9-21-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 21 2013 10:15PM
343 Wyoming -3.5(-110) Hilton vs 344 Air Force double-dime bet

Analysis:Wyoming's Brett Smith is one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the nation. He can generate a lot of points against a battered Air Force defense that has allowed an average of 47 points in its last two games and suffered more injuries last week in a 42-20 loss to Boise State.


Air Force couldn't stop Utah State at home two weeks ago giving up 52 points. Smith already has thrown for nine touchdowns. Air Force has allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 76.6 percent of their throws.

Wyoming has covered 19 of its last 26 games, including going 6-0 ATS the past six times versus opponents with a losing record.

The Cowboys know they need to pile up wins early as the back end of their schedule is very difficult. The Cowboys also have revenge for a one-point home loss to Air Force last season. Smith didn't play in that game.


Falcons sophomore quarterback Jaleel Awini is learning on the job. He's no match against Smith right now.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

N. Carolina +6.5
Notre Dame -6
Rutgers -2
LSU -17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INTPICKS

College Football


12:00 PM ET
2 Stars
Marshall @ Virginia Tech
Take Marshall +10

1 Star
Louisiana Tech @ Kansas
Take Kansas -10

3:30 PM ET
2 Stars
W Virginia @ Maryland
Take Maryland -5

4:00 PM ET
3 STARS
UL Monroe @ Baylor
Take Baylor -30
(play up to -30.5)

2 Stars
Cincinnati @ Miami OH
Take Cincinnati -23

7:30 PM ET
1 Star
Troy @ Mississippi State
Take Troy +14

8 PM ET
3 STARS
Michigan @ Connecticut
Take Michigan -18.5
(play up to -19.5)

10:15 PM
1 Star
Wyoming @ Air Force
Take Wyoming -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SDL SPORTS PICKS

5* Baylor-27
3* Phillies
3* Texas A&M -28

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HSW early phones
5* Wyoming
3* Kansas St
2* San Diego St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappersadvantage
BigEast
LSU Under 57 -120
Arkansas St -3 (-130)
Michigan St + 7(-115)
Charlottesports
North Texas + 33 (-105)
Marshall +10 (-120)
Michigan -17 (-120)
LSU -17 (-120) 2.4 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Medlen is 4-0, 0.98 in his last four starts. Wood is 2-1, 2.33 in his last four.
-- Bailey is 4-0, 1.91 in his last six starts.
-- Gee is 2-1, 2.22 in his last four starts.
-- Strasburg is 3-0, 2.22 in his last seven starts.
-- Gallardo is 3-0, 2.52 in his last six starts. Lynn is 0-0, 2.19 in his last two.
-- Cahill is 2-0, 3.57 in his last four starts.
-- Smith is 1-0, 1.50 in two starts this month.

-- Minnesota won last four Hernandez starts (1-0, 4.35).
-- Sale is 2-1, 3.41 in his last four starts. Porcello is 2-0, 2.31 in his last couple home starts.
-- Buchholz is 3-0, 1.64 in his last four starts.
-- Cobb is 3-1, 3.25 in his last seven starts. Gonzalez is 2-0, 2.45 in his last three starts.
-- Guthrie is 2-1, 3.09 in his last five starts.
-- Williams is 3-0, 4.19 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Burnett is 1-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Cloyd is 0-3, 10.93 in his last three starts.
-- Koehler is 0-2, 4.76 in his last four starts.
-- McHugh is 0-2, 7.07 in three starts this season.
-- Kershaw is 1-2, 4.38 in his last four starts.

-- Vogelsong is 0-1, 6.23 in his last four starts. Nova is 0-1, 7.71 in last three.

-- Parker is 1-1, 5.79 in his last four starts.
-- Kazmir is 1-3, 5.40 in his last four starts. Clemens is 0-1, 3.78 in his three starts this season.
-- Buehrle is 0-2, 8.22 in his last three starts.
-- Garza is 0-4, 6.44 in his last five starts.
-- Saunders is 1-5, 5.61 in his last eight starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Medlen 8-29 (0 of last 10); Wood 6-30 (3 of last 5)
-- Bailey 3-31 (0 of last 12); Burnett 6-28 (1 of last 10)
-- Gee 6-30; Cloyd 4-9
-- Koehler 7-21 (1 of last 5); Strasburg 7-29 (1 of last 5)
-- Lynn 8-31; Gallardo 7-29
-- Cahill 4-23 (0 of last 11); McHugh 2-3
-- Kershaw 3-21 (1 of last 11); Smith 2-5

-- Vogelsong 6-17 (1 of last 7); Nova 6-18

-- Hernandez 2-10 (0 of last 5); Parker 9-30
-- Clemens 1-3; Kazmir 9-29 (5 of last 10)
-- Sale 8-29 (0 of last 6); Porcello 5-28 (0 of last 6)
-- Buehrle 7-31 (1 of last 8); Buchholz 2-14
-- Gonzalez 6-26 (0 of last 8); Cobb 4-20
-- Garza 2-23; Guthrie 9-30
-- Saunders 11-31 (4 of last 6); Williams 6-23 (1 of last 9)

Totals
-- Six of last eight Atlanta games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last ten Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Philly games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-2-1 in last seven Pittsburgh games. Five of last six Cincinnati tilts went over.
-- Four of last five Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Arizona games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight San Diego games.

-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Bronx games.

-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Cleveland games.
-- Five of last seven Sale starts went over the total.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Tampa Bay games; six of last seven Baltimore games stayed under the total. Teams played 18 inning game that ended after 2am last night, less than 11 hours before first pitch of this game.
-- Four of last six Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Texas games.
-- Five of last seven Williams starts went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Oakland games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Braves won their last two games, scoring 14 runs.
-- Washington won 12 of its last 14 games.
-- Phillies won four of their last six home games. Mets won four of their last six games overall.
-- Reds won five of their last six games.
-- Milwaukee won four of its last six games. Cardinals won three of their last four games.
-- Colorado won its last two games, scoring 16 runs.
-- Padres won six of their last seven games.

-- Giants won five of their last seven games.

-- Tampa Bay won six of its last nine games.
-- Indians won seven of their last nine games.
-- Tigers won five of their last six games.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last nine home games.
-- Kansas City won five of their last six home games.
-- Angels won eight of their last ten games.
-- A's won eight of their last ten games.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Marlins lost six of their last seven games.
-- Pirates lost four of their last five games.
-- Arizona lost nine of its last thirteen road games.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last eight games.

-- Bronx lost five of its last seven games.

-- Orioles are 5-7 in their last twelve games.
-- Astros lost their last seven games, outscored 34-11.
-- White Sox lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Blue Jays lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Rangers lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Mariners lost ten of their last twelve games.
-- Twins lost eight of their last ten games.

Umpires
-- Atl-Chi-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Conroy games.
-- Cin-Pitt-- Home team won six of last seven Davis games.
-- NY-Phil-- Three of last four Ripperger games stayed under.
-- Mia-Wsh-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Culbreth games.
-- StL-Mil-- Home side won eight of last nine Marquez games.
-- Az-Col-- Over is 12-4-1 in last seventeen Kellogg games.
-- LA-SD-- Last four HGibson games stayed under the total.

-- SF-NY-- Favorites won last fifteen Nauert games.

-- Min-A's-- Eight of last eleven Hudson games went over total.
-- Hst-Clv-- Home team won seven of last eight Baker games.
-- Chi-Det-- Seven of last nine Winters games stayed under.
-- Tor-Bos-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Gonzalez games.
-- Blt-TB-- Eight of last twelve Everitt games stayed under.
-- Tex-KC-- Under is 12-5-1 in last eighteen Wolf games.
-- Sea-LA-- Underdogs won 12 of last 15 Drake games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

St. Louis at Milwaukee

The Cardinals look to take advantage of a Milwaukee team that is 0-6 in Yovani Gallardo's last 6 home starts against St. Louis. St. Louis is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 21 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Atlanta at Chicago Cubs (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Medlen) 15.547; Cubs (Wood) 14.256 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 953-954: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 16.341; Pittsburgh (Burnett) 15.229 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-120); 7 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+100); Over

Game 955-956: NY Mets at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 14.581; Philadelphia (Cloyd) 14.279 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-110); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-110); Over

Game 957-958: Miami at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 13.330; Washington (Strasburg) 16.393 Dunkel Line: Washington by 3; 6 Vegas Line: Washington (-300); 7 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-300); Under

Game 959-960: St. Louis at Milwaukee (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lynn) 16.548; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.033 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 8 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135); Under

Game 961-962: Arizona at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Cahill) 14.898; Colorado (McHugh) 13.776 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 11 Vegas Line: Colorado (-125); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+105); Over

Game 963-964: LA Dodgers at San Diego (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.166; San Diego (Smith) 13.765 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-175); 6 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-175); Under

Game 965-966: Minnesota at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hernandez) 15.106; Oakland (Parker) 14.473 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Oakland (-240); 8 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+200); Over

Game 967-968: Houston at Cleveland (6:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Clemens) 14.361; Cleveland (Kazmir) 15.637 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 2 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Cleveland (-260); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-260); Over

Game 969-970: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Sale) 16.174; Detroit (Porcello) 15.225 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Detroit (-140); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+120); Under

Game 971-972: Toronto at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 15.153; Boston (Buchholz) 16.983 Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 9 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 973-974: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.835; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 14.442 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 975-976: Texas at Kansas City (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Garza) 15.488; Kansas City (Guthrie) 16.634 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+100); Over

Game 977-978: Seattle at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Saunders) 14.584; LA Angels (Williams) 16.634 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2; 8 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-175); 9 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-175); Under

Game 979-980: San Francisco at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 14.641; NY Yankees (Nova) 15.912 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-155); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-155); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Los Angeles at Phoenix

The Sparks look to bounce back from their loss in Game 1 and take advantage of a Phoenix team that is 7-21-1 ATS in its last 29 home games. Los Angeles is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sparks favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 21 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 659-660: Atlanta at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 104.384; Washington 116.810 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 12 1/2; 155 Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 147 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-2 1/2); Over

Game 661-662: Los Angeles at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 116.327; Phoenix 114.163 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2; 147 Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 161 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+1 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You Selections for Early Saturday, September 21st

2013 ACC Coastal Division Super Total of the Year!!!!!
North Carolina/Georgia Tech under 58 1/2Early Best Bets
Marshall/Virginia Tech under 49
San Jose State/Minnesota under 51
Rice/Houston under 64 1/2
Louisiana Tech/Kansas over 50 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You Selections for Afternoon Saturday, September 21st

2013 SEC East Division Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Tennessee/Florida under 46 1/2

Afternoon Best Bets
Purdue/Wisconsin over 48 1/2
Utah State/Southern California over 51 1/2
Michigan State/Notre Dame over 42 1/2
Arkansas/Rutgers under 44

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You Selections for Late Saturday, September 21st

2013 PAC 12 Conference Primetime Total of the Year!!!!!
Arizona State/Stanford over 51 1/2Late Best Bets
Colorado State/Alabama over 51
Auburn/Louisiana State under 54
Kansas State/Texas under 59
Utah/Brigham Young under 62

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1099-828 (57% +)over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner Sat Cinci Bearcats -21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atslocks

Wake Forest -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Guaranteed Sports Picks

CFB

Maryland - 4
Tenn + 17 1/2
Mich - 17 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Betting Professor Original NCAAF
Games with an * next to them are the strict system bets.

1 PM
326. Eastern Michigan +10*
7:30 PM
382. San Diego St. +8.5*

Rest of Games
318. Army +2.5
329. Marshall +10
361. Louisiana Tech +10.5
370. Akron +6
347. Hawaii +7
386. UTEP +3
388. Indiana +2.5
344. Air Force +5

2013 Sports Betting Professor NCAAF Original System
System (3-gm chase): 6-1
Overall picks: 17-18-2, -2.8 units
System Plays straight up: 6-8, -2.8 units
'Other Plays straight up: 11-10-2, +0.0 units
Fade all plays straight up: 18-17-2, -0.7 units

2012 Sports Betting Professor NCAAF Original System
System (3-gm chase): 29-4
Overall picks: 96-104-6, -18.4 units
System Plays straight up: 29-30, -4.0 units
'Other Plays straight up: 67-74-6, -14.4 units
Fade all plays straight up: 104-96-6, -1.9 units
Fade System Plays straight up: -1.9 units
Fade 'Other Plays straight up: +0.3 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB CHI WHITE SOX at DETROIT

Play On - Any team (DETROIT) terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season, in September games
174-105 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.4% 58.8 units )
42-45 this year. ( 48.3% -7.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB MINNESOTA at OAKLAND

MINNESOTA is 57-46 (+32.4 Units) against the money line after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span over the last 2 seasons.

The average score was: MINNESOTA (4.3) , OPPONENT (4.2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA LOS ANGELES at PHOENIX

Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game
202-121 since 1997. ( 62.5% 68.9 units )
27-15 this year. ( 64.3% 10.5 units )

WNBA LOS ANGELES at PHOENIX

Play Against - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (LOS ANGELES) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games
63-29 since 1997. ( 68.5% 0.0 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 0.0 units )

WNBA ATLANTA at WASHINGTON

Play Against - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (ATLANTA) an explosive offensive team (>=76 PPG) against a good offensive team (72-76 PPG), after allowing 70 points or more in 4 straight games
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bankroll Sports

2* Pittsburgh/Duke - Over 51 (CFB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LINE CHANGERS

CFB

5* San Jose State +4.5
5* Maryland -4
3* Michigan -19
3* LA Lafayette-6
1* Marshal +9.5
1* Wisconsin -22