-33) 12:20 ET
Horrible situation for home standing Georgia.
The Bulldogs have had 2 weeks to get fat after rebounding from the week 1 loss at Clemson with a 41-30 home victory over S. Carolina. Surely their focus has been on next week’s Marquee Matchup with LSU. Though the N. Texas offense will not be confused with either of Georgia’s first two opponents, it must be noted that the 3 RS on the Georgia defensive side of the ball have allowed 34 PPG and 461 YPG. Tough to lay this number in this situation against a veteran Mean Green team who has 17 RS and quality leader in 3rd year HC McCarthy. The Green will enter with great confidence. After trailing Ball St. at home 27-9 last week, the Green scored the last 25 points for a 34-27 victory. Technical support abounds. North Texas is 5-0 ATS taking 23 or more points of late, while Georgia HC Richt was 0-4 ATS laying 20 or more last year.

Pittsburgh (-4-) at Duke 12:30 ET
Following the MNF debacle against Florida St., the Panthers rebounded, with a week of rest, for a 49-27 win against outmanned New Mexico, a game they led 42-6. Now they must take to the road for their first ACC game. They won’t like the hospitality in Durham. This is a Blue Devil team that is changing for the better under 6th year HC Cutcliffe. No longer is this a Duke team who relies on the passing game to come through the back door for a cover. This year the Devils have one the most veteran OL’s in the nation resulting in an improved ground game that averages 187/4.4. Despite being torched by the GT Option last week, you will note that Duke is still firmly entrenched on our list of Defensive Dandies. QB Connette improving with each week as a replacement for QB Boone, must believe the wrong team is favored as we side with the better running game and defense as home underdog.

LA Monroe at Baylor (-29-) 4:00 ET FS1TV
Last year at this time, the Warhawks were taking the nation by storm with a 34-31 upset of Arkansas, a narrow 3 point loss at Auburn, and a 47-42 loss to this Baylor team, a game in which they outgained the Bears 560-549. With 17 RS, including QB Browning, and the reigning Sun Belt COY Todd Berry, LA Monroe is at it again. In the week 1 loss to Oklahoma, they were surprised by the Sooner ground game. Last week, however, they returned to upset form in outgaining Wake 424-315 in a 21-19 win as +3. Meanwhile, Baylor has blown the doors off Wofford and Buff to enter today averaging 70 PPG, 737 YPG and 9.7 YP play. The result is this week’s biggest -77 AFP DIFF favoring the Warhawks at a price that is 3 TDs more than opening week and 3 TDs more than last year. Lots of value with this big dog.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROBERT FERRINGO

SATURDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS

3-Unit Play. Take #316 Florida (-16.5) over Tennessee (3:30 p.m.)
Note: This is a KING System Play.
This is a really tough spot for the Volunteers. They had to travel to Oregon last week and take a 59-14 thrashing home with them. Now they are heading to Gainesville to face a rested Florida squad. The Gators have had to chew on their 21-16 upset loss to Miami for two full weeks. This team should be angry and motivated. And I expect a better offensive performance (although they can't get much worse). They actually outgained Miami by 200 yards in that game and were stymied by turnovers and penalties when it came time to get some points. Tennessee won't put nearly the same amount of defensive pressure on the Gators in this one. Florida has dominated this series lately, winning the last six meetings by an average of 19 points per game. Butch Jones is still sorting through a mess in Knoxville and this Vols team isn't that talented. Florida went up to Tennessee and hammered a better Vols team 37-20 last year on the road. I think they can do even better playing at home and facing a tired opponent.

3-Unit Play. Take #319 Pittsburgh (-3.5) over Duke (12:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)
Note: This is a KING System Play.
Duke is in for a long season. These guys climbed the mountaintop (for them) last year by making it to a bowl game. They had one of the most experienced teams in the country last year and now all those guys are gone, leaving a typical Duke team behind. That is not a good thing. The Blue Devils have been struggling in the passing game and they aren't going to outmuscle this Pittsburgh team. The Panthers aren't great. But these Big East teams that moved to the ACC are definitely underrated. Don't be fooled by the final score in their last game against New Mexico; Pitt was up 42-6 midway through the third quarter and gave up some garbage scores. Pitt has the advantage of a fifth-year player at quarterback in Tom Savage, and he really brings some stability to this offense. Paul Chryst is feeling more settled in his second year and the bottom line is that the Panthers just have a lot more talent to work with than Duke, and the Panthers will want to make up for their opening ACC loss (to FSU) with a win in their first ACC road game.

2-Unit Play. Take #333 North Carolina (+6.5) over Georgia Tech (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 21)
Note: This is a KING System Play.
This is a big game for North Carolina. And I think that they are up for it. Georgia Tech has gotten off to a nice start to the season. But they have also just faced Elon and Duke. The Tar Heels have lost four straight against the Jackets. But they had a bye week so they have had two weeks to prepare for Tech's option attack. UNC also saw the Jackets dominate Duke last week and I am sure that put a little motivation into them. That, on top of the revenge factor, should equal a competitive effort from the visitors here. Georgia Tech doesn't own a huge home field advantage playing in Atlanta. And they struggled in games against Miami and BYU at home last year. I mentioned Tech has won four straight in this series. But UNC had a lead at halftime before all hell broke loose in the third quarter with Tech scoring 30 points. The two games before that Tech won in the last few minutes. The underdog is 6-3 ATS in the last nine meetings and I'm counting on a big game from Bryn Renner in this one.

3-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 54.5 - Arkansas State at Memphis (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)
Note: This is a KING System Play.
Memphis isn't quite as bad as they seem. They can put a scare into a team or two and they have beefed up for their move to the AAC. The result is a pair of tailbacks that will tote the ball 40-plus times in this game and a defensive front seven that can hold its own. Arkansas State is not the same offensive team they were last year with Gus Malzahn running the show. They are off a big Thursday night win against Troy last week and they have a trip to Missouri on deck. In between is a trip to Memphis to take on a team that they don't respect. This is a very experienced home team. And this is a game they can win. And they will try to get there by dragging ASU into the muck and turning this one into an ugly, slow, grinding game. I don't see either team cracking 30 points and I think that this one stays 'under'.

3-Unit Play. Take #458 UNLV (-12.5) over Western Illinois (9 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)
I think that this is a great spot for the Runnin' Rebels. This is a very experienced team in Bobby Hauck's fourth season and this was a team that had the potential to get the UNLV program to its first bowl game in 14 years. Yes, the Rebels got off to an 0-2 start that included two blowouts. But those games were ones UNLV was supposed to lose. The Minnesota game was a rematch and Arizona started the year as one of the most underrated teams in the country. UNLV actually outgained Minnesota in that game and the Rebels are not as bad as their finals have shown. This is absolutely a must-win game for UNLV if they want a shot at six wins. And this veteran team will be focused. They got their first W of the season last week so some of the pressure if off and now they can just settle in and do their thing. This is a terrible spot for Western Illinois. These FCS teams can get up for a game against a BCS opponent. Especially a regional team like Minnesota, which WIU hung around with last week before losing 29-12. Western Illinois actually had a third quarter lead in that game. But they were outmanned and outmuscled and lost. Well, now they have to try to gear back up for another BCS foe. But they also have to travel across country to a climate that is completely foreign to them and play this one. I don't see it. WIU went 2-14 the last two years and had gotten crushed any time they stepped up in class. I think UNLV will open it up this week and should win by at least 20.

3-Unit Play. Take #444 Nebraska (-20.5) over South Dakota State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)
This game reminds me a little bit of our winner with Oklahoma State last week. After a week of controversy surrounding the coach and program this team should be ready to play. I think that all the nonsense will galvanize Nebraska more than it will be a distraction. Pelini has been horrible as a big favorite in Lincoln - and he's not a very good coach in general - but even he is not pathetic enough for his team to not hammer a completely overmatched team from the Dakotas. If you look back, Nebraska has some serious blowouts on their resume the last few seasons, beating teams like New Mexico State (31), Florida Atlantic (46), Louisiana (55), Western Kentucky (39), Chattanooga (33) and Southern Miss (29) in convincing fashion. We're a month into the season. There is no catching the Huskers off guard. Nebraska has a bye week following this and they are pissed off after blowing their game against UCLA. The Pelini nonsense is just the clincher. South Dakota State won last week despite getting outgained by 160 yards. The Huskers win this one by at least five touchdowns. And if they don't, they really should think about getting rid of Pelini because it would be pathetic if they don't win this one in a rout.

2-Unit Play. Take #361 Kansas (-10) over Louisiana Tech (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 21)
We got screwed last week with our play on Kansas and I am going right back to them. The Jayhawks are horrible. But they are still not as bad as Louisiana Tech. The Bulldogs lost just about their entire team and their entire coaching staff from last year and they are totally rudderless. Charlie Weis is one of the worst coaches in college football. But he knows he needs to do something fast if he wants to keep his job in Lawrence. And a blowout win over a terrible Tech team would go a long way. La. Tech is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games and if they can lose by nine at home to Tulane they can lose by 14 on the road at Kansas.

2-Unit Play. Take #439 Florida A&M (+50) over Ohio State (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 21)
I know, I know: Florida A&M? But hear me out with this one. A trip to California is a big deal for a college kid. The Buckeyes just flew cross-country to play Cal, beat the tar out of the Golden Bears, and now sit back at home after that marquee nonconference win (be it as it may). Next week the Buckeyes have a huge game with Wisconsin. Smack in the middle is a game against Florida A&M. Do you think Ohio State cares at all about this game? They don't. This is a glorified scrimmage for them and I expect Urban Meyer to get some key guys some rest late in this game. The Buckeyes defense is not as strong as it was last year. They let Buffalo move the ball, they let a terrible Cal team score 24 against them. A&M is going to have some athletes and have some speed. I think that they can score seven or 10 points, and I think that will be enough. There is no motivation for Ohio State to win by 60 and if you look back at A&M's history they have been able to at least be competitive (hang within 40) of most of their BCS opponents. I'll take the points.

2-Unit Play. Take #336 Maryland (-4.5) over West Virginia (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)
I said in a radio interview at the start of the season that I felt Maryland was going to get off to a great start to the season. I had them sweeping this revenge tour over Connecticut and West Virginia and so far, so good. The Mountaineers are completely rebuilding this year and they are terrible. They can't stop people on defense and they don't have the tools to run Dana Holgersen's offense properly. The Terps should be feeling pretty good about themselves after last week's convincing road win. And you can't underestimate the momentum factor. Maryland is motivated and they have momentum, and I think that will carry over into a blowout win in this spot for them.

2-Unit Play. Take #387 Missouri (+1) over Indiana (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)
Big position being taken by a lot of bettors on Indiana here. And I get it. Missouri was terrible last year and they have been horrendous in road openers in their history. But I think that Indiana is a little overrated right now. Who was the last team of consequence that they have beaten? And what have they done to deserve to be favored in this game? I think that Gary Pinkel has an underrated team this year in Missouri. And I think that the Tigers have the much better defense in this matchup.

1-Unit Play. Take #325 Ball State (-10.5) over Eastern Michigan (1 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take #351 SMU (+28.5) over Texas A&M (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take #376 Syracuse (-16) over Tulane (12:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take #343 Wyoming (-4.5) over Air Force (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take #354 Houston (-3) over Rice (3 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take #385 Texas-San Antonio (-3) over UTEP (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)

This Week's College Totals

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 51.0 - Michigan at Connecticut (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 41.0 - Michigan State at Notre Dame (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYS

7 Unit Play. #323 Take Over 48 - Purdue at Wisconsin (3:30p.m., Saturday, Sept 21 ABC)
(Total Game of the Year)
Some people might see this play and say that Purdue won't be able to score on the Badgers defense. Agree it will be a challenge but I'm sure the same people said the same thing last week when Purdue was playing Notre Dame and the Boilermakers scored 24 points on the Irish defense. Wisconsin gets this game at home and they will be pissed off after how they lost to Arizona St so actually I feel sorry for the Purdue defense because Wisconsin is going to score and score often. I thought this would be around 53-54 so when I saw this total posted under the 50 mark I knew this would be my TOTAL Game of the Year. The Boilermakers defense has been a time their weak spot giving up 42pts to Cincinnati and 31 points last week to Notre Dame so I see Wisconsin scoring in the mid-40's Saturday afternoon at home. RB Melvin Gordon had a huge game against Arizona St rushing for 193 yards with 2 touchdowns and I see the same results Saturday as the Boilermakers defense is not even close to the ASU defense. Purdue is 7-3 O/U in their last 10 games when playing a team with a winning record and Wisconsin is 4-0 O/U following a SU loss and 5-1 O/U when playing a team with a losing record.

2 Unit Play. #336 Maryland -4 ½ over West Virginia (3:30p.m., Saturday, Sept 21 ESPNU)
Can't believe I'm getting ready to type this but Maryland is seeking for a 4-0 record for the 1st time since 2001. How you ask? Not their tough turtle defense but their offense has been outstanding as of late this season. Maryland Sr. QB C.J. Brown has been explosive and he will be the key to another turtle victory. Maryland defense will put pressure on the freshman QB of West Virginia and turnovers by the freshman will be the big key as well.WVU is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and Maryland is a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games.

4 Unit Play. #343 Take Wyoming -5 over Air Force (10:15p.m., Saturday, Sept 21 ESPNU)
So the Air Force defense has given up 47ppg in their last 2 games and the Wyoming offense has been rolling with QB Brett Smith. The only trouble I see Smith having is that he makes mistakes when being pressured but the Air Force defense will not give him the trouble. Normally Air Force wins their games by the running game but with but QB Jaleel Awini needs to be able to throw the ball in this matchup as the Cowboys will be lined up to stop the rushing attack. Wyoming has covered 4-straight games and is coming off back-to-back double-digit wins. While Air Force on the other hand is coming back-to-back double-digit losses which again have given up 94 points in 2 games. Wyoming is 6-0 ATS when playing a team with a losing record and Air Force is a horrible 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK CLAYTON

College Football 3-Pack Attack Trifecta and CA$H 3 times Saturday!

12:30 PM CF (355) MICHIGAN STATE (356) NOTRE DAME.
Take: (355) MICHIGAN STATE.
Shocker of the Month: Michigan State.
This is a balanced Michigan State (3-0) offense with a ferocious defense, one of the best in the nation. The Spartans were rebuilding last season on offense but still had a fine year, losing five games by four points or less. 8 starters are back on offense and the offense doesn't have to be explosive because 7 starters return to the Big 10's best defense, one that allowed 16.3 ppg (9th in the nation). They ranked fourth in the nation in yards allowed and return senior DT Micajah Reynolds, junior NT James Kittredge to a powerhouse front and LB Max Bullough. They face a Notre Dame team that is 2-1, with a loss to Michigan and a close game with Purdue Saturday, 31-24, as a huge favorite. This is an evenly matched game and a big rivalry, so grab the dog with the awesome defense. Play Michigan State

05:00 PM CF (357) KANSAS STATE (358) TEXAS
Take: (357) KANSAS STATE.
Think Texas has some defensive problems? The Longhorns (1-2) have been awful, giving up 40 to BYU and 44 to Ole Miss in this two game skid. Their only win was over New Mexico State. The Longhorns couldn't stop Jeff Scott from blistering them on the speed option to the outside and No. 25 Ole Miss rolled over reeling Texas 44-23 on Saturday night. Scott ran for 164 yards and a touchdown on 19 carries and also scored on a 73-yard punt return. Bo Wallace passed for two touchdowns and ran for another and the Rebels' defense dominated the second half. Mississippi is just the latest visiting team to wallop Texas on its home turf. The Longhorns are 11-10 at home since 2010, including seven consecutive losses to ranked opponents. Into town comes K-State, on a two game win streak, with a great coach in Bill Snyder. The D is allowing 19 ppg and the offense is potent and balanced, averaging 35 ppg. The wrong team is favored in this Big 12 showdown; Play Kansas State!

04:00 PM CF (367) ARIZONA STATE (368) STANFORD
Take: (367) ARIZONA STATE.
You can't run at this Stanford D-line, but you can pass over them. (2-0) ASU Coach Todd Graham ignited the offense last year (38.4 ppg) and has 14 starters returning, so expectations are high. Junior QB Taylor Kelly (29 TDs, 9 INTs in 2012) led an offense that averaged 259 yards passing, 205.4 rushing and is loaded with talent, off a big win over Wisconsin. Star DT Will Sutton opted to return for his senior year, joined by speedy senior LBs Carl Bradford and Chris Young. Sutton (13 sacks, 23.5 tackles for a loss) is one of the best defensive lineman in the country. This team is on an 8-5-1 ATS run Last week: Beat Wisconsin (32-30) with edge in yards 468-441. QB Taylor Kelly hit 29 of 51 passes -- many of those on back-shoulder throws along the sideline -- for 352 yards and a touchdown for the Sun Devils. This is a tough situational spot for Stanford, home from a 3,000 mile road trip to Army last week, failing to cover in a 34-20 win, so grab the talented dog. Play Arizona State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ALLEN EASTMAN

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

3-Unit Play. Take #360 Memphis (+4) over Arkansas State (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)

AND

3-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 54.5 - Arkansas State at Memphis (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)
This game is not on many people's radars. But I really like the home underdog. Memphis is 0-2 but played better than their record. They lost to Duke and Middle Tennessee State but were close in both of those games. Memphis is playing strong on defense and has only given up 45 points in its two games. This is a physical front seven. Arkansas State has not been as impressive. They won against Troy in a really tough game and scored a late touchdown to move to 2-1. Now they have to go on the road against a team they are going to take lightly. Memphis has revenge in this game after losing to Arkansas State in 2011 and 2012. Memphis nearly beat the Redwolves last year, losing 33-28 as a 23-point underdog. This line ha changed a lot since last year. The home team has won four straight in this series. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six. Memphis has beaten Arkansas State six oft the last 10 meetings and Memphis is 3-1 ATS in the last four. I think that they spring the upset in this game and I think that it will be a low scoring game.

3-Unit Play. Take #343 Wyoming (-5) over Air Force (10 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)
This line is on the move! Bet this one now! Wyoming is going to win in a blowout! These two teams don't like one another. Last year Air Force won 28-27 and the coaches had words after the game. Both teams remember that one. Air Force was accused of faking injuries to get that win. I think that this is a better Wyoming team. And the road team has won three straight and six of eight in this conference series. Wyoming is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Air Force played last Friday night and lost by 22 at Boise State. They are just 1-7 ATS in their last seven games going back to last year and the Falcons only win this year came versus Colgate. Wyoming almost won at Nebraska this year so I think that they can go to Air Force and get a win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocketman Sports plays are rated 1-5 units!

CFB

Marshall @ Virginia Tech 12:00 PM EST
Play On: 3* (#329) Marshall +10

The Marshall Thundering Herd travel to Virginia Tech to take on the Hokies on Saturday afternoon. Both teams come in with identical 2-1 records on the season. Marshall is 5-1 ATS last 3 years as a road underdog of 3 1/2 to 10 points. Virginia Tech is 3-10 ATS last 3 years as a home favorite of 3 1/2 to 10 points. Virginia Tech is 8-20 ATS last 3 years in all games. Virginia Tech is 6-17 ATS last 3 years as a favorite. Marshall has a high powered offense scoring 46 points per game overall this year. Marshall is allowing only 16 points per game on defense this season. Virginia Tech is 2-9-2 ATS last 13 non-conference games. Virginia Tech is 2-12 ATS last 14 games after allowing 20 points or less in their previous game. Virginia Tech is 1-7 ATS last 8 games after a SU win. Marshall is led by quarterback Rakeem Cato where he has completed 68 out of 107 passes this year for a 63.6 completion percentage. Steward Butler leads the team in rushing with 282 yards on the season and he is averaging a very nice 9.1 yards per rush. Tommy Shuler is the kid go to guy at receiver where he has caught 23 passes for 247 yards so far this season. Marshall could easily upset Virginia Tech here. We'll play Marshall for 3 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ScLiveDogs

Why we like the Phillies on Saturday at -105...this game could turn into a very valuable fade against Dillon Gee and the New York Mets. When we take a look at these two pitchers most recent starts, we see that Dillon Gee comes in with a 2.18 era over his last 20 innings of work where he allowed just 3 BBs on 18 Ks & 2 HRs. On the other hand, when we look at Tyler Cloyd's numbers for the Phillies, we can see that he comes in with a whopping 10.93 era over his last 14 innings (3 starts) where he allowed 27 hits on 1 BB, 11 Ks & 2 HRs. With that being said, one would think that the opening line on this game should favor the Mets much more than -115...When we dig a bit deeper into this game and specifically its matchup, we notice something very interesting regarding Dillon Gee and his starts against the Phillies IN Philadelphia. When we look at Gee's last five starts IN Philadelphia dating back to 2011, we can see that he carries a 14.82 era where he has allowed 28 earned runs on 36 hits through 17 innings on 8 BBs, 14 Ks & 8 HRs. Gee has also shown little success against the Phillies as a whole where the Phillies have a combined 100 ABs off of Gee with a .310 average and 3 HRs. We understand that Tyler Cloyd of the Phillies has hit a rough patch as of late, but he may have a few things going for him. Cloyd has allowed 12 runs on 19 hits through his last 8 innings of work (two starts) but it changes his routine a bit as he has posted pitch counts of 73 and 64 in those last two starts which may play to his advantage. Another plus for Cloyd is that the Mets are yet to see him 2013. When we look back to 2012 which were the only two starts that he has against the Mets, Cloyd allowed 4 runs through 14 innings of work on 10 hits 2 BBs & 11 Ks. Offensively, the Phillies are playing the better ball at this point in the season as they are averaging close to 6 RPG over their past 7 games which should play to their advantage against Dillon Gee and the Mets. Play on the Phillies at -105.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Evening action

Check out quick-hitting betting notes for Saturday's evening college football Week 4 action:

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at Florida State Seminoles (-40)

The Wildcats have wins in three straight games to start a season for the first time since 2010 and have won 10 of their past 11 contests. Bethune-Cookman's defense has been stout, holding opponents to less than 10 points per game and has also managed three defensive touchdowns. Senior linebacker Jarkevis Fields leads the team with 23 tackles and had a game-high six in the win over Florida International.

The Seminoles have been firing on all cylinders on offense, passing the century mark in points through their first two games for the second consecutive season, with nine different players scoring touchdowns. Against Nevada, Florida State compiled 617 yards and 59 unanswered points, coasting to a 62-7 victory. Junior Nick O'Leary has hauled in three touchdown catches, trailing only Indiana's Ted Bolser among FBS tight ends.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 43 percent chance of thunderstorms.
LINE: Florida State opened as a 40-point home fave.
TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in Seminoles last four games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
* Over is 3-0-1 in FSU's last four games after totaling more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Over is 3-0-1 in Seminoles last four games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Arizona State Sun Devils at Stanford Cardinal (-5.5, 51.5)

The 23rd-ranked Sun Devils emerged with a 32-30 victory over Wisconsin last week when the Badgers mismanaged the clock and failed to get off a last-second field goal. Arizona State was fortunate to defeat Wisconsin, but a matchup with No. 5 Stanford should provide another stiff test in what easily could be a Pac-12 title game preview.

The Cardinal have three matchups with ranked teams in the next five weeks, so they will need senior running back Tyler Gaffney (236 yards, three touchdowns in 2013) to be on top of his game. Of course, they won’t be getting any sympathy cards from the Sun Devils, who are in the midst of a six-game stretch that includes four ranked opponents. Arizona State has a standout running back of its own, as Marion Grice rushed for four touchdowns in the bizarre win over Wisconsin.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with a 40 percent chance of rain.
LINE: Stanford opened as a 7-point home fave but is now -5.5. The total opened at 49.5 and is up to 51.5.
TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings in Stanford.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

Colorado State Rams at Alabama Crimson Tide (-39, 51)

The Rams are 39 1/2-point underdogs against the Crimson Tide, who have gone 27-3 against nonconference opponents under coach Nick Saban, including 20 straight victories. Rams coach Jim McElwain was Alabama's offensive coordinator from 2008-2011 before leaving for Colorado State last season.

Heisman Trophy candidate AJ McCarron, who had a career-high 334 passing yards and four touchdowns in last week’s win over the Aggies, could be in for a short night on Saturday if the Crimson Tide take control early. The rebuilding Rams, who are 2-11 all-time against SEC opponents, lost their first two games to Colorado and Tulsa before defeating Cal Poly 34-17 last Saturday.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 90 percent chance of rain.
LINE: Alabama opened as a 38-point home favorite and is now -39. The total opened at 51.
TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0-1 in the Crimson Tide's last five games overall.
* Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a SU win.
* Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

SMU Mustangs at Texas A&M Aggies (-28.5, 78)

Southern Methodist's visit to old Southwest Conference rival Texas A&M on Saturday could be a high-scoring affair. The ninth-ranked Aggies and the Mustangs have two of the most productive offenses in the country and struggling defenses. But the Mustangs have had little success recently against Texas A&M, going 0-11-1 in their last 12 meeting, including three straight losses since the SWC ended in 1995.

The Aggies — ranked 112 out of 123 FBS teams in total defense (489 yards allowed) and 115th in run defense (260 yards) — allowed 11 plays of 15-plus yards to Alabama. "We're going to have to defend the whole field — vertically and sideline to sideline — because (the Mustangs) are going to stretch us out to make us play in space," Sumlin said Tuesday.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms.
LINE: Texas A&M opened as a 28.5-point favorite. The total opened at 79.5 and is down to 78.
TRENDS:

* Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. SEC.
* Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a S.U. loss.
* Over is 4-0 in Aggies last four home games.

Savannah State Tigers at Miami Hurricanes (-60)

The Tigers, who have registered only one victory in each of the previous three seasons, won for the first time since defeating Edward Waters 42-35 in October 2012. Savannah State was outgained 425-243 against the Wildcats and has mustered only 573 yards of total offense thus far. The Tigers have been particular woeful on the ground (rushing for a total of 52 yards this season, including no more than 21 in any contest) and holding onto the ball, committing 10 turnovers.

The Hurricanes were far from dominant in their win over the Gators, as they were outgained 413-212 and gave up more than twice as many first downs (22-10). One area on offense Miami has thrived is scoring quickly – all eight of its drives have taken less than three minutes.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies.
LINE: Miami opened as a 59.5-point favorite and is currently -60.
TRENDS:

* Under is 5-0 in Hurricanes last five games following a bye week.
* Hurricanes are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a ATS win.
* Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a bye week.

Auburn Tigers at LSU Tigers (-16.5, 55)

Death Valley has long been a hostile environment for opponents, but the month of September has proven to be every bit as difficult. No. 7 Louisiana State, which hosts Auburn in a battle of two 3-0 SEC teams, is 26-1 over its last 27 home games - but has rolled off a FBS-best 28 consecutive victories in September since a 2006 setback against Saturday’s foe. LSU has blended its usual stout defense with a resurgent offense led by first-year offensive coordinator and former NFL coach Cam Cameron.

Auburn is coming off last Saturday’s dramatic 24-20 home victory over Mississippi State, which snapped its 10-game losing streak within the conference. Auburn will have its hands full in its first game away from home as it tries to end its seven-game road losing streak in a venue in which it has not won since 1999.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with an 83 percent chance of thunderstorms.
LINE: LSU opened as a 16-point fave and is currently -16.5. The total opened at 56 and is now down to 55.
TRENDS:

* Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings.

Michigan Wolverines at Connecticut Huskies (+17.5, 51)

A week after defeating rival Notre Dame in an emotional affair, No. 14 Michigan needed a goal-line stand in the final seconds to hold off an upset bid from Akron. Following a mass exhalation, the Wolverines travel to Connecticut looking to wrap up the non-conference portion of their schedule unbeaten. Michigan won the only meeting in the series 30-10 in 2010.

For UConn, a nationally televised date with Michigan is truly a step onto the big stage but the timing couldn't be worse. Not only are the Huskies winless but limp into the contest with many questions, especially on the offensive side of the ball. A few years after boasting one of the nation's best rushing attacks, UConn enters next-to-last in the nation at 59 yards per game.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with a 21 percent chance of rain.
LINE: The line opened at UConn +17.5. The total opened at 52 but has moved down to 51.
TRENDS:

* Wolverines are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
* Over is 4-0 in Huskies last four home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Huskies are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games following a ATS loss.

New Mexico State Aggies at UCLA Bruins (-42, 66.5)

After scoring 38 consecutive points to beat Nebraska 41-21 last week, 15th-ranked UCLA returns home Saturday to face winless New Mexico State. The Bruins are 42-point favorites over the Aggies, who have lost their first three games by a 93 combined points.

The Aggies are allowing an average of 47.3 points and scoring 16.3 per game under first-year coach Doug Martin. Bruins sophomore quarterback Brett Hundley entered the Heisman Trophy discussion with his play last week when he threw for 294 yards and three touchdowns and rushed 19 times for 61 yards.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s and wind will blow toward the north end zone at 6 mph.
LINE: UCLA opened as a 40-point home fave and is currently -42. The total opened at 66 and is up to 66.5.
TRENDS:

* Over is 7-0 in Aggies last seven games overall.
* Bruins are 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games.
* Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. Pac-12.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michigan State at Notre Dame: What bettors need to know

Michigan State Spartans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-4.5, 42)

An unblemished regular season in 2012 is a distant memory for No. 21 Notre Dame, which needed a spectacular comeback last week to avoid taking a losing record into Saturday's home matchup with 24th-ranked Michigan State. It marks the third consecutive Big Ten Conference opponent for the Fighting Irish and the first road test for the Spartans, who debuted in the Top 25 this week. Notre Dame turned in a suffocating defensive effort in a 20-3 win at Michigan State last season.

The matchup provides an intriguing contrast in styles: The Irish are averaging 29.7 points behind an outstanding passing game while the Spartans lead the nation with an average of 177 total yards allowed. "When you're talking about the No. 1 defense, there's a reason for it,” Notre Dame coach Brian Kelly said. "It's personnel-driven and certainly there's scheme. So you have to be aware of both." The Spartans are 11-2 in non-conference play since 2011 - with both losses coming to the Irish.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE: Notre Dame opened as high as -7.5 and has been bet down to -4.5. The total has moved from 41 to 42 points.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid 60s with partly cloudy skies and winds blowing NW at 11 mph.

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (3-0, 1-2 ATS): The Spartans have been waiting for someone to emerge from a crowded quarterback competition and sophomore Connor Cook did just that in last week's 55-17 rout of FCS foe Youngstown State, throwing for four first-half touchdowns and 202 yards overall to seize the starting job. Running back Jeremy Langford has scored four touchdowns and is averaging 4.5 yards per carry but coach Mark Dantonio termed him a player that can "pop a big one." Still, the onus will fall on Michigan State's defense, which ranks fifth nationally with an average of 126.7 passing yards against but has yet to face a high-powered offense.

ABOUT NOTRE DAME (2-1, 0-3 ATS): The biggest concern entering the season was how to replace suspended quarterback Everett Golson (academics), but Tommy Rees has allayed any doubts by throwing for 969 yards in the first three games. He threw two scoring passes to DaVaris Daniels during a 21-point blitz in a span of 3 1/2 minutes against Purdue and can become the first Notre Dame QB to open a season with four consecutive 300-yard games. The more pressing concern for the Irish is plugging the holes in a defense that has surrendered 65 points in the last two games - one fewer than it allowed in the first seven contests last season.

TRENDS:

* Spartans are 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings in Notre Dame.
* Road team is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
* Spartans are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games.
* Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Notre Dame is 25-2 in games in which it has outrushed its opponent under Kelly.

2. Cook is the first Michigan State player to throw four TD passes in a half since Drew Stanton in 2005.

3. The Irish are seeking their 10th consecutive win in South Bend.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arizona State at Stanford: What bettors need to know

Arizona State Sun Devils at Stanford Cardinal (-5.5, 51.5)

Arizona State is coming off a thrilling yet controversial win, but the Sun Devils have no time to celebrate as they face a tough challenge with Saturday’s road game against Stanford. The 23rd-ranked Sun Devils emerged with a 32-30 victory over Wisconsin last week when the Badgers mismanaged the clock and failed to get off a last-second field goal. Arizona State was fortunate to defeat Wisconsin, but a matchup with No. 5 Stanford should provide another stiff test in what easily could be a Pac-12 title game preview.

The Cardinal have three matchups with ranked teams in the next five weeks, so they will need senior running back Tyler Gaffney (236 yards, three touchdowns in 2013) to be on top of his game. Of course, they won’t be getting any sympathy cards from the Sun Devils, who are in the midst of a six-game stretch that includes four ranked opponents. Arizona State has a standout running back of its own, as Marion Grice rushed for four touchdowns in the bizarre win over Wisconsin.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Stanford opened as a 7.5-point home favorite and has been bet down as low as -6. The total has moved from 48.5 to 51.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid 60s with a 40 percent chance of showers and winds blowing west at 9 mph.

ABOUT ARIZONA STATE (2-0, 1-1 ATS): “This is the game our players have looked toward all offseason,” said Arizona State coach Todd Graham, who added that Saturday’s showdown “is a great opportunity for us to take a step forward as a program.” For that to happen, the Sun Devils will need improved play out of a rushing offense that, despite Grice’s touchdown production, ranks just 85th in the nation with 137.5 yards per game. On the bright side, Taylor Kelly set a career high with 352 passing yards against Wisconsin and has thrown for at least 300 yards in both games this season.

ABOUT STANFORD (2-0, 0-2 ATS): The Cardinal defense, which statistically was the best in the Pac-12 last season, returns eight starters from 2012. However, Stanford has won its first two games on the heels of a dynamic offense led by Gaffney and junior Kevin Hogan, who has five passing touchdowns on the season, two of which have gone to Ty Montgomery. The Cardinal have scored exactly 34 points in each of their first two games – wins over San Jose State and Army – though it’s their pass defense (seventh nationally) that has really turned heads through the season’s first two weeks.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Home team is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
* Sun Devils are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings in Stanford.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Cardinal and Sun Devils have not faced each other since 2010, when Andrew Luck led Stanford to a fourth-quarter comeback win at Arizona State.

2. Stanford is 8-2 at home against ranked opponents since 2009.

3. Arizona State’s All-American DT Will Sutton has had a quiet start to the season (three total tackles) after leading the Pac-12 with 23.5 tackles for loss in 2012.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

English Breakfast: Premier League betting cheat sheet

Saturday features six matches in the Barclay's Premier League including leaders Liverpool who host a spirited Southampton side with Top 10 aspirations.

We talk to Aron Black at Bet365 to find where action is on some of the hotter fixtures.

Norwich v Aston Villa (+140, +240, +220)

Why bet Norwich: The Canaries have no real injury concerns and will look to field their strongest XI with the tricky Villains in town. Carrow Road is a tough place to play for visitors as Norwich lost just four games their last season and have one win and one draw in two home matches this season.

Key players out/doubtful: Elliott Bennett

Why bet Aston Villa: Last season, Villa was the only side to get more points on the road than at home and left Carrow Road with a full three points.

Key players out/doubtful: Charles N'Zogbia, Jores Okore

2012-13 fixture result: Norwich 1, Villa 2

Key betting note: In 11 matches in all competitions versus Aston Villa, Norwich have just one victory (five draws, five losses).


Liverpool v Southampton (-167, +300, +550)

Why bet Liverpool: The Reds are on top of the table with 10 points and this fixture represents the last test without star-forward Luis Suárez as he serves the last of his 10-match ban. Striker Daniel Sturridge has picked up the goalscoring legwork and is joint-top scorer in the league with four goals.

Key players out/doubtful: Luis Suárez, Philippe Coutinho, Sebastián Coates, Aly Cissokho, Glen Johnson

Why bet Southampton: Liverpool is riddled with injury and the absence of playmaker Philippe Coutinho will be noticeable. Southampton will be waiting for the match when Rickie Lambert and Pablo Osvaldo get on the same page. If/When it does happen, it will be a formidable attacking duo.

Key players out/doubtful: Daniel Fox

2012-13 fixture result: Liverpool 1, Southampton 0

Key betting note: Southampton has only managed four goals in its last nine league matches.

Where the action is: "The action so far loves the home team, but smart money likes the under 2.5 goals at +100. A game like this is one where a side like Southampton would take the draw from the off, and its very possible that this game is more of a war of attrition than a spectacle of good football"


Newcastle v Hull (-125, +260, +425)

Why bet Newcastle: Manager Alan Pardew will be able to field the same starting XI that defeated Villa 2-1 last time out. Tricky winger Hatem Ben Arfa is playing arguably his best football since joining the Magpies as he has notched a pair of goals in four matches and leads all players with 13 attempts from open play.

Key players out/doubtful: Ryan Taylor, Jonás Gutiérrez, Gabriel Obertan, Shola Ameobi

Why bet Hull: Striker Yannick Sagbo is back after serving a 3-match ban and could replace Danny Graham in the starting XI. Hull has had a predictably slow start to the campaign on just four points, but are coming off a decent draw versus Cardiff.

Key players out/doubtful: Robert Koren

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: Hull is undefeated in its previous five matches versus the Magpies in all competitions.


West Brom v Sunderland (+105, +240, +310)

Why bet West Brom: The Baggies sit 19th in the table, while the visitors Sunderland sit 20th. Not the most enticing matchup of the day. If anything, West Brom playing at home yields the only advantage. Sunderland has mustered a pathetic five shots on target in its two away matches this season.

Key players out/doubtful: George Thorne, Ben Foster, Zoltán Gera

Why bet Sunderland: So perhaps the Paolo Di Canio experiment has failed? Sunderland spent money in the window (Jozy Altidore, Emanuele Giaccherini for example) but just can't seem to find a finished a product. This is a talented side on paper, but the clock must be ticking on Di Canio. This team needs a victory more than anyone.

Key players out/doubtful: Phillip Bardsley, Wes Brown

2012-13 fixture result: West Brom 2, Sunderland 1

Key betting note: The Baggies have six wins and one draw in their last seven matches against Sunderland.


West Ham v Everton (+230, +230, +140)

Why bet West Ham: The Hammers have not scored a goal in three matches and with big Andy Carroll out for some time, goalscoring struggles could continue. Even with their scoring woes, the Hammers are 10th in the table and have allowed just one goal. Their defense can't carry them all season, however. It's time for somebody to step up and score.

Key players out/doubtful: Andy Carroll, Alou Diarra, Joe Cole, Stewart Downing

Why bet Everton: It was slow out of the gates for Roberto Martinez and the Toffees, but a huge 1-0 win over Chelsea will have Everton flying high. Young attacker Ross Barkley has been excellent in his four appearances and Seamus Coleman has been a perfect fullback opposite the much-celebrated Leighton Baines.

Key players out/doubtful: Antolin Alcaraz

2012-13 fixture result: West Ham 1, Everton 2

Key betting note: West Ham has just six shots on target thus far, lowest in the league.


Chelsea v Fulham (-333, +475, +1100)

Why bet Chelsea: World class players all over the pitch. The "Chosen One" back at Stamford Bridge to return the club to its glory days. The deep pockets of Roman Abramovich. All this and the Blues lost at home to a nifty Basel side in Champions League and an away loss to Everton in the league. Fulham is a great opponent to right the ship.

Key players out/doubtful: Tomas Kalas

Why bet Fulham: Three of Fulham's four points have come on the road as they defeated Sunderland to start their campaign. The Cottagers should have had all three points versus West Brom, but were robbed cruelly at the death in their last match to come out with just one point. Fulham has shown little going forward as striker Dimitar Berbatov is not at his best.

Key players out/doubtful: Maarten Stekelenburg, Bryan Ruiz, Aaron Hughes

2012-13 fixture result: Chelsea 0, Fulham 0

Key betting note: Chelsea manager Jose Mourinho has never lost a Premier League home game (48 wins, 14 draws).

Where the action is: "Chelsea, at the price, are one of the bankers for the weekend. Money so far loves the home team, and the big price on Fulham is seeing bits and pieces as well."

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's MLB American League betting cheat sheets

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Saturday's American League games:

Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays (OFF, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Rays right-hander Alex Cobb was sensational in his previous start, allowing two runs over eight innings while striking out 10 in a 6-2 victory over the Texas Rangers.

Cold batting stat: Orioles sluggers Chris Davis and Adam Jones are a combined 3-for-14 with five strikeouts against Cobb.

Weather: Dome.

Key betting note: The over is 6-1 in Cobb's last seven starts on four days' rest.


Minnesota Twins at Oakland Athletics (-230, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Athletics right-hander Jarrod Parker was roughed up last time out, charged with eight runs - seven earned - on 11 hits in 4 1/3 innings of a 12-1 loss to the Los Angeles Angels.

Hot batting stat: Twins C Ryan Doumit is 3-for-7 with a pair of walks in his career against Parker.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with a 55 percent chance of showers. Wind will blow out to center field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 16-4-2 in Oakland's last 22 Saturday games.


Houston Astros at Cleveland Indians (-255, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Indians left-hander Scott Kazmir is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in two career starts against Houston.

Hot batting stat: Astros 2B Jose Altuve is 3-for-3 with a double lifetime versus Kazmir.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with a 65 percent chance of showers. Wind will blow in from center field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: Cleveland is 7-1 in Kazmir's last eight starts as a home favorite.


Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers (-140, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Tigers right-hander Rick Porcello has won back-to-back starts, allowing just two runs over 15 innings in that span.

Cold batting stat: Detroit CF Austin Jackson has struggled mightily against White Sox lefty Chris Sale, going just 2-for-27 with 12 strikeouts in his career.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with a 20 percent chance of showers. Wind will blow out to left-center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Detroit has won 11 of Porcello's previous 12 starts against Chicago.


Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox (OFF, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Red Sox right-hander Clay Buchholz has allowed just an unearned run on five hits in two starts since returning from the disabled list.

Hot batting stat: Boston DH David Ortiz is a career .343 hitter with two home runs and 13 RBIs in 70 at-bats against Toronto left-hander Mark Buehrle.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 40 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to left field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: Boston has won 10 of its last 11 games against a lefty starter.


Texas Rangers at Kansas City Royals (-104, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Royals right-hander Jeremy Guthrie has been sensational at home in 2013, going 9-4 with a 4.37 ERA in 15 starts.

Hot batting stat: Kansas City DH Billy Butler is 8-for-20 with three doubles in his career against Rangers right-hander Matt Garza.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will be calm.

Key betting note: The Royals have won 22 of Guthrie's last 26 home starts.


Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels (-165, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Mariners left-hander Joe Saunders is just 3-7 with a 6.90 ERA in 12 second-half starts after going 8-8 with a 4.24 ERA in the first half.

Cold batting stat: Angels OF Mike Trout has just two hits in nine at-bats against Saunders.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 9-1-1 in Los Angeles' last 11 games against a left-handed starter.


Interleague

San Francisco Giants at New York Yankees (-155, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: New York right-hander Ivan Nova is 6-2 with a 2.71 ERA in 11 starts and one relief appearance at Yankee Stadium this season.

Cold batting stat: Yankees 1B/DH Mark Reynolds is a .212 career hitter with 85 strikeouts in just 199 at-bats against San Francisco.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The Yankees have won Nova's last five interleague starts.


** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 10:05 p.m. ET Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's MLB National League betting cheat sheets

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Saturday's National League games:

Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs (OFF, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Braves right-hander Kris Medlen has won four consecutive starts, allowing just three runs in 27 2/3 innings over that stretch.

Hot batting stat: Atlanta OF Justin Upton is 3-for-10 with a homer and four RBIs lifetime against Cubs starter Travis Wood.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: Atlanta is 27-4 in Medlen's previous 31 starts against teams with losing records.


Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates (-114, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Reds right-hander Homer Bailey is 6-2 with a 2.74 ERA and .224 opposition batting average in 11 second-half starts.

Cold batting stat: Cincinnati OF Jay Bruce has just three hits with eight strikeouts in 21 at-bats versus Pittsburgh starter A.J. Burnett.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with showers expected throughout the evening. Wind will blow out to center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Pittsburgh is 6-0 in Burnett's last six starts against teams with winning records.


New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies (-101, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Mets right-hander Dillon Gee has struggled against the Phillies in his career, going 2-3 with a 7.66 ERA in eight starts and one relief outing.

Hot batting stat: Philadelphia SS Jimmy Rollins has eight hits in 16 career at-bats against Gee.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 65 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to center field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 6-1 in Gee's last seven starts against Philadelphia.


Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals (-295, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Nationals righty Stephen Strasburg has been fantastic at home, going 5-4 with a 1.55 ERA and 102 strikeouts in 93 innings.

Hot batting stat: Washington OF Jayson Werth has a pair of hits, including a homer, in three lifetime at-bats versus Miami starter Tom Koehler.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with a 90 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to left-center field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 5-1-1 in Koehler's last seven starts on five days' rest.


St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers (+126, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Brewers right-hander Yovani Gallardo has been terrible against the Cardinals, going 1-10 with a 6.78 ERA in 16 starts.

Hot batting stat: Members of the St. Louis roster has 12 home runs in just 170 at-bats versus Gallardo.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-50s under sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The home team is 8-1 in umpire Alfonso Marquez's last nine games behind home plate.


Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies (-117, 9.5)

Hot pitching stat: Trevor Cahill is 4-0 in his last seven starts, while allowing more than three runs just once in that span.

Cold batting stat: Rockies OF Michael Cuddyer has just three hits in 21 career at-bats against Cahill.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with clear skies. Wind will be calm.

Key betting note: Arizona has won its last five Saturday games.


Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres (+161, 6.5)

Cold pitching stat: Dodgers left-hander Clayton Kershaw was tagged for four runs over six innings in his previous start against San Diego - one of only four times Kershaw has allowed more than three runs in a game this season.

Hot batting stat: San Diego C Nick Hundley is a .346 hitter in 26 all-time at-bats against Kershaw.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s under overcast skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Los Angeles is 14-2 in Kershaw's last 16 Saturday starts.


** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 10:11 p.m. ET Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover | CFB Total - Saturday, Sep 21 2013 10:15PM
345 Utah / 346 BYU UNDER 61.5 Bookmaker.com double-dime bet

Analysis:Big rivalry game with lots of emotion. That often can favor defense. There were just 46 points scored in last year's game won by Utah, 25-21.

I see lots of running in this game, which eats clock. BYU ranks 111th in passing. Cougars Taysom Hill is a running quarterback. He's a good runner, but is just 22-for-66 throwing for 304 yards with more interceptions than touchdown throws.


The Utes should be better prepared for Hill having already faced Chuckie Keeton, one of the better dual threat quarterbacks in the country. The Cougars scored 40 against Texas, but previous to that had put up just 16 points against Virginia.

BYU ranks 36th in defense. The Cougars are holding foes to 3.0 yards per rush with a veteran defensive front and four good linebackers. Utah quarterback Travis Wilson can make big plays with his arm, but he also is still learning to read defenses better. He was picked off three times in the second half during last week's game against Oregon State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 21 2013 7:00PM
368 Stanford -7.0(-115) 5Dimes vs 367 Arizona St. triple-dime bet

Analysis:Arizona State was fortunate to beat Wisconsin. Thanks to the officials, the Sun Devils held on at the end to nip the Badgers at home.

Now, though, Arizona State goes on the road to play Stanford. The Cardinal plays physical like the Badgers with a tough defense and strong ground attack, but are a better team. Stanford is off an easy early Saturday afternoon win against Army, while the Sun Devils had to exert a lot of energy in the desert to get past the Badgers in a late Saturday night game.


I don't see the Sun Devils being able to step up their game, which they need to do. Arizona State is 16-33-3 ATS against foes who own a winning home record.

The Cardinal have won 10 consecutive games dating to last season, the second-longest active streak behind Ohio State’s 15 in a row.

Stanford has covered in five of its last six home contests versus Arizona State. The Cardinal won at Oregon last season so they know how to defend against no-huddle option offenses. Stanford held the high-scoring Ducks to only 14 points. Oregon scored at least 35 points on every other opponent.