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Thread: 10-12-13

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    Steve Budin

    Philadelphia Crew 150 Dime Cheap Chalk Cover - Colorado State

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    Today's MLB Picks

    LA Dodgers at St. Louis

    The Dodgers look to bounce back from last night's 3-2 loss and build on their 7-1 record in their last 8 games when the total is set at 6 1/2 or lower. LA is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130). Here are all of today's picks.
    SATURDAY, OCTOBER 12
    Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST
    Game 903-904: LA Dodgers at St. Louis (4:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.547; St. Louis (Wacha) 15.025
    Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 7
    Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 6
    Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130); Over
    Game 905-906: Detroit at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Sanchez) 16.873; Boston (Lester) 15.902
    Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7
    Vegas Line: Boston (-140); 7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+120); Under

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    Insider sports

    5* Neb
    3* ga over
    3* tt

    3* sox

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    Point Train's CFB Best Bet Saturday, October 128-Unit-#111 Oklahoma (-13.5) over Texas– 11:00 AM CST

    The last two quarterbacks to face the Sooners — Notre Dame’s Tommy Rees and TCU’s Trevone Boykin — completed only 50 percent of their passes and averaged just 135 yards per game. Texas’ starting QB David Ash is out with an injury so Case McCoy will again get the start under center. McCoy has completed nearly 61% of his passes this season with 2 TD and 0 INT. But the offense has been rather stagnant with McCoy at the helm. He’s averaging just 5.6 yards per attempt (compared to 8.7 YPA for David Ash) and the big-play potential severely decreases. Meanwhile, Texas’ defense has been horrendous. The Longhorns have surrendered 30+ points in three of the last four games and they rank 110thin yards allowed. Oklahoma hasn’t been as explosive on offense this season as they have in year’s past, but the Sooners are gaining steam behind QB Bell. Bell has 6 TD and 0 INT in three starts this season. He’ll have a big day against this porous Texas defense. OU has won and covered the last three meetings winning by an average margin of 29 PPG. OU had a +388 yard advantage and +17 first downs in last year’s game and QB Bell had four rushing touchdowns.

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    Nelly's Football - Saturday Computer Slam - Oct. 122* #114 Michigan State -9 over Indiana 11:00 AM CT

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    BEST Football - 20* MAC Conference Game of the Year - Oct. 1220* #118 Massachusetts -5 over Miami OH 2:00 PM CT

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    Maximum Football - 10* NCAA Top Play - Oct. 1210* #195 Boise State -6 over Utah State 7:00 PM CT

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    Today's NHL Picks

    NY Islanders at Nashville

    The Predators look to build on their 7-1 record in their last 8 games versus the Islanders. Nashville is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Predators favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-120). Here are all of today's picks.
    SATURDAY, OCTOBER 12
    Time Posted 7:00 a.m. EST
    Game 51-52: Boston at Columbus (2:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.599; Columbus 11.085
    Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4
    Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-125); 5
    Dunkel Pick: Boston (-125); Under
    Game 53-54: Edmonton at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.342; Toronto 10.330
    Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 6
    Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-165); 5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+145); Over
    Game 55-56: Philadelphia at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.754; Detroit 10.812
    Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 5
    Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-170); 5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+150); Under
    Game 57-58: Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay (7:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 13.226; Tampa Bay 11.720
    Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6
    Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-130); 5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-130); Over
    Game 59-60: Colorado at Washington (8:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 12.422; Washington 10.657
    Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 2; 5
    Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-135); 5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+115); Under
    Game 61-62: Buffalo at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 10.573; Chicago 12.084
    Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 6
    Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-240); 5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-240); Over
    Game 63-64: NY Rangers at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 12.343; St. Louis 11.287
    Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 6
    Vegas Line & Total: No Line
    Dunkel Pick: N/A
    Game 65-66: NY Islanders at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 10.356; Nashville 11.864
    Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 4
    Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-120); 5
    Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-120); Under
    Game 67-68: Dallas at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.286; Minnesota 12.623
    Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 4
    Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-145); 5
    Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-145); Under
    Game 69-70: Montreal at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 12.329; Vancouver 11.084
    Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 5
    Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-135); 5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+115); Under
    Game 71-72: Ottawa at San Jose (10:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.256; San Jose 13.178
    Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 2; 6
    Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-180); 5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-180); Over

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    Cappers Access

    Michigan St -10
    Missouri +7
    Penn St +2.5
    BYU -7

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    Gamblers Data

    Free Plays Saturday

    Avalanche +120

    San Jose Sharks -175

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    R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Saturday

    4* Best Bet = OHIO UNIVERSITY
    3* = BALL STATE
    3* = UCLA
    2* = MISSOURI
    2* = BYU

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    JIMMY BOYD

    5* Non-Conference Game of the Year on Mississippi State -pts
    The Bulldogs play extremely well in front of their home crowd. In fact, they are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against a team with a winning record. They have several key matchup advantages in this game against Bowling Green. On offense Mississippi State has scored 32.4 points per game overall, and 46.3 points per game when playing at home. They have put up big numbers against a much stronger schedule than what the Falcons have faced this season.

    Bowling Green's only game against a quality opponent was their matchup with Indiana. The Falcons ended up getting crushed in a 32 point blowout. There defense has been soft against the run, allowing 4.8 yards per carry. When playing on the road it gets even worse as opponents average 5.3 yards per carry and 202 rushing yards per game. Mississippi State is a great running team that averages 4.9 yards per carry and 208 rushing yards per game. They should have no problem dominating this matchup similar to the way Indiana was able to control their game against the Falcons.

    Head coach Dan Mullen has a 12-4 ATS record has a home favorite as the coach of Mississippi State. I expect him to have his defense well prepared after having a poor showing against LSU last week. The Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Typically the Mississippi State secondary has played well this season, holding opponents to to just 205 passing yards per game. The Falcon's offensive numbers are drastically inflated thanks to a soft schedule, and the value in this game is on Mississippi State.

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    WinningAngleSports

    CFB
    LSU -7.5 over Florida
    Texas A&M -6 over Mississippi
    Army -7.5 over Eastern Michigan
    UNLV -9.5 over Hawaii
    Oregon -14 over Washington

    MLB
    Los Angeles -115 over St. Louis (TOP PLAY)
    Boston -135 over Detroit (TOP PLAY)

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    Nick Parson 10* Bloodbath

    Texas Tech

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    StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

    MLB DETROIT at BOSTON
    Play Against - Road teams (DETROIT) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start
    329-198 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.4% 93.7 units )
    78-58 this year. ( 57.4% 8.5 units )

    StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

    MLB LA DODGERS at ST LOUIS
    LA DODGERS are 33-13 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    The average score was: LA DODGERS (5.3) , OPPONENT (3.1)

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    StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

    NHL NY RANGERS at ST LOUIS
    Play On - Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (NY RANGERS) horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after getting shutout in their previous game
    22-7 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.9% 25.1 units )

    NHL PITTSBURGH at FLORIDA
    Play On - A underdog against the money line (FLORIDA) off a blowout loss by 3 goals or more to a division rival, on Friday nights
    56-46 since 1997. ( 54.9% 40.8 units )

    NHL NY RANGERS at ST LOUIS
    Play Against - Any team against the money line (NY RANGERS) terrible defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 4 goals or more
    22-5 over the last 5 seasons. ( 81.5% 17.7 units )

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    Scott Spreitzer Dog Pound GOW

    Arkansas

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    John Ryan 10* Upset Alert Titan

    Penn State

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    Hollywood Sports 10*SEC Underdog of the Month

    Arkansas

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    From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
    STATFOX FORECASTER

    OKLAHOMA (111) AT TEXAS (112)
    Latest Line: Texas +14.0; Total: 58.0

    The Red River Rivalry resumes in Dallas, and these programs seem to be heading in different directions. Oklahoma has won and covered against Texas each of the past three years, including a 63-21 blowout last year and 55-17 domination two years ago. Texas QB David Ash (concussion) will sit again, giving Case McCoy another start (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS as starter, 5.63 YPA on the season). Oklahoma won ugly at home against TCU last week, rushing for 203 yards but going just 3-for-13 on third downs.
    FORECASTER: Oklahoma 36, Texas 28

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